Συγκριτική αξιολόγηση μονοδιάστατων και ψευδο-διδιάστατων υδραυλικών μοντέλων με βάση θεωρητικές και πραγματικές εφαρμογές για την εκτίμηση της αβεβαιότητας στην αποτύπωση των πλημμυρών

P. Dimitriadis, A. Tegos, A. Oikonomou, V. Pagana, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Comparative evaluation of 1D and quasi-2D hydraulic models based on benchmark and real-world applications for uncertainty assessment in flood mapping, Journal of Hydrology, 534, 478–492, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.01.020, 2016.

[Συγκριτική αξιολόγηση μονοδιάστατων και ψευδο-διδιάστατων υδραυλικών μοντέλων με βάση θεωρητικές και πραγματικές εφαρμογές για την εκτίμηση της αβεβαιότητας στην αποτύπωση των πλημμυρών]

[doc_id=1596]

[Αγγλικά]

Τα μονοδιάστατα και ψευδο-διδιάστατα υδραυλικά μοντέλα που είναι ελεύθερα διαθέσιμα (HEC-RAS, LISFLOOD-FP και FLO-2d) χρησιμοποιούναι ευρέως στην αποτύπωση της πλημμυρικής κατάκλυσης. Τα μοντέλα αυτά ελέγχονται σε ένα θεωρητικό πρόβλημα αναφοράς, θεωρώντας μια μικτή ορθογωνική-τριγωνική διατομή καναλιού. Εφαρμόζοντας μια προσέγγιση Monte-Carlo, υλοποιούμε εκτενείς αναλύσεις ευαισθησίας, μεταβάλλοντας ταυτόχρονα την παροχή εισόδου, την κατά μήκος και την εγκάρσια κλίση, τον συντελεστή τραχύτητας καθώς και το μέγεθος φατνίου του υπολογιστικού κανάβου. Με βάση στατιστικές αναλύσεις των τριών μεταβλητών εξόδου ενδιαφέροντος, δηλαδή του βάθους ροής στις θέσεις εισροής και εκροής, και τον συνολικό πλημμυρικό όγκο, διερευνούμε την αβεβαιότητα που εμπεριέχεται σε διαφορετικές διαμορφώσεις του μοντέλου και των συνθηκών ροής, χωρίς την επίδραση σφαλμάτων και άλλων παραδοχών σχετικών με την τοπογραφία, τη γεωμετρία του αγωγού και τις οριακές συνθήκες. Ακόμη, εκτιμούμε την αβεβαιότητα που σχετίζεται με κάθε μεταβλητή εισόδου, την οποία συγκρίνουμε με την ολική αβεβαιότητα. Τα συμπεράσματα των θεωρητικών αναλύσεων διαφωτίζονται επιπλέον με την εφαρμογή των τριών μοντέλων σε πραγματικά προβλήματα διόδευσης πλημμύρας, στο πλαίσιο δύο ιδιαίτερα απαιτητικών μελετών περίπτωσης στην Ελλάδα.

Το πλήρες κείμενο διατίθεται μόνο στο δίκτυο του ΕΜΠ λόγω νομικών περιορισμών

Εργασίες μας στις οποίες αναφέρεται αυτή η εργασία:

