Assistant Professor, Civil Engineer, MSc., Dr. Engineer
A.Efstratiadis@itia.ntua.gr
+30-2107722861
Development of computational infrastructure for the hydrodynamic simulation of the hydrosystem downstream of Asomata Dam
Duration: February 2024–May 2024
Budget: €29 500
Commissioned by: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Contractor: Hydroelectric Power Plants Operation Department
Project director: A. Efstratiadis
Principal investigator: N. Mamassis
The project aims at the development of a suitable computational infrastructure for the hydrodynamic simulation of the hydrosystem downstream of Asomata Dam, in Aliakmonas River. This will be applied for various outflow scenarios through the hydroelectric plant and the dam spillway, which will be the upstream boundary of the study area, extending over about 2800 km2, of which approximately 2200 km2 are occupied by the catchment of the so-called Peripheral Trench (T66). The final product will be a computer system for one-dimensional analysis, in a HEC-RAS environment, and the associated data infrastructure, as backgrounds for the hydrodynamic simulation and, eventually, flood risk assessment across the vulnerable areas downstream of Asomata dam.
Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
Duration: May 2019–April 2024
Budget: €120 000
Commissioned by: Water Supply and Sewerage Company of Athens
Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Project director: A. Efstratiadis
Principal investigator: I. Papakonstantis
The project aims to revise, upgrade and expand the software tools that have been developed in the context of previous research programs, and the overall support of the Water Supply Directorate of EYDAP S.A. in topics associated with the management of the water resource system of Athens. In this vein we are planning to employ advanced hydrological and water management analyses, improve the existing computational systems and associated methodologies for stochastic simulation and optimization, the elaboration of Master Plans, on annual basis or less, in case of emergency, and the theoretical investigation with respect to the development of a decision support tool for the hydraulic propagation of water flows across the hydrosystem, to be tested in part of Mornos’ channel.
Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net)
Duration: January 2018–December 2020
Budget: €320 000
Commissioned by: Special Secretary of ERDF & CF
Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Collaborators:
Project director: N. Mamassis
Principal investigator: A. Efstratiadis
OpenHi.net is sub-project of the national research infrastructure “Hellenic Integrated Marine and Inland Water Resources Observing, Forecasting and Offshore Technology Systems” (HIMIOFoTS). Its objective is the design of an integrated e-infrastructure for collection, management and dissemination of hydrological and environmental information for the surface water resources of Greece, and the coordination of sub-projects that are involved in the development and initial operation of the system. The sub-project comprises the recording and evaluation of the existing infrastructures of the country (monitoring networks, databases), the analysis of specifications and assessment of the information system, the organization and processing of geographical data with respect to surface water bodies and hydrosystems of Greece, and their implementation within OpenHi. The system design will foresee the incorporation of all related infrastructure of the country, in a forthcoming phase, in order to provide free access to all hydrological, environmental and geographical data of surface water resources of Greece.
Project web-page: https://openhi.net/
Nonlinear methods in multicriteria water resource optimization problems
Duration: November 2002–December 2007
Budget: €33 274
Commissioned by: Ministry of National Education
Contractor: National Technical University of Athens
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: A. Efstratiadis
Programme: Ηράκλειτος
DEUCALION – Assessment of flood flows in Greece under conditions of hydroclimatic variability: Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools
Duration: March 2011–March 2014
Budget: €145 000
Commissioned by: General Secretariat of Research and Technology
Contractors:
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: N. Mamassis
Programme: ΕΣΠΑ "Συνεργασία"
The project aims to develop a set of physically-based methodologies associated with modelling and forecasting of extreme rainfall events and the subsequent flood events, and adapted to the peculiarities of the hydroclimatic and geomorphological conditions of Greece. It includes the implementation of a set of research river basins that comprises a number of gauged basins in Greece and Cyprus with reliable measurements of adequate length, as well as three new experimental basins (with their sub-basins), which will be equipped with the necessary infrastructure. From the field data analysis (hydrological, meteorological, geographical) physically-established regional models will be devoloped for the estimation of characteristic hydrological design quantities, along with hydrological-hydraulic models, which will be integrated within an operational system for hydrometeorological forecasting. A framework of design criteria and methodologies (in a draft form for discussion) will be prepared for the elaboration of hydrological studies for flood-prevention works.
Project web-page: http://deucalionproject.itia.ntua.gr/
EU COST Action ES0901: European procedures for flood frequency estimation (FloodFreq)
Duration: February 2010–December 2013
Project director: T. Kjeldsen
The main objective is to undertake a pan-European comparison and evaluation of methods for flood frequency estimation under the various climatologic and geographic conditions found in Europe, and different levels of data availability. A scientific framework for assessing the ability of these methods to predict the impact of environmental change (climate change, land-use and river engineering works) on future flood frequency characteristics (flood occurrence and magnitude) will be developed and tested. The availability of such procedures is crucial for the formulation of robust flood risk management strategies as required by the Directive of the European Parliament on the assessment and management of floods. The outputs from FloodFreq will be disseminated to: academics, professionals involved in operational flood risk management from private and public institutions, and relevant policy makers from national and international regulatory bodies. This Action enables cooperation between researchers involved in nationally funded research projects to, thereby enabling testing of methods free from the constraints of administrative boundaries, and allowing a more efficient use of European flood research funding.
Project web-page: http://www.costfloodfreq.eu/
Maintenance, upgrading and extension of the Decision Support System for the management of the Athens water resource system
Duration: October 2008–November 2011
Budget: €72 000
Project director: N. Mamassis
Principal investigator: D. Koutsoyiannis
This research project includes the maintenance, upgrading and extension of the Decision Support System that developed by NTUA for EYDAP in the framework of the research project “Updating of the supervision and management of the water resources’ system for the water supply of the Athens’ metropolitan area”. The project is consisted of the following parts: (a) Upgrading of the Data Base, (b)Upgrading and extension of hydrometeorological network, (c) upgrading of the hydrometeorological data process software, (d) upgrading and extension of the Hydronomeas software, (e) hydrological data analysis and (f) support to the preparation of the annual master plans
Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information"
Duration: December 2009–May 2011
Budget: €140 000
Commissioned by: Hydroscope Systems Consortium
Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Project director: N. Mamassis
Principal investigator: N. Mamassis
The Ministry of Environment, Physical Planning & Public Works assigned to a consortium of consultancy companies the Project "Development of a new software platform for the management and operation of the National Databank for Hydrologic and Meteorological Information - 3rd Phase within a GIS environment and relevant dissemination actions". In the framework of the specific project a research team of NTUA undertakes a part as subcontractor. NTUA delivers methodologies for further development of the databases and applications of the Databank and their migration into a web platform (including the experimental node openmeteo.org for free data storage for the public). Specifically, using the knowhow that has been developed in the past by Research Teams from the Department of Water Resources of the School of Civil Engineering a database system and software applications (included hydrological models) are created fully adapted for operation over the Internet. NTUA's contribution is primarily on the design of the new system and the hydrological and geographical database the development of distibuted hydological models, the adaptation of the system to the WFD 2000/60/EC and on supporting dissemination activities. Finally NTUA will participate in the technical support and pilot operation of the project after its delivery from the consortium to the Ministry.
More information is available at http://www.hydroscope.gr/.
OpenMI Life
Duration: January 2006–December 2010
The project's rationale lies in the Water Framework Directive,which demands an integrated approach to water management. This requires an ability to predict how catchment processes will interact. In most contexts, it is not feasible to build a single predictive model that adequately represents all the processes; therefore, a means of linking models of individual processes is required.The FP5 HarmonIT project's innovative and acclaimed solution, the Open Modelling Interface and Environment (OpenMI) met this need by simplifying the linking of hydrology related models.Its establishment will support and assist the strategic planning and integrated catchment management.
Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens
Duration: June 2010–December 2010
Budget: €110 000
Commissioned by: Fixed Assets Company EYDAP
Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Project director: C. Makropoulos
Observations, Analysis and Modeling of Lightning Activity in Thunderstorms, for Use in Short Term Forecasting of Flash Floods
Duration: October 2006–September 2009
Commissioned by: DGXII / FP6-SUSTDEV-2005-3.II.1.2
Contractor: National Observatory of Athens
Project director: K. Lagouvardos
Flood risk estimation and forecast using hydrological models and probabilistic methods
Duration: February 2007–August 2008
Budget: €15 000
Commissioned by: National Technical University of Athens
Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Collaborators: Hydrologic Research Center
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: S.M. Papalexiou
Programme: Πρόγραμμα Βασικής Έρευνας ΕΜΠ "Κωνσταντίνος Καραθεοδωρή"
The objective of this project is the development of an integrated framework for the estimation and forecast of flood risk using stochastic, hydrological and hydraulics methods. The study area is the Boeticos Kephisos river basin. The project includes analysis of severe storm episodes in the basin, the understanding of mechanisms of flood generation in this karstic basin and the estimation of flood risk in characteristic sites of the hydrosystem.
Support on the compilation of the national programme for water resources management and preservation
Duration: February 2007–May 2007
Budget: €45 000
Commissioned by: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works
Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: A. Andreadakis
This project updates and expands a previous research project (Classification of quantitative and qualitative parameters of water resources in water districts of Greece), which has been commissioned by the Ministry of Development and conducted by the same team of NTUA in co-operation with the Ministry of Development, IGME, and KEPE.
The project includes defining the methodology, analyzing the water resources in the 14 water districts, quantity and quality and the relations between them, describing the existing administrative and development frameworks for water resources management and protection presenting the national, peripheral and sectoral water-related policies, and proposing an approach to a water resource management and protection programme (conclusions, problems, solutions, and proposals for projects and measures).
Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir
Duration: November 2005–December 2006
Budget: €60 000
Commissioned by: Special Directorate for the Management of Corporate Programs of Thessaly
Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: N. Mamassis
Programme: Επιχειρησιακά Σχέδια Διαχείρισης Δικτύων Σμοκόβου
Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Duration: July 2003–June 2006
Budget: €779 656
Commissioned by: General Secretariat of Research and Technology
Contractor: NAMA
Collaborators:
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: A. Andreadakis
Programme: ΕΠΑΝ, Φυσικό Περιβάλλον και Βιώσιμη Ανάπτυξη
The project aims at providing support to decision-making processes within the direction of integrated management of water resource systems at a variety of scales. Several methodologies and computing tools are developed, which are incorporated into an integrated information system. The main deliverable is an operational software package of general use, which is evaluated and tested on two pilot case studies, concerning hydrosystems in Greece with varying characteristics (Karditsa, Dodecanesus). The end-product of the project is a software system for simulation and optimisation of hydrosystem operation, as well as a series of separate software applications for solving specific problems, aiming at producing input data to the central system or post-processing of the results. The project includes eleven work packages, eight for basic research, two for industrial research and one for the pilot applications.
Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Duration: March 1999–December 2003
Commissioned by: Water Supply and Sewerage Company of Athens
Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: D. Koutsoyiannis
Due to the dry climate of the surrounding region, Athens has suffered from frequent water shortages during its long history but now has acquired a reliable system for water supply. This extensive and complex water resource system extends over an area of around 4000 km2 and includes surface water and groundwater resources. It incorporates four reservoirs, 350 km of main aqueducts, 15 pumping stations and more than 100 boreholes. The water resource system also supplies secondary uses such as irrigation and water supply of nearby towns. The Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP) that runs the system commissioned this project, which comprises: (a) development of a geographical information system for the representation and supervision of the external water supply system; (b) development of a measurement system for the water resources of Athens; (c) development of a system for the estimation and prediction of the water resource system of Athens utilising stochastic models; (d) development of a decision support system for the integrated management of water resource system of Athens using simulation-optimisation methodologies; and (e) cooperation and transfer of knowledge between NTUA and EYDAP.
Products: 17 reports; 14 publications
Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake
Duration: May 2001–January 2002
Commissioned by:
Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering
Project director: K. Hadjibiros
Principal investigator: D. Koutsoyiannis
To protect the Plastiras Lake, a high quality of the natural landscape and a satisfactory water quality must be ensured, the conflicting water uses and demands must be arranged and effective water management practices must be established. To this aim, the hydrology of the catchment is investigated, the geographical, meteorological and water power data are collected and processed, the water balance is studied and a stochastic model is constructed to support the study of alternative management scenarios. In addition, an analysis of the natural landscape is performed and the negative influences (e.g. dead tries) are determined and quantified using GIS. Furthermore, the water quality parameters are evaluated, the water quality state is assessed, the quantitative targets are determined, the pollution sources are identified and measures for the reduction of pollution are studied using a hydrodynamic model with emphasis on the nutrient status. Based on the results of these analyses, scenarios of safe water release are suggested.
Evaluation of Management of the Water Resources of Sterea Hellas - Phase 3
Duration: November 1996–December 2000
Commissioned by: Directorate of Water Supply and Sewage
Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering
Project director: D. Koutsoyiannis
Principal investigator: D. Koutsoyiannis
The main objectives of the research project are the evaluation and management of the water resources, both surface and subsurface, of the Sterea Hellas region, and the systematic study of all parameters related to the rational development and management of the water resources of this region. Another objective of the project, considered as an infrastructure work, is the development of software for the hydrological, hydrogeological and operational simulation of the combined catchments of the study area. The development of the software and, at the same time, the development of methodologies suitable for the Greek conditions will assist in decision-making concerning the water resources management of Sterea Hellas and of other Greek regions. The project also aims at the improving of the cooperation between the National Technical University of Athens and the Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works. This is considered as a necessary condition for the continuous updating of the project results as well as for the rational analysis of the water resource problems of the Sterea Hellas region. The specific themes of Phase 3 are: (a) the completion of the information systems of the previous phases, which concerned hydrological and hydrogeological information, by including two additional levels of information related to the water uses and the water resources development works; (b) the development of methodologies for optimising the hydrosystems operation and the construction of integrated simulation and optimisation models for the two major hydrosystems of the study area (Western and Eastern Sterea Hellas); and (c) the integration of all computer systems (databases, geographical information systems, application models) into a unified system with collaborating components.
Σχέδιο Διαχείρισης Κινδύνων Πλημμύρας των Λεκανών Απορροής Ποταμών του Υδατικού Διαμερίσματος Ανατολικής Πελοποννήσου (GR03)
Commissioned by: Specific Secreteriat of Water
Contractor: ADT-OMEGA
Consultancy Services for Conceptual Design, Preparation of Bidding Documents, Assistance during the Selection of Contractor & Monitoring/Supervision of Construction, Instalation, Operation & Maintainance for Traffic Control (CTC) for Greater Gaborone City
Contractor: Erasmos Consulting Engineering
Σχέδιο Διαχείρισης Κινδύνων Πλημμύρας των Λεκανών Απορροής Ποταμών του Υδατικού Διαμερίσματος Κρήτης (GR13)
Commissioned by: Specific Secreteriat of Water
Contractor: ADT-OMEGA
Παροχή Συμβουλευτικών Υπηρεσιών για την Κατάρτιση του 2ου Σχεδίου Διαχείρισης Λεκάνης Απορροής Ποταμού της Κύπρου για την Εφαρμογή της Οδηγίας 2000/60/ΕΚ και για την Κατάρτιση του Σχεδίου Διαχείρισης Κινδύνων Πλημμύρας για την Εφαρμογή της Οδηγίας 2007/60
Commissioned by: Depatment of Water Development of Cyprus
Contractor: LDK & ECOS
Σχέδιο Διαχείρισης Κινδύνων Πλημμύρας των Λεκανών Απορροής Ποταμών του Υδατικού Διαμερίσματος Δυτικής Πελοποννήσου (GR01)
Commissioned by: Specific Secreteriat of Water
Contractor: ADT-OMEGA
Έργα Ορεινής Υδρονομίας Ρεμάτων Ορεινών Λεκανών Απορροής Αλμωπίας
Σχέδιο Διαχείρισης Κινδύνων Πλημμύρας των Λεκανών Απορροής Ποταμών του Υδατικού Διαμερίσματος Βόρειας Πελοποννήσου (GR02)
Commissioned by: Specific Secreteriat of Water
Contractor: ADT-OMEGA
Pleriminary study of Almopaios dam
Duration: July 2014–July 2014
Commissioned by: Roikos Consulting Engeineers S.A.
Hydrological study of the ski center area of Parnassos
Duration: June 2010–July 2010
Contractor: Lazaridis and Collaborators
Water supply works from Gadouras dam - Phase B
Duration: July 2009–July 2010
Commissioned by: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works
Contractor: Ydroexigiantiki
Specific Technical Study for the Ecological Flow from the Dam of Stratos
Duration: January 2009–June 2009
Commissioned by: Public Power Corporation
Contractor: ECOS Consultants S.A.
Μελέτες Διερεύνησης Προβλημάτων Άρδευσης και Δυνατότητας Κατασκευής Ταμιευτήρων Νομού Βοιωτίας
Duration: January 2006–December 2006
Commissioned by: Ministry of Agricultural Development and Food
Contractor: ETME- Antoniou Peppas and Co.
Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia
Duration: January 2003–December 2005
Commissioned by: TEMES - Tourist Enterprises of Messinia
Contractor: D. Argyropoulos
Hydrological and hydraulic study for the flood protection of the new railway in the region of Sperhios river
Duration: October 2002–January 2003
Budget: €90 000
Commissioned by: ERGA OSE
Contractor: D. Soteropoulos
Collaborators: D. Koutsoyiannis
Engineering consultant for the project "Water supply of Heracleio and Agios Nicolaos from the Aposelemis dam"
Duration: October 2000–December 2002
Budget: €1 782 000
Commissioned by: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works
Contractor: Aposelemis Joint Venture
Preliminary Water Supply Study of the Thermoelectric Livadia Power Plant
Duration: January 2001–December 2001
Contractor: Ypologistiki Michaniki
Complementary study of environmental impacts from the diversion of Acheloos to Thessaly
Duration: December 2000–February 2001
Commissioned by: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works
Contractor: Ydroexigiantiki
Collaborators: D. Koutsoyiannis
E. Dimitriou, A. Efstratiadis, I. Zotou, A. Papadopoulos, T. Iliopoulou, G.-K. Sakki, K. Mazi, E. Rozos, A. Koukouvinos, A. D. Koussis, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Post-analysis of Daniel extreme flood event in Thessaly, Central Greece: Practical lessons and the value of state-of-the-art water monitoring networks, Water, 16 (7), 980, doi:10.3390/w16070980, 2024.
Storm Daniel initiated on 3 September 2023, over the Northeastern Aegean Sea, causing extreme rainfall levels for the following four days, reaching an average of about 360 mm over the Peneus basin, in Thessaly, Central Greece. This event led to extensive floods, with 17 human lives lost and devastating environmental and economic impacts. The automatic water-monitoring network of the HIMIOFoTS National Research Infrastructure captured the evolution of the phenomenon and the relevant hydrometeorological (rainfall, water stage, and discharge) measurements were used to analyse the event’s characteristics. The results indicate that the average rainfall’s return period was up to 150 years, the peak flow close to the river mouth reached approximately 1950 m3/s, and the outflow volume of water to the sea was 1670 hm3. The analysis of the observed hydrographs across Peneus also provided useful lessons from the flood-engineering perspective regarding key modelling assumptions and the role of upstream retentions. Therefore, extending and supporting the operation of the HIMIOFoTS infrastructure is crucial to assist responsible authorities and local communities in reducing potential damages and increasing the socioeconomic resilience to natural disasters, as well as to improve the existing knowledge with respect to extreme flood-simulation approaches.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2451/1/documents/water-16-00980.pdf (9512 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/16/7/980
E. Boucoyiannis, P. Kossieris, V. Bellos, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, A grey-box approach in the optimization of regulation structures used in urban-water conveyance systems, Urban Water Journal, 2312510, doi:10.1080/1573062X.2024.2312510, 2024.
This paper presents a holistic approach to address the challenges associated with deploying laboratory-derived hydraulic models in real operational conditions within Urban Water Systems (UWS). The underlying methods and tools are tested and validated using real-world data from the conveyance system serving the city of Athens, Greece. Initially, a novel data repair mechanism is developed, to rectify inconsistencies in time series. Subsequently, algorithmic techniques are applied to identify the most suitable datasets for calibration purposes. Furthermore, a grey-box procedure is developed to adjust key hydraulic modelling parameters, following a modular calibration procedure and aligning them with the specific characteristics of the UWS under study. The findings of this study provide valuable insights for effectively adapting and implementing laboratory-derived hydraulic models in real-world UWS scenarios, enabling better decision-making and management strategies for complex hydro-systems under challenging operational conditions.
A. Zisos, G.-K. Sakki, and A. Efstratiadis, Mixing renewable energy with pumped hydropower storage: Design optimization under uncertainty and other challenges, Sustainability, 15 (18), 13313, doi:10.3390/su151813313, 2023.
Hybrid renewable energy systems (HRES), complemented by pumped hydropower storage (PHS), have become increasingly popular amidst the increase of renewable energy penetration. This configuration is even more prosperous in remote regions that are typically not connected to the mainland power grid, where the energy independence challenge intensifies. This research focuses on the design of such systems, from the perspective of establishing an optimal mix of renewable sources that takes advantage of their complementarities and synergies, combined with the versatility of PHS. However, this design is subject to substantial complexities, due to the multiple objectives and constraints to fulfill, on the one hand, and the inherent uncertainties as well, that span over all underlying processes, i.e., external, and internal. In this vein, we utilize a proposed HRES layout for the Aegean Island of Sifnos, Greece, to develop and evaluate a comprehensive simulation-optimization scheme in deterministic and, eventually, stochastic setting, revealing the design problem under the umbrella of uncertainty. In particular, we account for three major uncertain elements, namely the wind velocity (natural process), the energy demand (anthropogenic process), and the wind-to-power conversion (internal process, expressed in terms of a probabilistic power curve). Emphasis is also given to the decision-making procedure, which requires a thorough interpretation of the uncertainty-aware optimization outcomes. Finally, since the proposed PHS uses the sea as the lower reservoir, additional technical challenges are addressed.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2307/1/documents/sustainability-15-13313.pdf (4191 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/18/13313
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Ayed, Y., R. Al Afif, P. Fortes, and C. Pfeifer, Optimal design and techno-economic analysis of hybrid renewable energy systems: A case study of Thala city, Tunisia, Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 19(1), 2308843, doi:10.1080/15567249.2024.2308843, 2024. |
A. Roxani, A. Zisos, G.-K. Sakki, and A. Efstratiadis, Multidimensional role of agrovoltaics in era of EU Green Deal: Current status and analysis of water-energy-food-land dependencies, Land, 12 (5), 1069, doi:10.3390/land12051069, 2023.
The European Green Deal has set climate and energy targets for 2030 and the goal of achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, while supporting energy independence and economic growth. Following these goals, and as expected, the transition to “green” renewable energy is growing and will be intensified, in the near future. One of the main pillars of this transition, particularly for Mediterranean countries, is solar photovoltaic (PV) power. However, this is the least land-efficient energy source, while it is also highly competitive in food production, since solar parks are often developed in former agricultural areas, thus resulting in the systematic reduction in arable lands. Therefore, in the context of PV energy planning, the protection and preservation of arable lands should be considered a key issue. The emerging technology of agrovoltaics offers a balanced solution for both agricultural and renewable energy development. The sustainable “symbiosis” of food and energy under common lands also supports the specific objective of the post-2020 Common Agricultural Policy, regarding the mitigation of and adaptation to the changing climate, as well as the highly uncertain socio-economic and geopolitical environment. The purpose of this study is twofold, i.e., (a) to identify the state of play of the technologies and energy efficiency measures of agrovoltaics, and (b) to present a comprehensive analysis of their interactions with the water–energy–food–land nexus. As a proof of concept, we consider the plain of Arta, which is a typical agricultural area of Greece, where we employ a parametric analysis to assess key features of agrovoltaic development with respect to energy vs. food production, as well as water saving, as result of reduced evapotranspiration.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2290/1/documents/land-12-01069.pdf (656 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/5/1069
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Zhong, T., Q. Zuo, J. Ma, Q. Wu, and Z. Zhang, Relationship identification between water-energy resource utilization efficiency and ecological risk in the context of assessment-decoupling two-stage framework—A case study of Henan Province, China, Water, 15(19), 3377, doi:10.3390/w15193377, 2023. |
| 2. | Mohammedi, S., G. Dragonetti, N. Admane, and A. Fouial, The impact of agrivoltaic systems on tomato crop: A case study in Southern Italy, Processes, 11(12), 3370, doi:10.3390/pr11123370, 2023. |
| 3. | Petrakis, T., V. Thomopoulos, A. Kavga, and A. A. Argyriou, An algorithm for calculating the shade created by greenhouse integrated photovoltaics, Energy, Ecology and the Environment, doi:10.1007/s40974-023-00306-4, 2023. |
| 4. | Floroian, L., An innovative and sustainable solution – The agrovoltaic panels, Journal of EcoAgriTourism, 19(2), 44, 2023. |
| 5. | Zhang, X., X. Wang, D. Si, H. Zhang, M. M. Ageli, and G. Mentel, Natural resources, food, energy and water: Structural shocks, food production and clean energy for USA in the view of COP27, Land Degradation & Development, 35(7), 2602-2613, doi:10.1002/ldr.5085, 2024. |
S. Tsattalios, I. Tsoukalas, P. Dimas, P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Advancing surrogate-based optimization of time-expensive environmental problems through adaptive multi-model search, Environmental Modelling and Software, 162, 105639, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105639, 2023.
Complex environmental optimization problems often require computationally expensive simulation models to assess candidate solutions. However, the complexity of response surfaces necessitates multiple such assessments and thus renders the search procedure too laborious. Surrogate-based optimization is a powerful approach for accelerating convergence towards promising solutions. Here we introduce the Adaptive Multi-Surrogate Enhanced Evolutionary Annealing Simplex (AMSEEAS) algorithm, as an extension of SEEAS, which is another well-established surrogate-based global optimization method. AMSEEAS exploits the strengths of multiple surrogate models that are combined via a roulette-type mechanism, for selecting a specific metamodel to be activated in every iteration. AMSEEAS proves its robustness and efficiency via extensive benchmarking against SEEAS and other state-of-the-art surrogate-based global optimization methods in both theoretical mathematical problems and in a computationally demanding real-world hydraulic design application. The latter seeks for cost-effective sizing of levees along a drainage channel to minimize flood inundation, calculated by the time-expensive hydrodynamic model HEC-RAS.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2266/1/documents/AMSEEAS_paper.pdf (14432 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Zhang, D., J. Zhang, and Y. Wang, Game based pigeon-inspired optimization with repository assistance for stochastic optimizations with uncertain infeasible search regions, 2023 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC), 1-8, Chicago, IL, USA, doi:10.1109/CEC53210.2023.10253991, 2023. |
| 2. | Costabile, P., C. Costanzo, J. Kalogiros, and V. Bellos, Toward street‐level nowcasting of flash floods impacts based on HPC hydrodynamic modeling at the watershed scale and high‐resolution weather radar data, Water Resources Research, 59(10), e2023WR034599, doi:10.1029/2023WR034599, 2023. |
| 3. | Zeigler, B. P., Discrete event systems theory for fast stochastic simulation via tree expansion, Systems, 12(3), 80, doi:10.3390/systems12030080, 2024. |
| 4. | Priya, G. V., and S. Ganguly, Multi-swarm surrogate model assisted PSO algorithm to minimize distribution network energy losses, Applied Soft Computing, 111616, doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2024.111616, 2024. |
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Revisiting the management of water–energy systems under the umbrella of resilience optimization, Environmental Sciences Proceedings, 21 (1), 72, doi:10.3390/environsciproc2022021072, 2022.
The optimal management of sociotechnical systems across the water–energy nexus is a critical issue for the overall goal of sustainable development. However, the new challenges induced by global crises and sudden changes require a paradigm shift in order to ensure tolerance against such kinds of disturbance that are beyond their “normal” operational standards. This may be achieved by incorporating the concept of resilience within the procedure for extracting optimal management policies and assessing their performance by means of well-designed stress tests. The proposed approach is investigated by using as proof of concept the complex and highly extended water resource system of Athens, Greece.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2252/1/documents/environsciproc-21-00072.pdf (2203 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4931/21/1/72
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Wang, S., P. Zhong, F. Zhu, B. Xu, C. Xu, L. Yang, and m. Ben, Multi-objective optimization operation of multiple water sources under inflow-water demand forecast dual uncertainties, Journal of Hydrology, 130679, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130679, 2024. |
G.-K. Sakki, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, C. Makropoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Stochastic simulation-optimisation framework for the design and assessment of renewable energy systems under uncertainty, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 168, 112886, doi:10.1016/j.rser.2022.112886, 2022.
As the share of renewable energy resources rapidly increases in the electricity mix, the recognition, representation, quantification, and eventually interpretation of their uncertainties become important. In this vein, we propose a generic stochastic simulation-optimization framework tailored to renewable energy systems (RES), able to address multiple facets of uncertainty, external and internal. These involve the system’s drivers (hydrometeorological inputs) and states (by means of fuel-to-energy conversion model parameters and energy market price), both expressed in probabilistic terms through a novel coupling of the triptych statistics, stochastics and copulas. Since the most widespread sources (wind, solar, hydro) exhibit several common characteristics, we first introduce the formulation of the overall modelling context under uncertainty, and then offer uncertainty quantification tools to put in practice the plethora of simulated outcomes and resulting performance metrics (investment costs, energy production, revenues). The proposed framework is applied to two indicative case studies, namely the design of a small hydropower plant (particularly, the optimal mixing of its hydro-turbines), and the long-term assessment of a planned wind power plant. Both cases reveal that the ignorance or underestimation of uncertainty may hide a significant perception about the actual operation and performance of RES. In contrast, the stochastic simulation-optimization context allows for assessing their technoeconomic effectiveness against a wide range of uncertainties, and as such provides a critical tool for decision making, towards the deployment of sustainable and financially viable RES.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2229/1/documents/stochasticRES.pdf (6011 KB)
See also: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032122007687
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Woon, K. S., Z. X. Phuang, J. Taler, P. S. Varbanov, C. T. Chong, J. J. Klemeš, and C. T. Lee, Recent advances in urban green energy development towards carbon neutrality, Energy, 126502, doi:10.1016/j.energy.2022.126502, 2022. |
| 2. | Angelakis, A., Reframing the high-technology landscape in Greece: Empirical evidence and policy aspects, International Journal of Business & Economic Sciences Applied Research, 15(2), 58-70, doi:10.25103/ijbesar.152.06, 2022. |
| 3. | Kim, J., M. Qi, J. Park, and I. Moon, Revealing the impact of renewable uncertainty on grid-assisted power-to-X: A data-driven reliability-based design optimization approach, Applied Energy, 339, 121015, doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121015, 2023. |
| 4. | Yin, S., L. Chen, and H. Qin, Reduced space optimization-based evidence theory method for response analysis of space-coiled acoustic metamaterials with epistemic uncertainty, Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2023, 9937158, doi:10.1155/2023/9937158, 2023. |
| 5. | Qu, K., H. Zhang, X. Zhou, F. Causone, X. Huang, X. Shen, and X. Zhu, Optimal design of building integrated energy systems by combining two-phase optimization and a data-driven model, Energy and Buildings, 295, 113304, doi:10.1016/j.enbuild.2023.113304, 2023. |
| 6. | Wang, Z., W. Zhang, H. Fan, C. Zhang, Y. Zhao, and Z. Huang, An uncertainty-tolerant robust distributed control strategy for building cooling water systems considering measurement uncertainties, Journal of Building Engineering, 76, 107162, doi:10.1016/j.jobe.2023.107162, 2023. |
| 7. | Caputo, A. C., A. Federici, P. M. Pelagagge, and P. Salini, Offshore wind power system economic evaluation framework under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty, Applied Energy, 350, 121585, doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121585, 2023. |
| 8. | Liu, J., Y. Li, Y. Ma, R. Qin, X. Meng, and J. Wu, Two-layer multiple scenario optimization framework for integrated energy system based on optimal energy contribution ratio strategy, Energy, 285, 128673, doi:10.1016/j.energy.2023.128673, 2023. |
| 9. | Wang, Q., and L. Zhao, Data-driven stochastic robust optimization of sustainable utility system, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 188, 113841, doi:10.1016/j.rser.2023.113841, 2023. |
| 10. | Ahmed, S., T. Li, P. Yi, and R. Chen, Environmental impact assessment of green ammonia-powered very large tanker ship for decarbonized future shipping operations, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 188, 113774, doi:10.1016/j.rser.2023.113774, 2023. |
| 11. | Maitra, S., V. Mishra, and S. Kundu, A novel approach with Monte-Carlo simulation and hybrid optimization approach for inventory management with stochastic demand, arXiv e-prints, 2023. |
| 12. | Al Hasibi, R. A., and A. Haris, An analysis of the implementation of a hybrid renewable-energy system in a building by considering the reduction in electricity price subsidies and the reliability of the grid, Clean Energy, 7(5), 1125-1135, doi:10.1093/ce/zkad053, 2023. |
| 13. | Caputo, A. C., A. Federici, P. M. Pelagagge, and P. Salini, Scenario analysis of offshore wind-power systems under uncertainty, Sustainability, 15(24), 16912, doi:10.3390/su152416912, 2023. |
| 14. | Li, Y., F. Wu, X. Song, L. Shi, K. Lin, and F. Hong, Data-driven chance-constrained schedule optimization of cascaded hydropower and photovoltaic complementary generation systems for shaving peak loads, Sustainability, 15(24), 16916, doi:10.3390/su152416916, 2023. |
| 15. | Kim, S., Y. Choi, J. Park, D. Adams, S. Heo, and J. H. Lee, Multi-period, multi-timescale stochastic optimization model for simultaneous capacity investment and energy management decisions for hybrid Micro-Grids with green hydrogen production under uncertainty, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 190(A), 114049, doi:10.1016/j.rser.2023.114049, 2024. |
| 16. | García-Merino, J. C., C. Calvo-Jurado, and E. García-Macías, Sparse polynomial chaos expansion for universal stochastic kriging, Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 444, 115794, doi:10.1016/j.cam.2024.115794, 2024. |
| 17. | Hasanien, H. M., I. Alsaleh, Z. Ullah, and A. Alassaf, Probabilistic optimal power flow in power systems with renewable energy integration using enhanced walrus optimization algorithm, Ain Shams Engineering Journal, 15(3), 102663, doi:10.1016/j.asej.2024.102663, 2024. |
| 18. | Gómez-Beas, R., E. Contreras, M. J. Polo, and C. Aguilar, Stochastic flow analysis for optimization of the operationality in run-of-river hydroelectric plants in mountain areas, Energies, 17(7), 1705, doi:10.3390/en17071705, 2024. |
| 19. | Chang, K.-H., and T.-L. Chen, Simulation learning and optimization: Methodology and applications, Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research, doi:10.1142/S0217595924400086, 2024. |
| 20. | Leng, R., Z. Li, and Y. Xu, Joint planning of utility-owned distributed energy resources in an unbalanced active distribution network considering asset health degradation, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, doi:10.1109/TSG.2024.3365974, 2024. |
R. Ioannidis, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Reversing visibility analysis: Towards an accelerated a priori assessment of landscape impacts of renewable energy projects, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 161, 112389, doi:10.1016/j.rser.2022.112389, 2022.
