Μαθηματικό πλαίσιο για τη μελέτη των σχέσεων έντασης-διάρκειας-συχνότητας βροχής

D. Koutsoyiannis, D. Kozonis, and A. Manetas, A mathematical framework for studying rainfall intensity-duration-frequency relationships, Journal of Hydrology, 206 (1-2), 118–135, doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(98)00097-3, 1998.

[Μαθηματικό πλαίσιο για τη μελέτη των σχέσεων έντασης-διάρκειας-συχνότητας βροχής]

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[Αγγλικά]

Προτείνεται γενικός τύπος όμβριων καμπυλών, συνεπής με την πιθανοτική θεωρητική θεμελίωση της ανάλυσης των μέγιστων βροχοπτώσεων. Ειδικές μορφές του τύπου αυτού εξάγονται αναλυτικά με βάση την πιθανοτική συνάρτηση κατανομής των μέγιστων εντάσεων. Διάφορες κατάλληλες συναρτήσεις κατανομής μελετώνται για το σκοπό αυτό. Παρουσιάζονται απλές αναλυτικές προσεγγίσεις των πιο κοινών συναρτήσεων κατανομής, οι οποίες ενσωματώνονται στις όμβριες καμπύλες και επιτρέπουν απλές και δόκιμες μαθηματικές εκφράσεις των τελευταίων. Επίσης, προτείνονται δύο μέθοδοι για τον αξιόπιστο προσδιορισμό των παραμέτρων των όμβριων καμπυλών. Η προτεινόμενη διατύπωση των όμβριων καμπυλών αποτελεί αποτελεσματική παραμετροποίησή τους που διευκολύνει την περιγραφή της γεωγραφικής μεταβλητότητάς τους και την περιοχοποίησή τους. Επιπλέον, επιτρέπει την ενσωμάτωση δεδομένων από μη αυτογραφικούς σταθμούς, αντιμετωπίζοντας έτσι το πρόβλημα της κατάρτισης όμβριων καμπυλών σε περιοχές με αραιό δίκτυο βροχογράφων, αξιοποιώντας δεδομένα από το πυκνότερο δίκτυο βροχομέτρων. Εφαρμογές βασισμένες σε δεδομένα από ένα σημαντικό τμήμα της Ελλάδας, που συνοπτικά παρουσιάζονται στην εργασία, διευκρινίζουν τη μεθοδολογία για την κατασκευή και περιοχοποίηση των όμβριων καμπυλών.

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Εργασίες μας στις οποίες αναφέρεται αυτή η εργασία:

1. D. Koutsoyiannis, A stochastic disaggregation method for design storm and flood synthesis, Journal of Hydrology, 156, 193–225, doi:10.1016/0022-1694(94)90078-7, 1994.
2. Δ. Κοζώνης, Κατάστρωση όμβριων καμπυλών με ελλιπή δεδομένα, Διπλωματική εργασία, 94 pages, Τομέας Υδατικών Πόρων, Υδραυλικών και Θαλάσσιων Έργων – Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο, Αθήνα, Ιούνιος 1995.
3. Δ. Κουτσογιάννης, Στατιστική Υδρολογία, Εκδοση 4, 312 pages, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.5118.2325, Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο, Αθήνα, 1997.

Εργασίες μας που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία:

1. D. Koutsoyiannis, A probabilistic view of Hershfield's method for estimating probable maximum precipitation, Water Resources Research, 35 (4), 1313–1322, doi:10.1029/1999WR900002, 1999.
2. D. Koutsoyiannis, and G. Baloutsos, Analysis of a long record of annual maximum rainfall in Athens, Greece, and design rainfall inferences, Natural Hazards, 22 (1), 29–48, doi:10.1023/A:1008001312219, 2000.
3. D. Koutsoyiannis, An entropic-stochastic representation of rainfall intermittency: The origin of clustering and persistence, Water Resources Research, 42 (1), W01401, doi:10.1029/2005WR004175, 2006.
4. D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Langousis, Precipitation, Treatise on Water Science, edited by P. Wilderer and S. Uhlenbrook, 2, 27–78, doi:10.1016/B978-0-444-53199-5.00027-0, Academic Press, Oxford, 2011.
5. D. Koutsoyiannis, and S.M. Papalexiou, Extreme rainfall: Global perspective, Handbook of Applied Hydrology, Second Edition, edited by V.P. Singh, 74.1–74.16, McGraw-Hill, New York, 2017.
6. P. Dimitriadis, A. Tegos, A. Petsiou, V. Pagana, I. Apostolopoulos, E. Vassilopoulos, M. Gini, A. D. Koussis, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and P. Papanicolaou, Flood Directive implementation in Greece: Experiences and future improvements, 10th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment "Panta Rhei", Athens, European Water Resources Association, 2017.
7. G. Papaioannou, A. Efstratiadis, L. Vasiliades, A. Loukas, S.M. Papalexiou, A. Koukouvinos, I. Tsoukalas, and P. Kossieris, An operational method for Floods Directive implementation in ungauged urban areas, Hydrology, 5 (2), 24, doi:10.3390/hydrology5020024, 2018.
8. T. Iliopoulou, N. Malamos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Regional ombrian curves: Design rainfall estimation for a spatially diverse rainfall regime, Hydrology, 9 (5), 67, doi:10.3390/hydrology9050067, 2022.
9. D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastics of Hydroclimatic Extremes - A Cool Look at Risk, Εκδοση 3, ISBN: 978-618-85370-0-2, 391 pages, doi:10.57713/kallipos-1, Kallipos Open Academic Editions, Athens, 2023.