1. D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, and A. Tegos, Logical and illogical exegeses of hydrometeorological phenomena in ancient Greece, Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, 7 (1), 13–22, 2007.
2. D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, N. Zarkadoulas, and Y. Markonis, Floods in Greece, Changes of Flood Risk in Europe, edited by Z. W. Kundzewicz, Chapter 12, 238–256, IAHS Press, Wallingford – International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 2012.
3. Β. Παγάνα, Κατάρτιση χαρτών πλημμύρας στην περιοχή της Ραφήνας, Μεταπτυχιακή εργασία, 180 pages, Τομέας Υδατικών Πόρων και Περιβάλλοντος – Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο, Μάρτιος 2012.
4. S.M. Papalexiou, D. Koutsoyiannis, and C. Makropoulos, How extreme is extreme? An assessment of daily rainfall distribution tails, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 851–862, doi:10.5194/hess-17-851-2013, 2013.
5. A. Oikonomou, P. Dimitriadis, A. Koukouvinos, A. Tegos, V. Pagana, P. Panagopoulos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Floodplain mapping via 1D and quasi-2D numerical models in the valley of Thessaly, Greece, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 15, Vienna, EGU2013-10366, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.25165.03040, European Geosciences Union, 2013.
6. V. Pagana, A. Tegos, P. Dimitriadis, A. Koukouvinos, P. Panagopoulos, and N. Mamassis, Alternative methods in floodplain hydraulic simulation - Experiences and perspectives, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 15, Vienna, EGU2013-10283-2, European Geosciences Union, 2013.
7. Α. Οικονόμου, Διερεύνηση λειτουργίας λογισμικών υδραυλικής προσομοίωσης στην εξέλιξη πλημμυρικής κατάκλυσης. Εφαρμογή στην πεδιάδα της Θεσσαλίας, Μεταπτυχιακή εργασία, 99 pages, Τομέας Υδατικών Πόρων και Περιβάλλοντος – Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο, Αθήνα, Ιούνιος 2013.
8. A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and N. Mamassis, Flood design recipes vs. reality: can predictions for ungauged basins be trusted?, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 14, 1417–1428, doi:10.5194/nhess-14-1417-2014, 2014.

Εργασίες μας που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία:

1. P. Dimitriadis, A. Tegos, A. Petsiou, V. Pagana, I. Apostolopoulos, E. Vassilopoulos, M. Gini, A. D. Koussis, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and P. Papanicolaou, Flood Directive implementation in Greece: Experiences and future improvements, 10th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment "Panta Rhei", Athens, European Water Resources Association, 2017.
2. G. Papaioannou, A. Efstratiadis, L. Vasiliades, A. Loukas, S.M. Papalexiou, A. Koukouvinos, I. Tsoukalas, and P. Kossieris, An operational method for Floods Directive implementation in ungauged urban areas, Hydrology, 5 (2), 24, doi:10.3390/hydrology5020024, 2018.

Άλλες εργασίες που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία: Δείτε τις στο Google Scholar ή στο ResearchGate

Άλλες εργασίες που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία (αυτός ο κατάλογος μπορεί να μην είναι ενημερωμένος):

