G. Di Baldassarre, A. Montanari, H. F. Lins, D. Koutsoyiannis, L. Brandimarte, and G. Blöschl, Flood fatalities in Africa: from diagnosis to mitigation, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L22402, doi:10.1029/2010GL045467, 2010.
[doc_id=1012]
[English]
Flood-related fatalities in Africa, as well as associated economic losses, have increased dramatically over the past half-century. There is a growing global concern about the need to identify the causes for such increased flood damages. To this end, we analyze a large, consistent and reliable dataset of floods in Africa. Identification of causes is not easy given the diverse economic settings, demographic distribution and hydro-climatic conditions of the African continent. On the other hand, many African river basins have a relatively low level of human disturbance and, therefore, provide a unique opportunity to analyze climatic effects on floods. We find that intensive and unplanned human settlements in flood-prone areas appears to be playing a major role in increasing flood risk. Timely and economically sustainable actions, such as the discouragement of human settlements in flood-prone areas and the introduction of early warning systems are, therefore, urgently needed.
Full text is only available to the NTUA network due to copyright restrictions
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045467
Remarks:
The paper has been cited as Editor's Highlight. It has also been discussed in the following weblogs and forums:
- Population trends, not climate, causing increased flood fatalities in Africa (AGU Blogosphere)
- Flood Losses in Africa (Roger Pielke Jr.'s Blog)
- Flood Losses In Africa (repost) (The Global Warming Policy Foundation)
- Missing News: Flood damage muted (ABC News Watch)
- African Floods Are Not Being Caused By Human CO2 Emissions, Latest Peer-Reviewed Study Reports (C3)
- Fatal Floods In Africa (Inside Science)
- Fatal floods in Africa (repost) (Carbon-Based)
- Carbon-Based: Fatal floods in Africa (repost) (GCC News Brief)
- Meer doden door overstromingen: schuld van het klimaat? (Kennislink)
- Wetenschappers tegen kolencentrales gebruiken drogreden (Climategate.nl)
Other reactions in weblogs, forums and Internet resources during 2010 can be seen in:
Real Science * Google Groups * NewsGuide * Telescopes Astronomy * Daily Science News * EurekAlert! * Keskisuomalainen
Our works referenced by this work:
1. | D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Montanari, Statistical analysis of hydroclimatic time series: Uncertainty and insights, Water Resources Research, 43 (5), W05429, doi:10.1029/2006WR005592, 2007. |
Our works that reference this work:
1. | D. Koutsoyiannis, Scale of water resources development and sustainability: Small is beautiful, large is great, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 56 (4), 553–575, doi:10.1080/02626667.2011.579076, 2011. |
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5. | S. Ceola, A. Montanari, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Toward a theoretical framework for integrated modeling of hydrological change, WIREs Water, 1 (5), 427–438, doi:10.1002/wat2.1038, 2014. |
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Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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Tagged under: Climate stochastics, Works discussed in weblogs, Floods, Papers initially rejected