Impacts to landscapes have been identified as major drivers of social opposition against renewable energy projects. We investigate how the process of mitigating landscape impacts can be improved and accelerated, through a re-conceptualization of visibility analysis. In their conventional format, visibility analyses cannot be implemented in early planning phases as they require the finalized locations of projects as input. Thus, visual impacts to landscapes cannot be assessed until late in development, when licensing procedures have already begun and projects' locations have already been finalized. In order to overcome this issue and facilitate the earlier identification of impactful projects we investigate the reversal of visibility analyses. By shifting the focus of the analyses from the infrastructure that generates visual impacts to the areas that have to be protected from these impacts, visibility analyses no longer require projects' locations as input. This methodological shift is initially investigated theoretically and then practically, in the region of Thessaly, Greece, computing Reverse - Zones of Theoretical Visibility (R-ZTVs) for important landscape elements of the region, in order to then project visual impacts to them by planned wind energy projects. It was demonstrated that reversing visibility analyses (a) enables the creation of R-ZTV-type maps that facilitate the anticipation of landscape impacts of projects from earlier planning stages and (b) discards the requirement for individual visibility analyses for each new project, thus accelerating project development. Furthermore, R-ZTV maps can be utilized in participatory planning processes or be used independently by projects' investors and by stakeholders in landscape protection.
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Duarte, R., Á. García-Riazuelo, L. A. Sáez, and C. Sarasa, Analysing citizens’ perceptions of renewable energies in rural areas: A case study on wind farms in Spain, Energy Reports, 8, 12822-12831, doi:10.1016/j.egyr.2022.09.173, 2022. |
| 2. | Ko, I., Rural opposition to landscape change from solar energy: Explaining the diffusion of setback restrictions on solar farms across South Korean counties, Energy Research & Social Science, 99, 103073, doi:10.1016/j.erss.2023.103073, 2023. |
| 3. | Mikita, T., L. Janošíková, J. Caha, and E. Avoiani, The potential of UAV data as refinement of outdated inputs for visibility analyses, Remote Sensing, 15(4), 1028, doi:10.3390/rs15041028, 2023. |
| 4. | Rodríguez-Segura, F. J., and M. Frolova, How does society assess the impact of renewable energy in rural inland areas? Comparative analysis between the province of Jaén (Spain) and Somogy county (Hungary), Investigaciones Geográficas, 80, 193-214, doi:10.14198/INGEO.24444, 2023. |
| 5. | Beer, M., R. Rybár, and L. Gabániová, Visual impact of renewable energy infrastructure: implications for deployment and public perception, Processes, 11(8), 2252, doi:10.3390/pr11082252, 2023. |
| 6. | García-Ayllón, S., and G. Martínez, Analysis of correlation between anthropization phenomena and landscape values of the territory: A GIS framework based on spatial statistics, ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 12(8), 323, doi:10.3390/ijgi12080323, 2023. |
| 7. | Sas-Bojarska, A., I. Orzechowska-Szajda, K. Puzdrakiewicz, and M. Kiejzik-Głowińska, Landscape, EIA and decision-making. A case study of the Vistula Spit Canal, Poland, Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal, doi:10.1080/14615517.2023.2273612, 2024. |
| 8. | Alphan, H., Incorporating visibility information into multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) for wind turbine deployment, Applied Energy, 353(B), 122164, doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122164, 2024. |
| 9. | Song, R., X. Gao, H. Nan, S. Zeng, and V. W. Y. Tam, Ecological restoration for mega-infrastructure projects: a study based on multi-source heterogeneous data, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, doi:10.1108/ECAM-12-2022-1197, 2023. |
| 10. | Abdul, D., J. Wenqi, A. Tanveer, and M. Sameeroddin, Comprehensive analysis of renewable energy technologies adoption in remote areas using the integrated Delphi-Fuzzy AHP-VIKOR approach, Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering, doi:10.1007/s13369-023-08334-2, 2023. |
| 11. | Codemo, A., M. Ghislanzoni, M.-J. Prados, and R. Albatici, Landscape-based spatial energy planning: minimization of renewables footprint in the energy transition, Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, doi:10.1080/09640568.2023.2287978, 2023. |
| 12. | Xiao, T. J. Deng, C. Wen, and Q. Gu, Parallel algorithm for multi-viewpoint viewshed analysis on the GPU grounded in target cluster segmentation, International Journal of Digital Earth, 17(1), doi:10.1080/17538947.2024.2308707, 2024. |
A. Efstratiadis, P. Dimas, G. Pouliasis, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, V. Bellos, G.-K. Sakki, C. Makropoulos, and S. Michas, Revisiting flood hazard assessment practices under a hybrid stochastic simulation framework, Water, 14 (3), 457, doi:10.3390/w14030457, 2022.
We propose a novel probabilistic approach to flood hazard assessment, aiming to address the major shortcomings of everyday deterministic engineering practices in a computationally efficient manner. In this context, the principal sources of uncertainty are defined across the overall modelling procedure, namely, the statistical uncertainty of inferring annual rainfall maxima through distribution models that are fitted to empirical data, and the inherently stochastic nature of the underlying hydrometeorological and hydrodynamic processes. Our work focuses on three key facets, i.e., the temporal profile of storm events, the dependence of flood generation mechanisms to antecedent soil moisture conditions, and the dependence of runoff propagation over the terrain and the stream network on the intensity of the flood event. These are addressed through the implementation of a series of cascade modules, based on publicly available and open-source software. Moreover, the hydrodynamic processes are simulated by a hybrid 1D/2D modelling approach, which offers a good compromise between computational efficiency and accuracy. The proposed framework enables the estimation of the uncertainty of all flood-related quantities, by means of empirically-derived quantiles for given return periods. Finally, a set of easily applicable flood hazard metrics are introduced for the quantification of flood hazard.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2170/1/documents/water-14-00457.pdf (6083 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/3/457
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Tegos, A., A. Ziogas, V. Bellos, and A. Tzimas, Forensic hydrology: a complete reconstruction of an extreme flood event in data-scarce area, Hydrology, 9(5), 93, doi:10.3390/hydrology9050093, 2022. |
| 2. | Afzal, M. A., S. Ali, A. Nazeer, M. I. Khan, M. M. Waqas, R. A. Aslam, M. J. M. Cheema, M. Nadeem, N. Saddique, M. Muzammil, and A. N. Shah, Flood inundation modeling by integrating HEC–RAS and satellite imagery: A case study of the Indus river basin, Water, 14(19), 2984, doi:10.3390/w14192984, 2022. |
| 3. | Vangelis, H., I. Zotou, I. M. Kourtis, V. Bellos, and V. A. Tsihrintzis, Relationship of rainfall and flood return periods through hydrologic and hydraulic modeling, Water, 14(22), 3618, doi:10.3390/w14223618, 2022. |
| 4. | Maranzoni, A., M. D’Oria, and C. Rizzo, Quantitative flood hazard assessment methods: A review, Journal of Flood Risk Management, 16(1), e12855, doi:10.1111/jfr3.12855, 2022. |
| 5. | Szeląg, B., P. Kowal, A. Kiczko, A. Białek, D. Majerek, P. Siwicki, F. Fatone, and G. Boczkaj, Integrated model for the fast assessment of flood volume: Modelling – management, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, Journal of Hydrology, 625(A), 129967, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129967, 2023. |
| 6. | Rozos, E., V. Bellos, J. Kalogiros, and K. Mazi, efficient flood early warning system for data-scarce, karstic, mountainous environments: A case study, Hydrology, 10(10), 203, doi:10.3390/hydrology10100203, 2023. |
| 7. | Szeląg, B., D. Majerek, A. L. Eusebi, A. Kiczko, F. de Paola, A. McGarity, G. Wałek, and F. Fatone, Tool for fast assessment of stormwater flood volumes for urban catchment: A machine learning approach, Journal of Environmental Management, 355, 120214, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120214, 2024. |
K.-K. Drakaki, G.-K. Sakki, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, and A. Efstratiadis, Day-ahead energy production in small hydropower plants: uncertainty-aware forecasts through effective coupling of knowledge and data, Advances in Geosciences, 56, 155–162, doi:10.5194/adgeo-56-155-2022, 2022.
Motivated by the challenges induced by the so-called Target Model and the associated changes to the current structure of the energy market, we revisit the problem of day-ahead prediction of power production from Small Hydropower Plants (SHPPs) without storage capacity. Using as an example a typical run-of-river SHPP in Western Greece, we test alternative forecasting schemes (from regression-based to machine learning) that take advantage of different levels of information. In this respect, we investigate whether it is preferable to use as predictor the known energy production of previous days, or to predict the day-ahead inflows and next estimate the resulting energy production via simulation. Our analyses indicate that the second approach becomes clearly more advantageous when the expert’s knowledge about the hydrological regime and the technical characteristics of the SHPP is incorporated within the model training procedure. Beyond these, we also focus on the predictive uncertainty that characterize such forecasts, with overarching objective to move beyond the standard, yet risky, point forecasting methods, providing a single expected value of power production. Finally, we discuss the use of the proposed forecasting procedure under uncertainty in the real-world electricity market.
Remarks:
The simulation and forecasting models have been developed in the R environment and they are available at: https://github.com/corinadrakaki/Day-ahead-energy-production-in-small-hydropower-plants
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2165/1/documents/adgeo-56-155-2022.pdf (217 KB)
See also: https://adgeo.copernicus.org/articles/56/155/2022/
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Krechowicz, A., M. Krechowicz, and K. Poczeta, Machine learning approaches to predict electricity production from renewable energy sources, Energies, 15(23), 9146, doi:10.3390/en15239146, 2022. |
| 2. | Ghobadi, F., and D. Kang, Application of machine learning in water resources management: A systematic literature review, Water, 15(4), 620, doi:10.3390/w15040620, 2023. |
| 3. | Chen, B., Y. Long, H. Wei, B. Li, Y. Zhang, W. Deng, and C. Li, A weak-coupling flow-power forecasting method for small hydropower station group, International Journal of Energy Research, 2023, 1214269, doi:10.1155/2023/1214269, 2023. |
| 4. | Karakuş, M. O., Impact of climatic factors on the prediction of hydroelectric power generation: A deep CNN-SVR approach, Geocarto International, 38(1), doi:10.1080/10106049.2023.2253203, 2023. |
| 5. | #Chauhan, R., N. Batra, S. Goyal, and A. Kaur, Optimizing water resources with IoT and ML: A water management system, Innovations in Machine Learning and IoT for Water Management, A. Kumar, A. Lal Srivastav, A. Kumar Dubey, V. Dutt, N. Vyas (editors), Chapter 4, 94-109, doi:10.4018/979-8-3693-1194-3.ch005, 2024. |
| 6. | Sahin, M. E., and M. Ozbay Karakus, Smart hydropower management: utilizing machine learning and deep learning method to enhance dam’s energy generation efficiency, Neural Computing & Applications, doi:10.1007/s00521-024-09613-1, 2024. |
G.-K. Sakki, I. Tsoukalas, and A. Efstratiadis, A reverse engineering approach across small hydropower plants: a hidden treasure of hydrological data?, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 67 (1), 94–106, doi:10.1080/02626667.2021.2000992, 2022.
The limited availability of hydrometric data makes the design, management, and real-time operation of water systems a difficult task. Here, we propose a generic stochastic framework for the so-called inverse problem of hydroelectricity, using energy production data from small hydropower plants (SHPPs) to retrieve the upstream inflows. In this context, we investigate the alternative configurations of water-energy transformations across SHPPs of negligible storage capacity, which are subject to multiple uncertainties. We focus on two key sources, i.e. observational errors in energy production and uncertain efficiency curves of turbines. In order to extract the full hydrograph, we also extrapolate the high and low flows outside of the range of operation of turbines, by employing empirical rules for representing the rising and falling limbs of the simulated hydrographs. This framework is demonstrated to a real-world system at Evinos river basin, Greece. By taking advantage of the proposed methodology, SHPPs may act as potential hydrometric stations and improve the existing information in poorly gauged areas.
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Garrett, K. P., R. A. McManamay, and A. Witt, Harnessing the power of environmental flows: Sustaining river ecosystem integrity while increasing energy potential at hydropower dams, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 173(1), 113049, doi:10.1016/j.rser.2022.113049, 2023. |
P. Kossieris, I. Tsoukalas, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Generic framework for downscaling statistical quantities at fine time-scales and its perspectives towards cost-effective enrichment of water demand records, Water, 13 (23), 3429, doi:10.3390/w13233429, 2021.
The challenging task of generating synthetic time series at finer temporal scales than the observed data, embeds the reconstruction of a number of essential statistical quantities at the desirable (i.e., lower) scale of interest. This paper introduces a parsimonious and general framework for the downscaling of statistical quantities, based solely on available information at coarser time scales. The methodology is based on three key elements: a) the analysis of statistics’ behaviour across multiple temporal scales; b) the use of parametric functions to model this behaviour; and c) the exploitation of extrapolation capabilities of the functions to downscale the associated statistical quantities at finer scales. Herein, we demonstrate the methodology using residential water demand records, and focus on the downscaling of the following key quantities: variance, L-variation, L-skewness and probability of zero value (no demand; intermittency), which are typically used to parameterise a stochastic simulation model. Specifically, we downscale the above statistics down to 1 min scale, assuming two scenarios of initial data resolution, i.e., 5 and 10 min. The evaluation of the methodology on several cases indicates that the four statistics can be well reconstructed. Going one step further, we place the downscaling methodology in a more integrated modelling framework for a cost-effective enhancement of fine-resolution records with synthetic ones, embracing the current limited availability of fine-resolution water demand measurements.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2164/1/documents/water-13-03429.pdf (2042 KB)
N. Mamassis, K. Mazi, E. Dimitriou, D. Kalogeras, N. Malamos, S. Lykoudis, A. Koukouvinos, I. L. Tsirogiannis, I. Papageorgaki, A. Papadopoulos, Y. Panagopoulos, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, G. Vitantzakis, N. Kappos, D. Katsanos, B. Psiloglou, E. Rozos, T. Kopania, I. Koletsis, and A. D. Koussis, OpenHi.net: A synergistically built, national-scale infrastructure for monitoring the surface waters of Greece, Water, 13 (19), 2779, doi:10.3390/w13192779, 2021.
The large-scale surface-water monitoring infrastructure for Greece Open Hydrosystem Information Network (Openhi.net) is presented in this paper. Openhi.net provides free access to water data, incorporating existing networks that manage their own databases. In its pilot phase, Openhi.net operates three telemetric networks for monitoring the quantity and the quality of surface waters, as well as meteorological and soil variables. Aspiring members must also offer their data for public access. A web-platform was developed for on-line visualization, processing and managing telemetric data. A notification system was also designed and implemented for inspecting the current values of variables. The platform is built upon the web 2.0 technology that exploits the ever-increasing capabilities of browsers to handle dynamic data as a time series. A GIS component offers web-services relevant to geo-information for water bodies. Accessing, querying and downloading geographical data for watercourses (segment length, slope, name, stream order) and for water basins (area, mean elevation, mean slope, basin order, slope, mean CN-curve number) are provided by Web Map Services and Web Feature Services. A new method for estimating the streamflow from measurements of the surface velocity has been advanced as well to reduce hardware expenditures, a low-cost ‘prototype’ hydro-telemetry system (at about half the cost of a comparable commercial system) was designed, constructed and installed at six monitoring stations of Openhi.net.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2147/1/documents/water-13-02779-v2.pdf (3567 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/19/2779
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Spyrou, C., M. Loupis, N. Charizopoulos, P. Arvanitis, A. Mentzafou, E. Dimitriou, S. E. Debele, J. Sahani, and P. Kumar, Evaluating nature-based solution for flood reduction in Spercheios river basin Part 2: Early experimental evidence, Sustainability, 14(6), 10345, doi:10.3390/su141610345, 2022. |
| 2. | #Chrysanthopoulos, E., C. Pouliaris, I. Tsiroggianis, K. Markantonis, P. Kofakis, and A. Kallioras, Evaluating the efficiency of numerical and data driven modeling in forecasting soil water content, Proceedings of the 3rd IAHR Young Professionals Congress, 64-65, 2022. |
| 3. | #Samih, I., and D. Loudyi, Short-term urban water demand forecasting using Theta Models in Casablanca city, Morocco, Proceedings of the 3rd IAHR Young Professionals Congress, International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research, 2022. |
| 4. | Mazi, K., A. D. Koussis, S. Lykoudis, B. E. Psiloglou, G. Vitantzakis, N. Kappos, D. Katsanos, E. Rozos, I. Koletsis, and T. Kopania, Establishing and operating (pilot phase) a telemetric streamflow monitoring network in Greece, Hydrology, 10(1), 19, doi:10.3390/hydrology10010019, 2023. |
| 5. | Koltsida, E., N. Mamassis, and A. Kallioras, Hydrological modeling using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool in urban and peri-urban environments: the case of Kifisos experimental subbasin (Athens, Greece), Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27, 917-931, doi:10.5194/hess-27-917-2023, 2023. |
| 6. | Tsirogiannis, I. L., N. Malamos, and P. Baltzoi, Application of a generic participatory decision support system for irrigation management for the case of a wine grapevine at Epirus, Northwest Greece, Horticulturae, 9(2), 267, doi:10.3390/horticulturae9020267, 2023. |
| 7. | Yeşilköy, S., Ö. Baydaroğlu, N. Singh, Y. Sermet, and I. Demir, A contemporary systematic review of cyberinfrastructure systems and applications for flood and drought data analytics and communication, EarthArXiv, doi:10.31223/X5937W, 2023. |
| 8. | Fotia, K., and I. Tsirogiannis, Water footprint score: A practical method for wider communication and assessment of water footprint performance, Environmental Sciences Proceedings, 25(1), 71, doi:10.3390/ECWS-7-14311, 2023. |
| 9. | Bloutsos, A. A., V. I. Syngouna, I. D. Manariotis, and P. C. Yannopoulos, Seasonal and long-term water quality of Alfeios River Basin in Greece, Water, Air and Soil Pollution, 235, 215, doi:10.1007/s11270-024-06981-1, 2024. |
G.-F. Sargentis, P. Siamparina, G.-K. Sakki, A. Efstratiadis, M. Chiotinis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Agricultural land or photovoltaic parks? The water–energy–food nexus and land development perspectives in the Thessaly plain, Greece, Sustainability, 13 (16), 8935, doi:10.3390/su13168935, 2021.
Water, energy, land, and food are vital elements with multiple interactions. In this context, the concept of a water–energy–food (WEF) nexus was manifested as a natural resource management approach, aiming at promoting sustainable development at the international, national, or local level and eliminating the negative effects that result from the use of each of the four resources against the other three. At the same time, the transition to green energy through the application of renewable energy technologies is changing and perplexing the relationships between the constituent elements of the nexus, introducing new conflicts, particularly related to land use for energy production vs. food. Specifically, one of the most widespread “green” technologies is photovoltaic (PV) solar energy, now being the third foremost renewable energy source in terms of global installed capacity. However, the growing development of PV systems results in ever expanding occupation of agricultural lands, which are most advantageous for siting PV parks. Using as study area the Thessaly Plain, the largest agricultural area in Greece, we investigate the relationship between photovoltaic power plant development and food production in an attempt to reveal both their conflicts and their synergies.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2136/1/documents/sustainability-13-08935.pdf (2709 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/8935
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Abouaiana, A., and A. Battisti, Multifunction land use to promote energy communities in Mediterranean region: Cases of Egypt and Italy, Land, 11(5), 673, doi:10.3390/land11050673, 2022. |
| 2. | Reasoner, M., and A. Ghosh, Agrivoltaic engineering and layout optimization approaches in the transition to renewable energy technologies: a review, Challenges, 13(2), 43, doi:10.3390/challe13020043, 2022. |
| 3. | Bhambare, P. S., and S. C. Vishweshwara, Design aspects of a fixed focus type Scheffler concentrator and its receiver for its utilization in thermal processing units, Energy Nexus, 7, 100103, doi:10.1016/j.nexus.2022.100103, 2022. |
| 4. | Padilla, J., C. Toledo, and J. Abad, Enovoltaics: Symbiotic integration of photovoltaics in vineyards, Frontiers in Energy Research, 10, 1007383, doi:10.3389/fenrg.2022.1007383, 2022. |
| 5. | Garcia, J. A., and A. Alamanos, Integrated modelling approaches for sustainable agri-economic growth and environmental improvement: Examples from Greece, Canada and Ireland, Land, 11(9), 1548, doi:10.3390/land11091548, 2022. |
| 6. | Dias, I. Y. P., L. L. B. Lazaro, and V. G. Barros, Water–energy–food security nexus—estimating future water demand scenarios based on nexus thinking: The watershed as a territory, Sustainability, 15(9), 7050, doi:10.3390/su15097050, 2023. |
| 7. | Goldberg, G. A., Solar energy development on farmland: Three prevalent perspectives of conflict, synergy and compromise in the United States, Energy Research & Social Science, 101, 103145, doi:10.1016/j.erss.2023.103145, 2023. |
| 8. | Lucca, E., J. El Jeitany, G. Castelli, T. Pacetti, E. Bresci, F. Nardi, and E. Caporali, A review of water-energy-food-ecosystems nexus research in the Mediterranean: Evolution, gaps and applications, Environmental Research Letters, 18, 083001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ace375, 2023. |
| 9. | Zavahir, S., T. Elmakki, M. Gulied, H. K. Shon, H. Park, K. K. Kakosimos, and D. S. Han, Integrated photoelectrochemical (PEC)-forward osmosis (FO) system for hydrogen production and fertigation application, Journal of Environmental Chemical Engineering, 11(5), 110525, doi:10.1016/j.jece.2023.110525, 2023. |
| 10. | Karasmanaki, E., S. Galatsidas, K. Ioannou, and G. Tsantopoulos, Investigating willingness to invest in renewable energy to achieve energy targets and lower carbon emissions, Atmosphere, 14(10), 1471, doi:10.3390/atmos14101471, 2023. |
| 11. | Zhou, Z., H. Liao, H. Li, X. Gu, and M. M. Ageli, The trilemma of food production, clean energy, and water: COP27 perspective of global economy, Land Degradation and Development, doi:10.1002/ldr.4996, 2024. |
G. Papaioannou, L. Vasiliades, A. Loukas, A. Alamanos, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, I. Tsoukalas, and P. Kossieris, A flood inundation modelling approach for urban and rural areas in lake and large-scale river basins, Water, 13 (9), 1264, doi:10.3390/w13091264, 2021.
Fluvial floods are one of the primary natural hazards to our society, and the associated flood risk should always be evaluated for present and future conditions. The European Union’s Floods Directive highlights the importance of flood mapping as a key-stage for detecting vulnerable areas, assessing floods’ impacts, and identifying damages and compensation plans. The implementation of the E.U. Flood Directive in Greece is challenging, because of its geophysical and climatic variability and diverse hydrologic and hydraulic conditions. This study addresses this challenge by modelling of design rainfall at sub-watershed level and subsequent estimation of flood design hydrographs using the NRCS Unit Hydrograph Procedure. HEC-RAS 2D model is used for flood routing, estimation of flood attributes (i.e., water depths and flow velocities) and mapping of inundated areas. The modelling approach has been applied at two complex and ungauged representative basins: Lake Pamvotida basin located in the Epirus Region of the wet western Greece and Pinios River basin located in Thessaly Region of the drier central Greece, a basin with a complex dendritic hydrographic system, expanding to more than 1188 river-km. The proposed modelling approach aims to better estimation and mapping of flood inundation areas including relative uncertainties and providing guidance to professionals and academics.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2121/1/documents/water-13-01264-v2.pdf (45029 KB)
See also: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/9/1264
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Varlas, G., A. Papadopoulos, G. Papaioannou, and E. Dimitriou, Evaluating the forecast skill of a hydrometeorological modelling system in Greece, Atmosphere, 12(7), 902, doi:10.3390/atmos12070902, 2021. |
| 2. | Karamvasis, K., and V. Karathanassi, FLOMPY: An open-source toolbox for floodwater mapping using Sentinel-1 intensity time series, Water, 13(21), 2943, doi:10.3390/w13212943, 2021. |
| 3. | Alamanos, A., P. Koundouri, L. Papadaki, and T. Pliakou, A system innovation approach for science-stakeholder interface: theory and application to water-land-food-energy nexus, Frontiers in Water, 3, 744773, doi:10.3389/frwa.2021.744773, 2022. |
| 4. | Papaioannou, G., V. Markogianni, A. Loukas, and E. Dimitriou, Remote sensing methodology for roughness estimation in ungauged streams for different hydraulic/hydrodynamic modeling approaches, Water, 14(7), 1076, doi:10.3390/w14071076, 2022. |
| 5. | Borowska-Stefańska, M., L. Balážovičová, K. Goniewicz, M. Kowalski, P. Kurzyk, M. Masný, S. Wiśniewski, M. Žoncová, and A. Khorram-Manesh, Emergency management of self-evacuation from flood hazard areas in Poland, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 107, 103307, doi:10.1016/j.trd.2022.103307, 2022. |
| 6. | #Alamanos, A., and P. Koundouri, Emerging challenges and the future of water resources management, DEOS Working Papers, 2221, Athens University of Economics and Business, 2022. |
| 7. | Ciurte, D. L., A. Mihu-Pintilie, A. Urzică, and A. Grozavu, Integrating LIDAR data, 2d HEC-RAS modeling and remote sensing to develop flood hazard maps downstream of a large reservoir in the inner Eastern Carpathians, Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, 18(1), 149-169, doi:10.26471/cjees/2023/018/248, 2023. |
| 8. | Vasiliades, L., G. Papaioannou, and A. Loukas, A unified hydrologic framework for flood design estimation in ungauged basins, Environmental Sciences Proceedings, 25(1), 40, doi:10.3390/ECWS-7-14194, 2023. |
| 9. | Iliadis, C., P. Galiatsatou, V. Glenis, P. Prinos, and C. Kilsby, Urban flood modelling under extreme rainfall conditions for building-level flood exposure analysis, Hydrology, 10(8), 172, doi:10.3390/hydrology10080172, 2023. |
| 10. | Iliadis, C., V. Glenis, and C. Kilsby, Cloud modelling of property-level flood exposure in megacities, Water, 15(19), 3395, doi:10.3390/w15193395, 2023. |
| 11. | Alamanos, A., G. Papaioannou, G. Varlas, V. Markogianni, A. Papadopoulos, and E. Dimitriou, Representation of a post-fire flash-flood event combining meteorological simulations, remote sensing, and hydraulic modeling, Land, 13(1), 47, doi:10.3390/land13010047, 2024. |
| 12. | Semiem A. G., G. T. Diro, T. Demissie, Y. M. Yigezu, and B. Hailu, Towards improved flash flood forecasting over Dire Dawa, Ethiopia using WRF-Hydro, Water, 15(18), 3262, doi:10.3390/w15183262, 2023. |
| 13. | #Alamanos, A., and P. Kountouri, Integrated and sustainable water resources management: Modeling, Elgar Encyclopedia of Water Policy, Economics and Management, edited by P. Kountouri and A. Alamanos, Chapter 32, 137-141, Edward Elgar Publishing, doi:10.4337/9781802202946.00039, 2024. |
| 14. | #Alamanos, A., and P. Kountouri, Future challenges of water resources management, Elgar Encyclopedia of Water Policy, Economics and Management, edited by P. Kountouri and A. Alamanos, Chapter 21, 87-93, Edward Elgar Publishing, doi:10.4337/9781802202946.00028, 2024. |
| 15. | Varlas, G., A. Papadopoulos, G. Papaioannou, V. Markogianni, A. Alamanos, and E. Dimitriou, Integrating ensemble weather predictions in a hydrologic-hydraulic modelling system for fine-resolution flood forecasting: The Case of Skala bridge at Evrotas River, Greece, Atmosphere, 15(1), 120, doi:10.3390/atmos15010120, 2024. |
A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Generalized storage-reliability-yield framework for hydroelectric reservoirs, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 66 (4), 580–599, doi:10.1080/02626667.2021.1886299, 2021.
Although storage-reliability-yield (SRY) relationships have been widely used in the design and planning of water supply reservoirs, their application in hydroelectricity is practically nil. Here, we revisit the SRY analysis and seek its generic configuration for hydroelectric reservoirs, following a stochastic simulation approach. After defining key concepts and tools of conventional SRY studies, we adapt them for hydropower systems, which are subject to several peculiarities. We illustrate that under some reasonable assumptions, the problem can be substantially simplified. Major innovations are the storage-head-energy conversion via the use of a sole parameter, representing the reservoir geometry, and the development of an empirical statistical metric expressing the reservoir performance on the basis of the simulated energy-probability curve. The proposed framework is applied to numerous hypothetical reservoirs at three river sites in Greece, using monthly synthetic inflow data, to provide empirical expressions of reliable energy as a function of reservoir storage and geometry.
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Spanoudaki, K., P. Dimitriadis, E. A. Varouchakis, and G. A. C. Perez, Estimation of hydropower potential using Bayesian and stochastic approaches for streamflow simulation and accounting for the intermediate storage retention, Energies, 15(4), 1413, doi:10.3390/en15041413, 2022. |
| 2. | Levitin, G., L. Xing, and Y. Dai, Unrepairable system with single production unit and n failure-prone identical parallel storage units, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 222, 108437, doi:10.1016/j.ress.2022.108437, 2022. |
| 3. | Levitin, G., L. Xing, and Y. Dai, Minimizing mission cost for production system with unreliable storage, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 227, 108724, doi:10.1016/j.ress.2022.108724, 2022. |
| 4. | Levitin, G., L. Xing, and Y. Dai, Optimizing the maximum filling level of perfect storage in system with imperfect production unit, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 225, 108629, doi:10.1016/j.ress.2022.108629, 2022. |
| 5. | Levitin, G., L. Xing, and Y. Dai, Unrepairable system with consecutively used imperfect storage units, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 225, 108574, doi:10.1016/j.ress.2022.108574, 2022. |
| 6. | Ren, P., M. Stewardson, and M. Peel, A simple analytical method to assess multiple-priority water rights in carryover systems, Water Resources Research, 58(12), e2022WR032530, doi:10.1029/2022WR032530, 2022. |
I. Tsoukalas, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Building a puzzle to solve a riddle: A multi-scale disaggregation approach for multivariate stochastic processes with any marginal distribution and correlation structure, Journal of Hydrology, 575, 354–380, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.05.017, 2019.
The generation of hydrometeorological time series that exhibit a given probabilistic and stochastic behavior across multiple temporal levels, traditionally expressed in terms of specific statistical characteristics of the observed data, is a crucial task for risk-based water resources studies, and simultaneously a puzzle for the community of stochastics. The main challenge stems from the fact that the reproduction of a specific behavior at a certain temporal level does not imply the reproduction of the desirable behavior at any other level of aggregation. In this respect, we first introduce a pairwise coupling of Nataf-based stochastic models within a disaggregation scheme, and next we propose their puzzle-type configuration to provide a generic stochastic simulation framework for multivariate processes exhibiting any distribution and any correlation structure. Within case studies we demonstrate two characteristic configurations, i.e., a three-level one, operating at daily, monthly and annual basis, and a two-level one to disaggregate daily to hourly data. The first configuration is applied to generate correlated daily rainfall and runoff data at the river basin of Achelous, Western Greece, which preserves the stochastic behavior of the two processes at the three temporal levels. The second configuration disaggregates daily rainfall, obtained from a meteorological station at Germany, to hourly. The two studies reveal the ability of the proposed framework to represent the peculiar behavior of hydrometeorological processes at multiple temporal resolutions, as well as its flexibility on formulating generic simulation schemes.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1914/1/documents/A038_Building_a_puzzle_to_solve_a_riddle.pdf (16518 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Macian-Sorribes, H., J.-L. Molina, S. Zazo, and M. Pulido-Velázquez, Analysis of spatio-temporal dependence of inflow time series through Bayesian causal modelling, Journal of Hydrology, 597, 125722, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125722, 2021. |
| 2. | Wang, Q., J. Zhou, K. Huang, L. Dai, B. Jia, L. Chen, and H. Qin, A procedure for combining improved correlated sampling methods and a resampling strategy to generate a multi-site conditioned streamflow process, Water Resources Management, 35, 1011-1027, doi:10.1007/s11269-021-02769-8, 2021. |
| 3. | Brereton, R. G., P values and multivariate distributions: Non-orthogonal terms in regression models, Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 210, 104264, doi:10.1016/j.chemolab.2021.104264, 2021. |
| 4. | Pouliasis, G., G. A. Torres-Alves, and O. Morales-Napoles, Stochastic modeling of hydroclimatic processes using vine copulas, Water, 13(16), 2156, doi:10.3390/w13162156, 2021. |
| 5. | Biondi, D., E. Todini, and A. Corina, A parsimonious post-processor for uncertainty evaluation of ensemble precipitation forecasts: An application to quantitative precipitation forecasts for civil protection purposes, Hydrology Research, 52(6), 1405-1422, doi:10.2166/nh.2021.045, 2021. |
| 6. | Jahangir, M. S., and J. Quilty, Temporal hierarchical reconciliation for consistent water resources forecasting across multiple timescales: An application to precipitation forecasting, Water Resources Research, 58(6), e2021WR031862, doi:10.1029/2021WR031862, 2022. |
| 7. | Wan Mazlan, W. A. S., and N. N. A. Tukimat, Comparative analyses on disaggregation methods for the rainfall projection, Water Resources Management, doi:10.1007/s11269-023-03546-5, 2023. |
A. Tegos, W. Schlüter, N. Gibbons, Y. Katselis, and A. Efstratiadis, Assessment of environmental flows from complexity to parsimony - Lessons from Lesotho, Water, 10 (10), 1293, doi:10.3390/w10101293, 2018.