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2. Papaioannou , G., A. Loukas, L. Vasiliades, and G. T. Aronica, Flood inundation mapping sensitivity to riverine spatial resolution and modelling approach, Natural Hazards, 83, 117-132, doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2382-1, 2016.
3. #Santillan, J. R., A. M. Amora, M. Makinano-Santillan, J. T. Marqueso, L. C. Cutamora, J. L. Serviano, and R. M. Makinano, Assessing the impacts of flooding caused by extreme rainfall events through a combined geospatial and numerical modeling approach, The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Vol. XLI-B8, 2016, XXIII ISPRS Congress, Prague, doi:10.5194/isprs-archives-XLI-B8-1271-2016, 2016.
4. Cheviron, B. and R. Moussa, Determinants of modelling choices for 1-D free-surface flow and morphodynamics in hydrology and hydraulics: a review, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20, 3799-3830, doi:10.5194/hess-20-3799-2016, 2016.
5. Anees, M.T., K. Abdullah, M.N.M. Nawawi, N. N. N. Ab Rahman, A. R. Mt. Piah, N. A. Zakaria, M.I. Syakir, and A.K. Mohd. Omar, Numerical modeling techniques for flood analysis, Journal of African Earth Sciences, 124, 478–486, doi:10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2016.10.001, 2016.
6. Skublics, D., G. Blöschl, and P. Rutschmann, Effect of river training on flood retention of the Bavarian Danube, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 64(4), 349-356, doi:10.1515/johh-2016-0035, 2016.
7. Doong, D.-J., W. Lo, Z. Vojinovic, W.-L. Lee, and S.-P. Lee, Development of a new generation of flood inundation maps—A case study of the coastal City of Tainan, Taiwan, Water, 8(11), 521, doi:10.3390/w8110521, 2016.
8. #Cartaya, S., and R. Mantuano-Eduarte, Identificación de zonas en riesgo de inundación mediante la simulación hidráulica en un segmento del Río Pescadillo, Manabí, Ecuador, Revista de Investigación, 40(89), 158-170, 2016.
9. Javadnejad, F., B. Waldron, and A. Hill, LITE Flood: Simple GIS-based mapping approach for real-time redelineation of multifrequency floods, Natural Hazards Review, 18(3), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000238, 2017.
10. Shrestha, A., M. S. Babel, S. Weesakul, and Z. Vojinovic, Developing intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves under climate change uncertainty: The case of Bangkok, Thailand, Water, 9(2), 145, doi:10.3390/w9020145, 2017.
11. Roushangar, K., M. T. Alami, V. Nourani, and A. Nouri, A cost model with several hydraulic constraints for optimizing in practice a trapezoidal cross section, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 19(3), 456-468, doi:10.2166/hydro.2017.081, 2017.
12. Papaioannou, G., L. Vasiliades, A. Loukas, and G. T. Aronica, Probabilistic flood inundation mapping at ungauged streams due to roughness coefficient uncertainty in hydraulic modelling, Advances in Geosciences, 44, 23-34, doi:10.5194/adgeo-44-23-2017, 2017.
13. Anees, M. T., K. Abdullah, M. N. M. Nawawi, N. N. N. Ab Rahman, A. R. Mt. Piah, M. I. Syakir, A. K. M. Omar, and K. Hossain, Applications of remote sensing, hydrology and geophysics for flood analysis, Indian Journal of Science and Technology, 10(17), doi:10.17485/ijst/2017/v10i17/111541, 2017.
14. Fuentes-Andino, D., K. Beven, S. Halldin, C.-Y. Xu, J. E. Reynolds, and G. Di Baldassarre, Reproducing an extreme flood with uncertain post-event information, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, 3597-3618, doi:10.5194/hess-21-3597-2017, 2017.
15. #Anees, M. T., K. Abdullah, M. N. M. Nordin, N. N. N. Ab Rahman, M. I. Syakir, and M. O. A. Kadir, One- and two-dimensional hydrological modelling and their uncertainties, Flood Risk Management, T. Hromadka and P. Rao (editors), Chapter 11, doi:10.5772/intechopen.68924, 2017.
16. #Papaioannou, G., A. Loukas, L. Vasiliades, and G. T. Aronica, Sensitivity analysis of a probabilistic flood inundation mapping framework for ungauged catchments, Proceedings of the 10th World Congress of EWRA “Panta Rhei”, European Water Resources Association, Athens, 2017.
