Κλιματική μεταβλητότητα σε χρονικές κλίμακες που εκτείνονται σε εννέα τάξεις μεγέθους: Σύνδεση των κύκλων Milankovitch με τη δυναμική Hurst-Kolmogorov

Y. Markonis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Climatic variability over time scales spanning nine orders of magnitude: Connecting Milankovitch cycles with Hurst–Kolmogorov dynamics, Surveys in Geophysics, 34 (2), 181–207, doi:10.1007/s10712-012-9208-9, 2013.

[Κλιματική μεταβλητότητα σε χρονικές κλίμακες που εκτείνονται σε εννέα τάξεις μεγέθους: Σύνδεση των κύκλων Milankovitch με τη δυναμική Hurst-Kolmogorov]

[doc_id=1297]

[Αγγλικά]

Το πλήρες κείμενο διατίθεται μόνο στο δίκτυο του ΕΜΠ λόγω νομικών περιορισμών

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Βλέπε επίσης: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9208-9

Εργασίες μας στις οποίες αναφέρεται αυτή η εργασία:

1. D. Koutsoyiannis, The Hurst phenomenon and fractional Gaussian noise made easy, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 47 (4), 573–595, doi:10.1080/02626660209492961, 2002.
2. D. Koutsoyiannis, Climate change, the Hurst phenomenon, and hydrological statistics, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48 (1), 3–24, doi:10.1623/hysj.48.1.3.43481, 2003.
3. D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrological statistics for engineering design in a varying climate, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 5, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.16291.45602, European Geophysical Society, 2003.
4. D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Montanari, Statistical analysis of hydroclimatic time series: Uncertainty and insights, Water Resources Research, 43 (5), W05429, doi:10.1029/2006WR005592, 2007.
5. D. Koutsoyiannis, and T.A. Cohn, The Hurst phenomenon and climate (solicited), European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2008, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, Vienna, 11804, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.13303.01447, European Geosciences Union, 2008.
6. D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Montanari, H. F. Lins, and T.A. Cohn, Climate, hydrology and freshwater: towards an interactive incorporation of hydrological experience into climate research—DISCUSSION of “The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management”, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 54 (2), 394–405, doi:10.1623/hysj.54.2.394, 2009.
7. D. Koutsoyiannis, A random walk on water, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14, 585–601, doi:10.5194/hess-14-585-2010, 2010.
8. D. Koutsoyiannis, Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics and uncertainty, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47 (3), 481–495, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00543.x, 2011.
9. D. Koutsoyiannis, Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics as a result of extremal entropy production, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 390 (8), 1424–1432, doi:10.1016/j.physa.2010.12.035, 2011.

Εργασίες μας που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία:

1. D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrology and Change, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (6), 1177–1197, doi:10.1080/02626667.2013.804626, 2013.
2. F. Lombardo, E. Volpi, D. Koutsoyiannis, and S.M. Papalexiou, Just two moments! A cautionary note against use of high-order moments in multifractal models in hydrology, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 243–255, doi:10.5194/hess-18-243-2014, 2014.
3. H. Tyralis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A Bayesian statistical model for deriving the predictive distribution of hydroclimatic variables, Climate Dynamics, 42 (11-12), 2867–2883, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1804-y, 2014.
4. G. Tsekouras, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastic analysis and simulation of hydrometeorological processes associated with wind and solar energy, Renewable Energy, 63, 624–633, doi:10.1016/j.renene.2013.10.018, 2014.
5. C. Pappas, S.M. Papalexiou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A quick gap-filling of missing hydrometeorological data, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 119 (15), 9290–9300, doi:10.1002/2014JD021633, 2014.
6. S. Ceola, A. Montanari, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Toward a theoretical framework for integrated modeling of hydrological change, WIREs Water, 1 (5), 427–438, doi:10.1002/wat2.1038, 2014.
7. D. Koutsoyiannis, Generic and parsimonious stochastic modelling for hydrology and beyond, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61 (2), 225–244, doi:10.1080/02626667.2015.1016950, 2016.
8. P. Dimitriadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and K. Tzouka, Predictability in dice motion: how does it differ from hydrometeorological processes?, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61 (9), 1611–1622, doi:10.1080/02626667.2015.1034128, 2016.
9. P.E. O’Connell, D. Koutsoyiannis, H. F. Lins, Y. Markonis, A. Montanari, and T.A. Cohn, The scientific legacy of Harold Edwin Hurst (1880 – 1978), Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61 (9), 1571–1590, doi:10.1080/02626667.2015.1125998, 2016.
10. Y. Markonis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Scale-dependence of persistence in precipitation records, Nature Climate Change, 6, 399–401, doi:10.1038/nclimate2894, 2016.
11. Y. Markonis, S. C. Batelis, Y. Dimakos, E. C. Moschou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Temporal and spatial variability of rainfall over Greece, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-016-1878-7, 2016.
12. D. Koutsoyiannis, Entropy production in stochastics, Entropy, 19 (11), 581, doi:10.3390/e19110581, 2017.
13. T. Iliopoulou, S.M. Papalexiou, Y. Markonis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Revisiting long-range dependence in annual precipitation, Journal of Hydrology, 556, 891–900, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.04.015, 2018.
14. P. Dimitriadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastic synthesis approximating any process dependence and distribution, Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment, 32 (6), 1493–1515, doi:10.1007/s00477-018-1540-2, 2018.
15. D. Koutsoyiannis, P. Dimitriadis, F. Lombardo, and S. Stevens, From fractals to stochastics: Seeking theoretical consistency in analysis of geophysical data, Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, edited by A.A. Tsonis, 237–278, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-58895-7_14, Springer, 2018.
16. Y. Markonis, Y. Moustakis, C. Nasika, P. Sychova, P. Dimitriadis, M. Hanel, P. Máca, and S.M. Papalexiou, Global estimation of long-term persistence in annual river runoff, Advances in Water Resources, 113, 1–12, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2018.01.003, 2018.
17. D. Koutsoyiannis, Time’s arrow in stochastic characterization and simulation of atmospheric and hydrological processes, Hydrological Sciences Journal, doi:10.1080/02626667.2019.1600700, 2019.