Over the last decade, Environmental Flow Assessment (EFA) has focused scientific attention around heavily-modified hydrosystems, such as flow regulated releases downstream of dams. In this light, numerous approaches of varying complexity have been developed, the most holistic of which incorporate hydrological, hydraulic, biological and water quality inputs, as well as socioeconomic issues. Finding the optimal flow releases, informing policy and determining an operational framework are often the main focus. This work exhibits a simplification of the DRIFT framework, and is regarded as the first holistic EFA approach, consisting of three modules, namely hydrological, hydraulic and fish quality. A novel conceptual classification for fish quality is proposed, associating fish fauna requirements with hydraulic characteristics, exported by fish survey analyses. The new methodology was applied and validated successfully at three stream sites in Lesotho, where DRIFT was formerly employed.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1878/1/documents/water-10-01293.pdf (2633 KB)
See also: http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/10/10/1293/htm
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Yang, Z., K. Yang, L. Su, and H. Hu, The multi-objective operation for cascade reservoirs using MMOSFLA with emphasis on power generation and ecological benefit, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 21(2), 257-278, doi:10.2166/hydro.2019.064, 2019. |
| 2. | Langat, P. K., L. Kumar, and R. Koech, Identification of the most suitable probability distribution models for maximum, minimum, and mean streamflow, Water, 11, 734, doi:10.3390/w11040734, 2019. |
| 3. | Sahoo, B. B., R. Jha, A. Singh, A. and D. Kumar, Long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network for low-flow hydrological time series forecasting, Acta Geophysica, 67, 1471-1481, doi:10.1007/s11600-019-00330-1, 2019. |
| 4. | Ding, L., Q. Li, J. Tang, J. Wang, and X. Chen, Linking land use metrics measured in aquatic-terrestrial interfaces to water quality of reservoir-based water sources in Eastern China, Sustainability, 11(18), 4860, doi:10.3390/su11184860, 2019. |
| 5. | Koskinas, A., Stochastics and ecohydrology: A study in optimal reservoir design, Dams and Reservoirs, 30(2), 53-59, doi:10.1680/jdare.20.00009, 2020. |
| 6. | Jo, Y.-J., J.-H. Song, Y. Her, G. Provolo, J. Beom, M. Jeung, Y.-J. Kim, S.-H. Yoo, and K.-S. Yoon, Assessing the potential of agricultural reservoirs as the source of environmental flow, Water; 13(4), 508, doi:10.3390/w13040508, 2021. |
| 7. | Wu, M., H. Wu, A. T. Warner, H. Li, and Z. Liu, Informing environmental flow planning through landscape evolution modeling in heavily modified urban rivers in China, Water, 13(22), 3244, doi:10.3390/w13223244, 2021. |
| 8. | Hoque, M. M., A. Islam, and S. Ghosh, Environmental flow in the context of dams and development with special reference to the Damodar Valley Project, India: a review, Sustainable Water Resources Management, 8, 62, doi:10.1007/s40899-022-00646-9, 2022. |
| 9. | Owusu, A., M. Mul, M. Strauch, P. van der Zaag, M. Volk, and J. Slinger, The clam and the dam: A Bayesian belief network approach to environmental flow assessment in a data scarce region, Science of The Total Environment, 810, 151315, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151315, 2022. |
| 10. | Liu, S., Q. Zhang, Y. Xie, P. Xu, and H. Du, Evaluation of minimum and suitable ecological flows of an inland basin in China considering hydrological variation, Water, 15(4), 649, doi:10.3390/w15040649, 2023. |
| 11. | Nasiri Khiavi, A., R. Mostafazadeh, and F. Ghanbari Talouki, Using game theory algorithm to identify critical watersheds based on environmental flow components and hydrological indicators, Environment, Development and Sustainability, doi:10.1007/s10668-023-04390-8, 2024. |
E. Klousakou, M. Chalakatevaki, P. Dimitriadis, T. Iliopoulou, R. Ioannidis, G. Karakatsanis, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, R. Tomani, E. Chardavellas, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A preliminary stochastic analysis of the uncertainty of natural processes related to renewable energy resources, Advances in Geosciences, 45, 193–199, doi:10.5194/adgeo-45-193-2018, 2018.
The ever-increasing energy demand has led to overexploitation of fossil fuels deposits, while renewables offer a viable alternative. Since renewable energy resources derive from phenomena related to either atmospheric or geophysical processes, unpredictability is inherent to renewable energy systems. An innovative and simple stochastic tool, the climacogram, was chosen to explore the degree of unpredictability. By applying the climacogram across the related timeseries and spatial-series it was feasible to identify the degree of unpredictability in each process through the Hurst parameter, an index that quantifies the level of uncertainty. All examined processes display a Hurst parameter larger than 0.5, indicating increased uncertainty on the long term. This implies that only through stochastic analysis may renewable energy resources be reliably manageable and cost efficient. In this context, a pilot application of a hybrid renewable energy system in the Greek island of Astypalaia is discussed, for which we show how the uncertainty (in terms of variability) of the input hydrometeorological processes alters the uncertainty of the output energy values.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1864/1/documents/adgeo-45-193-2018.pdf (559 KB)
See also: https://www.adv-geosci.net/45/193/2018/
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Kaps, C., S. Marinesi, and S. Netessine, When should the off-grid sun shine at night? Optimum renewable generation and energy storage investment, Management Science, 69(12), 7633-7650, doi:10.1287/mnsc.2021.04129, 2023. |
| 2. | Adewumi, A., C. E. Okoli, F. O. Usman, K. A. Olu-lawal, and O. T. Soyombo, Reviewing the impact of AI on renewable energy efficiency and management, International Journal of Science and Research Archive, 11(01), 1518–1527, doi:10.30574/ijsra.2024.11.1.0245, 2024. |
K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Nalbantis, A framework for dry period low flow forecasting in Mediterranean streams, Water Resources Management, 32 (15), 4911–1432, doi:10.1007/s11269-018-2060-z, 2018.
The objective of this article is to provide a simple and effective tool for low flow forecasting up to six months ahead, with minimal data requirements, i.e. flow observations retrieved at the end of wet period (first half of April, for the Mediterranean region). The core of the methodological framework is the exponential decay function, while the typical split-sample approach for model calibration, which is known to suffer from the dependence on the selection of the calibration data set, is enhanced by introducing the so-called Randomly Selected Multiple Subsets (RSMS) calibration procedure. Moreover, we introduce and employ a modified efficiency metric, since in this modelling context the classical Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency yields unrealistically high performance. The proposed framework is evaluated at 25 Mediterranean rivers of different scales and flow dynamics, including streams with intermittent regime. Initially, signal processing and data smoothing techniques are applied to the raw hydrograph, in order to cut-off high flows that are due to flood events occurring in dry periods, and allow for keeping the decaying form of the baseflow component. We then employ the linear reservoir model to extract the annually varying recession coefficient, and, then, attempt to explain its median value (over a number of years) on the basis of typical hydrological indices and the catchment area. Next, we run the model in forecasting mode, by considering that the recession coefficient of each dry period ahead is a linear function of the observed flow at the end of the wet period. In most of the examined catchments, the model exhibits very satisfactory predictive capacity and is also robust, as indicated by the limited variability of the optimized model parameters across randomly selected calibration sets.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1861/2/documents/Risva2018_Article_AFrameworkForDryPeriodLowFlowF.pdf (2268 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Tsihrintzis, V. A., and H. Vangelis, Water resources and environment, Water Resources Management, 32(15), 4813-4817, doi:10.1007/s11269-018-2164-5, 2018. |
| 2. | Kapetas, L., N. Kazakis, K. Voudouris, and D. McNicholl, Water allocation and governance in multi-stakeholder environments: Insight from Axios Delta, Greece, Science of The Total Environment, 695, 133831, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133831, 2019. |
| 3. | Azarnivand, A., M. Camporese, S. Alaghmand, and E. Dal, Simulated response of an intermittent stream to rainfall frequency patterns, Hydrological Processes, 34(3), 615-632, doi:10.1002/hyp.13610, 2020. |
| 4. | Lee, D., H. Kim, I. Jung, and J. Yoon, Monthly reservoir inflow forecasting for dry period using teleconnection indices: A statistical ensemble approach, Applied Sciences, 10(10), 3470, doi:10.3390/app10103470, 2020. |
| 5. | Nicolle, P., F. Besson, O. Delaigue, P. Etchevers, D. François, M. Le Lay, C. Perrin, F. Rousset, D. Thiéry, F. Tilmant, C. Magand, T. Leurent, and É. Jacob, PREMHYCE: An operational tool for low-flow forecasting, Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 383, 381-389, doi:10.5194/piahs-383-381-2020, 2020. |
| 6. | Tilmant, F., P. Nicolle, F. Bourgin, F. Besson, O. Delaigue, P. Etchevers, D. François, M. Le Lay, C. Perrin, F. Rousset, D. Thiéry, C. Magand, T. Leurent, et É. Jacob, PREMHYCE : un outil opérationnel pour la prévision des étiages, La Houille Blanche, 5, 37-44, doi:10.1051/lhb/2020043, 2020. |
| 7. | Singh, S. K., and G. A. Griffiths, Prediction of streamflow recession curves in gauged and ungauged basins, Water Resources Research, 57(11), e2021WR030618, doi:10.1029/2021WR030618, 2021. |
| 8. | Orta, S., and H. Aksoy, Development of low flow duration-frequency curves by hybrid frequency analysis, Water Resources Management, 36, 1521-1534, doi:10.1007/s11269-022-03095-3, 2022. |
| 9. | Kadu, A., and B. Biswal, A model combination approach for improving streamflow prediction, Water Resources Management, doi:10.1007/s11269-022-03336-5, 2022. |
I. Tsoukalas, S.M. Papalexiou, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, A cautionary note on the reproduction of dependencies through linear stochastic models with non-Gaussian white noise, Water, 10 (6), 771, doi:10.3390/w10060771, 2018.
Since the prime days of stochastic hydrology back in 1960s, autoregressive (AR) and moving average (MA) models (as well as their extensions) have been widely used to simulate hydrometeorological processes. Initially, AR(1) or Markovian models with Gaussian noise prevailed due to their conceptual and mathematical simplicity. However, the ubiquitous skewed behavior of most hydrometeorological processes, particularly at fine time scales, necessitated the generation of synthetic time series to also reproduce higher-order moments. In this respect, the former schemes were enhanced to preserve skewness through the use of non-Gaussian white noise— a modification attributed to Thomas and Fiering (TF). Although preserving higher-order moments to approximate a distribution is a limited and potentially risky solution, the TF approach has become a common choice in operational practice. In this study, almost half a century after its introduction, we reveal an important flaw that spans over all popular linear stochastic models that employ non-Gaussian white noise. Focusing on the Markovian case, we prove mathematically that this generating scheme provides bounded dependence patterns, which are both unrealistic and inconsistent with the observed data. This so-called “envelope behavior” is amplified as the skewness and correlation increases, as demonstrated on the basis of real-world and hypothetical simulation examples.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1848/1/documents/water-10-00771.pdf (14101 KB)
See also: http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/10/6/771
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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| 3. | Marković, D., S. Ilić, D. Pavlović, J. Plavšić, and N. Ilich, Multivariate and multi-scale generator based on non-parametric stochastic algorithms, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 21(6), 1102–1117, doi:10.2166/hydro.2019.071, 2019. |
| 4. | Nazemi, A., M. Zaerpour, and E. Hassanzadeh, Uncertainty in bottom-up vulnerability assessments of water supply systems due to regional streamflow generation under changing conditions, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 146(2), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001149, 2020. |
| 5. | Wang, Q., J. Zhou, K. Huang, L. Dai, B. Jia, L. Chen, and H. Qin, A procedure for combining improved correlated sampling methods and a resampling strategy to generate a multi-site conditioned streamflow process, Water Resources Management, 35, 1011-1027, doi:10.1007/s11269-021-02769-8, 2021. |
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| 7. | Pouliasis, G., G. A. Torres-Alves, and O. Morales-Napoles, Stochastic modeling of hydroclimatic processes using vine copulas, Water, 13(16), 2156, doi:10.3390/w13162156, 2021. |
| 8. | Jia, B., J. Zhou, Z. Tang, Z. Xu, X. Chen, and W. Fang, Effective stochastic streamflow simulation method based on Gaussian mixture model, Journal of Hydrology, 605, 127366, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127366, 2022. |
G. Papaioannou, A. Efstratiadis, L. Vasiliades, A. Loukas, S.M. Papalexiou, A. Koukouvinos, I. Tsoukalas, and P. Kossieris, An operational method for Floods Directive implementation in ungauged urban areas, Hydrology, 5 (2), 24, doi:10.3390/hydrology5020024, 2018.
An operational framework for flood risk assessment in ungauged urban areas is developed within the implementation of the EU Floods Directive in Greece, and demonstrated for Volos metropolitan area, central Greece, which is frequently affected by intense storms causing fluvial flash floods. A scenario-based approach is applied, accounting for uncertainties of key modeling aspects. This comprises extreme rainfall analysis, resulting to spatially-distributed Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) relationships and their confidence intervals, and flood simulations, through the SCS-CN method and the unit hydrograph theory, producing design hydrographs at the sub-watershed scale, for several soil moisture conditions. The propagation of flood hydrographs and the mapping of inundated areas are employed by the HEC-RAS 2D model, with flexible mesh size, by representing the resistance caused by buildings through the local elevation rise method. For all hydrographs, upper and lower estimates on water depths, flow velocities and inundation areas are estimated, for varying roughness coefficient values. The methodology is validated against the flood event of the 9th October 2006, using observed flood inundation data. Our analyses indicate that although typical engineering practices for ungauged basins are subject to major uncertainties, the hydrological experience may counterbalance the missing information, thus ensuring quite realistic outcomes.
Remarks:
This article won the Hydrology Best Paper Award for 2020 (https://www.mdpi.com/journal/hydrology/awards/850)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1829/1/documents/hydrology-05-00024_Idnk8fW.pdf (5243 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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E. Michailidi, S. Antoniadi, A. Koukouvinos, B. Bacchi, and A. Efstratiadis, Timing the time of concentration: shedding light on a paradox, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 63 (5), 721–740, doi:10.1080/02626667.2018.1450985, 2018.
From the origins of hydrology, the time of concentration, tc, has been conventionally tackled as constant quantity. However, theoretical proof and empirical evidence imply that tc exhibits significant variability against rainfall, making its definition and estimation a hydrological paradox. Adopting the assumptions of the Rational method and the kinematic approach, an effective procedure in a GIS environment for estimating the travel time across a catchment’s longest flow path is provided. By applying it in 30 Mediterranean basins, it is illustrated that tc is a negative power function of excess rainfall intensity. Regional formulas are established to infer its multiplier (unit time of concentration) and exponent from abstract geomorphological information, which are validated against observed data and theoretical literature outcomes. Besides offering a fast and easy solution to the paradox, we highlight the necessity for implementing the varying tc concept within hydrological modelling, signalling a major shift from current engineering practices.
Remarks:
2020 Tison Award, by International Association of Hydrological Sciences, awared to young hydrologists Eleni Maria Michailidi and Sylvia Antoniadi (https://iahs.info/About-IAHS/Competition--Events/Tison-Award/Tison-Award-winners/EMichailidi-SAntoniadi/)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1777/2/documents/Timing_the_time_of_concentration_shedding_light_on_a_paradox_nNWG5Fq.pdf (2538 KB)
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E. Savvidou, A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Skarlatos, The curve number concept as a driver for delineating hydrological response units, Water, 10 (2), 194, doi:10.3390/w10020194, 2018.
In this paper, a new methodology for delineating Hydrological Response Units (HRUs), based on the Curve Number (CN) concept, is presented. Initially, a semi-automatic procedure in a GIS environment is used to produce basin maps of distributed CN values as the product of the three classified layers, soil permeability, land use/land cover characteristics and drainage capacity. The map of CN values is used in the context of model parameterization, in order to identify the essential number and spatial extent of HRUs and, consequently, the number of control variables of the calibration problem. The new approach aims at reducing the subjectivity introduced by the definition of HRUs and providing parsimonious modelling schemes. In particular, the CN-based parameterization (1) allows the user to assign as many parameters as can be supported by the available hydrological information, (2) associates the model parameters with anticipated basin responses, as quantified in terms of CN classes across HRUs, and (3) reduces the effort for model calibration, simultaneously ensuring good predictive capacity. The advantages of the proposed approach are demonstrated in the hydrological simulation of the Nedontas River Basin, Greece, where parameterizations of different complexities are employed in a recently improved version of the HYDROGEIOS model. A modelling experiment with a varying number of HRUs, where the parameter estimation problem was handled through automatic optimization, showed that the parameterization with three HRUs, i.e., equal to the number of flow records, ensured the optimal performance. Similarly, tests with alternative HRU configurations confirmed that the optimal scores, both in calibration and validation, were achieved by the CN-based approach, also resulting in parameters values across the HRUs that were in agreement with their physical interpretation.
Full text:
See also: http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/10/2/194
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Stochastic models in hydrology traditionally aim at reproducing the empirically derived statistical characteristics of the observed data rather than any specific distribution model that attempts to describe the usually non-Gaussian statistical behavior of the associated processes. SPARTA (Stochastic Periodic AutoRegressive To Anything) offers an alternative and novel approach which allows the explicit representation of each process of interest with any distribution model, while simultaneously establishes dependence patterns that cannot be fully captured by the typical linear stochastic schemes. Cornerstone of the proposed approach is the Nataf joint-distribution model, which is related with the Gaussian copula, combined with Gaussian periodic autoregressive processes. In order to obtain the target stochastic structure, we have also developed a computationally simple and efficient algorithm, based on a hybrid Monte-Carlo procedure that is used to approximate the required equivalent correlation coefficients. Theoretical and practical benefits of the proposed method, contrasted to outcomes from widely used stochastic models, are demonstrated by means of real-world as well as hypothetical monthly simulation examples involving both univariate and multivariate time series.
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| 3. | Marković, D., S. Ilić, D. Pavlović, J. Plavšić, and N. Ilich, Multivariate and multi-scale generator based on non-parametric stochastic algorithms, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 21(6), 1102-1117, doi:10.2166/hydro.2019.071, 2019. |
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| 8. | Demetriou, E., G. Mallouppas, and C.Hadjistassou, Embracing carbon neutral electricity and transportation sectors in Cyprus, Energy, doi:10.1016/j.energy.2021.120625, 2021. |
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| 10. | Zang, N., J. Zhu, X. Wang, Y. Liao, G. Cao, C. Li, Q. Liu, and Z. Yang, Eutrophication risk assessment considering joint effects of water quality and water quantity for a receiving reservoir in the South-to-North Water Transfer Project, China, Journal of Cleaner Production, 331, 129966, doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.129966, 2021. |
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N. Malamos, I. L. Tsirogiannis, A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Spatial interpolation of potential evapotranspiration for precision irrigation purposes, European Water, 59, 303–309, 2017.
Precision irrigation constitutes a breakthrough for agricultural water management since it provides means to optimal water use. In recent years several applications of precision irrigation are implemented based on spatial data from different origins, i.e. meteorological stations networks, remote sensing data and in situ measurements. One of the factors affecting optimal irrigation system design and management is the daily potential evapotranspiration (PET). A commonly used approach is to estimate the daily PET for the representative day of each month during the irrigation period. In the present study, the implementation of the recently introduced non-parametric bilinear surface smoothing (BSS) methodology for spatial interpolation of daily PET is presented. The study area was the plain of Arta which is located at the Region of Epirus at the North West Greece. Daily PET was estimated according to the FAO Penman-Monteith methodology with data collected from a network of six agrometeorological stations, installed in early 2015 in selected locations throughout the study area. For exploration purposes, we produced PET maps for the Julian dates: 105, 135, 162, 199, 229 and 259, thus covering the entire irrigation period of 2015. Also, comparison and cross validation against the calculated FAO Penman-Monteith PET for each station, were performed between BSS and a commonly used interpolation method, i.e. inverse distance weighted (IDW). During the leave-one-out cross validation procedure, BSS yielded very good results, outperforming IDW. Given the simplicity of the BSS, its overall performance is satisfactory, providing maps that represent the spatial and temporal variation of daily PET.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1776/1/documents/EW_2017_59_41_2HOxTxv.pdf (4259 KB)
See also: http://ewra.net/ew/pdf/EW_2017_59_41.pdf
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| 1. | Ndiaye, P. M., A. Bodian, L. Diop, A. Deme, A. Dezetter, K. Djaman, and A. Ogilvie, Trend and sensitivity analysis of reference evapotranspiration in the Senegal river basin using NASA meteorological data, Water, 12(7), 1957, doi:10.3390/w12071957, 2020. |
| 2. | Ndiaye, P. M., A. Bodian, L. Diop, A. Dezetter, E. Guilpart, A. Deme, and A. Ogilvie, Future trend and sensitivity analysis of evapotranspiration in the Senegal River Basin, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 35, 100820, doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100820, 2021. |
| 3. | Dimitriadou S., and K. G. Nikolakopoulos, Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) methods implemented as ArcMap models with remote-sensed and ground-based inputs, examined along with MODIS ET, for Peloponnese, Greece, ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 10(6), 390, doi:10.3390/ijgi10060390, 2021. |
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| 5. | Dimitriadou, S., and K. G. Nikolakopoulos, Evapotranspiration trends and interactions in light of the anthropogenic footprint and the climate crisis: A review, Hydrology, 8(4), 163, doi:10.3390/hydrology8040163, 2021. |
| 6. | Dimitriadou, S., and K. G. Nikolakopoulos, Artificial neural networks for the prediction of the reference evapotranspiration of the Peloponnese Peninsula, Greece, Water, 14(13), 2027, doi:10.3390/w14132027, 2022. |
| 7. | Fotia, K., G. Nanos, N. Malamos, M. Giannelos, P. Mpeza, and I. Tsirogiannis, Water footprint and performance assessment of a table olive cultivar (Olea europaea L. “Konservolea”) under various irrigation strategies, Acta Horticulturae, 1373, 57-64, doi:10.17660/ActaHortic.2023.1373.9, 2023. |
K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Nalbantis, A simple model for low flow forecasting in Mediterranean streams, European Water, 57, 337–343, 2017.
Low flows commonly occur in rivers during dry seasons within each year. They often concur with increased water demand which creates numerous water resources management problems. This paper seeks for simple yet efficient tools for low-flow forecasting, which are easy to implement, based on the adoption of an exponential decay model for the flow recession curve. A statistical attribute of flows preceding the start of the dry period is used as the starting flow. On the other hand, the decay rate (recession parameter) is assumed as a linear function of the starting flow. The two parameters of that function are time-invariant, and they are optimized over a reference time series representing the low flow component of the observed hydrographs. The methodology is tested in the basins of Achelous, Greece, Xeros and Peristerona, Cyprus, and Salso, Italy. Raw data are filtered by signal processing techniques which remove the effect of flood events occurring in dry periods, thus allow-ing the preservation of the decaying form of the flow recession curve. Results indicate that satisfac-tory low flow forecasts are possible for Mediterranean basins of different hydrological behaviour.
Remarks:
Conference paper published in Special Issue of European Water: "10th Word Congress on Water Resources and Environment".
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1753/1/documents/EW_2017_57_47.pdf (859 KB)
A. Tegos, N. Malamos, A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, A. Karanasios, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Parametric modelling of potential evapotranspiration: a global survey, Water, 9 (10), 795, doi:10.3390/w9100795, 2017.
We present and validate a global parametric model of potential evapotranspiration (PET) with two parameters which are estimated through calibration, using as explanatory variables temperature and extraterrestrial radiation. The model and the parameters estimation approach were tested over the globe, using the FAO CLIMWAT database that provides monthly averaged values of meteorological inputs at 4300 locations worldwide. A preliminary analysis of these data allowed explaining the major drivers of PET over the globe and across seasons. Next, we developed an automatic optimization software tool to calibrate the model and provide point PET estimations against the given Penman-Monteith values. We also employed extended analysis of model inputs and outputs, including the production of global maps of optimized model parameters and associated performance metrics. Also, we employed interpolated values of the optimized parameters to validate the predictive capacity of our model against monthly meteorological time series, at several stations worldwide. The results were very encouraging, since even with the use of abstract climatic information for model calibration and the use of interpolated parameters as local predictors, the model generally ensures reliable PET estimations. In few cases the model performs poorly in estimating the reference PET, due to irregular interactions between temperature and extraterrestrial radiation, as well as because the associated processes are influenced by additional drivers, e.g. relative humidity and wind speed. However, the analysis of the residuals showed that the model is consistent in terms of parameters estimation and model validation. The provided parameters maps allow the direct use of the parametric model wherever in the world, providing PET estimates in case of missing data, that can be further improved even with a short term acquisition of meteorological data.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1738/2/documents/water-09-00795.pdf (6428 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/9/10/795
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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| 7. | Storm, M. E., R. Gouws, and L. J. Grobler, Novel measurement and verification of irrigation pumping energy conservation under incentive-based programmes, Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, 29(3), 10–21, doi:10.17159/2413-3051/2018/v29i3a3058, 2018. |
| 8. | Tam, B. Y., K. Szeto, B. Bonsal, G. Flato, A. J. Cannon, and R. Rong, CMIP5 drought projections in Canada based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Canadian Water Resources Journal, 44(1), 90-107, doi:10.1080/07011784.2018.1537812, 2019. |
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| 12. | Hua, D., X. Hao, Y. Zhang, and J. Qin, Uncertainty assessment of potential evapotranspiration in arid areas, as estimated by the Penman-Monteith method, Journal of Arid Land, 12, 166–180, doi:10.1007/s40333-020-0093-7, 2020. |
| 13. | Shirmohammadi-Aliakbarkhani, Z., and S. F. Saberali, Evaluating of eight evapotranspiration estimation methods in arid regions of Iran, Agricultural Water Management, 239, 106243, doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106243, 2020. |
| 14. | Kim, C.-G., J. Lee, J. E. Lee, and H. Kim, Evaluation of improvement effect on the spatial-temporal correction of several reference evapotranspiration methods, Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, 53(9), 701-715, doi:10.3741/JKWRA.2020.53.9.701, 2020. |
| 15. | Gui, Y., Q. Wang, Y. Zhao, Y. Dong, H. Li, S. Jiang, X. He, and K. Liu, Attribution analyses of reference evapotranspiration changes in China incorporating surface resistance change response to elevated CO2, Journal of Hydrology, 599, 126387, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126387, 2021. |
| 16. | Mohanasundaram, S., M. M. Mekonnen, E. Haacker, C. Ray, S. Lim, and S. Shrestha, An application of GRACE mission datasets for streamflow and baseflow estimation in the Conterminous United States basins, Journal of Hydrology, 601, 126622, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126622, 2021. |
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| 21. | Urban, G., L. Kuchar, M. Kępińska-Kasprzak, and E. Z. Łaszyca, A climatic water balance variability during the growing season in Poland in the context of modern climate change, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 31(5), 349-365, doi:10.1127/metz/2022/1128, 2022. |
| 22. | Hajek, O. L., and A. K. Knapp, Shifting seasonal patterns of water availability: ecosystem responses to an unappreciated dimension of climate change, New Phytologist, 233(1), 119-125, doi:10.1111/nph.17728, 2022. |
| 23. | Al-Asadi, K., A. A. Abbas, A. S. Dawood, and J. G. Duan, Calibration and modification of the Hargreaves–Samani equation for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration in Iraq, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 28(5), doi:10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-5877, 2023. |
| 24. | Islam, S., and A. K. M. R. Alam, Quantifying spatiotemporal variation of reference evapotranspiration and its contributing climatic factors in Bangladesh during 1981–2018, Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 48(3), 253-266, doi:10.3103/S1068373923030081, 2023. |
| 25. | Stefanidis, S., A. Tegos, and V. Alexandridis, How has aridity changed at a fir (Abies Borisii-Regis) forest site in Central Greece during the past six decades? Environmental Sciences Proceedings, 26(1), 121, doi:10.3390/environsciproc2023026121, 2023. |
| 26. | Maas, E. D.v.L., and R. A. Lal, A case study of the RothC soil carbon model with potential evapotranspiration and remote sensing model inputs, Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, 29, 100876, doi:10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100876, 2023. |
| 27. | Ruiz-Ortega, F. J., E. Clemente, A. Martínez-Rebollar, and J. J. Flores-Prieto, An evolutionary parsimonious approach to estimate daily reference evapotranspiration, Scientific Reports, 14, 6736, doi:10.1038/s41598-024-56770-3, 2024. |
K. Papoulakos, G. Pollakis, Y. Moustakis, A. Markopoulos, T. Iliopoulou, P. Dimitriadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Simulation of water-energy fluxes through small-scale reservoir systems under limited data availability, Energy Procedia, 125, 405–414, doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2017.08.078, 2017.
We present a stochastic approach accounting for input uncertainties within water-energy simulations. The stochastic paradigm, which allows for quantifying the inherent uncertainty of hydrometeorological processes, becomes even more crucial in case of missing or inadequate information. Our scheme uses simplified conceptual models which are subject to significant uncertainties, to generate the inputs of the overall simulation problem. The methodology is tested in a hypothetical hybrid renewable energy system across the small Aegean island of Astypalaia, comprising a pumped-storage reservoir serving multiple water uses, where both inflows and demands are regarded as random variables as result of stochastic inputs and parameters.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1732/1/documents/energy_proc_paper.pdf (2324 KB)
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Pouliasis, G., G. A. Torres-Alves, and O. Morales-Napoles, Stochastic modeling of hydroclimatic processes using vine copulas, Water, 13(16), 2156, doi:10.3390/w13162156, 2021. |
P. Dimitriadis, A. Tegos, A. Oikonomou, V. Pagana, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Comparative evaluation of 1D and quasi-2D hydraulic models based on benchmark and real-world applications for uncertainty assessment in flood mapping, Journal of Hydrology, 534, 478–492, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.01.020, 2016.
One-dimensional and quasi-two-dimensional hydraulic freeware models (HEC-RAS, LISFLOOD-FP and FLO-2d) are widely used for flood inundation mapping. These models are tested on a benchmark test with a mixed rectangular-triangular channel cross section. Using a Monte-Carlo approach, we employ extended sensitivity analysis by simultaneously varying the input discharge, longitudinal and lateral gradients and roughness coefficients, as well as the grid cell size. Based on statistical analysis of three output variables of interest, i.e. water depths at the inflow and outflow locations and total flood volume, we investigate the uncertainty enclosed in different model configurations and flow conditions, without the influence of errors and other assumptions on topography, channel geometry and boundary conditions. Moreover, we estimate the uncertainty associated to each input variable and we compare it to the overall one. The outcomes of the benchmark analysis are further highlighted by applying the three models to real-world flood propagation problems, in the context of two challenging case studies in Greece.
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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| 5. | Anees, M.T., K. Abdullah, M.N.M. Nawawi, N. N. N. Ab Rahman, A. R. Mt. Piah, N. A. Zakaria, M.I. Syakir, and A.K. Mohd. Omar, Numerical modeling techniques for flood analysis, Journal of African Earth Sciences, 124, 478–486, doi:10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2016.10.001, 2016. |
| 6. | Skublics, D., G. Blöschl, and P. Rutschmann, Effect of river training on flood retention of the Bavarian Danube, Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 64(4), 349-356, doi:10.1515/johh-2016-0035, 2016. |
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I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Surrogate-enhanced evolutionary annealing simplex algorithm for effective and efficient optimization of water resources problems on a budget, Environmental Modelling and Software, 77, 122–142, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.12.008, 2016.
In water resources optimization problems, the objective function usually presumes to first run a simulation model and then evaluate its outputs. However, long simulation times may pose significant barriers to the procedure. Often, to obtain a solution within a reasonable time, the user has to substantially restrict the allowable number of function evaluations, thus terminating the search much earlier than required. A promising strategy to address these shortcomings is the use of surrogate modeling techniques. Here we introduce the Surrogate-Enhanced Evolutionary Annealing-Simplex (SEEAS) algorithm that couples the strengths of surrogate modeling with the effectiveness and efficiency of the evolutionary annealing-simplex method. SEEAS combines three different optimization approaches (evolutionary search, simulated annealing, downhill simplex). Its performance is benchmarked against other surrogate-assisted algorithms in several test functions and two water resources applications (model calibration, reservoir management). Results reveal the significant potential of using SEEAS in challenging optimization problems on a budget.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1587/2/documents/SEEAS_paper.pdf (4310 KB)
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, N. Malamos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Evaluation of a parametric approach for estimating potential evapotranspiration across different climates, Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia, 4, 2–9, doi:10.1016/j.aaspro.2015.03.002, 2015.
Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is key input in water resources, agricultural and environmental modelling. For many decades, numerous approaches have been proposed for the consistent estimation of PET at several time scales of interest. The most recognized is the Penman-Monteith formula, which is yet difficult to apply in data-scarce areas, since it requires simultaneous observations of four meteorological variables (temperature, sunshine duration, humidity, wind velocity). For this reason, parsimonious models with minimum input data requirements are strongly preferred. Typically, these have been developed and tested for specific hydroclimatic conditions, but when they are applied in different regimes they provide much less reliable (and in some cases misleading) estimates. Therefore, it is essential to develop generic methods that remain parsimonious, in terms of input data and parameterization, yet they also allow for some kind of local adjustment of their parameters, through calibration. In this study we present a recent parametric formula, based on a simplified formulation of the original Penman-Monteith expression, which only requires mean daily or monthly temperature data. The method is evaluated using meteorological records from different areas worldwide, at both the daily and monthly time scales. The outcomes of this extended analysis are very encouraging, as indicated by the substantially high validation scores of the proposed approach across all examined data sets. In general, the parametric model outperforms well-established methods of the everyday practice, since it ensures optimal approximation of potential evapotranspiration.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1549/1/documents/IRLA_paper.pdf (560 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aaspro.2015.03.002
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
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A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrological modelling of temporally-varying catchments: Facets of change and the value of information, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60 (7-8), 1438–1461, doi:10.1080/02626667.2014.982123, 2015.
River basins are by definition temporally varying systems: changes are apparent at every temporal scale, in terms of changing meteorological inputs and catchment characteristics, respectively due to inherently uncertain natural processes and anthropogenic interventions. In an operational context, the ultimate goal of hydrological modelling is predicting responses of the basin under conditions that are similar or different from those observed in the past. Since water management studies require that anthropogenic effects are considered known and a long hypothetical period is simulated, the combined use of stochastic models, for generating the inputs, and deterministic models that also represent the human interventions in modified basins, is found to be a powerful approach for providing realistic and statistically consistent simulations (in terms of product moments and correlations, at multiple time scales, and long-term persistence). The proposed framework is investigated on the Ferson Creek basin (USA) that exhibits significantly growing urbanization during the last 30 years. Alternative deterministic modelling options include a lumped water balance model with one time-varying parameter and a semi-distributed scheme based on the concept of hydrological response units. Model inputs and errors are respectively represented through linear and non-linear stochastic models. The resulting nonlinear stochastic framework maximizes the exploitation of the existing information, by taking advantage of the calibration protocol used in this issue.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.982123
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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A. Efstratiadis, Y. Dialynas, S. Kozanis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A multivariate stochastic model for the generation of synthetic time series at multiple time scales reproducing long-term persistence, Environmental Modelling and Software, 62, 139–152, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.08.017, 2014.
A time series generator is presented, employing a robust three-level multivariate scheme for stochastic simulation of correlated processes. It preserves the essential statistical characteristics of historical data at three time scales (annual, monthly, daily), using a disaggregation approach. It also reproduces key properties of hydrometeorological and geophysical processes, namely the long-term persistence (Hurst-Kolmogorov behaviour), the periodicity and intermittency. Its efficiency is illustrated through two case studies in Greece. The first aims to generate monthly runoff and rainfall data at three reservoirs of the hydrosystem of Athens. The second involves the generation of daily rainfall for flood simulation at five rain gauges. In the first emphasis is given to long-term persistence – a dominant characteristic in the management of large-scale hydrosystems, comprising reservoirs with carry-over storage capacity. In the second we highlight to the consistent representation of intermittency and asymmetry of daily rainfall, and the distribution of annual daily maxima.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.08.017
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
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A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and N. Mamassis, Flood design recipes vs. reality: can predictions for ungauged basins be trusted?, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 14, 1417–1428, doi:10.5194/nhess-14-1417-2014, 2014.
Despite the great scientific and technological advances in flood hydrology, everyday engineering practices still follow simplistic approaches that are easy to formally implement in ungauged areas. In general, these "recipes" have been developed many decades ago, based on field data from typically few experimental catchments. However, many of them have been neither updated nor validated across all hydroclimatic and geomorphological conditions. This has an obvious impact on the quality and reliability of hydrological studies, and, consequently, on the safety and cost of the related flood protection works. Preliminary results, based on historical flood data from Cyprus and Greece, indicate that a substantial revision of many aspects of flood engineering procedures is required, including the regionalization formulas as well as the modelling concepts themselves. In order to provide a consistent design framework and to ensure realistic predictions of the flood risk (a key issue of the 2007/60/EU Directive) in ungauged basins, it is necessary to rethink the current engineering practices. In this vein, the collection of reliable hydrological data would be essential for re-evaluating the existing "recipes", taking into account local peculiarities, and for updating the modelling methodologies as needed.