17. Bangira, T., S. M. Alfieri , M. Menenti, A. van Niekerk, and Z. Vekerdy, A spectral unmixing method with ensemble estimation of endmembers: Application to flood mapping in the Caprivi floodplain, Remote Sensing, 9, 1013, doi:10.3390/rs9101013, 2017.
18. Carisi, F., A. Domeneghetti, M. G. Gaeta, and A. Castellarin, Is anthropogenic land subsidence a possible driver of riverine flood-hazard dynamics? A case study in Ravenna, Italy, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(15), 2440-2455, doi:10.1080/02626667.2017.1390315, 2017.
19. Podhoranyi, M., P. Veteska, D. Szturcova, L. Vojacek, and A. Portero, A web-based modelling and monitoring system based on coupling environmental models and hydrological-related data, Journal of Communications, 12(6), 340-346, doi:10.12720/jcm.12.6.340-346, 2017.
20. Bhuyian, N. M., A. Kalyanapu, and F. Hossain, Evaluating conveyance-based DEM correction technique on NED and SRTM DEMs for flood impact assessment of the 2010 Cumberland river flood, Geosciences, 7(4), 132; doi:10.3390/geosciences7040132, 2017.
21. Zin, W., A. Kawasaki, W. Takeuchi, Z. M. L. T. San, K. Z. Htun, T. H. Aye, and S. Win, Flood hazard assessment of Bago river basin, Myanmar, Journal of Disaster Research, 13(1), 14-21, doi:10.20965/jdr.2018.p0014, 2018.
22. #Siregar, R. I., Hydraulic modeling of flow impact on bridge structures: a case study on Citarum bridge, IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 309, 012015, doi:10.1088/1757-899X/309/1/012015, 2018.
23. Lousada, S. A. N., D. Miranda, R. F. Camacho, and R. A. Castanho, Hydraulic studies and their influence for regional urban planning: a practical approach to Funchal’s rivers, Revista Brasiliera de Planejamento e Desenvolvimento, 7(1), 145-164, doi:10.3895/rbpd.v7n1.7179, 2018.
24. Liu, W., and H. Liu, Integrating Monte Carlo and the hydrodynamic model for predicting extreme water levels in river systems, Preprints 2018, 2018030088, doi:10.20944/preprints201803.0088.v1, 2018.
25. #Indrawan, I., and R. I. Siregar, Analysis of flood vulnerability in urban area: a case study in Deli watershed, Journal of Physics Conference Series, 978(1), 012036, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/978/1/012036, 2018.
26. #Siregar, R. I., Land cover change impact on urban flood modeling (case study: Upper Citarum watershed), IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 126(1), 012027, doi:10.1088/1755-1315/126/1/012027, 2018.
27. #Ng, Z. F.., J. I. Gisen, and A. Akbari, Flood inundation modelling in the Kuantan river basin using 1D-2D flood modeller coupled with ASTER-GDEM, IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 318(1), 012024, doi:10.1088/1757-899X/318/1/012024, 2018.
28. Liu, Z., V. Merwade, and K. Jafarzadegan, Investigating the role of model structure and surface roughness in generating flood inundation extents using 1D and 2D hydraulic models, Journal of Flood Risk Management, doi:10.1111/jfr3.12347, 2018.
29. Kaya, C. M., G. Tayfur, and O. Gungor, Predicting flood plain inundation for natural channels having no upstream gauged stations, Journal of Water and Climate Change, doi:10.2166/wcc.2017.307, 2017.
30. Hdeib, R., C. Abdallah, F. Colin, L. Brocca, and R. Moussa, Constraining coupled hydrological-hydraulic flood model by past storm events and post-event measurements in data-sparse regions, Journal of Hydrology, 565, 160-175, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.08.008, 2018.
31. Tan, F. J., E. J. R. Rarugal, and F. A. A. Uy, One-dimensional (1D) river analysis of a river basin in Southern Luzon Island in the Philippines using Lidar Digital Elevation Model, International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(3.7), 29-33, doi:10.14419/ijet.v7i3.7.16200, 2018.
32. Luo, P., D. Mu, H. Xue, T. Ngo-Duc, K. Dang-Dinh, K. Takara, D. Nover, and G. Schladow, Flood inundation assessment for the Hanoi Central Area, Vietnam under historical and extreme rainfall conditions, Scientific Reports, 8, 12623, doi:10.1038/s41598-018-30024-5, 2018.