Άλλες εργασίες που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία: Δείτε τις στο Google Scholar ή στο ResearchGate

Άλλες εργασίες που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία (αυτός ο κατάλογος μπορεί να μην είναι ενημερωμένος):

1. Varotsos, C. A., M. N. Efstathiou and A. P. Cracknell, On the scaling effect in global surface air temperature anomalies, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 5243-5253, 2013.
2. Thompson, S. E., M. Sivapalan, C. J. Harman, V. Srinivasan, M. R. Hipsey, P. Reed, A. Montanari and G. and Blöschl, Developing predictive insight into changing water systems: use-inspired hydrologic science for the Anthropocene, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 5013-5039, 2013.
3. Fleming, S. W., A non-uniqueness problem in the identification of power-law spectral scaling for hydroclimatic time series, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (1), 73–84, 2014.
4. Glatzle, A., Questioning key conclusions of FAO publications ‘Livestock’s Long Shadow’ (2006) appearing again in ‘Tackling Climate Change Through Livestock’ (2013), Pastoralism: Research, Policy and Practice, 10.1186/2041-7136-4-1, 2014.
5. Hall, J., B. Arheimer, M. Borga, R. Brázdil, P. Claps, A. Kiss, T. R. Kjeldsen, J. Kriaučiūnienė, Z.W. Kundzewicz, M. Lang, M. C. Llasat, N. Macdonald, N. McIntyre, L. Mediero, B. Merz, R. Merz, P. Molnar, A. Montanari, C. Neuhold, J. Parajka, R. A. P. Perdigão, L. Plavcová, M. Rogger, J. L. Salinas, E. Sauquet, C. Schär, J. Szolgay, A. Viglione and G. Blöschl, Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2735-2772, 10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014, 2014.
6. Soon, W., V. M. Velasco Herrera, K. Selvaraj, R. Traversi, I. Usoskin, C.-T. A. Chen, J.-Y. Lou, S.-J. Kao, R. M. Carter, V. Pipin, M. Severi, S. Becagli, A review of Holocene solar-linked climatic variation on centennial to millennial timescales: Physical processes, interpretative frameworks and a new multiple cross-wavelet transform algorithm, Earth-Science Reviews, 10.1016/j.earscirev.2014.03.003, 2014.
7. Varotsos, C. A., C. L. E. Franzke, M. N. Efstathiou and A. G. Degermendzhi, Evidence for two abrupt warming events of SST in the last century, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 116 (1-2), 51-60, 2014.
8. Østvand, L., K. Rypdal and M. Rypdal, Statistical significance of rising and oscillatory trends in global ocean and land temperature in the past 160 years, Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., 5, 327-362, 10.5194/esdd-5-327-2014, 2014.
9. Glatzle, A., Severe methodological deficiencies associated with claims of domestic livestock driving climate change, Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering, B 2, 586-601, 2014.
10. Arheimer, B., and G. Lindström, Climate impact on floods: changes in high flows in Sweden in the past and the future (1911–2100), Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19 (2), 771-784, 2015.
11. Lovejoy, S., A voyage through scales, a missing quadrillion and why the climate is not what you expect, Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-014-2324-0, 2014.
12. Markovic, D., and M. Koch, Stream response to precipitation variability: A spectral view based on analysis and modelling of hydrological cycle components, Hydrological Processes, 29 (7), 1806-1816, 2015.
13. Fan, L., H. Wang, W. Lai and C. Wang, Administration of water resources in Beijing: Problems and countermeasures, Water Policy, 17 (4), 563-580, 2015.

Κατηγορίες: Δυναμική Hurst-Kolmogorov, Βιβλιογραφία μαθήματος: Υδρομετεωρολογία, Βιβλιογραφία μαθήματος: Στοχαστικές μέθοδοι, Κλίμα και στοχαστική, Ντετερμινισμός και στοχαστικότητα, Εργασίες που συζητήθηκαν σε ιστολόγια, Άρθρα που αρχικώς απορρίφθηκαν, Στοχαστική, Αβεβαιότητα