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Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
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A. Efstratiadis, A. Tegos, A. Varveris, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Assessment of environmental flows under limited data availability – Case study of the Acheloos River, Greece, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59 (3-4), 731–750, doi:10.1080/02626667.2013.804625, 2014.
The lower course of Acheloos River is an important hydrosystem of Greece, heavily modified by a cascade of four hydropower dams, which is now being extended by two more dams in the upper course. The design of the dams and hydropower facilities that are in operation has not considered any environmental criteria. However, in the last fifty years, numerous methodologies have been proposed to assess the negative impacts of such projects to both the abiotic and biotic environment, and to provide decision support towards establishing appropriate constraints on their operation, typically in terms of minimum flow requirements. In this study, seeking for a more environmental-friendly operation of the hydrosystem, we investigate the outflow policy from the most downstream dam, examining alternative environmental flow approaches. Accounting for data limitations, we recommend the Basic Flow Method, which is parsimonious and suitable for Mediterranean rivers, whose flows exhibit strong variability across seasons. We also show that the wetted perimeter – discharge method, which is an elementary hydraulic approach, provides consistent results, even without using any flow data. Finally, we examine the adaptation of the proposed flow policy (including artificial flooding) to the real-time hydropower generation schedule, and the management of the resulting conflicts.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.804625
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| 33. | Liu, S., Q. Zhang, Y. Xie, P. Xu, and H. Du, Evaluation of minimum and suitable ecological flows of an inland basin in China considering hydrological variation, Water, 15(4), 649, doi:10.3390/w15040649, 2023. |
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| 36. | Leone, M., F. Gentile, A. Lo Porto, G. F. Ricci, and A. M. De Girolamo, Ecological flow in southern Europe: Status and trends in non-perennial rivers, Journal of Environmental Management, 342, 118097, doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118097, 2023. |
| 37. | Castellanos-Osorio, G., A. López-Ballesteros, J. Pérez-Sánchez, and J. Senent-Aparicio, Disaggregated monthly SWAT+ model versus daily SWAT+ model for estimating environmental flows in Peninsular Spain, Journal of Hydrology, 129837, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129837, 2023. |
| 38. | Aszódi, A., B. Biró, L. Adorján, A. C. Dobos, G. Illés, N. K. Tóth, D. Zagyi, and Z. T. Zsiborás, The effect of the future of nuclear energy on the decarbonization pathways and continuous supply of electricity in the European Union, Nuclear Engineering and Design, 415, 112688, doi:10.1016/j.nucengdes.2023.112688, 2023. |
| 39. | Bianucci, P., A. Sordo-Ward, B. Lama-Pedrosa, and L. Garrote, How do environmental flows impact on water availability under climate change scenarios in European basins?, Science of The Total Environment, 911, 168566, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168566, 2024. |
| 40. | Manikas, K. S. Skroufouta, and E. Baltas, Simulation and evaluation of pumped hydropower storage (PHPS) system at Kastraki reservoir, Renewable Energy, 222, 119888, doi:10.1016/j.renene.2023.119888, 2024. |
| 41. | Sedghi-Asl, M., and S. J. Poursalehan, Modified ideal point method for estimating minimum environmental flow of rivers, Acta Geophysica, doi:10.1007/s11600-023-01264-5, 2024. |
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M. Rianna, A. Efstratiadis, F. Russo, F. Napolitano, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A stochastic index method for calculating annual flow duration curves in intermittent rivers, Irrigation and Drainage, 62 (S2), 41–49, doi:10.1002/ird.1803, 2013.
Flow duration curves are useful tools to estimate available surface water resources, at the basin scale. These represent the percentage of time during which discharge values are exceeded, irrespective of their temporal sequence. Annual flow duration curves are useful tools for evaluating all flow quantiles of a river and their confidence intervals, by removing the effects of variability from year to year. However, these tools fail to represent the hydrological regime of ephemeral rivers, since they cannot account for zero flows. In this work we propose a technique for calculating annual flow duration curves and their standard deviation in the case of intermittent rivers. In particular, we propose a generalization of the stochastic index method, in which we use the concept of total probability and order statistics. The method is proposed to determine the conditional distribution of positive flows, for given probability dry, and is implemented on three catchments in Italy and Greece, with low (<5%) and high (>40%) frequency of zero flows, respectively.
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ird.1803
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Ubertini, L., and F. R. Miralles-Wilhelm, New frontiers of hydrology: Soil, water, and vegetation monitoring and modelling, Irrigation and Drainage, 62(S2), iii-iv, 2013. |
| 2. | Müller, M. F., D. N. Dralle, and S. E. Thompson, Analytical model for flow duration curves in seasonally dry climates, Water Resources Research, 50(7), 5510-5531, 2014. |
| 3. | Atieh, M., B. Gharabaghi, and R. Rudra, Entropy-based neural networks model for flow duration curves at ungauged sites, Journal of Hydrology, 529(3), 1007–1020, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.08.068, 2015 |
| 4. | Varouchakis, E. A., K. Spanoudaki, D. Hristopulos, G. P. Karatzas, and G. A. Corzo Perez, Stochastic modeling of aquifer level temporal fluctuations based on the conceptual basis of the soil-water balance equation, Soil Science, 181(6), 224–231, doi:10.1097/SS.0000000000000157, 2016. |
| 5. | #Rianna, M., F. Lombardo, B. Boccanera, and M. Giglioni, On the evaluation of FDC by the use of spot measurements, AIP Conference Proceedings, 1738, 430005, Rhodes, 2016. |
| 6. | Ridolfi, E., M. Rianna, G. Trani, L. Alfonso, G. Di Baldassarre, F. Napolitano, and F. Russo, A new methodology to define homogeneous regions through an entropy based clustering method, Advances in Water Resources, 96, 237-250, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2016.07.007, 2016. |
| 7. | #Rianna, M., E. Ridolfi, and F. Napolitano, Comparison of different hydrological similarity measures to estimate flow quantiles, AIP Conference Proceedings, 1863(1), 470002, doi:10.1063/1.4992633, 2017. |
| 8. | Ridolfi, E., H. Kumar, and A. Bárdossy, A methodology to estimate flow duration curves at partially ungauged basins, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 2043–2060, doi:10.5194/hess-24-2043-2020, 2020. |
| 9. | Tramblay, Y., N. Rouché, J.-E. Paturel, G. Mahé, J.-F. Boyer, E. Amoussou, A. Bodian, H. Dacosta, H. Dakhlaoui, A. Dezetter, D. Hughes, L. Hanich, C. Peugeot, R. Tshimanga, and P. Lachassagne, ADHI: the African Database of Hydrometric Indices (1950–2018), Earth System Science Data, 13, 1547-1560, doi:10.5194/essd-13-1547-2021, 2021. |
| 10. | Burgan, H. I., and H. Aksoy, Daily flow duration curve model for ungauged intermittent subbasins of gauged rivers, Journal of Hydrology, 604, 127249, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127249, 2022. |
| 11. | Ma, L., D. Liu, Q. Huang, F. Guo, X. Zheng, J. Zhao, J. Luan, J. Fan, and G. Ming, Identification of a function to fit the flow duration curve and parameterization of a semi-arid region in North China, Atmosphere, 14(1), 116, doi:10.3390/atmos14010116, 2023. |
| 12. | Asikoglu, O. L., and T. Narin, Advancing low-flow quantile estimation: the role of areal scale factor (ASF) and annual flow–duration curves, Hydrology Research, nh2024077, doi:10.2166/nh.2024.077, 2024. |
J. A. P. Pollacco, B. P. Mohanty, and A. Efstratiadis, Weighted objective function selector algorithm for parameter estimation of SVAT models with remote sensing data, Water Resources Research, 49 (10), 6959–6978, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20554, 2013.
The objective function of the inverse problem in Soil Vegetation Atmosphere Transfer (SVAT) models can be expressed as the aggregation of two criteria, accounting for the uncertainties of surface soil moisture (θ) and evapotranspiration (ET), retrieved from remote sensing (RS). In this context, we formulate a Weighted Objective Function (WOF) with respect to model effective soil hydraulic parameters, comprising of two components for θ and ET, respectively, and a dimensionless coefficient w. Given that the sensitivity of θ is increased by omitting the periods when soil moisture decoupling occurs, we also introduce within the WOF a threshold, θd, which outlines the decoupling of the surface and root-zone moisture. The optimal values of w and θd are determined by using a novel framework, Weighted Objective Function Selector Algorithm (WOFSA). This performs numerical experiments, assuming known reference conditions. In particular, it solves the inverse problem for different sets of θ and ET, considering the uncertainties of retrieving them from RS, and then runs the hydrological model to obtain the simulated water fluxes and their residuals, ΔWF, against the reference responses. It estimates the two unknown variables, w and θd, by maximizing the linear correlation between the WOF and maximum ΔWF. The framework is tested using a modified Soil-Water-Atmosphere-Plant (SWAP) model, under 22 contrasting hydroclimatic scenarios. It is shown that for each texture class, w can be expressed as function of the average θ and ET-fraction, while that for all scenarios θd can be modeled as function of the average θ, average ET and standard deviation of ET. Based on the outcomes of this study, we also provide recommendations on the most suitable time period for soil moisture measurements for capturing its dynamics and thresholds. Finally, we propose the implementation of WOFSA within multiobjective calibration, as a generalized tool for recognizing robust solutions from the Pareto front.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1383/2/documents/WRR_paper.pdf (2717 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20554
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Mohanty, B. P., Soil hydraulic property estimation using remote sensing: a review, Vadose Zone Journal, 12(4), 1-9, doi:10.2136/vzj2013.06.0100, 2013. |
| 2. | Wöhling, T., S. Gayler, E. Priesack, J. Ingwersen, H.-D. Wizemann, P. Högy, M. Cuntz, S. Attinger, V. Wulfmeyer, and T. Streck, Multiresponse, multiobjective calibration as a diagnostic tool to compare accuracy and structural limitations of five coupled soil-plant models and CLM3.5, Water Resources Research, 49(12), 8200–8221, doi:10.1002/2013WR014536, 2013. |
| 3. | #Gupta, M., N. K. Garg, P. K Srivastava, and T. Islam, Integration of TRMM rainfall in numerical model for pesticide prediction in subtropical climate, Proceedings of 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics (HIC 2014), New York City, 2014. |
| 4. | Gong, W., Q. Duan, J. Li, C. Wang, Z. Di, Y. Dai, A. Ye, and C. Miao, Multi-objective parameter optimization of common land model using adaptive surrogate modelling, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 2409–2425, doi:10.5194/hess-19-2409-2015, 2015. |
| 5. | Garg, N. K., and M. Gupta, Assessment of improved soil hydraulic parameters for soil water content simulation and irrigation scheduling, Irrigation Science, 33(4), 247-264, doi:10.1007/s00271-015-0463-7, 2015. |
| 6. | Larsen, M. A. D., J. C. Refsgaard, K. H. Jensen, M. B. Butts, S. Stisen, and M. Mollerup, Calibration of a distributed hydrology and land surface model using energy flux measurements, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 217, 74–88, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.11.012, 2016. |
| 7. | #Gupta, M., P. K Srivastava, and T. Islam, Integrative use of near-surface satellite soil moisture and precipitation for estimation of improved irrigation scheduling parameters, Satellite Soil Moisture Retrieval: Techniques and Applications , P. K. Srivastava, G. Petropoulos, and Y. H. Kerr (editors), 271-288, doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-803388-3.00014-0, 2016. |
| 8. | Maurya, S., P. K. Srivastava, M. Gupta, T. Islam, and D. Han, Integrating soil hydraulic parameter and microwave precipitation with morphometric analysis for watershed prioritization, Water Resources Management, 30(14), 5385–5405, doi:10.1007/s11269-016-1494-4, 2016. |
| 9. | Fernández-Gálvez, J., J. A. P. Pollacco, L. Lilburne, S. McNeill, S. Carrick, L. Lassabatere, and R. Angulo-Jaramillo, Deriving physical and unique bimodal soil Kosugi hydraulic parameters from inverse modelling, Advances in Water Resources, 153, 103933, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103933, 2021. |
| 10. | Bonneau, J., G. L. Kouyi, L. Lassabatere, and T. D. Fletcher, Field validation of a physically-based model for bioretention systems, Journal of Cleaner Production, 312, 127636, doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127636, 2021. |
| 11. | Pollacco, J. A. P., J. Fernández-Gálvez, P. Ackerer, B. Belfort, L. Lassabatere, R. Angulo-Jaramillo, C. Rajanayaka, L. Lilburne, S. Carrick, and D. A. Peltzer, HyPix: 1D physically based hydrological model with novel adaptive time-stepping management and smoothing dynamic criterion for controlling Newton-Raphson step, Environmental Modelling & Software, 153, 105386, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105386, 2022. |
| 12. | Pollacco, J. A. P., J. Fernández-Gálvez, C. Rajanayaka, S. C. Zammit, P. Ackerer, B. Belfort, L. Lassabatere, R. Angulo-Jaramillo, L. Lilburne, S. Carrick, and D. A. Peltzer, Multistep optimization of HyPix model for flexible vertical scaling of soil hydraulic parameters, Environmental Modelling & Software, 156, 105472, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105472, 2022. |
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and E. Apostolidou, Topography-adjusted solar radiation indices and their importance in hydrology, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (4), 756–775, doi:10.1080/02626667.2012.670703, 2012.
Solar radiation, direct and diffuse, is affected by surface characteristics, such as slope, aspect, altitude and shading. The paper examines the effects of topography on radiation, at multiple spatiotemporal scales, using suitable geometrical methods for the direct and diffuse components. Two indices are introduced for comparing the direct radiation received by areas at the same and different latitudes, respectively. To investigate the profile of direct radiation through the Greek territory, these are evaluated from hourly to annual basis, via GIS techniques. Moreover, different approaches are examined for estimating the actual global radiation at operational spatial scales (sub-basin and terrain), according to the available meteorological data. The study indicates that the errors of typical hydrometeorological modelling formulas, ignoring the topographic effects and the seasonal allocation of direct and diffuse radiation, depend on the spatial scale and they are non-uniformly distributed in time. In all cases, the estimations are improved by applying the proposed adjusting approaches. In particular, the adjustment of the measured global radiation ensures up to 10% increase of efficiency, while the modified Angström formula achieves slight (i.e. 2-4%) increase of efficiency and notable reduction of bias.
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2012.670703
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Kunkel, V., T. Wells, and G. R. Hancock, Soil temperature dynamics at the catchment scale, Geoderma, 273, 32–44, doi:10.1016/j.geoderma.2016.03.011, 2016. |
| 2. | Felicísimo Pérez, Á. M., and M.Á. Martín-Tardío, A method of downscaling temperature maps based on analytical hillshading for use in species distribution modelling, Cartography and Geographic Information Science, 45(4), 329-338, doi:10.1080/15230406.2017.1338620, 2018. |
| 3. | Frey, J., K. Kovach, S. Stemmler, and B. Koch, UAV photogrammetry of forests as a vulnerable process. A sensitivity analysis for a structure from motion RGB-image pipeline, Remote Sensing, 16(2), 912, doi:10.3390/rs10060912, 2018. |
| 4. | Aguilar, C., R. Pimentel, and M. J. Polo, Two decades of distributed global radiation time series across a mountainous semiarid area (Sierra Nevada, Spain), Earth System Science Data, 13, 1335-1359, doi:10.5194/essd-13-1335-2021, 2021. |
| 5. | Nepali, B. R., J. Skartveit, and C. B. Baniya, Impacts of slope aspects on altitudinal species richness and species composition of Narapani-Masina landscape, Arghakhanchi, West Nepal, Journal of Asia-Pacific Biodiversity, 14(3), 415-424, doi:10.1016/j.japb.2021.04.005, 2021. |
| 6. | Pisinaras V., F. Herrmann, A. Panagopoulos, E. Tziritis, I. McNamara, and F. Wendland, Fully distributed water balance modelling in large agricultural areas—The Pinios river basin (Greece) case study, Sustainability, 15(5), 4343, doi:10.3390/su15054343, 2023. |
A. Efstratiadis, and K. Hadjibiros, Can an environment-friendly management policy improve the overall performance of an artificial lake? Analysis of a multipurpose dam in Greece, Environmental Science and Policy, 14 (8), 1151–1162, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2011.06.001, 2011.
Taking as example a multipurpose dam in Greece, we wish to show that by following a rational operation policy, where the improvement of the broader environmental system becomes a high-priority target, it is possible to achieve a much more efficient allocation of its “traditional” water uses. In this context, we review the 50-year history of the Plastiras reservoir in central Greece, to highlight the multiple negative impacts from a non-systematic, abstraction-oriented, operation policy. This kind of management is contrasted to a hypothetical one, obtained through a multidisciplinary methodological framework that has been developed ten years ago, which aimed to compromise a number of conflicting water uses. This required establishing a minimum allowable level for agricultural abstractions and stabilising the annual releases for irrigation and drinking water supply. The criteria under study are, directly or indirectly, related to the water storage in the lake. Therefore, the key idea is to investigate the performance of each criterion with regard to the variability of the level, by examining alternative level vs. abstraction control rules. Thus, the quantity of water that would be yearly available is a function of the minimum level allowed and the desirable reliability. In fact, objective analysis indicates that the maintenance of the reservoir level as high as possible is necessary for the conservation of the quality of the lake’s landscape, for the development of tourist activity and also for providing drinking water of good quality. The advantages of the proposed framework are then exhibited through a back-analysis that focuses to the recent period. The implementation of this management policy not only would improve the water and landscape quality as well as the tourist perspectives, but also allow for a much more efficient planning of the agricultural and, under some premises, hydroelectric energy needs. Thus, the adoption of a constant annual release, irrespective of the recent sequence of inflows, may be beneficial for the long-term interests of all social groups and, therefore, conflicts among drinking water supply, tourism, landscape quality, irrigation and hydroelectric production would become less intense. Yet, the practice showed that a consensus between scientists, authorities and stakeholders for establishing the suggested policy is a considerably difficult task.
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2011.06.001
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Tajziehchi, S., S. M. Monavari, and A. Karbassi, An effective participatory-based method for dam social impact assessment, Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 21(6), 1841-1848, 2012. |
| 2. | #Makrogianni, S., and K. Hadjibiros, Interdisciplinarity in environmental research: an analysis based on scientific publications, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, CEST2013_0681, Athens, 2013. |
| 3. | #Shukla, P., Performance Evaluation of Conservation Programmes for Lakes of the Nainital Region, Research paper, 14 p., GRIN Verlag GmbH, 2014.#Shukla, P., Performance Evaluation of Conservation Programmes for Lakes of the Nainital Region, Research paper, 14 p., GRIN Verlag GmbH, 2014. |
| 4. | #Patsialis, T., I. Kougias, J. Ganoulis, and N. Theodossiou, Irrigation dams for renewable energy production, Economics of Water Management in Agriculture, Bournaris, T., J. Berbel, B. Manos, and D. Viaggi (editors), CRC Press, 2014. |
| 5. | Dias-Sardinha, I., and D. Ross, Perceived impact of the Alqueva dam on regional tourism development, Tourism Planning and Development, 12(3), 362-375, doi:10.1080/21568316.2014.988880, 2015. |
| 6. | Martin-Utrillas, M., F. Juan-Garcia, J. Canto-Perello, and Jorge Curiel-Esparza, Optimal infrastructure selection to boost regional sustainable economy, International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 22(1), 30-38, doi:10.1080/13504509.2014.954023, 2015. |
| 7. | Khorasani, H., R. Kerachian, and S. Malakpour-Estalaki, Developing a comprehensive framework for eutrophication management in off-stream artificial lakes, Journal of Hydrology, 562, 103-124, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.04.052, 2018. |
| 8. | Rodrigues, C., and T. Fidélis, The integration of land use in public water reservoirs plans – A critical analysis of the regulatory approaches used for the protection of banks, Land Use Policy, 81, 762-775, doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.10.047, 2019. |
| 9. | Dash, S. S., D. R. Sena, U. Mandal, A. Kumar, G. Kumar, P. K. Mishra, and M. Rawat, A hydrological modelling-based approach for vulnerable area identification under changing climate scenarios, Journal of Water and Climate Change,12(2), 433-452, doi:10.2166/wcc.2020.202, 2021. |
| 10. | Tegos, A., A. Ziogas, V. Bellos, and A. Tzimas, Forensic hydrology: a complete reconstruction of an extreme flood event in data-scarce area, Hydrology, 9(5), 93, doi:10.3390/hydrology9050093, 2022. |
| 11. | Wang, M., Y. Wang, L. Duan, X. Liu, H. Jia, and B. Zheng, Estimating the pollutant loss rate based on the concentration process and landscape unit interactions: a case study of the Dianchi Lake Basin, Yunnan Province, China, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29, 77927-77944, doi:10.1007/s11356-022-19696-9, 2022. |
| 12. | Goufa, M., E. Makeroufas, M. Gerakari, E. Sarri, A. Ragkos, P. J. Bebeli, A. Balestrazzi, and E. Tani, Understanding the potential to increase adoption of orphan crops: The Case of Lathyrus spp. cultivation in Greece, Agronomy, 14(1), 108, doi:10.3390/agronomy14010108, 2024. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, G. G. Anagnostopoulos, and N. Mamassis, Scientific dialogue on climate: is it giving black eyes or opening closed eyes? Reply to “A black eye for the Hydrological Sciences Journal” by D. Huard, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 56 (7), 1334–1339, doi:10.1080/02626667.2011.610759, 2011.
Remarks:
The full text is available at the journal's web site: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2011.610759
Huard's Discussion can be accessed again from the journal's web site: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2011.610758
Weblog discussions can be seen in Climate Science, ABC News Watch, Fabius Maximus, Itia.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1140/1/documents/2011HSJ_OpeningClosedEyes.pdf (88 KB)
Additional material:
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Jiang, P., M. R. Gautam, J. Zhu and Z. Yu, How well do the GCMs/RCMs capture the multi-scale temporal variability of precipitation in the Southwestern United States?, Journal of Hydrology, 479, 75-85, 2013. |
| 2. | Chun, K. P., H. S. Wheater, and C. Onof, Comparison of drought projections using two UK weather generators, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58(2), 1–15, 2013. |
| 3. | #Ranzi, R., Influence of climate and anthropogenic feedbacks on the hydrological cycle, water management and engineering, Proceedings of 2013 IAHR World Congress, 2013. |
| 4. | Kundzewicz, Z.W., S. Kanae, S. I. Seneviratne, J. Handmer, N. Nicholls, P. Peduzzi, R. Mechler, L. M. Bouweri, N. Arnell, K. Mach, R. Muir-Wood, G. R. Brakenridge, W. Kron, G. Benito, Y. Honda, K. Takahashi, and B. Sherstyukov, Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59(1), 1-28, doi:10.1080/02626667.2013.857411, 2014. |
| 5. | #Jiménez Cisneros, B.E., T. Oki, N.W. Arnell, G. Benito, J.G. Cogley, P. Döll, T. Jiang, and S.S. Mwakalila, Freshwater resources. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds.)], Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 229-269, 2014. |
| 6. | Hesse, C., V. Krysanova, A. Stefanova, M. Bielecka, and D. A. Domnin, Assessment of climate change impacts on water quantity and quality of the multi-river Vistula Lagoon catchment, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60(5), 890-911, doi:10.1080/02626667.2014.967247, 2015. |
| 7. | Nayak, P. C., R. Wardlaw, and A. K. Kharya, Water balance approach to study the effect of climate change on groundwater storage for Sirhind command area in India, International Journal of River Basin Management, 13(2), 243-261, doi:10.1080/15715124.2015.1012206, 2015. |
| 8. | Frank, P., Negligence, non-science, and consensus climatology, Energy and Environment, 26(3), doi:10.1260/0958-305X.26.3.391, 2015. |
| 9. | Kara, F., I. Yucel, and Z. Akyurek, Climate change impacts on extreme precipitation of water supply area in Istanbul: Use of ensemble climate modelling and geo-statistical downscaling, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61(14), 2481-2495, doi:10.1080/02626667.2015.1133911, 2016. |
| 10. | Refsgaard, J. C., T. O. Sonnenborg, M. B. Butts, J. H. Christensen, S. Christensen, M. Drews, K. H. Jensen, F. Jørgensen, L. F. Jørgensen, M. A. D. Larsen, S. H. Rasmussen, L. P. Seaby, D. Seifert, and T. N. Vilhelmsen, Climate change impacts on groundwater hydrology – where are the main uncertainties and can they be reduced?, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61(13), 2312-2324, doi:10.1080/02626667.2015.1131899, 2016. |
| 11. | Kundzewicz, Z. W., V. Krysanova, R. Dankers, Y. Hirabayashi, S. Kanae, F. F. Hattermann, S. Huang, P. C. D. Milly, M. Stoffel, P. P. J. Driessen, P. Matczak, P. Quevauviller, and H.-J. Schellnhuber, Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(1), 1-14, doi:10.1080/02626667.2016.1241398, 2017. |
| 12. | Connolly, R., M. Connolly, W. Soon, D. R. Legates, R. G. Cionco, and V. M. Velasco Herrera, Northern hemisphere snow-cover trends (1967–2018): A comparison between climate models and observations, Geosciences, 9(3), 135, doi:10.3390/geosciences9030135, 2019. |
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I. Nalbantis, A. Efstratiadis, E. Rozos, M. Kopsiafti, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Holistic versus monomeric strategies for hydrological modelling of human-modified hydrosystems, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15, 743–758, doi:10.5194/hess-15-743-2011, 2011.
The modelling of human-modified basins that are inadequately measured constitutes a challenge for hydrological science. Often, models for such systems are detailed and hydraulics-based for only one part of the system while for other parts oversimplified models or rough assumptions are used. This is typically a bottom-up approach, which seeks to exploit knowledge of hydrological processes at the micro-scale at some components of the system. Also, it is a monomeric approach in two ways: first, essential interactions among system components may be poorly represented or even omitted; second, differences in the level of detail of process representation can lead to uncontrolled errors. Additionally, the calibration procedure merely accounts for the reproduction of the observed responses using typical fitting criteria. The paper aims to raise some critical issues, regarding the entire modelling approach for such hydrosystems. For this, two alternative modelling strategies are examined that reflect two modelling approaches or philosophies: a dominant bottom-up approach, which is also monomeric and, very often, based on output information, and a top-down and holistic approach based on generalized information. Critical options are examined, which codify the differences between the two strategies: the representation of surface, groundwater and water management processes, the schematization and parameterization concepts and the parameter estimation methodology. The first strategy is based on stand-alone models for surface and groundwater processes and for water management, which are employed sequentially. For each model, a different (detailed or coarse) parameterization is used, which is dictated by the hydrosystem schematization. The second strategy involves model integration for all processes, parsimonious parameterization and hybrid manual-automatic parameter optimization based on multiple objectives. A test case is examined in a hydrosystem in Greece with high complexities, such as extended surface-groundwater interactions, ill-defined boundaries, sinks to the sea and anthropogenic intervention with unmeasured abstractions both from surface water and aquifers. Criteria for comparison are the physical consistency of parameters, the reproduction of runoff hydrographs at multiple sites within the studied basin, the likelihood of uncontrolled model outputs, the required amount of computational effort and the performance within a stochastic simulation setting. Our work allows for investigating the deterioration of model performance in cases where no balanced attention is paid to all components of human-modified hydrosystems and the related information. Also, sources of errors are identified and their combined effect are evaluated.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1055/11/documents/hess-15-743-2011.pdf (1733 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-743-2011
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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G. G. Anagnostopoulos, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 55 (7), 1094–1110, doi:10.1080/02626667.2010.513518, 2010.
We compare the output of various climate models to temperature and precipitation observations at 55 points around the globe. We spatially aggregate model output and observations over the contiguous USA using data from 70 stations, and we perform comparison at several temporal scales, including a climatic (30-year) scale. Besides confirming the findings of a previous assessment study that model projections at point scale are poor, results show that the spatially integrated projections do not correspond to reality any better.
Remarks:
The paper has been discussed in weblogs and forums.
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- Very Important New Paper “A Comparison Of Local And Aggregated Climate Model Outputs With Observed Data” By Anagnostopoulos Et Al 2010 (Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr.)
- New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are (Watts Up With That?)
- Missing News: No skill in climate modelling (ABC News Watch)
- Missing News: Climate models disputed (ABC News Watch)
- New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are (repost 1) (Countdown to critical mass)
- New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are (repost2 ) (Climate Observer)
- New Major Peer-Reviewed Study: Climate Models' Predictions Found To Be Shitty (C3)
- New peer reviewed paper shows just how bad the climate models really are - A response to the Climate Change Misinformation at wattsupwiththat.com (Wott's Up With That?)
- Climate model abuse (Niche Modeling)
- Very Important New Paper on models versus reality (Greenie Watch)
- New paper shows that there is no means of reliably predicting climate variables (Greenie Watch 2)
- A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data (Fire And Ice)
- Peer Reviewed Study States The Obvious (US Message Board)
- Climate models don’t work, in hindsight (Herald Sun Andrew Bolt Blog)
- Climate models don’t work, in hindsight (repost) (The Daily Telegraph)
- No abuse hides the fact: warmist models cannot even predict our past (Herald Sun Andrew Bolt Blog 2)
- No abuse hides the fact: the warmist models cannot even predict our past (PA Pundits – International)
- Aussie rains – IPCC models are bunkum, Energy tsunami, CCNet updates, Exit EU petition (clothcap)
- Aussie rains – IPCC models are bunkum, Energy tsunami, CCNet updates, Exit EU petition (repost) (My Telegraph)
- Science not politics (ecomyths)
- More evidence that Global Climate computer models are worthless (Tucano's Perch)
- Model skill? (Retread Resources Blog)
- Estudo sobre modelos climáticos (MeteoPT.com - Fórum de Meteorologia)
- Strategie di verifica delle prestazioni dei GCM, i risultati degli idrologi dell’università di Atene (Climate Monitor)
- Strategie di verifica delle prestazioni dei GCM, i risultati degli idrologi dell’università di Atene (repost) (Blog All Over The World)
- Klima - spådommer og målinger (ABC News)
- "Scam for the Ages" Makes Madoff Look Like Small Change (Al Fin)
- Teoria do AGA: um passado duvidoso, um presente mal contado e um futuro pior ainda. (Sou Engenheiro)
Other reactions in weblogs, forums and Internet resources during 2010:
Climate Etc. * Climate Etc. (2) * Climate Etc. (3) * YouTube * Science Forum * Google Groups * Google Groups 2 * Errors in IPCC climate science * Errors in IPCC climate science (2) * Just Grounds Community * A Few Things Ill Considered * Popular Technology.net * The Climate Scam * JunkScience * The Chronicle of Higher Education * The Little Skeptic * Jennifer Marohasy * Dot Earth Blog - NYTimes.com * ICECAP * Watching the Deniers * DVD Talk * Pure Poison * Peak Oil News and Message Boards * Bishop Hill * San Diego News * Sheffield Forum * Herald Sun Andrew Bolt Blog 3 * BBC - Richard Black's Earth Watch * Liberation * Pistonheads * ABC.net.au * Climate Conversation Group * Sydsvenskan - Nyheter dygnet runt * Telepolis * Keskisuomalainen * Keskisuomalainen 2
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/978/1/documents/928051726__.pdf (1309 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2010.513518
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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One decade after the first publications on multiobjective hydrological calibration, we summarize the experience gained so far, by underlining the key perspectives offered by such approaches to improve parameter identifiability. After reviewing the fundamentals of vector optimization theory and the algorithmic issues, we link the multicriteria calibration approach with the concepts of uncertainty and equifinality. Specifically, the multicriteria framework enables recognizing and handling errors and uncertainties, and detecting prominent behavioural solutions with acceptable trade-offs. Particularly in models of complex parameterization, a multiobjective approach becomes essential for improving the identifiability of parameters and augmenting the information contained in calibration, by means of both multiresponse measurements and empirical metrics (“soft” data), which account for the hydrological expertise. Based on the literature review, we also provide alternative techniques to treat with conflicting and non-commeasurable criteria, and hybrid strategies to utilize the information gained towards identifying promising compromise solutions that ensure consistent and reliable calibrations.
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| 324. | #Salmon-Monviola, J., O. Fovet, O., and M. Hrachowitz, Improving the internal hydrological consistency of a process-based solute-transport model by simultaneous calibration of streamflow and stream concentrations, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/hess-2023-292, 2024. |
| 325. | Wang, S., P. Zhong, F. Zhu, B. Xu, C. Xu, L. Yang, and m. Ben, Multi-objective optimization operation of multiple water sources under inflow-water demand forecast dual uncertainties, Journal of Hydrology, 130679, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130679, 2024. |
| 326. | Gegenleithner, S., G. Krebs, C. Dorfmann, and J. Schneider, Enhancing flood event predictions: Multi-objective calibration using gauge and satellite data, Journal of Hydrology, 632, 130879, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130879, 2024. |
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| 335. | Sánchez-Gómez, A., K. Bieger, C. Schürz, S. Martínez-Pérez, H. Rathjens, and E. Molina-Navarro, Hydrovars: an R tool to collect hydrological variables, Journal of Hydroinformatics, doi:10.2166/hydro.2024.293, 2024. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, C. Makropoulos, A. Langousis, S. Baki, A. Efstratiadis, A. Christofides, G. Karavokiros, and N. Mamassis, Climate, hydrology, energy, water: recognizing uncertainty and seeking sustainability, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 13, 247–257, doi:10.5194/hess-13-247-2009, 2009.
Since 1990 extensive funds have been spent on research in climate change. Although Earth Sciences, including climatology and hydrology, have benefited significantly, progress has proved incommensurate with the effort and funds, perhaps because these disciplines were perceived as “tools” subservient to the needs of the climate change enterprise rather than autonomous sciences. At the same time, research was misleadingly focused more on the “symptom”, i.e. the emission of greenhouse gases, than on the “illness”, i.e. the unsustainability of fossil fuel-based energy production. Unless energy saving and use of renewable resources become the norm, there is a real risk of severe socioeconomic crisis in the not-too-distant future. A framework for drastic paradigm change is needed, in which water plays a central role, due to its unique link to all forms of renewable energy, from production (hydro and wave power) to storage (for time-varying wind and solar sources), to biofuel production (irrigation). The extended role of water should be considered in parallel to its other uses, domestic, agricultural and industrial. Hydrology, the science of water on Earth, must move towards this new paradigm by radically rethinking its fundamentals, which are unjustifiably trapped in the 19th-century myths of deterministic theories and the zeal to eliminate uncertainty. Guidance is offered by modern statistical and quantum physics, which reveal the intrinsic character of uncertainty/entropy in nature, thus advancing towards a new understanding and modelling of physical processes, which is central to the effective use of renewable energy and water resources.
Remarks:
Blogs and forums that have discussed this article: Climate science; Vertical news; Outside the cube.
Update 2011-09-26: The removed video of the panel discussion of Nobelists entitled “Climate Changes and Energy Challenges” (held in the framework of the 2008 Meeting of Nobel Laureates at Lindau on Physics) which is referenced in footnote 1 of the paper, still cannot be located online. However, Larry Gould has an audio file of the discussion here.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/878/17/documents/hess-13-247-2009.pdf (1476 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-247-2009
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and A. Christofides, On the credibility of climate predictions, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53 (4), 671–684, doi:10.1623/hysj.53.4.671, 2008.