33. Indrawan, I., and R. I. Siregar, Pemodelan Penerapan Terowongan Air (Tunnel) dalam Mengatasi Banjir Akibat Luapan Sungai Deli, Jurnal Teknik Sipil, 25(2), 113-120, doi:10.5614/jts.2018.25.2.4, 2018.
34. Petroselli, A., M. Vojtek, and J. Vojteková, Flood mapping in small ungauged basins: A comparison of different approaches for two case studies in Slovakia, Hydrology Research, doi:10.2166/nh.2018.040, 2018.
35. Agudelo-Otálora, L. M., W. D. Moscoso-Barrera, L. A. Paipa-Galeano, and C. Mesa-Sciarrotta, Comparison of physical models and artificial intelligence for prediction of flood levels, Water Technology and Sciences, 9(4), 209-236, doi:10.24850/j-tyca-2018-04-09, 2018.
36. Dysarz, T., Application of Python scripting techniques for control and automation of HEC-RAS simulations, Water, 10(10):1382, doi:10.3390/w10101382, 2018.
37. Chang, M.-J., H.-K. Chang, Y.-C. Chen, G.-F. Lin, P.-A. Chen, J.-S. Lai, and Y.-C. Tan, A support vector machine forecasting model for typhoon flood inundation mapping and early flood warning systems, Water, 10, 1734, doi:10.3390/w10121734, 2018.
38. Tscheikner-Gratl, F., V. Bellos, A. Schellart, A. Moreno-Rodenas, M. Muthusamy, J. Langeveld, F. Clemens, L. Benedetti, M.A. Rico-Ramirez, R. Fernandes de Carvalho, L. Breuer, J. Shucksmith, G.B.M. Heuvelink, and S. Tait, Recent insights on uncertainties present in integrated catchment water quality modelling, Water Research, 150, 368-379, doi:10.1016/j.watres.2018.11.079, 2019.
39. Zeleňáková, M., R. Fijko, S. Labant, E. Weiss, G. Markovič, and R. Weiss, Flood risk modelling of the Slatvinec stream in Kružlov village, Slovakia, Journal of Cleaner Production, 212, 109-118, doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.008, 2019.
40. Wang, P., G. Zhang, and H. Leung, Improving super-resolution flood inundation mapping for multispectral remote sensing image by supplying more spectral information, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, 16(5), 771-775, doi:10.1109/LGRS.2018.2882516, 2019.
41. Tehrany, M. S., S. Jones, and F. Shabani, Identifying the essential flood conditioning factors for flood prone area mapping using machine learning techniques, Catena, 175, 174-192, doi:10.1016/j.catena.2018.12.011, 2019.
42. Škarpich, V., T. Galia, S. Ruman, and Z. Máčka, Variations in bar material grain-size and hydraulic conditions of managed and re-naturalized reaches of the gravel-bed Bečva River (Czech Republic), Science of The Total Environment, 649, 672-685, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.08.329, 2019.
43. Yang, Z., K. Yang, L. Su, and H. Hu, The multi-objective operation for cascade reservoirs using MMOSFLA with emphasis on power generation and ecological benefit, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 21(2), 257-278, doi:10.2166/hydro.2019.064, 2019.
44. Dysarz, T., J. Wicher-Dysarz, M. Sojka, and J. Jaskuła, Analysis of extreme flow uncertainty impact on size of flood hazard zones for the Wronki gauge station in the Warta river, Acta Geophysica, 67(2), 661-676, doi:10.1007/s11600-019-00264-8, 2019.
45. Fleischmann, A., R. Paiva, and W. Collischonn, Can regional to continental river hydrodynamic models be locally relevant? A cross-scale comparison, Journal of Hydrology X, 3, 100027, doi:10.1016/j.hydroa.2019.100027, 2019.
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49. Hosseini, D., M. Torabi, and M. A. Moghadam, Preference assessment of energy and momentum equations over 2D-SKM method in compound channels, Journal of Water Resource Engineering and Management, 6(1), 24-34, 2019.
50. Oubennaceur, K., K. Chokmani, M. Nastev, Y. Gauthier, J. Poulin, M. Tanguy, S. Raymond, and R. Lhissou, New sensitivity indices of a 2D flood inundation model using Gauss quadrature sampling, Geosciences, 9(5), 220, doi:10.3390/geosciences9050220, 2019.

Κατηγορίες: Πλημμύρες, Υδραυλικά μοντέλα, Πιο πρόσφατες εργασίες, Εργασίες φοιτητών σε συνέδρια, Αβεβαιότητα