Άλλες εργασίες που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία: Δείτε τις στο Google Scholar ή στο ResearchGate

Άλλες εργασίες που αναφέρονται σ' αυτή την εργασία (αυτός ο κατάλογος μπορεί να μην είναι ενημερωμένος):

1. Menabde, M., A. Seed, and G. Pegram, A simple scaling model for extreme rainfall, Water Resources Research, 35(1), 335-339, 1999.
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36. Senocak, S., and R. Acar, Modelling of short-duration rainfall intensity equations for the Agean region of Turkey, Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 16(9B), 1220-1226, 2007.
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38. Veneziano, D., C. Lepore, A. Langousis and P. Furcolo, Marginal methods of intensity-duration-frequency estimation in scaling and nonscaling rainfall, Water Resources Research, 43(10), W10418, 2007.
39. Nhat, L.M., Y. Tachikawa, T. Sayama and K. Takara, Regional rainfall intensity-duration-frequency relationships for ungauged catchments based on scaling properties, Annuals of Disas. Prev. Res. Inst., Kyoto Univ., 50B, 33-43, 2007.
40. Şenocak, S., and R. Acar, Modelling of short duration rainfall (SDR) intensity equations for Erzurum, Journal of Engineering Sciences, 13 (1), 75-80, 2007.
41. #Tapia, R. P., D. A. Garrido, K. M. Pérez, A. A.Martínez, M. C. Espinoza, M. L. Lorca, M. P. Vidal and L. R. Arellano, Curvas Intensidad Duración Frecuencia para la Zona Centro sur de Chile, UNESCO-IHP, 2007.
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44. Karahan, H., M.T. Ayvaz and G. Gurarslan, Determination of intensity-duration-frequency relationship by genetic algorithm: Case study of GAP, Teknik Dergi, 19(2), 4393-4407, 2008.
45. Dunkerley, D., Rain event properties in nature and in rainfall simulation experiments: a comparative review with recommendations for increasingly systematic study and reporting, Hydrological Processes, 22 (22), 4415-4435, 2008.
46. Soro, G.E., B.T.A. Goula, F.W. Kouassi, K. Koffi, B. Kamagate, I. Doumouya, I. Savane & B. Srohorou, Courbes intensité durée fréquence des précipitations enclimat tropical humide…, European J. Sci. Res., 21(3), 394-405, 2008.
47. #Sen, Z., Wadi Hydrology, CRC Press, 368 pp. ISBN 1420061542, 9781420061543, 2008.
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49. #Takara K., and L. M. Nhat, Japan, Ch. 5, Asian Pacific FRIEND -- Rainfall Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) Analysis for the Asia Pacific Region, ed. by T. M. Daniell and G. Q. Tabios III, IHP-VII Technical Documents in Hydrology No. 2, 12-22, Regional Steering Committee for Southeast Asia and the Pacific, UNESCO Office, Jakarta, 2008.
50. #Amin, M. Z. M., M. N. M. Desa and Z. M. Daud, Malaysia, Ch. 6, Asian Pacific FRIEND -- Rainfall Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) Analysis for the Asia Pacific Region, ed. by T. M. Daniell and G. Q. Tabios III, IHP-VII Technical Documents in Hydrology No. 2, 12-22, Regional Steering Committee for Southeast Asia and the Pacific, UNESCO Office, Jakarta, 2008.
51. #Meylan, P., A. Musy, and A. Favre, Hydrologie Fréquentielle, PPUR Presses Polytechniques, ISBN 288074797X, 9782880747978, 173 pp., 2008.
52. #Acar, R., and S. Şenocak, Modelling of short duration rainfall (SDR) intensity equations for Ankara, Turkey, Proceedings BALWOIS 2008, Ohrid, May 2008.
53. #Ben-Zvi, A., Rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves from large samples, 11th International Conference on Urban Drainage, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK, 2008.
54. #Kim, T., J.-Y. Shin, K. Kim and J.-H. Heo, Improving accuracy of IDF curves using long- and short-duration separation and multi-objective genetic algorithm, Proceedings of the World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2008, ASCE, doi: 10.1061/40976(316)128, 2008.
55. Seong, K.-W., and Y.-H.Lee, Derivation and assessment of a bivariate IDF relationship using paired rainfall intensity-duration data, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 23 (1), 1-7, 2009.
56. Chowdhary, H., Discussion of “IDF Curves Using the Frank Archimedean Copula” by Vijay P. Singh and Lan Zhang, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 14 (1), 107-108, 2009.