Geographically distributed predictions of future climate, obtained through climate models, are widely used in hydrology and many other disciplines, typically without assessing their reliability. Here we compare the output of various models to temperature and precipitation observations from eight stations with long (over 100 years) records from around the globe. The results show that models perform poorly, even at a climatic (30-year) scale. Thus local model projections cannot be credible, whereas a common argument that models can perform better at larger spatial scales is unsupported.
Remarks:
The paper has been widely discussed in weblogs and forums.
Weblogs and forums that discussed this article during 2008:
- Koutsoyiannis et al 2008: On the credibility of climate predictions (Climate Audit by Steve McIntyre) Reaction by first author * * * Additional reactions: 2 * 3 * 4 * 5 * 6 * more
- On the credibility of climate predictions by Koutsoyiannis et al. 2008 (Climate Science by Roger Pielke Sr. 1)
- Comments on a New Report on Climate Change in Colorado… (Climate Science by Roger Pielke Sr. 2)
- New Paper On Dynamic Downscaling Of Climate Models By Rockel Et. Al. Published (Climate Science by Roger Pielke Sr. 3)
- Hypothesis testing and long range memory (Real Climate by Gavin A. Schmidt) Reaction by 1st author; * * * Additional reaction
- Koutsoyiannis vs RealClimate.ORG (The Reference Frame by Luboš Motl) Reaction by 1rst author
- Modellen en vroegere werkelijkheid: een test (Klimaat by Marcel Severijnen 1)
- Nog eens: Modellen en vroegere werkelijkheid (Klimaat by Marcel Severijnen 2)
- Far from model predictions. As for the CSIRO’s… (Andrew Bolt Blog 1)
- Dud studies behind Rudd’s freakish claims (Andrew Bolt Blog 2)
- Rudd’s dud study (Andrew Bolt Blog 3)
- November snows all over the CSIRO (Andrew Bolt Blog 4)
- New paper demonstrates lack of credibility for climate model predictions (Jennifer Marohasy Blog 1)
- Ten of the Best Climate Research Papers (Nine Peer-Reviewed): A Note from Cohenite (Jennifer Marohasy Blog 2)
- Ten Worst Man-Made Disasters (Jennifer Marohasy Blog 3)
- Climate models struggling for credibility (Al Fin)
- Climate models fuzz (European Tribune)
- If it wasn't so serious then it'd be funny (Kerplunk - Common sense from Down Under)
- Laying the boot into climate models (The Tizona Group)
- More model mania (Planet Gore)
- New research on the credibility of climate predictions (SciForums)
- New paper demonstrates lack of credibility for climate model predictions 2 (Blogotariat)
- New study: climate models fail again (MSNBC Boards 1)
- Global Climate Models Fail (Again) (MSNBC Boards 2)
- On the credibility of climate predictions (Chronos)
- Sane skepticism, part 2 (Helicity)
- Science. On the credibility of climate predictions (Greenhouse Bullcrap)
- Testing global warming models (Assorted Meanderings)
- Climate cuttings 21 (Bishop Hill blog)
- Models, Climate Change and Credibility... (21st Century Schizoid Man)
- Two valuable perspectives on global warming (Fabius Maximus)
- Unreliability of climate models? (Climate Change)
- Crumbling Consensus: Global Climate Models Fail (Stubborn Facts)
- The Australian government's climate castle is built on sand (Greenie Watch)
- Koutsoyiannis et al 2008 (Detached Ideas)
- Credibility of Climate Predictions Paper (TWO community)
- "Climate consensus" continues to unravel (Solomonia)
- Climate models have no predictive value (Acadie 1755)
- Global Warming Summary series, Part 5: The Earth’s Greenhouse Gas – CO2 and IPCC Climate Modeling (Global Warming Science)
- Reducing Vulnerability to Climate-Sensitive Risks is the Best Insurance Policy (Cato Unbound)
- Global Warming News of the Week (No Oil for Pacifists)
- A few more cooling blasts at hot air balloons (Clothcap2 : My Telegraph)
- IPCC-Klimamodell unbrauchbar (jetzt Sueddeutsche)
- Uups II: IPCC-Klimamodelle fantasieren (Die Achse des Guten)
- Griechische Unsicherheiten (Climate Review)
- El fracaso de los modelos (Valdeperrillos)
- Klimamodeller er usikre (Debattcentralen - Aftenposten.no)
- Studie: Klimatmodellernas trovärdighet låg (Klimatsvammel)
- Credibilidad de las predicciones climáticas (FAEC Mitos y Fraudes)
Other reactions in weblogs, forums and Internet resources during 2008:
Climate Audit 2 * Climate Audit 3 * Real Climate 2 * Junk Science * Wikipedia * Wikipedia Talk 1 * Wikipedia Talk 2 * Wikipedia Talk 3 * Global Warming Clearinghouse 1 * Global Warming Clearinghouse 2 * Global Warming Clearinghouse 3 * ICECAP * Climate Feedback (Nature) * Google Groups - alt.global-warming 1 * Google Groups - alt.global-warming 2 * Google Groups - alt.politics.usa * Google Groups - sci.environment * Google Groups - sci.physics * Yahoo Tech Groups * Yahoo Message Boards * Andrew Bolt Blog 5 * Andrew Bolt Blog 6 * Andrew Bolt Blog 7 * Andrew Bolt Blog 8 * Andrew Bolt Blog 9 * Andrew Bolt Blog 10 * Andrew Bolt Blog 11 * Andrew Bolt Blog 12 * Andrew Bolt Blog 13 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 4 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 5 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 6 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 7 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 8 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 9 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 10 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 11 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 12 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 13 * Jennifer Marohasy Blog 14 * The Blackboard 1 * The Blackboard 2 * The Motley Fool Discussion Boards 1 * The Motley Fool Discussion Boards 2 * The Daily Bayonet * FinanMart * JREF Forum 1 * JREF Forum 2 * JREF Forum 3 * AccuWeather * Climate Change Fraud 1 * Climate Change Fraud 2 * Climate Change Fraud 4 * Climate Change Fraud 5 * Watts Up With That? 1 * Watts Up With That? 2 * Watts Up With That? 3 * Watts Up With That? 4 * Watts Up With That? 5 * City-Data Forum * Climate Brains * Dvorak Uncensored * Newspoll * The Australian 1 * The Australian 2 * ABC Unleashed 1 * ABC Unleashed 2 * ABC Unleashed 3 * ABC Unleashed 4 * ABC Science Online Forum * Global Warming Skeptics * Niche Modeling * Dot Earth - The New York Times 1 * Dot Earth - The New York Times 2 * Dot Earth - The New York Times 3 * Dot Earth - The New York Times 4 * Dot Earth - The New York Times 5 * Dot Earth - The New York Times 6 * Bart Verheggen * WE Blog * Globe and Mail 1 * Globe and Mail 2 * Small Dead Animals * forums.ski.com.au * ABC Message Board * Sydney Morning Herald 1 (also published in the print version of the newspaper) * Sydney Morning Herald 2 * Sydney Morning Herald 3 * PistonHeads * Clipmarks * British Blogs * The Devil's Kitchen * Peak Oil Journal * The Volokh Conspiracy * Weather Underground * Capitol Grilling * Science & Environmental Policy Project * SookNET Technology * Climate Review 2 * Social Science News Central * Urban75 Forums * Wolf Howling * Launch Magazine Online * Popular Technology * The Environment Site Forums * CNC zone * Solar Cycle 24 Forums * Wired Science * Climate 411 * Daimnation * The Forum * Global Warming Information * Christian Forums 1 * Christian Forums 2 * CommonDreams.org 1 * CommonDreams.org 2 * Greenhouse Bullcrap 2 * Derkeiler Newsgroup * YouTube * Fresh Video * Topix * WeerOnline * The Air Vent * Greenfyre’s * Crikey * ChangeBringer * Scotsman.com News * Climate Change Controversies - David Pratt * Skeptical Science * Block’s Indicator of Sustainable Growth * Digg * Millard Fillmore’s Bathtub * News Busters * AgoraVox * Notre Planete * France 5 * Wissen - Sueddeutsche * Telepolis-Blogforen 1 * Telepolis-Blogforen 2 * Telepolis-Blogforen 3 * WirtschaftsWoche * Antizyklisches Forum * Oekologismus.de * Público.es * Uppsalainitiativet * Tiede.fi 1 * Tiede.fi 2 * Tiede.fi 3 * kolumbus.fi/ * De Rerum Natura * Ilmastonmuutos - totta vai tarua * Politics.be * Keisarin uudet vaatteet * Keskustelut * Que Treta * Svensson * Punditokraterne * StumbleUpon * Scribd
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/864/1/documents/2008HSJClimPredictions.pdf (997 KB)
Additional material:
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar, ResearchGate or ResearchGate (additional)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, A. Koukouvinos, E. Rozos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, HYDROGEIOS: A semi-distributed GIS-based hydrological model for modified river basins, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 12, 989–1006, doi:10.5194/hess-12-989-2008, 2008.
The HYDROGEIOS modelling framework represents the main processes of the hydrological cycle in heavily modified catchments, with decision-depended abstractions and interactions between surface and groundwater flows. A semi-distributed approach and a monthly simulation time step are adopted, which are sufficient for water resources management studies. The modelling philosophy aims to ensure consistency with the physical characteristics of the system, while keeping the number of parameters as low as possible. Therefore, multiple levels of schematisation and parameterisation are adopted, by combining multiple levels of geographical data. To optimally allocate human abstractions from the hydrosystem during a planning horizon or even to mimic the allocation occurred in a past period (e.g. the calibration period), in the absence of measured data, a linear programming problem is formulated and solved within each time step. With this technique the fluxes across the hydrosystem are estimated, and the satisfaction of physical and operational constraints is ensured. The model framework includes a parameter estimation module that involves various goodness-of-fit measures and state-of-the-art evolutionary algorithms for global and multiobjective optimisation. By means of a challenging case study, the paper discusses appropriate modelling strategies which take advantage of the above framework, with the purpose to ensure a robust calibration and reproduce natural and human induced processes in the catchment as faithfully as possible.
Remarks:
Permission is granted to reproduce and modify this paper under the terms of the Creative Commons NonCommercial ShareAlike 2.5 license. The discussion paper and its reviews are shown in the HESSD site.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/787/1/documents/hess-12-989-2008.pdf (3843 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-12-989-2008
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and K. Georgakakos, Uncertainty assessment of future hydroclimatic predictions: A comparison of probabilistic and scenario-based approaches, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8 (3), 261–281, doi:10.1175/JHM576.1, 2007.
During the last decade, numerous studies have been carried out to predict future climate based on climatic models run on the global scale and fed by plausible scenarios about anthropogenic forcing to climate. Based on climatic model output, hydrologic models attempt then to predict future hydrologic regimes at regional scales. Much less systematic work has been done to estimate climatic uncertainty and to assess the climatic and hydrologic model outputs within an uncertainty perspective. In this study, a stochastic framework for future climatic uncertainty is proposed, based on the following lines: (1) climate is not constant but rather varying in time and expressed by the long-term (e.g. 30-year) time average of a natural process, defined on a fine scale; (2) the evolution of climate is represented as a stochastic process; (3) the distributional parameters of a process, marginal and dependence, are estimated from an available sample by statistical methods; (4) the climatic uncertainty is the result of at least two factors, the climatic variability and the uncertainty of parameter estimation; (5) a climatic process exhibits a scaling behavior, also known as long-range dependence or the Hurst phenomenon; (6) because of this dependence, the uncertainty limits of the future are affected by the available observations of the past. The last two lines differ from classical statistical considerations and produce uncertainty limits that eventually are much wider than those of classical statistics. A combination of analytical and Monte Carlo methods is developed to determine uncertainty limits for the nontrivial scaling case. The framework developed is applied with temperature, rainfall and runoff data from a catchment in Greece, for which data exist for about a century. The uncertainty limits are then superimposed onto deterministic projections up to 2050, obtained for several scenarios and climatic models combined with a hydrologic model. These projections indicate a significant increase of temperature in the future, beyond uncertainty bands, and no significant change of rainfall and runoff as they lie well within uncertainty limits.
Remarks:
Erratum in equation (A3) in the final paper; see the correct version in preprint.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM576.1
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
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| 38. | Delpasand, M., E. Fallah-Mehdipour, M. Azizipour, M. Jalali, H. R. Safavi, B. Saghafian, H. A. Loáiciga, M. Singh Babel, D. Savic, and O. Bozorg-Haddad, Forensic engineering analysis applied to flood control, Journal of Hydrology, 594, 125961, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.125961, 2021. |
| 39. | Neupane, S., S. Shrestha, U. Ghimire, S. Mohanasundaram, and S. Ninsawat, Evaluation of the CORDEX regional climate models (RCMs) for simulating climate extremes in the Asian cities, Science of The Total Environment, 797, 149137, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149137, 2021. |
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K. Hadjibiros, A. Katsiri, A. Andreadakis, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Stamou, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and G.-F. Sargentis, Multi-criteria reservoir water management, Global Network for Environmental Science and Technology, 7 (3), 386–394, doi:10.30955/gnj.000394, 2005.
The Plastiras dam was constructed in the late 1950s mainly for electric power production, but it has also partially covered irrigation needs and water supply of the plain of Thessaly. Later, the site has been designated as an environment conservation zone because of ecological and landscape values, while tourist activities have been developed around the reservoir. Irrigation of agricultural land, hydroelectric production, drinking water supply, tourism, ecosystem water quality and scenery conservation have evidently been conflicting targets for many years. Good management would require a multi-criteria decision making. Historical data show that the irregular water release has resulted in a great annual fluctuation of the reservoir water level. This situation could be improved by a rational management of abstractions. Apparently, higher release leads simultaneously to more power production and to irrigation of a larger agricultural land. Moreover, demands for electricity and for irrigation are partially competing to each other, due to different optimal time schedules of releases. On the other hand, higher water release leads to lower water level in the reservoir and, therefore, it decreases the beauty of the scenery and deteriorates the trophic state of the lake. Such degradation affects the tourist potential as well as the quality of drinking water supplied by the reservoir. A multi-criteria approach uses different scenarios for the minimum permissible water level of the reservoir, if a constant annual release is applied. The minimum level concept is a simple and functional tool, because it is understood by people, easily certified and incorporated into regulations. The quantity of water that would be yearly available is a function of the minimum level allowed. The water quality depends upon the trophic state of the lake, mainly the concentration of chlorophyll-a, which determines the state of eutrophication and is estimated by water quality simulation models, taking into account pollutant loads such as nitrogen and phosphorus. The value of the landscape is much depending on the water level of the lake, because for lower levels a dead-zone appears between the surface of the water and the surrounding vegetation. When this dead zone is large, it seems lifeless and the lake appears partially empty. Quantification of this visual effect is not easy, but it is possible to establish a correspondence between the aesthetic assessment of the scenery and the minimum allowed reservoir level. Using results from hydrological analysis, water quality models and landscape evaluation, it seems possible to construct a multi-criteria table with different criteria described against alternatives and with a plot of three relative indices against the minimum level allowed. However, decision making has to take into account the fact that comparison or merging of indices corresponding to different criteria analysis encompasses a degree of arbitrariness. More objective decisions would be possible if different benefits and costs were measured in a common unit. Moreover, management will be sensitive to different social pressures.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/704/1/documents/2006GnestPlastiras.pdf (114 KB)
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A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, G.-F. Sargentis, and K. Hadjibiros, Resolving conflicting objectives in the management of the Plastiras Lake: can we quantify beauty?, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 9 (5), 507–515, doi:10.5194/hess-9-507-2005, 2005.
The possible water management of the Plastiras Lake, an artificial reservoir in central Greece, is examined. The lake and surrounding landscape are aesthetically degraded when the water level drops, and the requirement of maintaining a high quality of the scenery constitutes one of the several conflicting water uses, the other ones being irrigation, water supply, and power production. This environmental water use, and, to a lesser extent, the requirement for adequate water quality, results in constraining the annual release. Thus, the allowed fluctuation of reservoir stage is not defined by the physical and technical characteristics of the reservoir, but by a multi-criteria decision, the three criteria being maximising water release, ensuring adequate water quality, and maintaining a high quality of the natural landscape. Each of these criteria is analyzed separately. The results are then put together in a multicriterion tableau, which helps understand the implications of the possible alternative decisions. Several conflict resolution methods are overviewed, namely willingness to pay, hedonic prices, and multi-criteria decision analysis. All these methods attempt to quantify non-quantifiable qualities, and it is concluded that they don't necessarily offer any advantage over merely making a choice based on understanding.
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Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/683/1/documents/2005HESSPlastiras.pdf (404 KB)
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E. Rozos, A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Calibration of a semi-distributed model for conjunctive simulation of surface and groundwater flows, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 49 (5), 819–842, doi:10.1623/hysj.49.5.819.55130, 2004.
A hydrological simulation model was developed for conjunctive representation of surface and groundwater processes. It comprises a conceptual soil moisture accounting module, based on an enhanced version of the Thornthwaite model for the soil moisture reservoir, a Darcian multi-cell groundwater flow module and a module for partitioning water abstractions among water resources. The resulting integrated scheme is highly flexible in the choice of time (i.e. monthly to daily) and space scales (catchment scale, aquifer scale). Model calibration involved successive phases of manual and automatic sessions. For the latter, an innovative optimization method called evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm is devised. The objective function involves weighted goodness-of-fit criteria for multiple variables with different observation periods, as well as penalty terms for restricting unrealistic water storage trends and deviations from observed intermittency of spring flows. Checks of the unmeasured catchment responses through manually changing parameter bounds guided choosing final parameter sets. The model is applied to the particularly complex Boeoticos Kephisos basin, Greece, where it accurately reproduced the main basin response, i.e. the runoff at its outlet, and also other important components. Emphasis is put on the principle of parsimony which resulted in a computationally effective modelling. This is crucial since the model is to be integrated within a stochastic simulation framework.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/630/1/documents/2004HSJCalibrSemiDistrModel.pdf (445 KB)
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1623/hysj.49.5.819.55130
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A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and D. Xenos, Minimizing water cost in the water resource management of Athens, Urban Water Journal, 1 (1), 3–15, doi:10.1080/15730620410001732099, 2004.
The minimisation of the water cost is examined in the framework of an integrated water resources planning and management model, implemented within the decision support system for the management of the Athens water supply system. The mathematical framework employs a simulation-optimisation scheme, where simulation is applied to faithfully represent the system operation, whereas optimisation is applied to derive the optimal management policy, which simultaneously minimises the risk and cost of decision-making. Real economic criteria in addition with virtual costs are appropriately assigned to preserve the physical constraints and water use priorities, ensuring also the lowest-cost transportation of water from the sources to the consumption. The proposed model is tested in the hydrosystem of Athens, in order to minimise the expected operational cost for several system configurations.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15730620410001732099
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #SIRRIMED (Sustainable use of irrigation water in the Mediterranean Region), D4.2 and D5.2 Report on Models to be Implemented in the District Information Systems (DIS) and Watershed Information Systems (WIS), 95 pp., Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, 2011. |
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D. Koutsoyiannis, G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, and A. Christofides, A decision support system for the management of the water resource system of Athens, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 28 (14-15), 599–609, doi:10.1016/S1474-7065(03)00106-2, 2003.
The main components of a decision support system (DSS) developed to support the management of the water resource system of Athens are presented. The DSS includes information systems that perform data acquisition, management and visualisation, and models that perform simulation and optimisation of the hydrosystem. The models, which are the focus of the present work, are organised into two main modules. The first one is a stochastic hydrological simulator, which, based on the analysis of historical hydrological data, generates simulations and forecasts of the hydrosystem inputs. The second one allows the detailed study of the hydrosystem under alternative management policies implementing the parameterisation-simulation-optimisation methodology. The mathematical framework of this new methodology performs the allocation of the water resources to the different system components, keeping the number of control variables small and thus reducing the computational effort, even for a complex hydrosystem like the one under study. Multiple, competitive targets and constraints with different priorities can be set, which are concerned among others, with the system reliability and risk, the overall average operational cost and the overall guaranteed yield of the system. The DSS is in the final stage of its development and its results, some of which are summarised in the paper, have been utilised to support the new masterplan of the hydrosystem management.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/579/2/documents/2001PCEAthensDSS.pdf (604 KB)
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1474-7065(03)00106-2
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and G. Karavokiros, A decision support tool for the management of multi-reservoir systems, Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 38 (4), 945–958, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2002.tb05536.x, 2002.
A decision support tool is developed for the management of water resources, focusing on multipurpose reservoir systems. This software tool has been designed in such a way that it can be suitable to hydrosystems with multiple water uses and operating goals, calculating complex multi-reservoir systems as a whole. The mathematical framework is based on the parameterization-simulation-optimization scheme. The main idea consists of a parametric formulation of the operating rules for reservoirs and other projects (i.e. hydropower plants). This methodology enables the radical decrease of the number of decision variables, making feasible the location of the optimal management policy, which maximizes the system yield and the overall operational benefit and minimizes the risk for the management decisions. The program was developed using advanced software engineering techniques. It is adaptable in a wide range of water resources systems and its purpose is to support water and power supply companies and related authorities. It was already applied to two of the most complicated hydrosystems of Greece, the first time as a planning tool and the second time as a management tool.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2002.tb05536.x
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A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, The water-energy nexus as sociotechnical system under uncertainty, Elgar Encyclopedia of Water Policy, Economics and Management, edited by P. Kountouri and A. Alamanos, Chapter 64, 279–283, doi:10.4337/9781802202946.00071, 2024.
Although the roots of the concept of sustainability and the associated concerns are too deep, the massive changes across all scales (global and local) enforce the science to resolve the interlinked and highly uncertain nexus of water and energy. The four pillars of sustainability are underlying to technical, social, economic and environmental factors, which are inherently interdependent. Consequently, these factors generate multiple facets of uncertainty that span over all external and internal processes, regarding the system’s drivers (environmental and social), the fluxes, as well as their conversions across the water-energy nexus. From the pure technical perspective, the uncertainty of the input environmental processes is usually expressed through probabilistic and stochastic models, as the proper means to describe changing systems, while the key question to address is whether such approaches can also be expanded into the even more complex areas of societal systems. In this context, the focus of this article is to introduce an integrated overview of the water-energy nexus as a dynamic sociotechnical system, to highlight the effects of cascade uncertainties, and eventually provide a critical review of state-of-the-art solutions.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2341/1/documents/9781802202946-chapter64.pdf (176 KB)
See also: https://www.elgaronline.com/display/book/9781802202946/chapter64.xml
A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, and P. Kossieris, Improving hydrological model identifiability by driving calibration with stochastic inputs, Advances in Hydroinformatics: Machine Learning and Optimization for Water Resources, edited by G. A. Corzo Perez and D. P. Solomatine, doi:10.1002/9781119639268.ch2, American Geophysical Union, 2024.
For a long time, the classical problem of identifying the optimal modeling structure and/or parameters followed the calibration-validation norm, originating from the iconic split-sample scheme by Vit Klemeš. A common feature of such approaches is their dependence on the length and representativeness of the available data. This introduces several questions since the inferred parameters are selected according to a specific subset (or subsets) of historical data, while the rest of data is used for validation. In this vein, we propose a conceptually simple approach driven by the well-known stochastic simulation paradigm, which builds upon the idea of calibrating models using alternative, yet probabilistically consistent, synthetic data. Decoupling this way, the available data now become the basis to generate stochastic inputs, as well as for model validation and parameter uncertainty assessment. This allows for embedding the stochasticity of real-world drivers (rainfall, evapotranspiration) and responses (runoff) and thus their hydrological uncertainty. Furthermore, it results to stable and robust models , as calibration is performed using long enough time series that reproduce important properties that are associated with the changing climate (e.g., long-term persistence), which are generally hidden in the short historical samples. Identifying this way, the derived parameters are optimal not only for the historical data set, but for any alternative plausible realization of the modeled processes.
C. Ntemiroglou, G.-K. Sakki, and A. Efstratiadis, Flood control across hydropower dams: The value of safety, Role of Dams and Reservoirs in a Successful Energy Transition - Proceedings of the 12th ICOLD European Club Symposium 2023, edited by R. Boes, P. Droz, and R. Leroy, 187–198, doi:10.1201/9781003440420-22, International Commission on Large Dams, Interlaken, Switzerland, 2023.
Hydropower reservoirs inherently serving as major flood protection infrastructures, are commonly occupied with gated spillways, to increase both their storage capacity and head. From an operational viewpoint, during severe flood events, this feature raises challenging conflicts with respect to combined management of turbines and gates. From the perception of safety, a fully conservative policy that aims to diminish the possibility of dam overtopping, imposes to operate the turbines in their maximum capacity and, simultaneously, opening the gates to allow uncontrolled flow over the spillway. Yet, this practice may have negative economic impacts from three aspects. First, significant amounts of water that could be stored for generating energy and also fulfilling other uses, are lost. Second, the activation of turbines may be in contrast with the associated hydropower scheduling (e.g., generation of firm energy only during peak hours, when the market value of electricity is high). Last, the flood wave through the spillway may cause unnecessary damages to downstream areas. In this vein, this paper aims to reveal the problem of ensuring a best-compromise equilibrium between the overall objective of maximizing the benefits from hydropower production and minimizing flood risk. In order to explore the multiple methodological and practical challenges from a real-world perspective, we take as example one of the largest hydroelectric dams of Greece, i.e., Pournari at Arachthos River, Epirus (useful storage 310 hm³, power capacity 300 MW). Interestingly, this dam is located just upstream of the city of Arta, thus its control is absolutely crucial for about 25 000 residents. Based on historical flood events, as well as hypothetical floods (e.g., used within spillway design), we seek for a generic flood management policy, to fulfill the two aforementioned objectives. The proposed policy is contrasted with established rules and actual manipulations by the dam operators.
Full text:
P. Dimas, G.-K. Sakki, P. Kossieris, I. Tsoukalas, A. Efstratiadis, C. Makropoulos, N. Mamassis, and K. Pipili, Outlining a master plan framework for the design and assessment of flood mitigation infrastructures across large-scale watersheds, 12th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment (EWRA 2023) “Managing Water-Energy-Land-Food under Climatic, Environmental and Social Instability”, 75–76, European Water Resources Association, Thessaloniki, 2023.
On September 16, 2020, the Hellenic Ministry of Infrastructure assigned to the concessionaire of the Central Greece Motorway E65 the design and construction of supplemental works for the urgent flood protection of areas along the motorway alignment, including the Western Thessaly region (Greece). Considering the damages and losses induced by the Medicane Ianos over the greater Thessaly region the concessionaire, on its own initiative, proclaimed the need for developing a Master Plan for the West Thessaly flood protection. The final area of interest, herein referred to as Western Peneios watershed, occupies approximately 6400 km2, thus constituting a mega-scale hydrological, hydraulic and water management study that poses multiple conceptual and computational challenges. The overall question of the Master Plan is to provide a synthesis of already proposed as well as new projects (dams, embankments, ditches), and prioritize them under a multipurpose prism. The methodological framework is comprised of three axes: (i) a preliminary assessment of specific areas where high risk is expected due to flood phenomena, by utilizing a GIS-based multi-criteria decision analysis approach, (ii) a semi-distributed representation of the rainfall-runoff transformations and the flood routing processes across the entire watershed, and (iii) a coupled 1D/2D hydrodynamic simulation of the flood prone riverine system, also including a highly complex system of artificial channels. The final planning prioritizes the strengthening of flood protection in the study area through the combined influence of a set of large-scale projects, i.e., dikes, multi-purpose dams (permanent reservoirs) and retention basins of controlled inundation (temporary reservoirs). The objective is to sketch a framework for facing similar studies in a holistic manner, while maintaining a high level of computational efficiency and explainability.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2306/1/documents/EWRA2023-dimas.pdf (232 KB)
Additional material:
V. Bellos, P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, I. Papakonstantis, P. Papanicolaou, P. Dimas, and C. Makropoulos, Can we use hydraulic handbooks in blind trust? Two examples from a real-world complex hydraulic system, Proceedings of 7th IAHR Europe Congress "Innovative Water Management in a Changing Climate”, Athens, International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research (IAHR), 2022.
In this work, we investigate whether the parameters of physics-based hydraulic models, omnipresent in every relevant engineering handbook, can be used in blind trust in a real-world complex system. Here, we focus on the discharge coefficient for flows through a sluice gate and the Manning’s coefficient for steady flows, and we compare their typical literature values (experimentally derived) against the ones obtained via a “grey-box” calibration approach using real flow data from the complex raw-water conveyance system of Athens, Greece.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2231/1/documents/IAHR_bellos.pdf (243 KB)
G.-K. Sakki, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Stress-testing for water-energy systems by coupling agent-based models, Proceedings of 7th IAHR Europe Congress "Innovative Water Management in a Changing Climate”, Athens, 402–403, International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research (IAHR), 2022.
We propose the incorporation of the human factor to the long-term management policy of water-energy systems, since the social and the technical system are inextricably linked. To assess the management of such systems, we attempt to stress-test them under different disturbances, which are driven by both expected and highly unpredictable changes e.g., socioeconomic and hydrometeorological fluctuations, and black-swan events, respectively. By coupling the two major research fields, namely the water-energy nexus and the social behavior, in an uncertainty-aware framework, we introduce the concept of stochastic socio-hydrological systems. In this context, the response and adaptation of society plays the role of music, while the plethora of disturbances the role of the conductor.
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V.-E. K. Sarantopoulou, G. J. Tsekouras, A. D. Salis, D. E. Papantonis, V. Riziotis, G. Caralis, K.-K. Drakaki, G.-K. Sakki, A. Efstratiadis, and K. X. Soulis, Optimal operation of a run-of-river small hydropower plant with two hydro-turbines, 2022 7th International Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sciences and Industry (MCSI), Marathon Beach, Athens, 80–88, doi:10.1109/MCSI55933.2022.00020, 2022.
The operation of a small hydroelectric power plant (HPS) with two hydro turbines of different types and power is usually done following a hierarchical rule, which is not necessarily the most efficient. Alternatively, other synergetic rules have been proposed that improve the delivered energy. In this paper, the operation of the two turbines is systematized by examining all possible operation combinations of the turbines, depending on the incoming water flow, its distribution (in the case of operation of both hydro turbines, at the optimal power mode) and the formation of a suitable lookup table for the optimal operation of an HPS. The implementation of the method is easily achieved using a quadratic equation efficiency-flow curve. In this way, the total efficiency of the two-turbine system is optimized.
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See also: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10066102
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Moschoudis, A. P., G. J. Tsekouras, F. D. Kanellos, and A. G. Kladas, Generator and transformer efficiency study for the design of a run-of-river small hydropower plant with one hydro-turbine, 2022 7th International Conference on Mathematics and Computers in Sciences and Industry (MCSI), Athens, Greece, 71-79, doi:10.1109/MCSI55933.2022.00019, 2022. |
V. Bellos, P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, I. Papakonstantis, P. Papanicolaou, P. Dimas, and C. Makropoulos, Fiware-enabled tool for real-time control of the raw-water conveyance system of Athens, Proceedings of the 39th IAHR World Congress, Granada, 2859–2865, doi:10.3850/IAHR-39WC2521716X20221468, International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research (IAHR), 2022.
The raw water network system of Athens (Greece) is a complex infrastructure comprising around 500 km of aqueducts, conveying water from four reservoirs to four water treatment plants, while serving several other local users. In this work, we focus on the most important part of this system, namely the open-channel aqueduct of Mornos. This extends over 200 km and has a dual operation, namely water conveyance and flow regulation through temporary storage along the channel. This is achieved by a series of Λ-type structures, each one comprising sluice gates for flow control and a lateral ogee spillway. Currently, the regulation across the channel is performed through empirical rules, and according to target volumes requested by the operators of the downstream water treatment plants, on a daily basis. However, this management policy, which is strongly based on expert’s knowledge, is neither sustainable nor safe, from a resilience perspective. Furthermore, the system is subject to occasional failures, due to undesirable overflows resulting to non-negligible water losses. In order to establish an optimal control policy, we developed an operational tool for the real- time scheduling of the sluice gate settings. Core of the tool is a conceptual model that incorporates the following assumptions: a) the operation of a Λ-type structure does not affect the operation of the other relevant structures; b) the Λ-type structure has two flow components, namely through the sluice gate and over the lateral spillway, which can be described by theoretical and semi-empirical hydraulic formulas, considering as unknown parameters the discharge coefficients of all sluice gates. On the other hand, the known model inputs are the geometrical characteristics of Λ-type structures and the real-time data for discharge, water level and gate opening, which are obtained from the telemetric monitoring system of the channel. In this respect, the key challenge is the determination of the discharge coefficients. This is employed through a grey-box approach, in which the model parameters are calibrated in continuous mode, using real-time data. To check the plausibility of the discharge coefficients, as derived by the real-time calibration phase, a comparison is made with the corresponding coefficients derived by historical data (off-line calibration). The tool, along with other analytics and algorithms developed, has been seamlessly integrated with the existing legacy system (e.g., SCADA, databases) of the system’s operator (Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company - EYDAP), using the FIWARE standardization protocol.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2226/1/documents/04-07-014-1468.pdf (10700 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Revisiting the management of water-energy systems under the umbrella of resilience optimization, e-Proceedings of the 5th EWaS International Conference, Naples, 596–603, 2022.
The optimal management of sociotechnical systems across the water-energy nexus is critical issue towards the overall goal of sustainable development. However, the new challenges induced by global crises and sudden changes require a paradigm shift, in order to ensure tolerance against such kinds of disturbance that are beyond their “normal” operational standards. This may be achieved by incorporating the concept of resilience within the procedure for extracting optimal management policies and assessing their performance, by means of well-designed stress-tests. The proposed approach is investigated by using as proof of concept the complex and highly-extended water resource system of Athens, Greece.
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N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, P. Dimitriadis, T. Iliopoulou, R. Ioannidis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Water and Energy, Handbook of Water Resources Management: Discourses, Concepts and Examples, edited by J.J. Bogardi, T. Tingsanchali, K.D.W. Nandalal, J. Gupta, L. Salamé, R.R.P. van Nooijen, A.G. Kolechkina, N. Kumar, and A. Bhaduri, Chapter 20, 617–655, doi:10.1007/978-3-030-60147-8_20, Springer Nature, Switzerland, 2021.
The fundamental concepts in the field of water-energy systems and their historical evolution with emphasis on recent developments are reviewed. Initially, a brief history of the relation of water and energy is presented, and the concept of the water-energy nexus in the 21th century is introduced. The investigation of the relationship between water and energy shows that this relationship comprises both conflicting and synergistic elements. Hydropower is identified as the major industry of the sector and its role in addressing modern energy challenges by means of integrated water-energy management is highlighted. Thus, the modelling steps of designing and operating a hydropower system are reviewed, followed by an analysis of theory and physics behind energy hydraulics. The key concept of uncertainty, which characterises all types of renewable energy, is also presented in the context of the design and management of water-energy systems. Subsequently, environmental considerations and impacts of using water for energy generation are discussed, followed by a summary of the developments in the emerging field of maritime energy. Finally, present challenges and possible future directions are presented.
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bertsiou, M. M., and E. Baltas, Management of energy and water resources by minimizing the rejected renewable energy, Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 52(A), 102002, doi:10.1016/j.seta.2022.102002, 2022. |
| 2. | Spanoudaki, K., P. Dimitriadis, E. A. Varouchakis, and G. A. C. Perez, Estimation of hydropower potential using Bayesian and stochastic approaches for streamflow simulation and accounting for the intermediate storage retention, Energies, 15(4), 1413, doi:10.3390/en15041413, 2022. |
| 3. | Freires, f. J., V. do Nascimento Damasceno, A. L. S. Machado, G. B. Martins, L. M. da Silva, M. C. da Silveira Pio, L. H. Claro Júnior, D. C. Sales, A. G. Reis, and D. Nascimento-e-Silva, Advantages and disadvantages of renewable energy: a review of the scientific literature, Revista de Gestão e Secretariado, 14(11), 20221-20240, doi:10.7769/gesec.v14i11.3174, 2023. |
| 4. | Bertsiou, M. M., and E. Baltas, Integration of different storage technologies towards sustainable development—A case study in a Greek island, Wind, 4(1), 68-89, doi:10.3390/wind4010004, 2024. |
K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Development of a distributed hydrological software application employing novel velocity-based techniques, 11th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment “Managing Water Resources for a Sustainable Future”, Madrid, European Water Resources Association, 2019.
The aim of this study is the development of an event-based distributed hydrological model, incorporating novel methodologies for estimating the effective rainfall and flow routing across the terrain and the hydrographic network (Risva 2018). We present two modelling configurations of the model, one for extracting the flood hydrograph (separating interflow) and one for the full hydrograph, at the basin outlet.
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C. Rebolho, V. Andréassian, I. Tsoukalas, et A. Efstratiadis, La crue du Loing de Juin 2016 était-elle exceptionnelle?, De la prévision des crues à la gestion de crise, Avignon, Société Hydrotechnique de France, 2018.
A heavy rainfall event affected the northern center part of France from May 30 to June 6, 2016, leading to a general overflowing of rivers in the Seine and Loire catchments. The resulting inundations exceeded the previous records on some catchments, such as the River Loing where the water height of January 1910 was outreached for the first time. This event results from the combination of an extremely wet month of May and a rainfall accumulation of 130 mm in one week which led to a daily peak flow of 450 m3/s on this catchment. The main goal of this study is to show the limitations of standard methods for the estimation of return periods of extreme events. Usually, statistic laws such as Gumbel of GEV are used to calculate such return periods. However, various fitting methods exist and can be used to assess the parameters of the theoretical laws. In this study, we found that depending on the methodology, the return period varies from 260 to 2 400 years when using the observed discharges. To address this issue we simulated a long series of streamflows by coupling a rainfall generator and the conceptual hydrological model GR4J. The empirical return period given by the models is 1 000 years. But in this case, we also have the uncertainties of the two models, particularly the hydrological model which struggles reproducing the non-linearities of the catchment behaviour especially when modelling extreme events. This is why it is difficult to assign a single value to the return period of extreme events when only a range is available.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1918/1/documents/REBOLHO_ARTICLE_SHF_PREVISION.pdf (467 KB)
P. Dimas, D. Bouziotas, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Framework for optimal management of hydroelectric reservoirs through pumped storage: Investigation of Acheloos-Thessaly and Aliakmon hydrosystems, Proceedings of 3rd Hellenic Conference on Dams and Reservoirs, Zappeion, Hellenic Commission on Large Dams, Athens, 2017.
In this study, a holistic approach for the optimal management of two large, multi-reservoir hydrosystems in Greece is analysed, applied in cases of multiple and conflicting water uses, such as hydroelectric production and the coverage of irrigation and drinking water demands. In general, the optimal management of such hydrosystems presents a strong challenge for engineers, due to the stochasticity of inflows and the non-linear nature of hydroelectric production. To manage the strong variability of renewable energy production, the use of the two studied cases of Acheloos-Thessaly and Aliakmonas as pump-storage systems is proposed. To explore the optimal management policies, the methodological framework of “Parameterisation-Simulation-Optimisation” (PSO) is applied, employed through the use of Hydronomeas software and its hydroelectric production optimization module. The goal of the analysis is the estimation of the capacity to generate firm energy with a preset high reliability level in both systems, as well as the assessment of the consequent economic benefit obtained with the optimal policies found through Hydronomeas. Moreover, the benefits of employing pump-storage schemes in order to provide a buffer for other renewable energy sources with strong variability, such as wind energy, is explored.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1747/1/documents/fragmata2017.pdf (1070 KB)
Additional material:
I. Tsoukalas, C. Makropoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Stochastic simulation of periodic processes with arbitrary marginal distributions, 15th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology (CEST2017), Rhodes, Global Network on Environmental Science and Technology, 2017.
Stochastic simulation of hydrological processes has a key role in water resources planning and management due to its ability to incorporate hydrological uncertainty within decision-making. Due to seasonality, the statistical characteristics of such processes are considered periodic functions, thus implying the use of cyclostationary stochastic models, typically using a common statistical distribution. Yet, this may not be representative of the statistical structure of such processes across all seasons. In this context, we introduce a novel model suitable for the simulation of periodic processes with arbitrary marginal distributions, called Stochastic Periodic AutoRegressive To Anything (SPARTA). Apart from capturing the periodic correlation structure of the underlying processes, its major advantages are a) the accurate preservation of seasonally-varying marginal distributions; b) the explicit generation of non-negative values; and c) the parsimonious model structure. Finally, the performance of the model is demonstrated through a theoretical (artificial) case study.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1731/1/documents/cest2017_00797_oral_paper_V2.pdf (655 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://cest.gnest.org/sites/default/files/presentation_file_list/cest2017_00797_oral_paper.pdf
G. Papaioannou, L. Vasiliades, A. Loukas, A. Efstratiadis, S.M. Papalexiou, Y. Markonis, and A. Koukouvinos, A methodological approach for flood risk management in urban areas: The Volos city paradigm, 10th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment "Panta Rhei", Athens, European Water Resources Association, 2017.
A methodological approach based on the implementation of the EU Floods Directive in Greece is developed and presented for flood risk management of urban areas. The flood risk assessment procedure is demonstrated for Volos city of Thessaly, Greece, where frequent flood episodes are observed due to intense storms. A unified deterministic extreme event-based methodology is applied for hydrologic and hydraulic modelling of floods. The hydrologic part is based on semi-distributed application of the HEC-HMS rainfall-runoff model with spatially-distributed design hyetographs. The SCS-CN method is used to estimate effective rainfall and the SCS synthetic unit hydrograph to produce extreme flood hydrographs at subwatershed scale. The hydraulic modelling is based on the propagation of flood hydrographs across the river network and the mapping of inundated areas using the HEC-RAS 2D model with flexible mesh size. Representation of the resistance caused by buildings have been simulated with the local elevation rise method using transformation of the Digital Terrain Model to a Digital Elevation Model. For the adopted design hyetographs upper and lower estimates on water depths, flow velocities and flood inundation areas are estimated taking into account structural and parameter uncertainty of the hydrologic and hydraulic models by varying antecedent soil moisture conditions and roughness coefficient values. The results indicate the uncertainty introduced on flood risk management in urban areas using typical engineering practices.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1707/1/documents/EWRA2017_A_103184_UTH_NTUA.pdf (3124 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Ruchinskaya, T., and K. Lalenis, Building urban resilience of public places in Volos, Greece. Perspectives and possibilities of related contribution of blockchain technology, Proceedings of IFoU 2018: Reframing Urban Resilience Implementation: Aligning Sustainability and Resilience, Barcelona, doi:10.3390/IFOU2018-05931, 2018. |
| 2. | #Ruchinskaya, T., and K. Lalenis, The effect of public places on community resilience. A case study of the role of social and digital tools in the City of Volos (Greece), in: Smaniotto Costa, C. et al. (eds.): C3Places, Culture & Territory 04, 201-214, doi:10.24140/2020-sct-vol.4-2.3, 2020. |
N. Malamos, I. L. Tsirogiannis, A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Spatial interpolation of potential evapotranspiration for precision irrigation purposes, 10th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment "Panta Rhei", Athens, European Water Resources Association, 2017.
Precision irrigation constitutes a breakthrough for agricultural water management since it provides means to optimal water use. In recent years several applications of precision irrigation are implemented based on spatial data from different origins, i.e. meteorological stations networks, remote sensing data and in situ measurements. One of the factors affecting optimal irrigation system design and management is the daily potential evapotranspiration (PET). A commonly used approach is to estimate the daily PET for the representative day of each month during the irrigation period. In the present study, the implementation of the recently introduced non-parametric bilinear surface smoothing (BSS) methodology for spatial interpolation of daily PET is presented. The study area was the plain of Arta which is located at the Region of Epirus at the North West Greece. Daily PET was estimated according to the FAO Penman-Monteith methodology with data collected from a network of six agrometeorological stations, installed in early 2015 in selected locations throughout the study area. For exploration purposes, we produced PET maps for the Julian dates: 105, 135, 162, 199, 229 and 259, thus covering the entire irrigation period of 2015. Also, comparison and cross validation against the calculated FAO Penman-Monteith PET for each station, were performed between BSS and a commonly used interpolation method, i.e. inverse distance weighted (IDW). During the leave-one-out cross validation procedure, BSS yielded very good results, outperforming IDW. Given the simplicity of the BSS, its overall performance is satisfactory, providing maps that represent the spatial and temporal variation of daily PET.
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | da Silva Júnior, J. C. , V. Medeiros, C. Garrozi, A. Montenegro, and G. E. Gonçalves, Random forest techniques for spatial interpolation of evapotranspiration data from Brazilian’s Northeast, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 166, 105017, doi:10.1016/j.compag.2019.105017, 2019. |
| 2. | Haftcheshmeh, E. I., and F. Bansouleh, Spatial variation of reference evapotranspiration in Kermanshah province, Journal of Agricultural Meteorology, 9(2), 61-66, doi:10.22125/agmj.2021.262567.1106, 2021. |
K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Nalbantis, A simple model for low flow forecasting in Mediterranean streams, 10th World Congress on Water Resources and Environment "Panta Rhei", Athens, European Water Resources Association, 2017.
Low flows commonly occur in rivers during dry seasons within each year. They often concur with increased water demand which creates numerous water resources management problems. This paper seeks for simple yet efficient tools for low-flow forecasting, which are easy to implement, based on the adoption of an exponential decay model for the flow recession curve. A statistical attribute of flows preceding the start of the dry period is used as the starting flow, as for example the minimum flow of early April. On the other hand, the decay rate (recession parameter) is assumed as a linear function of the starting flow. The two parameters of that function are time-invariant, and they are optimised over a reference time series representing the low flow component of the observed hydrographs. The methodology is tested in the basins of Achelous, Greece, Xeros and Peristerona, Cyprus, and Salso, Italy. Raw data are filtered by simple signal processing techniques which remove the effect of flood events occurring in dry periods, thus allowing the preservation of the decaying form of the flow recession curve. Results indicate that satisfactory low flow forecasts are possible for Mediterranean basins of different hydrological behaviour.
Additional material:
T. Vergou, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Dermatas, Water balance model for evaluation of landfill malfunction due to leakage, Proceedings of ISWA 2016 World Congress, Novi Sad, Ιnternational Solid Waste Association, 2016.
We present a conceptual model that aims to represent the main hydrological processes in a landfill, taking into account its dynamic evolution. The model is employed in a real-world case study, involving the operation of the landfill of Mavrorachi, Northern Greece, for a one-year period. The landfill exhibits several environmental problems due to significant leakage production, which often exceeds the capacity of treatment works, as well as lateral outflows. By simulating the entire water cycle over the landfill basin, we attempt to recognize the major sources of failure and propose management measures to mitigate the current environmental impacts.
S. Mihas, A. Efstratiadis, K. Nikolaou, and N. Mamassis, Drought and water scarcity management plan for the Peloponnese river basin districts, 12th International Conference “Protection & Restoration of the Environment”, Skiathos, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Dept. of Planning & Regional Development, Univ. Thessaly, Stevens Instute of Technology, 2014.
The drought and water scarcity management plan was drafted for the Peloponnese River Basin Districts as outlined by the implementation of the Water Framework Directive 2000/60/EC in Greece by the Special Secretariat of Water (Ministry of Environment Energy & Climate Change). The evaluation of hydrological droughts was mainly based on precipitation data, which was used to evaluate the SPI index at several time scales (from 3-month to 5-year). Moreover, the drought hazard was evaluated, taking into consideration the demands and the water resources availability, at various spatial scales. For this aim, we developed an innovative methodology, based on the estimation of a temporally varying water exploitation index, as generalization of the typical WEI. The possibilities of predicting drought events, by using simple statistical models and evaluating the probabilities of transition from the current carrying water condition to the next are also examined. Additionally, an operational plan for drought prediction is elaborated, on the basis of representative hydrologic data that is retrieved twice a year i.e. at the end of the first trimester and semester of the hydrological year. Finally, we provide guidance for the operational implementation of the above methodology by the competent authorities and its link to specific management measures depending on the classification of each drought event, at the alert scale.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1458/1/documents/A216_paper_hSRt2DZ.pdf (1188 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Apostolaki, S., E. Akinsete, S. Tsani, P. Koundouri, N. Pittis, and E. Levantis, Assessing the effectiveness of the WFD as a tool to address different levels of water scarcity based on two case studies of the Mediterranean region, Water, 11, 840, doi:10.3390/w11040840, 2019. |
C. Ioannou, G. Tsekouras, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastic analysis and simulation of hydrometeorological processes for optimizing hybrid renewable energy systems, Proceedings of the 2nd Hellenic Concerence on Dams and Reservoirs, Athens, Zappeion, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.3787.0327, Hellenic Commission on Large Dams, 2013.
The drawbacks of conventional energy sources including their negative environmental impacts emphasize the need to integrate renewable energy sources into the energy balance. However, the renewable sources strongly depend on time varying and uncertain hydrometeorological processes, including wind speed, sunshine duration and solar radiation. To study the design and management of hybrid energy systems we investigate the stochastic properties of these natural processes, including possible long-term persistence. We use wind speed and sunshine duration time series retrieved from a European database of daily records and we estimate representative values of the Hurst coefficient for both variables. We conduct simultaneous generation of synthetic time series of wind speed and sunshine duration, on yearly, monthly and daily scale. To this we use the Castalia software system which performs multivariate stochastic simulation. Using these time series as input, we perform stochastic simulation of an autonomous hypothetical hybrid renewable energy system and optimize its performance using genetic algorithms. For the system design we optimize the sizing of the system in order to satisfy the energy demand with high reliability also minimizing the cost. While the simulation scale is the daily, a simple method allows utilizing the sub-daily distribution of the produced wind power. Various scenarios are assumed in order to examine the influence of input parameters, such as the Hurst coefficient, and design parameters such as the photovoltaic panel angle.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1408/1/documents/2013Fragmata_Hybrid.pdf (549 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.3787.0327
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bakanos, P. I., and K. L. Katsifarakis, Optimizing operation of a large-scale pumped storage hydropower system coordinated with wind farm by means of genetic algorithm, Global Nest Journal, 21(4), 495- 504, doi:10.30955/gnj.002978, 2019. |
A. Efstratiadis, D. Bouziotas, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A decision support system for the management of hydropower systems – Application to the Acheloos-Thessaly hydrosystem, Proceedings of the 2nd Hellenic Concerence on Dams and Reservoirs, Athens, Zappeion, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.1952.0244, Hellenic Commission on Large Dams, 2013.
We describe a holistic approach for the management of complex hydrosystems whose primary aim is hydropower production. This is based on the parameterisation-simulation-optimization methodological framework, which is implemented within the Decision Support System “Hydronomeas”. After the analysis of the developed methodology and simulation and optimization tools, a number of applications in the Acheloos-Thessaly hydrosystem are shown. The results include the assessment of the hydropower potential of the system as well as its corresponding benefit, thus being of particular interest to long-term energy planning.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1407/2/documents/2013Fragmata_Acheloos.pdf (1801 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, S. Lykoudis, A. Koukouvinos, A. Christofides, G. Karavokiros, N. Kappos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrometeorological network for flood monitoring and modeling, Proceedings of First International Conference on Remote Sensing and Geoinformation of Environment, Paphos, Cyprus, 8795, 10-1–10-10, doi:10.1117/12.2028621, Society of Photo-Optical Instrumentation Engineers (SPIE), 2013.
Due to its highly fragmented geomorphology, Greece comprises hundreds of small- to medium-size hydrological basins, in which often the terrain is fairly steep and the streamflow regime ephemeral. These are typically affected by flash floods, occasionally causing severe damages. Yet, the vast majority of them lack flow-gauging infrastructure providing systematic hydrometric data at fine time scales. This has obvious impacts on the quality and reliability of flood studies, which typically use simplistic approaches for ungauged basins that do not consider local peculiarities in sufficient detail. In order to provide a consistent framework for flood design and to ensure realistic predictions of the flood risk –a key issue of the 2007/60/EC Directive– it is essential to improve the monitoring infrastructures by taking advantage of modern technologies for remote control and data management. In this context and in the research project DEUCALION, we have recently installed and are operating, in four pilot river basins, a telemetry-based hydro-meteorological network that comprises automatic stations and is linked to and supported by relevant software. The hydrometric stations measure stage, using 50-kHz ultrasonic pulses or piezometric sensors, or both stage (piezometric) and velocity via acoustic Doppler radar; all measurements are being temperature-corrected. The meteorological stations record air temperature, pressure, relative humidity, wind speed and direction, and precipitation. Data transfer is made via GPRS or mobile telephony modems. The monitoring network is supported by a web-based application for storage, visualization and management of geographical and hydro-meteorological data (ENHYDRIS), a software tool for data analysis and processing (HYDROGNOMON), as well as an advanced model for flood simulation (HYDROGEIOS). The recorded hydro-meteorological observations are accessible over the Internet through the www-application. The system is operational and its functionality has been implemented as open-source software for use in a wide range of applications in the field of water resources monitoring and management, such as the demonstration case study outlined in this work.
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1117/12.2028621
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Damte, F., B. G. Mariam, M. Teshome, T. K. Lohani, G. Dhiman, and M. Shabaz, Computing the sediment and ensuing its erosive activities using HEC-RAS to surmise the flooding in Kulfo River in Southern Ethiopia, World Journal of Engineering, 18(6), 948-955, doi:10.1108/WJE-01-2021-0002, 2021. |
| 2. | Mahamat Nour, A., C. Vallet-Coulomb, J. Gonçalves, F. Sylvestre, and P. Deschamps, Rainfall-discharge relationship and water balance over the past 60 years within the Chari-Logone sub-basins, Lake Chad basin, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 35, 1008242021, doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100824, 2021. |
A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A parametric model for potential evapotranspiration estimation based on a simplified formulation of the Penman-Monteith equation, Evapotranspiration - An Overview, edited by S. Alexandris, 143–165, doi:10.5772/52927, InTech, 2013.
The article, apart from the introduction (section 1), is organized as follows: In section 2, we review the Penman-Monteith method and its simplifications, which estimate evapotranspiration on the basis of temperature and radiation data. In section 3 we present the new parametric model, which compromises the requirements for parsimony and consistency. In section 4, we calibrate the model at the point scale, using historical meteorological data, and evaluate it against other empirical approaches. In addition, we investigate the geographical distribution of its parameters over Greece. Finally, in section 5 we summarize the outcomes of our research and discuss next research steps.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1284/1/documents/2013InTech_ParametricModelPET.pdf (819 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.5772/52927
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Samaras, D. A., A. Reif, and K. Theodoropoulos, Evaluation of radiation-based reference evapotranspiration models under different Mediterranean climates in Central Greece, Water Resources Management, 28 (1), 207-225, 2014. |
| 2. | Tabari, H., P. H. Talaee, P. Willems, and C. Martinez, Validation and calibration of solar radiation equations for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration at cool semi-arid and arid locations, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61(3), 610-619, doi:10.1080/02626667.2014.947293, 2016. |
| 3. | Jaber, H. S., S. Mansor, B. Pradhan, and N. Ahmad, Evaluation of SEBAL model for evapotranspiration mapping in Iraq using remote sensing and GIS, International Journal of Applied Engineering Research, 11(6), 3950-3955, 2016. |
| 4. | Kumar, D., J. Adamowski, R. Suresh, and B. Ozga-Zielinski, Estimating evapotranspiration using an extreme learning machine model: case study in North Bihar, India, Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, 04016032, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)IR.1943-4774.0001044, 2016. |
| 5. | Djaman, K., D. Rudnick, V. C. Mel, and D. Mutiibwa, Evaluation of Valiantzas’ simplified forms of the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith reference evapotranspiration model in a humid climate, Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)IR.1943-4774.0001191, 2017. |
| 6. | Tegos, M., I. Nalbantis, and A. Tegos, Environmental flow assessment through integrated approaches, European Water, 60, 167-173, 2017. |
| 7. | Norström, E., C. Katrantsiotis, R. H. Smittenberg, and K. Kouli, Chemotaxonomy in some Mediterranean plants and implications for fossil biomarker records, Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 219, 96-110, doi:10.1016/j.gca.2017.09.029, 2017. |
| 8. | Hodam, S., S. Sarkar, A.G.R. Marak, A. Bandyopadhyay, and A. Bhadra, Spatial interpolation of reference evapotranspiration in India: Comparison of IDW and Kriging methods, Journal of The Institution of Engineers (India): Series A, doi:10.1007/s40030-017-0241-z, 2017. |
| 9. | Mentzafou, A., S. Wagner, and E. Dimitriou, Historical trends and the long-term changes of the hydrological cycle components in a Mediterranean river basin, Science of The Total Environment, 636, 558-568, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.298, 2018. |
| 10. | Norström, E., C. Katrantsiotis, M. Finné, J. Risberg, R. H. Smittenberg, S. Bjursäter, Biomarker hydrogen isotope composition (δD) as proxy for Holocene hydroclimatic change and seismic activity in SW Peloponnese, Greece, Journal of Quaternary Science, 33(5), 563-574, doi:10.1002/jqs.3036, 2018. |
| 11. | Mengistu, B., and G. Amente, Three methods of estimating the power of maximum temperature in TM–ET estimation equation, SN Applied Sciences, 1:1403, doi:10.1007/s42452-019-1461-9, 2019. |
| 12. | Mengistu, B., and G. Amente, Reformulating and testing Temesgen-Melesse's temperature-based evapotranspiration estimation method, Heliyon, 6(1), e02954, doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02954, 2020. |
| 13. | Středová, H., J. Klimešová, T. Středa, and P. Fukalová, Could the directly measured data of transpiration be replaced by model outputs?, Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, 50(1), 33-47, doi:10.31577/congeo.2020.50.1.2, 2020. |
| 14. | Jaiswal, S., and M. S. Ballal, Fuzzy inference based irrigation controller for agricultural demand side management, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 175, 105537, doi:10.1016/j.compag.2020.105537, 2020. |
| 15. | Rezaei, M., H. Ghasemieh, and K. Abdollahi, Simplified version of the METRIC model for estimation of actual evapotranspiration, International Journal of Remote Sensing, 42(14), 5568-5599, doi:10.1080/01431161.2021.1925991, 2021. |
| 16. | Dos Santos, A. A., J. L. M. de Souza, and S. L. K. Rosa, Evapotranspiration with the Moretti-Jerszurki-Silva model for the Brazilian subtropical climate, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 66(16), 2267-2279, doi:10.1080/02626667.2021.1988610, 2021. |
| 17. | Ilbay-Yupa, M., F. Ilbay, R. Zubieta, M. García-Mora, and P. Chasi, Impacts of climate change on the precipitation and streamflow regimes in equatorial regions: Guayas River Basin, Water, 13(21), 3138, doi:10.3390/w13213138, 2021. |
| 18. | Dimitriadou, S., and K. G. Nikolakopoulos, Evapotranspiration trends and interactions in light of the anthropogenic footprint and the climate crisis: A review, Hydrology, 8(4), 163, doi:10.3390/hydrology8040163, 2021. |
| 19. | Danielescu, S., Development and application of ETCalc, a unique online tool for estimation of daily evapotranspiration, Atmosphere-Ocean, doi:10.1080/07055900.2022.2154191, 2022. |
| 20. | Pisinaras V., F. Herrmann, A. Panagopoulos, E. Tziritis, I. McNamara, and F. Wendland, Fully distributed water balance modelling in large agricultural areas—The Pinios river basin (Greece) case study, Sustainability, 15(5), 4343, doi:10.3390/su15054343, 2023. |
| 21. | Stefanidis, S., A. Tegos, and V. Alexandridis, How has aridity changed at a fir (Abies Borisii-Regis) forest site in Central Greece during the past six decades? Environmental Sciences Proceedings, 26(1), 121, doi:10.3390/environsciproc2023026121, 2023. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, N. Zarkadoulas, and Y. Markonis, Floods in Greece, Changes of Flood Risk in Europe, edited by Z. W. Kundzewicz, Chapter 12, 238–256, IAHS Press, Wallingford – International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 2012.
The flood regime in Greece is investigated, from the early past to modern years. Large-scale floods, mainly due to deglaciation processes (also known as palaeofloods), together with earthquakes and volcanoes, are the major mechanisms that formed the current diverse Greek terrain. The influence of these impressive phenomena is reflected in some ancient myths, also reflecting earlier efforts of flood control and management. The struggle of humans against the destructive power of floods is further testified by several structures revealed by archaeological research. In modern times, the dramatic change of the demographic and socio-economic conditions made imperative the construction of large-scale water projects, which in turn resulted in large-scale environmental changes. The consequences of these practices, both positive and negative, are discussed, with regard to the problem of floods in Greece.
Additional material:
See also: http://www.routledge.com/books/details/9780203098097/
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Kundzewicz, Z. W., Introduction, Changes of Flood Risk in Europe, IAHS-AISH Publication, (SPEC. ISS. 10), (ed. Z. W. Kundzewicz), 1-7, 2012. |
| 2. | Mentzafou, A. and Dimitriou, E.: Flood risk assessment for a heavily modified urban stream, Proc. IAHS, 366, 147-148, 10.5194/piahs-366-147-2015, 2015. |
| 3. | Karagiorgos, K., M. Heiser, T. Thaler, J. Hübl, and S. Fuchs, Micro-sized enterprises: vulnerability to flash floods, Natural Hazards, 84(2), 1091–1107, doi:10.1007/s11069-016-2476-9, 2016. |
| 4. | #Sevastas, S., I. Siarkos, N. Theodossiou, I. Ifadis, and K. Kaffas, Comparing hydrological models built upon open access and/or measured data in a GIS environment, Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Environmental Management, Engineering, Planning & Economics, 377-386, Thessaloniki, 2017. |
| 5. | Veal, R. J., The politics and economics of ancient forests: Timber and fuel as levers of Greco-Roman control, Economie et inégalité: Ressources, échanges et pouvoir dans l'Antiquité classique, 63(8), 317-367, doi :10.17863/CAM.13218, 2017. |
| 6. | Diakakis, M., G. Deligiannakis, K. Katsetsiadou, Z. Antoniadis, and M. Melaki, Mapping and classification of direct flood impacts in the complex conditions of an urban environment: The case study of the 2014 flood in Athens, Greece, Urban Water Journal, 14(10), 1065-1074, doi:10.1080/1573062X.2017.1363247, 2017. |
| 7. | #Karatzas, S., D. Chondrogiani, and P. Saranti, Intelligent sustainable urban drainage systems (I-SUDS): A framework for flood mitigation and rainwater reuse, Fifth International Conference on Small and Descentralised Water and Wastewater Treatment Plants, Thessaloniki, 2018. |
| 8. | #Angelakis, A. N., G. Antoniou, K. Voudouris, N. Kazakis, and N. Dalezios, History of floods in Greece: Causes and measures for protection, 5th IWA International Symposium on Water and Wastewater Technologies in Ancient Civilizations: Evolution of Technologies from Prehistory to Modern Times, Dead Sea, Jordan, 2019. |
| 9. | Angelakis, A. N., G. Antoniou, K. Voudouris, N. Kazakis, N. Delazios, and N. Dercas, History of floods in Greece: causes and measures for protection, Natural Hazards, 101, 833–852, doi:10.1007/s11069-020-03898-w, 2020. |
| 10. | Koukouvelas, I. K., D. J. W. Piper, D. Katsonopoulou, N. Kontopoulos, S. Verroios, K. Nikolakopoulos, and V. Zygouri, Earthquake-triggered landslides and mudflows: Was this the wave that engulfed Ancient Helike? The Holocene, 30(12), 1653-1668, doi:10.1177/0959683620950389, 2020. |
| 11. | Mazza, A., Waterscape and floods management of Greek Selinus: The Cottone River Valley, Open Archaeology, 7(1), 1066-1090, doi:10.1515/opar-2020-0172, 2021. |
| 12. | Skoulikaris C., Run-of-river small hydropower pants as hydro-resilience assets against climate change, Sustainability, 13(24), 14001, doi:10.3390/su132414001, 2021. |
| 13. | Graninger, C. D., Environmental change in a sacred landscape: The Thessalian Peloria, Journal of Ancient History and Archaeology, 9(1), 87-92, doi:10.14795/j.v9i1.698, 2022. |
| 14. | Tegos, A., A. Ziogas, V. Bellos, and A. Tzimas, Forensic hydrology: a complete reconstruction of an extreme flood event in data-scarce area, Hydrology, 9(5), 93, doi:10.3390/hydrology9050093, 2022. |
| 15. | #Tsiafaki, D. and V. Evangelidis, Exploring rivers and ancient settlements in Aegean Thrace through spatial technology, The Riverlands of Aegean Thrace: Production, Consumption and Exploitation of the Natural and Cultural Landscapes, Kefalidou, E. (ed.), Archaeology and Economy in the Ancient World – Proceedings of the 19th International Congress of Classical Archaeology, Cologne/Bonn 2018, Vol. 6, 45-61, 2022. |
| 16. | Angra, D., and K. Sapountzaki, Climate change affecting forest fire and flood risk – Facts, predictions, and perceptions in Central and South Greece, Sustainability, 14(20), 13395, doi:10.3390/su142013395, 2022. |
| 17. | #Skamnia, E., E. S. Bekri, and P. Economou, Analysis of regional precipitation measurements: The Peloponnese and the Ionian islands case, Protection and Restoration of the Environment XVI - Conference proceedings, 190-198, 2022. |
| 18. | Tolika, K., and C. Skoulikaris, Atmospheric circulation types and floods' occurrence – A thorough analysis over Greece, Science of The Total Environment, 865, 161217, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161217, 2023. |
| 19. | Evelpidou, N., C. Cartalis, A. Karkani G. Saitis, K. Philippopoulos, and E. Spyrou, A GIS-based assessment of flood hazard through track records over the 1886–2022 period in Greece, Climate, 11(11), 226, doi:10.3390/cli11110226, 2023. |
C. Makropoulos, E. Safiolea, A. Efstratiadis, E. Oikonomidou, V. Kaffes, C. Papathanasiou, and M. Mimikou, Multi-reservoir management with Open-MI, Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, Chania, A, 788–795, Department of Environmental Studies, University of the Aegean, 2009.
The paper applies advanced integrated modeling techniques supported by the Open Modeling Interface (OpenMI) standard to optimize water resources allocation for a rapidly growing rural area in Greece. Water uses in a rural basin are significantly affected by urban growth, changes in agricultural practices and industrial needs. This results in a complex water system, whose optimal configuration requires the combination of structural and non-structural approaches. Furthermore, the reliable operation of the water system may be placed under significant stress due to increasing trends of extreme events associated with potential climatic changes which affect freshwater availability. To evaluate and improve the system’s operation, a series of specialized models need to be linked and exchange data at runtime. The approach presented in this paper, used OpenMI (an open source, royalty free standard) to facilitate the direct, timestep-by-timestep, communication of models from different providers, written in different coding languages, with different spatial and temporal resolutions. The models were “migrated” to OpenMI and were run simultaneously, linked (exchanging data) at nodes specified by the modeler. The resulting integrated modeling system is tested in the Thessaly Water District, Greece, where growing water demand has often become an issue of conflict between stakeholders. As an example of the type of problems typically faced in the region, a system of two reservoirs receiving flows from different subbassins is designed to satisfy the water demand of the study area. The principal reservoir, the Smokovo reservoir, is a real reservoir, currently in operation, situated on the confluence of two streams, tributaries of the Pinios river. Downstream of Smokovo reservoir, the river flow has to satisfy a series of needs such as ecological flows, increasing irrigation needs, increasing potable water demand of the local municipalities, and production of electricity. The second reservoir introduced in this study is the potential rehabilitation of the Lake Xyniada, as a means to improve the overall resilience of the water system to extreme events and possibly decrease the costs (ecological-economic) of water consumption in the area. The integrated modeling system comprises of three OpenMI-compliant model components: a reservoir model (RMM), a hydraulic model with supporting rainfall-runoff modules (MIKE-11) and a multi-reservoir operational rule component. The models were set-up, calibrated, and linked to exchange data at runtime using data provided by the Public Power Corporation and the Ministry of Environment. The modeling system was run under different operating rules to assess the reliability of the combined reservoir system and compare it with the one-reservoir existing solution against different stakeholder objectives. The paper suggests indicative solutions from the preliminary analysis and concludes with the identification of key future challenges and ideas for further development.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/932/1/documents/openMI_chania.pdf (451 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Fotopoulos, F., C. Makropoulos C., and M.A Mimikou, Flood forecasting in transboundary catchments using the Open Modeling Interface, Environmental Modelling and Software, 25(12), 1640-1649, 2010. |
| 2. | #Moe, S. J., L. J. Barkved, M. Blind, C.. Makropoulos, M. Vurro, S. Ekstrand, J. Rocha, M. Mimikou, and M. J. Ulstein, How can climate change be incorporated in river basin management plans under the WFD? Report from the EurAqua Conference 2008, 27 p., Norwegian Institute for Water Research, 2010. |
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Fitting hydrological models on multiple responses using the multiobjective evolutionary annealing simplex approach, Practical hydroinformatics: Computational intelligence and technological developments in water applications, edited by R.J. Abrahart, L. M. See, and D. P. Solomatine, 259–273, doi:10.1007/978-3-540-79881-1_19, Springer, 2008.
Most complex hydrological modelling schemes, when calibrated on a single observed response (e.g. river flow at a point), provide poor predictive capability, due to the fact that the rest of variables of basin response remain practically uncontrolled. Current advances in modelling point out that it is essential to take into account multiple fitting criteria, which correspond to different observed responses or to different aspects of the same response. This can be achieved through multiobjective calibration tools, thus providing a set of solutions rather than a single global optimum. Besides, actual multiobjective optimization methods are rather inefficient, when real-world problems with many criteria and many control variables are involved. In hydrological applications there are some additional issues, due to uncertainties related to the representation of complex processes and the observation errors. The multiobjective evolutionary annealing-simplex (MEAS) method implements an innovative scheme, particularly developed for the optimization of such problems. Its features and capabilities are illustrated by solving a challenging parameter estimation problem, dealing with hydrological modelling and water resources management in a karstic basin in Greece.