57. Allamano, P., P. Claps, F. Laio, and C. Thea, A data-based assessment of the dependence of short-duration precipitation on elevation, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 34 (10-12), 635-641, 2009.
58. Ben-Zvi, A., Rainfall intensity-duration-frequency relationships derived from large partial duration series, Journal of Hydrology, 367 (1-2), 104-114, 2009.
59. Benabdesselam, T., and Y. Hammar, Estimation de la Réponse hydrologique d’un bassin versant urbanisé, European Journal of Scientific Research, 29 (3), 334-348, 2009.
60. Langousis, A., D. Veneziano, P. Furcolo, and C. Lepore, Multifractal rainfall extremes: Theoretical analysis and practical estimation, Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 39(3), 1182-1194, 2009.
61. Viglione, A., R. Merz, and G. Blöschl, On the role of the runoff coefficient in the mapping of rainfall to flood return periods, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13(5), 577-593, 2009.
62. Endreny, T. A., and N. Imbeah, Generating robust rainfall intensity-duration-frequency estimates with short-record satellite data, Journal of Hydrology, 371(1-4), 182-191, 2009.
63. Hejazizadeh, Z., E. Jahanshiri and M.H. Naserzadeh, A study on the temporal and local distribution of showers generating flood in Zolachai river basin by using intensity-duration-frequency-area curves relationships, Journal of Applied Sciences, 9 (10), 1922-1928, 2009.
64. Bara, M., S. Kohnova, L. Gaal, J. Szolgay and K. Hlavcova, Estimation of IDF curves of extreme rainfall by simple scaling in Slovakia, Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, 39 (3), 187–206, 2009.
65. Veneziano, D., A. Langousis and C. Lepore, New asymptotic and preasymptotic results on rainfall maxima from multifractal theory, Water Resour. Res., 45, W11421, doi:10.1029/2009WR008257, 2009.
66. Langousis, A., and D. Veneziano, Long-term rainfall risk from tropical cyclones in coastal areas, Water Resour. Res., 45, W11430, doi:10.1029/2008WR007624, 2009.
67. #Hingray, B., C. Picouet and A. Musy, Hydrologie: Tome 2, Une science pour l"ingénieur, 600 pp., ISBN: 2880747988, 9782880747985, PPUR Presses Polytechniques, 2009.
68. Venkata,  R.  R., B. Chakravorty, N. G.  Pandey  and P.  Mani, Development of intensity duration frequency relationship for short duration rainfall, Hydrology Journal, 32 (1&2), 2009.
69. Sarkar, S., N. Goel, and B. Mathur, Development of isopluvial map using L-moment approach for Tehri-Garhwal Himalaya, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 24 (3), 411-423, 2010.
70. Um, M.-J., H. Yun, W. Cho and J.-H. Heo, Analysis of orographic precipitation on Jeju-Island using regional frequency analysis and regression, Water Resources Management, 24 (7), 1461-1487, 2010.
71. Bara, M., L. Gaal, S. Kohnova, J. Szolgay and K. Hlavcova, On the use of the simple scaling of heavy rainfall in a regional estimation of idf curves in Slovakia, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 58 (1), 49-63, 2010.
72. Soro, G.E., T.A. Goula Bi, F.W. Kouassi and B. Srohourou, Update of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for Precipitation of Short Durations in Tropical Area of West Africa (Cote D'ivoire), Journal of Applied Sciences, 10 (9), 704-715, 2010.
73. Okonkwo, G. I., and C. C. Mbajiorgu, Rainfall intensity-duration-frequency analyses for South Eastern Nigeria, Agricultural Engineering International: the CIGR Ejournal, Manuscript 1304. Vol. XII. March, 2010.
74. Van de Vyver, H., and G. R. Demarée, Construction of Intensity–Duration–Frequency (IDF) curves for precipitation at Lubumbashi, Congo, under the hypothesis of inadequate data, Hydrol. Sci. J., 55(4), 555–564, 2010.
75. #Van Nooijen, R. R. P. and A.G. Kolechkina, A Comparison of fitting methods and tests on computer generated samples, International Workshop Advances in Statistical Hydrology, International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS/STAHY), Taormina, Italy, 2010.
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80. AlHassoun, S.A., Developing an empirical formulae to estimate rainfall intensity in Riyadh region, Journal of King Saud University – Engineering Sciences, doi: 10.1016/j.jksues.2011.03.003, 2011.
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