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-79881-1_19
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Solomatine, D. L.M. See and R.J. Abrahart, Data-driven modelling: concepts, approaches and experiences, Practical hydroinformatics , ed. by R.J. Abrahart, L. M. See, and D. P. Solomatine, 33-47, Springer, doi:10.1007/978-3-540-79881-1_2, 2008. |
| 2. | Pollacco, J. A. P., and B. P. Mohanty, Uncertainties of water fluxes in SVAT models: inverting surface soil moisture and evapotranspiration retrieved from remote sensing, Vadose Zone Journal, 11(3), vzj2011.0167, 2012. |
| 3. | Dumedah, G., Formulation of the evolutionary-based data assimilation and its implementation in hydrological forecasting, Water Resources Management, 26(13), 3853-3870, 2012. |
| 4. | Dumedah, G., and P. Coulibaly, Evaluating forecasting performance for data assimilation methods: the Ensemble Kalman Filter, the Particle Filter, and the Evolutionary-based assimilation, Advances in Water Resources, 60, 47-63, 2013. |
| 5. | Gharari, S., M. Hrachowitz, F. Fenicia, H. Gao, and H. H. G. Savenije, Using expert knowledge to increase realism in environmental system models can dramatically reduce the need for calibration, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 4839-4859, doi:10.5194/hess-18-4839-2014, 2014. |
| 6. | Ho, V. H., I. Kougias, and J. H. Kim, Reservoir operation using hybrid optimization algorithms, Global Nest Journal, 17(1), 103-117, 2015. |
| 7. | Tigkas, D., V. Christelis, and G. Tsakiris, Comparative study of evolutionary algorithms for the automatic calibration of the Medbasin-D conceptual hydrological model, Environmental Processes, 3(3), 629–644, doi:10.1007/s40710-016-0147-1, 2016. |
| 8. | Laura, R., L. L. Matthieu, G. Federico, L. M. Nicolas, H. Frédéric, M. Céline, and R. Pierre, Impact of mesoscale spatial variability of climatic inputs and parameters on the hydrological response, Journal of Hydrology, 553, 13-25, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.037, 2017. |
| 9. | Naik, P., S. Aramideh, and A. M. Ardekani, History matching of surfactant-polymer flooding using polynomial chaos expansion, Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, 173, 1438-1452, doi:10.1016/j.petrol.2018.09.089, 2019. |
| 10. | Kwakye, S. O., and A. Bárdossy, Hydrological modelling in data-scarce catchments: Black Volta basin in West Africa, SN Applied Sciences, 2, 628, doi:10.1007/s42452-020-2454-4, 2020. |
| 11. | Sun, R., F. Hernández, X. Liang, and H. Yuan, A calibration framework for high-resolution hydrological models using a multiresolution and heterogeneous strategy, 2020. |
| 12. | Monteil, C., F. Zaoui, N. Le Moine, and F. Hendrickx, Multi-objective calibration by combination of stochastic and gradient-like parameter generation rules – the caRamel algorithm, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 3189-3209, 10.5194/hess-24-3189-2020, 2020. |
| 13. | Dubois, E., M. Larocque, S. Gagné, S., and G. Meyzonnat, Simulation of long-term spatiotemporal variations in regional-scale groundwater recharge: contributions of a water budget approach in cold and humid climates, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25, 6567-6589, doi:10.5194/hess-25-6567-2021, 2021. |
| 14. | #Dubois, E., M. Larocque, S. Gagné, and G. Meyzonnat, Hydrobudget User Guide – Version 1.0, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada, 2021. |
| 15. | Zhang, C., and T. Fu, Recalibration of a three-dimensional water quality model with a newly developed autocalibration toolkit (EFDC-ACT v1.0.0): how much improvement will be achieved with a wider hydrological variability?, Geoscientific Model Development, 16, 4315-4329, doi:10.5194/gmd-16-4315-2023, 2023. |
| 16. | Mai, J., Ten strategies towards successful calibration of environmental models, Journal of Hydrology, 620(A), 129414, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129414, 2023. |
| 17. | #Salmon-Monviola, J., O. Fovet, O., and M. Hrachowitz, Improving the internal hydrological consistency of a process-based solute-transport model by simultaneous calibration of streamflow and stream concentrations, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/hess-2023-292, 2024. |
K. Hadjibiros, A. Katsiri, A. Andreadakis, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Stamou, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and G.-F. Sargentis, Multi-criteria reservoir water management, Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology (9CEST), Rhodes, A, 535–543, Department of Environmental Studies, University of the Aegean, 2005.
The Plastiras dam was constructed in the late 1950s mainly for electric power production, but it has also partially covered irrigation needs and water supply of the plain of Thessaly. Later, the site has been designated as an environment conservation zone because of ecological and landscape values, while tourist activities have been developed around the reservoir. Irrigation of agricultural land, hydroelectric production, drinkable water supply, tourism, lake water quality and scenery conservation have evidently been conflicting targets for many years. Good management would require a multi-criteria decision making. Historical data show that the irregular water release has resulted in a great annual fluctuation of the reservoir water level. This situation could be improved by a rational management of abstractions. Apparently, higher release leads simultaneously to more power production and to irrigation of a larger agricultural land. Moreover, demands for electricity and for irrigation are partially competing to each other, due to different optimal time schedules of releases. On the other hand, higher water release leads to lower water level in the reservoir and, therefore, it decreases the beauty of the scenery and deteriorates the trophic state of the lake. Such degradation affects the tourist potential as well as the quality of drinking water supplied by the reservoir. A multi-criteria approach uses different scenarios for the minimum permissible water level of the reservoir, if a constant annual release is applied. The minimum level concept is a simple and functional tool, because it is easily understood by people, certified and incorporated into regulations. The quantity of water that would be yearly available is a function of the minimum level allowed. The water quality depends upon the trophic state of the lake, mainly the concentration of chlorophyll-a, which determines the state of eutrophication and is estimated by water quality simulation models, taking into account pollutant loads such as nitrogen and phosphorus. The value of the landscape is much depending on the water level of the lake, because for lower levels a dead-zone appears between the surface of the water and the surrounding vegetation. When this dead zone is large, it seems lifeless and the lake appears partially empty. Quantification of this visual effect is not easy, but it is possible to establish a correspondence between the aesthetic assessment of the scenery and the minimum allowed reservoir level. Using results from hydrological analysis, water quality models and landscape evaluation, it seems possible to construct a multi-criterion table with different criteria described against alternatives and with a plot of three relative indices against the minimum level allowed. However, decision making has to take into account the fact that comparison or merging of indices corresponding to different criteria analysis encompasses a degree of arbitrariness. More objective decisions would be possible if different benefits and costs were measured in a common unit. Moreover, management will be sensitive to different social pressures.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/682/1/documents/2005CestRhodesPlastiras.pdf (141 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Stamou, A.I., K. Hadjibiros, A. Andreadakis and A. Katsiri, Establishing minimum water level for Plastiras reservoir (Greece) combining water quality modelling with landscape aesthetics, Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 12(3), 157-170, 2007. |
| 2. | #Sargentis G. F., V. Symeonidis, and N. Symeonidis, Rules and methods for the development of a prototype landscape (Almyro) in north Evia by the creation of a thematic park, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology (CEST2011), Rhodes, Greece, 2011. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Experience from the development of decision support systems for the management of large-scale hydrosystems of Greece, Proceedings of the Workshop "Water Resources Studies in Cyprus", edited by E. Sidiropoulos and I. Iakovidis, Nikosia, 159–180, Water Development Department of Cyprus, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 2003.
Decision support systems (DSS), in combination with human judgment and experience, may guide to rational decisions in a variety of ill-structured technological problems. Optimal management of water recourse systems constitutes a typical field for application of DSS. The complexity of the water resource management raises the need for a holistic approach, based on systems theory and making use of advanced mathematical techniques. The paper presents the experience gained in developing of DSS for the management of large-scale hydrosystems in Greece. Specifically, it describes the route to an integrated methodological framework, comprising innovative models for stochastic analysis, simulation and optimisation. This framework, which is progressively improved and evolved, has been recently implemented operationally for the support of the supervision and management of the exceptionally complex water supply system of Athens. In the near future, the generalisation and enhancement of the mathematical models and computer tools is scheduled, in order to make a comprehensive tool for the sustainable management of hydrosystems of a wide range of scales.
Full text:
I. Nalbantis, E. Rozos, G. M. T. Tentes, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Integrating groundwater models within a decision support system, Proceedings of the 5th International Conference of European Water Resources Association: "Water Resources Management in the Era of Transition", edited by G. Tsakiris, Athens, 279–286, European Water Resources Association, 2002.
An attempt is made to integrate groundwater models within a decision support system (DSS) called Hydronomeas, which is designed to assist large multi-reservoir system (MRS) management. This will help managing conjunctive use schemes. The DSS is currently used for the water supply of Athens, Greece. The simulated system is the Boeoticos Kephisos River Basin and its underlying karst. The karst supplies irrigation water locally as well as drinking water to Athens. Furthermore, the basin's surface outflows account for most of the inflow into Lake Yliki, one of the three main reservoirs of the Athens MRS. Three models of different levels of complexity are tested. The first model is a multi-cell model that simulates surface flows within the basin coupled to subsurface flows. The second model is a conceptually-based lumped model while the third model is a pre-existing distributed groundwater model based on the MODFLOW package. Tests with various management scenarios allow drawing conclusions regarding model efficiency and suitability for use within a DSS.
Remarks:
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Dentinho, T.P., R. Minciardi, M. Robba, R. Sacile & V. Silva, Impacts of agriculture and dairy farming on groundwater quality: an optimization problem. In: Voinov, A. et al. (eds.), Proceedings of the iEMSs 3rd Biennial Meeting, Burlington, USA, 2006. |
| 2. | #Giupponi, C., Sustainable Management of Water Resources: An Integrated Approach, 361 pages, Edward Elgar Publishing (ISBN 1845427459), 2006. |
| 3. | #Barlebo, H.C. (ed.), State-of-the-art report with users’ requirements for new IWRM tools, NeWater, www.newater.info, 2006. |
| 4. | #Dentinho, T. et al, The architecture of a decision support system (DSS) for groundwater quality preservation in Terceira Island (Azores), Integrated Water Management: Practical Experiences and Case Studies, P. Meire et al. (eds.), Springer, 2007. |
| 5. | #Lowry, T. S., S. A. Pierce, V. C. Tidwell, and W. O. Cain, Merging spatially variant physical process models under an optimized systems dynamics framework, Technical Report, Sandia National Laboratories, 67 p., 2007. |
| 6. | Bandani, E. and M. A. Moghadam, Application of groundwater mathematical model for assessing the effects of Galoogah dam on the Shooro aquifer, Iran, European Journal of Scientific Research, 54 (4), 499-511, 2011. |
| 7. | Golchin, I., M. A. Moghaddam and N. Asadi, Numerical study of groundwater flow in Iranshahr plain aquifer, Iran, Middle-East Journal of Scientific Research, 8 (5), 975-983, 2011. |
| 8. | #Minciardi, R., M. Robba, and R. Sacile, Environmental Decision Support Systems for soil pollution control and prevention, Soil Remediation, L. Aachen and P. Eichmann (eds.), Chapter 2, 45-85, Nova Science Publishers, 2011. |
| 9. | #Pierce, S. a., J. M. Sharp Jr, and D. J. Eaton, Decision support systems and processes for groundwater, Integrated Groundwater Management: Concepts, Approaches and Challenges, A. J. Jakeman, O. Barreteau, R. J. Hunt, J.-D. Rinaudo, A. Ross (editors), 639-665, Springer, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-23576-9_25, 2016. |
K. Hadjibiros, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Katsiri, A. Stamou, A. Andreadakis, G.-F. Sargentis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and A. Valassopoulos, Management of water quality of the Plastiras reservoir, 4th International Conference on Reservoir Limnology and Water Quality, Ceske Budejovice, Czech Republic, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.4872.4723, 2002.
The problems associated with establishing a "safe" minimum level for a reservoir serving multiple and conflicting purposes (hydroelectric power generation, water supply, irrigation and recreation) are discussed. A comprehensive approach of the problem considers three different criteria. The first criterion is water quantity. Available long-term reservoir inflow data are analyzed to establish 'sustainable" water inputs in relation to demands that have to be satisfied. The second criterion is ecology and landscape and considers how fluctuations of the reservoir level affect the lake banks vegetation. It discusses the implications to aesthetic, touristic and beneficial uses. The third criterion is water quality and considers how the fluctuations in lake volume affect the chemical and biological status of the lake. For this purpose a one-dimensional eutrophication model was used. The minimum water level is established from the synthesis of the above, using a multi-criteria analysis.
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Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/546/1/documents/2002TsehiaPlastiras.pdf (241 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.4872.4723
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Spanoudaki, K., and A. Stamou, The prospects of developing integrated ecological models for the needs of the WFD 2000/60, Proceedings of the International Conference for the Restoration and Protection of the Environment V, Mykonos, 2004. |
| 2. | #Stamou, A. I., K. Nanou-Giannarou, and K. Spanoudaki, Best modeling practices in the application of the Directive 2000/60 in Greece, Proc. 3rd IASME/WSEAS Int. Conf. on Energy, Environment, Ecosystems and Sustainable Development, 388-397, 2007. |
| 3. | Stamou, A.I., K. Hadjibiros, A. Andreadakis, and A. Katsiri, Establishing minimum water level for Plastiras reservoir (Greece) combining water quality modelling with landscape aesthetics, Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 12(3), 157-170, 2007. |
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, An evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm for global optimisation of water resource systems, Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Hydroinformatics, Cardiff, UK, 1423–1428, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.1038.6162, International Water Association, 2002.
The evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm is a probabilistic heuristic global optimisation technique that joins ideas from different methodological approaches, enhancing them with some original elements. The main concept is based on a controlled random search scheme, where a generalised downhill simplex methodology is coupled with a simulated annealing procedure. The algorithm combines the robustness of simulated annealing in rugged problems, with the efficiency of hill-climbing methods in simple search spaces. The following-up procedure is based on a simplex-searching scheme. The simplex is reformulated at each generation going either downhill or uphill, according to a probabilistic criterion. In the first case, it moves towards the direction of a candidate local minimum via a generalised Nelder-Mead strategy. In the second case, it expands itself along the uphill direction, in order to escape from the current local minimum. In all possible movements, a combination of deterministic as well as stochastic transition rules is applied. The evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm was first examined in a variety of typical benchmark functions and then it was applied in two global optimisation problems taken from water resources engineering, the calibration of a hydrological model and the optimisation of a multiple reservoir systems' operation. The algorithm has been proved very reliable in locating the global optimum, requiring reasonable computational effort.
Remarks:
Web page of optimization algorithms: http://itia.ntua.gr/en/softinfo/29/
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Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.1038.6162
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
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| 20. | Tigkas, D., V. Christelis, and G. Tsakiris, Comparative study of evolutionary algorithms for the automatic calibration of the Medbasin-D conceptual hydrological model, Environmental Processes, doi:10.1007/s40710-016-0147-1, 2016. |
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| 27. | Christelis, V., and A. Mantoglou, Physics-based and data-driven surrogate models for pumping optimization of coastal aquifers, European Water, 57, 481-488, 2017 |
| 28. | Kopsiaftis, G., V. Christelis, and A. Mantoglou, Pumping optimization in coastal aquifers: Comparison of sharp interface and density dependent models, European Water, 57, 443-449, 2017. |
| 29. | Christelis, V., R. G. Regis, and A. Mantoglou, Surrogate-based pumping optimization of coastal aquifers under limited computational budgets, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 20(1), 164-176, doi:10.2166/hydro.2017.063, 2018. |
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| 31. | Christelis, V., and A. Mantoglou, Pumping optimization of coastal aquifers using seawater intrusion models of variable-fidelity and evolutionary algorithms, Water Resources Management, 33(2), 555-558, doi:10.1007/s11269-018-2116-0, 2019. |
| 32. | Kopsiaftis, G., V. Christelis, and A. Mantoglou, Comparison of sharp interface to variable density models in pumping optimisation of coastal aquifers, Water Resources Management, 33(4), 1397-409, doi:10.1007/s11269-019-2194-7, 2019. |
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| 36. | Stamou, A.-T., and P. Rutschmann, Optimization of water use based on the water-energy-food nexus concept: Application to the long-term development scenario of the Upper Blue Nile River, Water Utility Journal, 25, 1-13, 2020. |
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G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Determining management scenarios for the water resource system of Athens, Proceedings, Hydrorama 2002, 3rd International Forum on Integrated Water Management, 175–181, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.3135.7684, Water Supply and Sewerage Company of Athens, Athens, 2002.
The development process of scenarios used within a decision support system for water resources management is discussed, based on the case of the Athens water resource system. In particular, the schematisation process of the real world hydrosystem into a model representation is analysed, as well as further information consisting a scenario, including hydrological and water demand conditions, operational constraints, targets and their priorities, management objectives, and methodological assumptions used in decision making, is discussed
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D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and G. Karavokiros, A decision support tool for the management of multi-reservoir systems, Proceedings of the Integrated Decision-Making for Watershed Management Symposium, Chevy Chase, Maryland, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.3528.9848, US Environmental Protection Agency, Duke Power, Virginia Tech, 2001.
A decision support tool is developed for the management of water resources, focusing on multipurpose reservoir systems. This software tool has been designed in such a way that it can be suitable to hydrosystems with multiple and very often contradictory water uses and operating goals, calculating complex multi-reservoir systems as a whole. The mathematical framework is based on the original scheme parameterization-simulation-optimization. The main idea consists of a parametric formulation of the operating rules for reservoirs and other projects (i.e. hydropower plants). This methodology enables the decrease of the decision variables, making feasible the location of the optimal management policy, which maximizes the system yield and the overall operational benefit and minimizes the risk for the management decisions. The program was developed using advanced software engineering techniques. As proved two detailed case studies, it is flexible enough and thus suitable for use to a wide range of applications, so it can be helpful to water and power supply companies and related authorities.
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Full text:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.3528.9848
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Xenos, D., C. Karopoulos and E. Parlis, Modern confrontation of the management of Athens' water supply system, Proc. 7th Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, Syros, Greece, 952-958, 2001. |
| 2. | #Zeitoun, D. G., and A. J. Mellout, Decision support systems based on automatic water balance computation for groundwater management planning – The case of Israel’s coastal aquifer, Geoinformatics for Natural Resource Management, Joshi, P. K., P. Pani, S. N. Mohapartra, and T. P. Singh (eds.), Ch. 7, 634 pp., Nova Science Publishers Inc., New York, 2009. |
| 3. | Stamou, A.-T., and P. Rutschmann, Towards the optimization of water resource use in the Upper Blue Nile river basin, European Water, 60, 61-66, 2017. |
A. Efstratiadis, N. Zervos, G. Karavokiros, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The Hydronomeas computational system and its application to the simulation of reservoir systems, Water resources management in sensitive regions of Greece, Proceedings of the 4th Conference, edited by G. Tsakiris, A. Stamou, and J. Mylopoulos, Volos, 36–43, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.4053.2724, Greek Committee for the Water Resources Management, 1999.
Optimisation of a multiple-reservoir system becomes increasingly complex when conflicting water uses exist, such as water supply, irrigation, hydroelectric power generation etc. Hydronomeas is a software tool, suitable for simulating and conducting a search for the optimum water resources management policy of a multi-purpose hydrosystem. The mathematical model is based on recent introduction and theoretical development of parametric rules for operation of multiple-reservoir systems. Software implementation was such performed that the model can be easily applied to a wide range of hydrosystems and that representation will be as realistic as possible, incorporating all natural, operational, environmental and other restrictions. Hydronomeas consists of several subsystems, including operational simulation, optimisation and visualisation. The first two cope with goals concerning both consumptive and energy-oriented water uses. Hydronomeas has been applied on the hydrosystem comprising all existing and under construction projects of the Acheloos river, its planned diversion and the related projects in Thessalia.
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A. Zisos, K. Monokrousou, K. Tsimnadis, I. Dafnos, K. Dimitrou, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Leveraging renewable energy solutions for distributed urban water management: The case of sewer mining, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria & Online, EGU24-7458, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-7458, 2024.
As urban populations swell and infrastructure demands escalate, managing resources sustainably becomes increasingly challenging. This paper focuses on the energy challenges inherent in distributed water management systems, using sewer mining as an example. Sewer mining is a distributed water management solution involving mobile wastewater treatment units that extract and treat wastewater locally. In this context, we examine the integration of renewable energy sources, specifically solar photovoltaics, to reduce reliance on traditional power grids, highlighting a pilot implementation at the Athens Plant Nursery in Greece since 2021. The study evaluates various system configurations, balancing performance with landscape integration, to propose a scalable and robust model for distributed water management. This approach not only addresses the direct energy requirements of water treatment systems but also contributes to the broader agenda of circular economy, by enhancing the sustainability and resilience of urban water infrastructure.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/EGU24-7458.html
D. Chatzopoulos, A. Zisos, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, The benefits of distributed grid production: An insight on the role of spatial scale on solar PV energy, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria & Online, EGU24-3822, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3822, 2024.
The hydrometeorological processes associated with renewables are characterized by substantial spatiotemporal variability, and thus uncertainty, which is addressed through decentralized planning, thus taking advantage of scaling effects. The objective of this work is to provide a comprehensive investigation of the role of scale regarding solar photovoltaic production in Greece, which is one of the predominant renewables. By implementing macroscopic criteria in terms of solar potential (e.g., topography-adjusted radiation indices), we select a sufficient sample of well-distributed locations in Greece. For these points, hourly radiation and temperature data, derived from satellite products, are retrieved and validated against ground observations. Following this, we formulate a detailed simulation procedure that accounts for the two physical drivers and the panel characteristics (i.e., efficiency and temperature impacts due to heating), and we configure the baseline scenario by computing the individual production of each site. Next, to highlight the added value of distributed production and quantify the scaling effects in PV power production, we follow a Monte Carlo approach by randomly distributing PVs across the selected locations, to eventually provide a statistical analysis on the spatial and temporal domain and over different PV technologies.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/EGU24-3822.html
G.-K. Sakki, A. Castelletti, C. Makropoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Trade-offs in hydropower reservoir operation under the chain of uncertainty, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria & Online, EGU24-3487, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3487, 2024.
The Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystem nexus is characterized by synergies, complementarities and conflicts, and thus its management is a demanding task. This becomes more challenging when socioeconomic influences are embedded. Key components of this nexus are multipurpose water reservoirs that provide drinking water, electricity, agricultural water for food production, and ecosystem services. These systems are driven by inherently uncertain processes, both hydroclimatic and human-induced (e.g., legal regulations, strategic management policies, real-time controls, and market rules), and thus their management should account for them. In this vein, this research proposes an uncertainty-aware methodology for assessing the long-term performance of hydropower reservoirs. Specifically, we investigate and describe in stochastic terms the main uncertain drivers i.e., rainfall, water demands, and energy scheduling, and eventually explore the cascade effects of the uncertainty chain. The modeling framework is stress-tested on a hydropower reservoir in Greece, Plastiras, which has been subject to challenging socioeconomic conflicts during its entire 65-year history. To estimate the water targets, we employ a statistical analysis of historical abstractions, concluding that the irrigation demand is strongly correlated with the reservoir level while it is negatively correlated with antecedent rainfall. For the estimation of the power plant’s energy target, we adopt a copula-based approach, in which the desirable releases for energy production are dependent on day-ahead electricity prices. In particular, we adopt three policies, i.e., conservative, median, and energy-centric, that refer to 95%, 50%, and 5% quantiles of the copula. Finally, to account for the hydroclimatic and market process uncertainties, we are taking advantage of stochastic models for the generation of synthetic rainfall and electricity price data, respectively. Our findings indicate that the cascade effects of the joint uncertainties are crucial for all operation policies. Specifically, in terms of profitability the energy-centric and the median are similar, while from a water supply and irrigation reliability perspective, the uncertainty range of this policy is wider, thus making it unacceptable for some scenarios. Consequently, the conventional approach of ignoring uncertainty in policy selection may result in misleading perceptions for the operator, eventually guiding to sub-optimal reservoir management.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/EGU24-3487.html
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Driving energy systems with synthetic electricity prices, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria & Online, EGU24-3165, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-3165, 2024.
The electricity market across Europe, which is key driver of energy systems, has been subject to structural changes in the last years, in order to favor the penetration of renewables and foster decarbonization. A substantial guiding principle was the establishment of the Target Model, configurating a new era of the energy as a trading product. The corollary of this is that the market price became more dependent on socioeconomic disturbances and highly unpredictable events, such as financial, geopolitical and health crises. As a consequence, the variability of electricity prices has been substantially increased across all scales (intra-day, seasonal and long-run). In order to embed this major facet of uncertainty within energy systems modelling, we introduce a generic stochastic simulation framework to represent the market dynamics as a random process across scales. Key challenge is capturing the behavior of electricity prices that are characterized by significant peculiarities, such as volatility and spikes, as well as double periodicity, across seasons and within the intraday cycle. Further challenges are induced by the limited statistical information under the Target Model structure, and the need to implement within the synthetic data abnormal yet persistent shifts, as observed during the recent energy crisis. To stress-test our methodology, we simulate the quite different statistical response of the electricity prices in Greece and Portugal – two countries with similar economic conditions, fiscal compliance, and financial sector development.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/EGU24-3165.html
P. Pagotelis, Κ. Tsilipiras, Α. Lyras, Α. Koutsovitis, G.-K. Sakki, and A. Efstratiadis, Design of small hydropower plants under uncertainty: from the hydrological cycle to energy conversion, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria & Online, EGU23-15407, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu23-15407, 2023.
We investigate the design of small hydropower plants under multiple sources of uncertainty and contrast it with the conventional deterministic practice that leads to a unique solution. In particular, we emphasize three sources of uncertainty, referring to: (a) the rainfall process, (b) the rainfall-runoff transformation, and (c) the flow-energy conversion. The first is due to the natural (i.e., hydroclimatic) variability, and is represented through stochastic approaches. Regarding the rainfall-runoff uncertainty, this arises from inherent structural shortcomings and poor parameter identifiability across the calibration procedure. In fact, hydrological model parameterizations using only historical data are often insufficient for accurately predicting catchment behavior over the long term, as they may not capture the full range of hydroclimatic conditions that the catchment may be subjected to. To address this issue, we use synthetic time series as drivers to parameterize the model and validate it against observed data. This approach preserves the probabilistic properties and dependence structure of the observed data while also providing a much wider range of hydroclimatic conditions for model training. In addition, it allows for assessing and quantifying the total model uncertainty. The final source of uncertainty is depicted by means of probabilistic efficiency curves. This Monte Carlo simulation-optimization framework is formalized as a modular procedure, where the different sources of uncertainty, as well as the full context, is tested through the design of a small hydropower plant in Epirus, Western Greece.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU23/EGU23-15407.html
A. Zisos, M.-E. Pantazi, Μ. Diamanta, Ι. Koutsouradi, Α. Kontaxopoulou, I. Tsoukalas, G.-K. Sakki, and A. Efstratiadis, Towards energy autonomy of small Mediterranean islands: Challenges, perspectives and solutions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria & Online, EGU22-5468, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5468, European Geosciences Union, 2022.
The energy autonomy of small non-interconnected islands in the Mediterranean, taking advantage of their high renewable energy potential, has been a long-standing objective of local communities and stakeholders. This is also in line with the recently implemented European Green Deal, which has set the goal of increasing the renewable energy penetration in European countries’ power systems. However, the islands have further challenges than the large-scale inland areas. On the one hand, their population fluctuates significantly across seasons, as result of tourism, which is their key economic activity. The footprint of tourism is a substantial stress to all associated resources and infrastructures during the summer period. On the other hand, most of these areas suffer from both water and land scarcity. These features raise several challenges regarding the development of really autonomous energy systems, based on renewables and essential storage works to regulate the energy surpluses and deficits in the long run. Taking as example the Cycladic island of Sifnos, Greece, we investigate the design of a hybrid power system, combining wind, solar and hydroelectric energy. A major component of the proposed layout is the pumped-storage system. Due to the limited surface water resources of the island, we configure an upper tank at an elevation of 320 m, recycling seawater. This peculiarity introduces a significant level of uncertainty in hydraulic calculations, as well as various technical challenges, such as the erosion of pipes and the electromechanical equipment, and the waterproofing of the tank. An additional challenge is raised by the peculiar wind regime of the island, that makes essential to choose a hub height of turbines to minimize the frequency of power cut-offs. The basis of a rational design procedure for the main system components is the financial optimization that ensures a desirable level of reliability. This is achieved through a stochastic simulation approach that takes into account the stochastic nature of the underlying hydrometeorological drivers (wind velocity and solar radiation) and the energy demand.
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K.-K. Drakaki, G.-K. Sakki, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, and A. Efstratiadis, Setting the problem of energy production forecasting for small hydropower plants in the Target Model era, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, EGU21-3168, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3168, European Geosciences Union, 2021.
The highly-competitive electricity market over EU and the challenges induced by the so-called “Target Model”, introduce significant uncertainties to day-ahead trades involving renewable energy, since most of these sources are driven by non-controllable weather processes (wind, solar, hydro). Here, we explore the case of small hydropower plants that have negligible storage capacity, and thus their production is just a nonlinear transformation of inflows. We discuss different forecasting approaches, which take advantage of alternative sources of information, depending on data availability. Among others, we investigate whether is it preferable to employ day-ahead predictions based on past energy production data per se, or use these data in order to retrieve past inflows, which allows for introducing hydrological knowledge within predictions. Overall objective is to move beyond the standard, yet risky, point forecasting methods, providing a single expected value of hydropower production, thus quantifying the overall uncertainty of each forecasting method. Power forecasts are evaluated in terms of economic efficiency, accounting for the impacts of over- and under-estimations in the real-world electricity market.
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V. Kourakos, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Tsoukalas, Can hydrological model identifiability be improved? Stress-testing the concept of stochastic calibration, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, EGU21-11704, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-11704, European Geosciences Union, 2021.
Hydrological calibrations with historical data are often deemed insufficient for deducing safe estimations about a model structure that imitates, as closely as possible, the anticipated catchment behaviour. Ιn order to address this issue, we investigate a promising strategy, using as drivers synthetic time series, which preserve the probabilistic properties and dependence structure of the observed data. The key idea is calibrating a model on the basis of synthetic rainfall-runoff data, and validating against the full observed data sample. To this aim, we employed a proof of concept on few representative catchments, by testing several lumped conceptual hydrological models with alternative parameterizations and across two time-scales, monthly and daily. Next, we attempted to reinforce the validity of the recommended methodology by employing monthly stochastic calibrations in 100 MOPEX catchments. As before, a number of different hydrological models were used, for the purpose of proving that calibration with stochastic inputs is independent of the chosen model. The results highlight that in most cases the new approach leads to stronger parameter identifiability and stable predictive capacity across different temporal windows, since the model is trained over much extended hydroclimatic conditions.
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K. Risva, G.-K. Sakki, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Hydropower potential assessment made easy via the unit geo-hydro-energy index, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, EGU21-4462, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-4462, European Geosciences Union, 2021.
The design of hydropower works typically follows a top-down approach, starting from a macroscopic screening of the broader region of interest, to select promising clusters for hydroelectric exploitation, based on easily retrievable information. Manual approaches are very laborious and may fail to detect sites of significant hydropower potential. In order to facilitate this kind of studies, we provide a novel geomorphological approach to assess the hydropower potential across river networks. The method is based on the discretization of the stream network into segments of equal length, thus providing a background layer of head differences between potential abstraction and power production sites. Next, at each abstraction point, we estimate the so-called unit geo-hydro-energy index (UGHE), which is a key concept of our approach. UGHE is defined as the ratio of annual potential energy divided by the upstream catchment area, the head difference, and the unit annual runoff of the catchment, which is set equal to 1000 mm. The method is further expanded, to estimate the actual hydropotential, if spatially distributed runoff data are available. All analyses are automatized by taking advantage of the high-level interpreted programming language Python and the open-source QGIS tool. The proposed framework is demonstrated at the regional scale, involving the siting of run-of-river hydroelectric works in the Peneios river basin.
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G.-K. Sakki, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, and A. Efstratiadis, A dilemma of small hydropower plants: Design with uncertainty or uncertainty within design?, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, EGU21-2398, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2398, European Geosciences Union, 2021.
Small hydropower plants (SHPPs) are subject to multiple uncertainties and complexities, despite their limited scale. These uncertainties are often ignored in the typical engineering practice, which results in risky design. As this type of renewable energy rapidly penetrates the electricity mix, the impacts of their uncertainties, exogenous and endogenous, become critical. In this vein, we develop a stochastic simulation-optimization framework tailored for small hydropower plants. First, we investigate the underlying multicriteria design problem and its peculiarities, in order to determine a best-compromise performance metric that ensures efficient and effective optimizations. Next, we adjust to the optimal design problem a modular uncertainty assessment procedure. This combines statistical and stochastic approaches to quantify the uncertainty of the inflow process per se, the associated input data, the initial selection of efficiency curves for the turbine mixing in the design phase, as well as the drop of efficiency due to aging effects. Overall, we propose a holistic framework for the optimal design of SHPPs, highlighting the added value of considering the stochasticity of input processes and parameters. The novelty of this approach is the transition from the conventional to the uncertainty-aware design; from the unique value to Pareto-optimality, and finally to the reliability of the expected performance, in terms of investment costs, hydropower production, and associated revenues.
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A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Revisiting the storage-reliability-yield concept in hydroelectricity, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, EGU21-10528, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu21-10528, European Geosciences Union, 2021.
The storage-reliability-yield (SRY) relationship is a well-established tool for preliminary design of reservoirs fulfilling consumptive water uses, yet rarely employed within hydropower planning studies. Here, we discuss the theoretical basis for representing the trade-offs between reservoir size and expected revenues from hydropower production, under uncertain inflows, by taking advantage of the stochastic simulation-optimization approach. We also demonstrate that under some assumptions, the complex and site-specific problem, mainly induced by the nonlinearity of storage-head-energy conversion, can be significantly simplified and generalized as well. The methodology is tested across varying runoff regimes and under a wide range of potential reservoir geometries, expressed in terms of a generic shape parameter of the head-storage relationship. Based on the outcomes of these analyses we derive empirical expressions that link reliable energy with summary inflow statistics, reservoir capacity and geometry.
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M. Nezi, C. Ntigkakis, I. Tsoukalas, and A. Efstratiadis, Multidimensional context for extreme analysis of daily streamflow, rainfall and accumulated rainfall across USA, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-19674, doi:egusphere-egu2020-19674, 2020.
Statistical analysis of rainfall and runoff extremes plays a crucial role in hydrological design and flood risk management. Usually this analysis is performed separately for the two processes of interest, thus ignoring their dependencies, which appear at multiple temporal scales. Actually, the generation of a flood strongly depends on soil moisture conditions, which in turn depends on past rainfall. Using daily rainfall and runoff data from about 400 catchments in USA, retrieved from the MOPEX repository, we investigate the statistical behavior of the corresponding annual rainfall and streamflow maxima, also accounting for the influence of antecedent soil moisture conditions. The latter are quantified by means of accumulated daily rainfall at various aggregation scales (i.e., from 5 up to 30 days) before each extreme rainfall and streamflow event. Analysis of maxima is employed by fitting the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution, using the L-moments method for extracting the associated parameters (shape, scale, location). Significant attention is paid for ensuring statistically consistent estimations of the shape parameter, which is empirically adjusted in order to minimize the influence of sample uncertainty. Finally, we seek for the possible correlations among the derived parameter values and hydroclimatic characteristics of the studied basins, and also depict their spatial distribution across USA.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-19674.html
C. Ntigkakis, M. Nezi, and A. Efstratiadis, Post-extraction of flood hydrographs under limited and heterogeneous information: Case study of Western Attica event, November 2017, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-18262, doi:egusphere-egu2020-18262, 2020.
In November 2017, a storm event of substantial but unknown local intensity caused a flash flood in Western Attica, Greece, which was responsible for 24 human fatalities and large-scale economical losses. Our focus is to the neighbouring catchment of Sarantapotamos, which has been equipped with an automatic stage recorder that was destroyed during the rising of the flood. Our overall objective is the estimation of the rainfall over the broader area of interest, through a reverse rainfall-runoff modelling approach at this specific catchment. Several sources of information are accounted for in order to reproduce the “observed” flood hydrograph, including photos and videos. We then employ Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate the uncertainty induced from limited and even missing data. Utilising the outcome of these analyses, we provide probabilistic estimations of the modelled rainfall, as well as risk evaluations, by estimating the maximum intensities and associated return periods of the storm event across multiple time scales.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-18262.html
A. G. Pettas, P. Mavritsakis, I. Tsoukalas, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Empirical metric for uncertainty assessment of wind forecasting models in terms of power production and economic efficiency, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-8018, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8018, 2020.
As made for most of renewable energy sources, wind energy is driven by highly uncertain and thus unpredictable meteorological processes. In the context of wind power scheduling and control, reliable wind predictions across scales is a challenging problem. However, since the generation of wind energy is, in fact, a nonlinear transformation of wind velocity through the power curve of each specific turbine, the errors in meteorological predictions have different impacts on wind power forecasts. It is well-known that for quite a large range of wind velocity values, the wind power production is either zero or constant, thus independent of the individual wind velocity value. This interesting feature allows for ensuring better predictions of the output, i.e. the energy production, with respect to input, i.e. wind velocity. Taking advantage of this, we present a hybrid stochastic framework for multi-step ahead wind velocity predictions and their evaluation by means of power production and economic efficiency. The methodology is tested for different wind regimes and different layouts of wind turbine systems, emphasizing to mixing of different turbine types, which allows for minimizing uncertainties. Finally, we investigate the use of this index in the technical and operational optimization of wind energy systems.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-8018.html
K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Distributed hydrological modelling using spatiotemporally varying velocities, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-13402, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-13402, 2020.
We present a distributed hydrological model with minimal calibration requirements, which represents the rainfall-runoff transformation and the flow routing processes. The generation of surface runoff is based on a modified NRCS-CN scheme. Key novelty is the use of representative CN values, which are initially assigned to model cells on the basis of slope, land cover and permeability maps, and adjusted to antecedent soil moisture conditions. For the propagation of runoff to the basin outlet two flow types are considered, i.e. overland flow across the terrain and channel flow along the river network. These are synthesized by employing a novel velocity-based approach, where the assignment of velocities along the river network is based on macroscopic hydraulic information. It also uses the concept of varying time of concentration, which is considered function of the average runoff intensity across the catchment. This configuration is suitable for event-based flood simulation and requires the specification of only two lumped inputs, which are either manually estimated or inferred through calibration. The model can also run in continuous mode, by employing a soil moisture accounting scheme that produces both the surface (overland) runoff and the interflow through the unsaturated zone. The two model configurations are demonstrated in the representation of observed flows across Nedontas river basin at South Peloponnese, Greece.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-13402.html
E. Manta, R. Ioannidis, G.-F. Sargentis, and A. Efstratiadis, Aesthetic evaluation of wind turbines in stochastic setting: Case study of Tinos island, Greece, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-5484, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-5484, 2020.
Wind turbines are large-scale engineering infrastructures that may cause significant social reactions, due to the anticipated aesthetic nuisance. On the other hand, aesthetics is a highly subjective issue, thus any attempt towards its quantification requires accounting for the uncertainty induced from subjectivity. In this work, taking as example the Aegean island of Tinos, Cyclades, Greece, we present a stochastic-based methodology for evaluating the feasibility of developing wind parks in terms of their aesthetic impacts. At first, a field analysis is been conducted along with photographic surveying, 3D representation and the opinion of the target population regarding the development of wind parks across the island. Subsequently, the landscape transformations that will be caused from the wind turbines are assessed according to the theory of aesthetics, which are depicted by using suitable spatial analysis tools in GIS environment. The 3D representation images along with the maps are finally assessed through stochastic analysis, in order to quantify the visual impacts to the landscape and the nuisance to local community.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-5484.html
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Vlami, V., I. P. Kokkoris, S. Zogaris, G. Kehayias, and P. Dimopoulos, Cultural ecosystem services in the Natura 2000 network: Introducing proxy indicators and conflict risk in Greece, Land, 10(1), 4, doi:10.3390/land10010004, 2021. |
G.-K. Sakki, V. Papalamprou, I. Tsoukalas, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Stochastic modelling of hydropower generation from small hydropower plants under limited data availability: from post-assessment to forecasting, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-8129, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-8129, 2020.
Due to their negligible storage capacity, small hydroelectric plants cannot offer regulation of flows, thus making the prediction of energy production a very difficult task, even for small time horizons. Further uncertainties arise due to the limited hydrological information, in terms of upstream inflow data, since usually the sole available measurements refer to the power production, which is a nonlinear transformation of the river discharge. In this context, we develop a stochastic modelling framework comprising two steps. Initially, we extract past inflows on the basis of energy data, which may be referred to as the inverse problem of hydropower. Key issue of this approach is that the model error is expressed in stochastic terms, which allows for embedding uncertainties within calculations. Next, we generate stochastic forecasting ensembles of future inflows and associated hydropower production, spanning from small (daily to weekly) to meso-scale (monthly to seasonal) time horizons. The methodology is tested in the oldest (est. 1926) small hydroelectric plant of Greece, located at Glafkos river, in Northern Peloponnese. Among other complexities, this comprises a mixing of Pelton and Francis turbines, which makes the overall modelling procedure even more challenging.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-8129.html
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, D. Koutsoyiannis, K. Mazi, A. D. Koussis, S. Lykoudis, E. Demetriou, N. Malamos, A. Christofides, and D. Kalogeras, Open Hydrosystem Information Network: Greece’s new research infrastructure for water, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-4164, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-4164, 2020.
The Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net) is a state-of-the-art information infrastructure for the collection, management and free dissemination of hydrological and environmental information related to Greece’s surface water resources. It was launched two years ago as part of the national research infrastructure “Hellenic Integrated Marine Inland water Observing, Forecasting and offshore Technology System” (HIMIOFoTS), which also comprises a marine-related component (https://www.himiofots.gr/). The OpenHi.net system receives and processes real-time data from automatic telemetric stations that are connected to a common web environment (https://openhi.net/). In particular, for each monitoring site it accommodates stage measurements, raw and automatically post-processed. Furthermore, in some specially selected sites time series related to water quality characteristics (pH, water temperature, salinity, DO, electrical conductivity) are provided. The web platform also offers automatically-processed information in terms of discharge data, statistics, and graphs, alerts for extreme events, as well as geographical data associated with surface water bodies. At the present time, the network comprises about 20 stations. However, their number is continuously increasing, due to the open access policy of the system (the platform is fully accessible to third-parties uploading their data). In the long run, it is envisioned that a national-scale hydrometric infrastructure will be established, covering all important rivers, lakes and reservoirs of the country.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-4164.html
G. Karavokiros, D. Nikolopoulos, S. Manouri, A. Efstratiadis, C. Makropoulos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydronomeas 2020: Open-source decision support system for water resources management, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2020, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 22, Vienna, EGU2020-20022, doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20022, 2020.
Over the last 30 years, numerous water resources planning and management studies in Greece have been conducted by using state-of-the-art methodologies and associated computational tools that have been developed by the Itia research team at the National Technical University of Athens. The spearhead of Itia’s research toolkit has been the Hydronomeas decision support system (which stands for “water distributer” in Greek) supporting multi-reservoir hydrosystem management. Its methodological framework has been based on the parameterization-simulation-optimization approach comprising stochastic simulation, network linear optimization for the representation of water and energy fluxes, and multicriteria global optimization, ensuring best-compromise decision-making. In its early stage, Hydronomeas was implemented in Object Pascal – Delphi. Currently, the software is being substantially redeveloped and its improved version incorporates new functionalities, several model novelties and interconnection with other programs, e.g., EPANET. Hydronomeas 2020 will be available at the end of 2020 as a free and open-source Python package. In this work we present the key methodological advances and improved features of the current version of the software, demonstrated in the modelling of the extensive and challenging raw water supply system of the city of Athens, Greece.
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See also: https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2020/EGU2020-20022.html
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Koutiva, I., and C. Makropoulos, On the use of agent based modelling for addressing the social component of urban water management in Europe, Computational Water, Energy, and Environmental Engineering, 10(4), 140-154, doi:10.4236/cweee.2021.104011, 2021. |
L. M. Tsiami, E. Zacharopoulou, D. Nikolopoulos, I. Tsoukalas, N. Mamassis, A. Kallioras, and A. Efstratiadis, The use of Artificial Neural Networks with different sources of spatiotemporal information for flash flood predictions, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 21, Vienna, EGU2019-7315, European Geosciences Union, 2019.
For more than two decades, the use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in hydrology has become an effective and efficient alternative against traditional modeling approaches, i.e. physically-based or conceptual. These can take advantage of any type of available information to predict the hydrological response of complex systems, with missing data and limited knowledge about the transformation mechanisms. A promising area of application is the real-time prediction of flood propagation, which is essential element of early warning and early notification systems. In this work we focus to flash floods, considering as areas of application two medium-scale catchments in Greece with substantially different characteristics. The first one is the highly urbanized river basin of Kephissos (380 km2), which is the main drainage channel of the Athens Metropolitan area, while the second is the rural catchment of Nedontas, SW Greece (120 km2). Both areas have been recently equipped with automatic hydrometric stations, while online rainfall data are also available at a representative number of meteorological stations. For the two case studies we investigate several setups of ANNs, in order to predict the river stage at the catchment outlet for several lead times, using different combinations of input sets, by means of upstream stage and point rainfall data.
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P. Mavritsakis, A. G. Pettas, I. Tsoukalas, G. Karakatsanis, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, A stochastic simulation framework for representing water, energy and financial fluxes across a non-connected island, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 21, Vienna, EGU2019-8758, European Geosciences Union, 2019.
Integrated modeling of hybrid water-energy systems, comprising conventional and renewable energy sources, pumped-storage facilities and other hydraulic infrastructures, which aim to serve combined water and energy uses, is a highly challenging problem. On the one hand, such systems are subject to significant uncertainties that span over all associated input processes, physical and anthropogenic (i.e. hydrometeorological drivers and water-energy demands, respectively). On the other hand, the everyday operation of such systems is subject to multiple complexities, due to the conflicting uses, constraints and economic interests. Taking as example a future configuration of the electric system of Ikaria Island, Greece, we demonstrate a stochastic simulation framework, comprising: (a) a synthetic time series generator that reproduces the statistical and stochastic properties (i.e. marginal distributions, auto- and cross-dependencies) of all input processes, at multiple temporal scales; and (b) a simulation module employing the hourly operation of the system, to estimate the associated water, energy and financial fluxes. This scheme is used within two case studies, i.e. the optimal design of key system components, and the real-time operation of a hypothetical energy market, involving different energy providers and associated electricity sources, conventional and renewable.
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E. Zacharopoulou, I. Tsoukalas, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Impact of sample uncertainty of inflows to stochastic simulation of reservoirs, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 21, Vienna, EGU2019-17233, European Geosciences Union, 2019.
Design and management of water resource systems are arguably challenging tasks, as they are mainly driven by hydrological processes that are dominated by “structured” randomness. In this vein, the stochastic simulation of the input processes is regarded an essential component for such studies. Typically, the objective of stochastic models is the generation of long synthetic time series that reproduce the statistical and dependence properties of the historical data, ideally at multiple time scales (including long-term changes, such as those induced by the Hurst-Kolmogorov behavior). However, the sample statistical characteristics that are forced to be reproduced entail an inherent uncertainty, due to the generally short length of historical data. This key shortcoming is not typically accounted for within the current practices. This work is an attempt to investigate and quantify the input uncertainty within stochastic models, and eventually assess its impact on reservoir systems. Towards this, we establish a methodology for the quantification of the sample uncertainty, involving the essential statistical characteristics of historical inflows in a multiscale context, by using as background stochastic simulator the CastaliaR model. Initially, this model is employed for the generation of a large set of synthetic time series with the same length with the historical sample, and thus provide multiple “pseudo-historic” realizations. Subsequently, the statistical properties of the ensemble of pseudo-historic data are extracted and employed to generate long synthetic time series, which are finally used as inputs to a reservoir simulation model. In this context, the above procedure is demonstrated for the derivation of ensembles of storage-yield-reliability relationships. Furthermore, multiple analyses for different sample sizes and Hurst coefficients are performed, aiming to investigate the uncertainty imposed by the sample size and the long-term persistence of the inflow processes.
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Koskinas, A., Stochastics and ecohydrology: A study in optimal reservoir design, Dams and Reservoirs, 30(2), 53-59, doi:10.1680/jdare.20.00009, 2020. |
| 2. | Saengsuwan, T., Prediction model for solar PV rooftop production, Journal of Renewable Energy and Smart Grid Technology, 15(2), 16-25, 2020. |
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, K. Mazi, E. Dimitriou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Strategic plan for establishing a national-scale hydrometric network in Greece: challenges and perspectives, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2019, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 21, Vienna, EGU2019-16714, European Geosciences Union, 2019.
The protection and management of water and environmental resources require the availability of reliable data, collected by properly designed, equipped and functioning monitoring networks. However, for many years in Greece, the status of data collection and archiving has been far from adequate, thus preventing the country from managing its water resources properly. Today, a large effort to mitigate this gap is employed, within a recently launched research infrastructure called “Open Hydrosystem Information Network” (OpenHi.net). This aims establishing automatic monitoring systems for the surface water resources at the national scale, accompanied by supporting e-infrastructure (databases and modeling applications), in compliance with the requirements of the relevant EU Directives. Essential component of this initiative is the implementation of a detailed evaluation of all existing measuring infrastructures and associated data, resulting to a strategic planning for the installation of the new monitoring stations across all important rivers, lakes and reservoirs of the country. This presentation summarizes the outcomes of this work, and the experience gained so far from the operation of first pilot stations.
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E. Klousakou, M. Chalakatevaki, R. Tomani, P. Dimitriadis, A. Efstratiadis, T. Iliopoulou, R. Ioannidis, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastic investigation of the uncertainty of atmospheric processes related to renewable energy resources, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-16982-2, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
Renewable energy resources, e.g., wind and solar energy, are characterized by great degree of uncertainty and in general, limited predictability, because of the irregular variability of the related geophysical processes. A simple and robust measure of the inherent uncertainty of a process is the Hurst parameter. Specifically, the more complex a process is, the larger the introduced uncertainty (unpredictability) and the larger the Hurst parameter. This behaviour (called Hurst-Kolmogorov, HK) has been identified in numerous geophysical processes. Although there are several methods for estimating the Hurst parameter, the climacogram (i.e. variance of the averaged process vs. scale of averaging) is one of the most powerful ones, with a lower statistical estimation uncertainty compared to the autocovariance and power spectrum. We apply the climacogram method to timeseries from processes related to renewable energy systems (wind, solar, ocean etc.) with the aim to characterize their degree of uncertainty and predictability across different timescales. We compare results among the different processes and we provide real-world examples of renewable energy systems management to illustrate the technical relevance of our findings.
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A. Ataliotis, E. Koumaki, P. Dimitriadis, A. Efstratiadis, and K. Noutsopoulos, Investigation of the major uncertainty sources of an integrated plant-wide wastewater treatment model, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-18719-1, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
A plant-wide mathematical model has been developed in order to simulate the operation of urban wastewater treatment plants. The model consists of several sub-models, one for each treatment unit. The model is able to assess the effluent quality, the energy and chemicals consumption and the greenhouse gas emissions (GHG). The biological process model is based on a modification of the activated sludge model no.1 (ASM1) including all the biological processes related to N2O and CO2 production pathways. To simulate settling processes, a one-dimensional model was used which is based on the general flux theory for zone settling, while an anaerobic digestion sub-model based on a modification of activated digestion model no.1 (ADM1) was developed. Finally simulation of the other treatment units (pretreatment, primary treatment, gravity and mechanical thickening and dewatering) is based on mass balances based on the efficiency of each unit. It is well known that there is a high level of uncertainty when determining the appropriate values of the stoichiometric and kinetic parameters employed in the model’s kinetic equations. Most of these values are derived through experimental procedures conducted under different conditions thus presenting high variability. A Monte Carlo based approach was used to provide for the identification of the most important model’s stoichiometric and kinetic parameters that affects model’s results. The mathematical model takes into account the random fluctuation of these parameters by creating a range of possible values for each one of them and a corresponding probability distribution. Thus values selection is taking place in a pseudo-random way through a specific probability distribution (normal, lognormal, uniform, etc.). Based on the results prioritization of uncertainty sources was implemented.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1788/1/documents/EGU2018-18719-1.pdf (34 KB)
P. Dimitriadis, T. Iliopoulou, A. Efstratiadis, P. Papanicolaou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastic investigation of the uncertainty in common rating-curve relationships, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-18947-2, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
A common issue in the river analysis is that most discharges measurements are taken from stage measurements and then an empirical expression is applied often called rating curves. There are several empirical relationships to determine the rating curves in order to estimate the river discharge when the water-surface is known and vice versa. Here, we investigate the stochastic uncertainty induced in empirical expressions of common rating curves. For this, we perform exhaustive Monte-Carlo experiments by assuming a theoretical stochastic structure (with or without fixed trends) for the river stage and we estimate the change in the dependence structure and marginal distribution of the river discharge. We further perform a sensitivity analysis on the input parameters of the common stage-discharge expressions in order to identify and estimate the overall induced uncertainty. Finally, we discuss on the results and we derive some preliminary conclusions on whether a stochastic structure (including trends) empirically estimated in terms of stage can be arbitrarily translated into discharge.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1787/1/documents/EGU2018-18947-2.pdf (31 KB)
G. Markopoulos-Sarikas, C. Ntigkakis, P. Dimitriadis, G. Papadonikolaki, A. Efstratiadis, A. Stamou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, How probable was the flood inundation in Mandra? A preliminary urban flood inundation analysis, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-17527-1, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
A recent flash flood event in the Mandra region west of Athens, Greece, turned urban roads into fast-flowing rivers, and caused many fatalities and economic damages. After this incident a great dispute arose whether the devastating results were due to the extreme nature of the storm event or to the poor flood protection works. In this study, we present a preliminary analysis of the urban flood inundation at the wider area by taking into account the uncertainty introduced by the input discharge, topography and hydraulic characteristics. Finally, we discuss how hydraulic works could reduce the severity of the event.
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Diakakis, M., N. Boufidis, J. M. Salanova Grau, E. Andreadakis, and I. Stamos, A systematic assessment of the effects of extreme flash floods on transportation infrastructure and circulation: The example of the 2017 Mandra flood, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 47, 101542, doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101542, 2020. |
| 2. | Kanellopoulos, T. D., A. P. Karageorgis, A. Kikaki, S. Chourdaki, I. Hatzianestis, I. Vakalas, and G.-A. Hatiris, The impact of flash-floods on the adjacent marine environment: the case of Mandra and Nea Peramos (November 2017), Greece, Journal of Coastal Conservation, 24, 56, doi:10.1007/s11852-020-00772-6, 2020. |
| 3. | Diakakis, Μ., G. Deligiannakis, Z. Antoniadis, M. Melaki, N. K. Katsetsiadou, E. Andreadakis, N. I. Spyrou, and M. Gogou, Proposal of a flash flood impact severity scale for the classification and mapping of flash flood impacts, Journal of Hydrology, 590, 125452, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125452, 2020. |
| 4. | Rozos, E., V. Bellos, J. Kalogiros, and K. Mazi, efficient flood early warning system for data-scarce, karstic, mountainous environments: A case study, Hydrology, 10(10), 203, doi:10.3390/hydrology10100203, 2023. |
C. Ntigkakis, G. Markopoulos-Sarikas, P. Dimitriadis, T. Iliopoulou, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, A. D. Koussis, K. Mazi, D. Katsanos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrological investigation of the catastrophic flood event in Mandra, Western Attica, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-17591-1, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
A recent storm event, of substantial yet unknown local intensity, in Western Attica (west of Athens, Greece) has caused a flash flood with many fatalities in the city of Mandra as well as material damages. After this incident a debate started on whether the devastating results were due to the extreme nature of the rainfall event or to the poor flood protection works. In this study, we present information gathered from several sources (including hydrometric data from a neighboring catchment, point rainfall data from the broader area of interest, satellite observations and audiovisual material) in an attempt to represent the rainfall-runoff event. We further analyze the available data to approximately estimate the return period of the storm event. Finally, we discuss on the feasibility of the prediction of this storm.
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Kanellopoulos, T. D., A. P. Karageorgis, A. Kikaki, S. Chourdaki, I. Hatzianestis, I. Vakalas, and G.-A. Hatiris, The impact of flash-floods on the adjacent marine environment: the case of Mandra and Nea Peramos (November 2017), Greece, Journal of Coastal Conservation, 24, 56, doi:10.1007/s11852-020-00772-6, 2020. |
| 2. | Rozos, E., V. Bellos, J. Kalogiros, and K. Mazi, efficient flood early warning system for data-scarce, karstic, mountainous environments: A case study, Hydrology, 10(10), 203, doi:10.3390/hydrology10100203, 2023. |
I. Anyfanti, P. Dimitriadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Handling the computation effort of time-demanding water-energy simulation models through surrogate approaches, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-12110, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
We investigate the computational challenges of a model for the integrated simulation – optimization of water and renewable energy fluxes, based on an example (hypothetical) hybrid water – energy system at a small non-connected island (Astypalaia, Greece). The system consists of a hydroelectric reservoir with pumped storage facilities, connected with system of wind and solar power plants. The model runs on hourly time step, using as inputs rainfall and temperature data, data for the water supply, irrigation and electric energy demands, as well as energy production data from wind and solar resources. The reservoir system attempts to fulfill the two water demands and regulate the energy excesses and deficits. Due to the fine time step of calculations and the use of synthetic time series of long horizon, the computational burden of simulation runs in an optimization framework is significant. In an attempt to minimize the computational load, particularly in optimizations, we investigate the use of surrogate approaches, through black-box sub-models (e.g., neural networks) that represent autonomous parts of the whole simulation procedure. The outcomes of surrogate models are compared with the corresponding outputs of the original model.
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D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, N. Mamassis, and C. Makropoulos, Stochastic simulation-optimization framework for energy cost assessment across the water supply system of Athens, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-12290, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
The water supply of Athens is implemented through a complex hydrosystem, including four reservoirs, 350 km of main aqueducts, 15 pumping stations, more than 100 boreholes and 5 small hydropower plants. The management of this system is subject to multiple complexities and uncertainties, as well as conflicts between different water uses and environmental constraints. Yet, the key challenge arises from the need to minimize the operational cost of the system, mainly induced to energy consumption across pumping stations and boreholes, at the same time retaining its long-term reliability at the acceptable level of 99%, on annual basis. In general, the energy cost is low, since most of raw water is abstracted and conveyed via gravity, yet occasionally this may be substantially increased, due to the activation of auxiliary resources that require intense use of pumping stations. In order to assess this cost for several water demand scenarios and reliability levels, taking into account all aforementioned issues, we employ a stochastic simulation – optimization framework, implemented within the recently updated version of Hydronomeas software. The outcomes of these analyses are next used in order to estimate the cost of raw water arriving at the metropolitan area of Athens, as function of demand and reliability.
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K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Nalbantis, Low-flow analysis in Mediterranean basins, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-18880, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
In this work we examine the low flow characteristics of Mediterranean basins during the dry season. For convenience, we consider a six-month period, from mid-April to mid-October, which is generally characterized by limited precipitation and increased water demands. Our emphasis is given to the baseflow component, represented through a linear reservoir approach, key component of which is the recession rate. Classic indices, such as flow quantiles, are calculated along a simple exponential recession model. Our analysis aims to explain the significant variability of the recession rate across hydrological years and across river basins with different characteristics, in terms of extent, elevation, physiographical properties and runoff production. Results show that the recession rate is strongly correlated to characteristic hydrological signatures, and it is also a function of the basin area. The study applies to 25 Mediterranean basins across France, Spain, Cyprus, Italy and Greece, including some small catchments with intermittent flow regime.
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A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Effective combination of stochastic and deterministic hydrological models in a changing environment, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 20, Vienna, EGU2018-11989, European Geosciences Union, 2018.
Water resource systems are subject to continuous changes, at all temporal scales. Changes are induced due to the inherently varying meteorological processes, anthropogenic interventions of all kinds, as well as other exogenous factors modifying the system characteristics. Traditionally, stochastic models, for generating synthetic input data, and deterministic hydrological models, for representing anticipated or hypothesized environmental changes, have been regarded as alternative approaches to provide future projections of the system responses. Given that both approaches are driven by historical data, they are restricted by the limited, and sometimes misinterpreted, information of past observations. Using examples from real-world hydrosystems, we propose a nonlinear stochastic framework, by coupling stochastic and deterministic models, which aims to take full advantage of the existing data and understanding. A central assumption is that all key uncertain aspects of the overall simulation procedure are expressed in stochastic terms (including model parameters and water demands, among others), while major uncertainties with respect to changing processes that cannot be captured by past data are consistently represented through the Hurst-Kolmogorov paradigm.
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E. Michailidi, S. Antoniadi, A. Koukouvinos, B. Bacchi, and A. Efstratiadis, Velocity-based approach for establishing a varying time of concentration: Α study in three Mediterranean countries, Le Giornate dell’ Idrologia 2017, Favignana, Società Idrologica Italiana, 2017.
The time of concentration, tc, has a crucial role in hydrological design, as an essential input of rainfall-runoff modelling. In common practices it is considered as a characteristic property of the watershed, even though theoretical proof and empirical evidence imply that it is a function of flow, and thus varies within the same basin. Here, we implement a velocity-based approach, partially integrated in a GIS environment and show that the relation between tc and runoff intensity for a basin is approximated almost perfectly by a power-law function. The coefficient of this relation depends on the length and mean slope of the main stream and the exponent shows a small variability within the tested basins. Next, we propose a regional formula for the estimation of tc that is a function of runoff intensity, as well as, key geomorphological characteristics of the basin, calibrated and validated in a number of Mediterranean river basins in Greece, Italy and Cyprus. Lastly, we propose its adaptation in flood modelling, in particular in the SCS-CN method, using a parametrised Synthetic Unit Hydrograph (SUH) whose shape is dynamically adjusted according to the runoff produced during the flood event. The proposed methodology is tested in a number of observed flood events with very satisfying results in the majority of the cases.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1841/1/documents/EleniMich2017.pdf (5417 KB)
V. Daniil, G. Pouliasis, E. Zacharopoulou, E. Demetriou, G. Manou, M. Chalakatevaki, I. Parara, C. Georganta, P. Stamou, S. Karali, E. Hadjimitsis, G. Koudouris, E. Moschos, D. Roussis, K. Papoulakos, A. Koskinas, G. Pollakis, N. Gournari, K. Sakellari, Y. Moustakis, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, H. Tyralis, P. Dimitriadis, T. Iliopoulou, G. Karakatsanis, K. Tzouka, I. Deligiannis, V. Tsoukala, P. Papanicolaou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The uncertainty of atmospheric processes in planning a hybrid renewable energy system for a non-connected island, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2017, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 19, Vienna, EGU2017-16781-4, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.29610.62406, European Geosciences Union, 2017.
Non-connected islands to the electric gird are often depending on oil-fueled power plants with high unit cost. A hybrid energy system with renewable resources such as wind and solar plants could reduce this cost and also offer more environmental friendly solutions. However, atmospheric processes are characterized by high uncertainty that does not permit harvesting and utilizing full of their potential. Therefore, a more sophisticated framework that somehow incorporates this uncertainty could improve the performance of the system. In this context, we describe several stochastic and financial aspects of this framework. Particularly, we investigate the cross-correlation between several atmospheric processes and the energy demand, the possibility of mixing renewable resources with the conventional ones and in what degree of reliability, and critical financial subsystems such as weather derivatives. A pilot application of the above framework is also presented for a remote island in the Aegean Sea.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1689/1/documents/EGU2017oral_16781_final.pdf (3038 KB)
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Vashisth, P. K. Agrawal, N. Gupta, K. R. Naizi, and A. Swarnkar, A novel strategy for electric vehicle home charging to defer investment on distributed energy resources, 2023 IEEE IAS Global Conference on Renewable Energy and Hydrogen Technologies (GlobConHT), Male, Maldives, doi:10.1109/GlobConHT56829.2023.10087723, 2023. |
K. Papoulakos, G. Pollakis, Y. Moustakis, A. Markopoulos, T. Iliopoulou, P. Dimitriadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Simulation of water-energy fluxes through small-scale reservoir systems under limited data availability, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2017, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 19, Vienna, 19, EGU2017-10334-4, European Geosciences Union, 2017.
Small islands are regarded as promising areas for developing hybrid water-energy systems that combine multiple sources of renewable energy with pumped-storage facilities. Essential element of such systems is the water storage component (reservoir), which implements both flow and energy regulations. Apparently, the representation of the overall water-energy management problem requires the simulation of the operation of the reservoir system, which in turn requires a faithful estimation of water inflows and demands of water and energy. Yet, in small-scale reservoir systems, this task in far from straightforward, since both the availability and accuracy of associated information is generally very poor. For, in contrast to large-scale reservoir systems, for which it is quite easy to find systematic and reliable hydrological data, in the case of small systems such data may be minor or even totally missing. The stochastic approach is the unique means to account for input data uncertainties within the combined water-energy management problem. Using as example the Livadi reservoir, which is the pumped storage component of the small Aegean island of Astypalaia, Greece, we provide a simulation framework, comprising: (a) a stochastic model for generating synthetic rainfall and temperature time series; (b) a stochastic rainfall-runoff model, whose parameters cannot be inferred through calibration and, thus, they are represented as correlated random variables; (c) a stochastic model for estimating water supply and irrigation demands, based on simulated temperature and soil moisture, and (d) a daily operation model of the reservoir system, providing stochastic forecasts of water and energy outflows.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1682/2/documents/2017_EGU_RRproject_final.pdf (2019 KB)
Additional material:
E. Michailidi, S. Antoniadi, A. Koukouvinos, B. Bacchi, and A. Efstratiadis, Adaptation of the concept of varying time of concentration within flood modelling: Theoretical and empirical investigations across the Mediterranean, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2017, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 19, Vienna, 19, EGU2017-10663-1, European Geosciences Union, 2017.
The time of concentration, tc, is a key hydrological concept and often is an essential parameter of rainfall-runoff modelling, which has been traditionally tackled as a characteristic property of the river basin. However, both theoretical proof and empirical evidence imply that tc is a hydraulic quantity that depends on flow, and thus it should be considered as variable and not as constant parameter. Using a kinematic method approach, easily implemented in GIS environment, we first illustrate that the relationship between tc and the effective rainfall produced over the catchment is well-approximated by a power-type law, the exponent of which is associated with the slope of the longest flow path of the river basin. Next, we take advantage of this relationship to adapt the concept of varying time of concentration within flood modelling, and particularly the well-known SCS-CN approach. In this context, the initial abstraction ratio is also considered varying, while the propagation of the effective rainfall is employed through a parametric unit hydrograph, the shape of which is dynamically adjusted according to the runoff produced during the flood event. The above framework is tested in a number of Mediterranean river basins in Greece, Italy and Cyprus, ensuring faithful representation of most of the observed flood events. Based on the outcomes of this extended analysis, we provide guidance for employing this methodology for flood design studies in ungauged basins.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1681/2/documents/2017_EGU_TcPosterA0_1_1.pdf (899 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Almeida, A. K., I. K. de Almeida, J. A. Guarienti, L. F. Finck, and S. G. Gabas, Time of concentration model for non-urban tropical basins based on physiographic characteristics and observed rainfall responses, Water Resources Management, doi:10.1007/s11269-023-03616-8, 2023. |
Y. Moustakis, P. Kossieris, I. Tsoukalas, and A. Efstratiadis, Quasi-continuous stochastic simulation framework for flood modelling, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2017, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 19, Vienna, 19, EGU2017-534, European Geosciences Union, 2017.
Typically, flood modelling in the context of everyday engineering practices is addressed through event-based deterministic tools, e.g., the well-known SCS-CN method. A major shortcoming of such approaches is the ignorance of uncertainty, which is associated with the variability of soil moisture conditions and the variability of rainfall during the storm event. In event-based modeling, the sole expression of uncertainty is the return period of the design storm, which is assumed to represent the acceptable risk of all output quantities (flood volume, peak discharge, etc.). On the other hand, the varying antecedent soil moisture conditions across the basin are represented by means of scenarios (e.g., the three AMC types by SCS), while the temporal distribution of rainfall is represented through standard deterministic patterns (e.g., the alternative blocks method). In order to address these major inconsistencies,simultaneously preserving the simplicity and parsimony of the SCS-CN method, we have developed a quasi-continuous stochastic simulation approach, comprising the following steps: (1) generation of synthetic daily rainfall time series; (2) update of potential maximum soil moisture retention, on the basis of accumulated five-day rainfall; (3) estimation of daily runoff through the SCS-CN formula, using as inputs the daily rainfall and the updated value of soil moisture retention;(4) selection of extreme events and application of the standard SCS-CN procedure for each specific event, on the basis of synthetic rainfall. This scheme requires the use of two stochastic modelling components, namely the CastaliaR model, for the generation of synthetic daily data, and the HyetosMinute model, for the disaggregation of daily rainfall to finer temporal scales. Outcomes of this approach are a large number of synthetic flood events, allowing for expressing the design variables in statistical terms and thus properly evaluating the flood risk.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1680/2/documents/FINAL_Moustakis_EGU2017.pdf (1492 KB)
Additional material:
T. Vergou, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Dermatas, Water balance model for evaluation of landfill malfunction due to leakage, 13th International Conference on Protection and Restoration of the Environment, Mykonos, 2016.
We present a conceptual model that aims to represent the main hydrological processes in a landfill, taking into account its dynamic evolution. The model is employed in a real-world case study, involving the operation of the landfill of Mavrorachi, Northern Greece, for a two-year period. The landfill exhibits several environmental problems due to significant leakage production, which often exceeds the capacity of treatment works, as well as lateral outflows. By simulating the entire water cycle over the landfill basin, we attempt to recognize the major sources of failure and propose management measures to mitigate the current environmental impacts.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1646/1/documents/Presentation_Mykonos_v3.pdf (2214 KB)
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See also: http://pre13.civil.auth.gr/ocs/index.php/PRE/pre13/paper/view/439
M. Giglioni, A. Efstratiadis, F. Lombardo, F. Napolitano, and F. Russo, Comparative assessment of different drought indices across the Mediterranean, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 18, Vienna, EGU2016-18537, European Geosciences Union, 2016.
Droughts have become one of the most challenging issues in hydrological sciences due to their major socioeconomic impacts all over the world. In the context of the everyday water resources management practice, the identification and evaluation of droughts are mainly based on simplified indices, which are estimated through easily accessible information. In this work, we employ several meteorological indices, i.e. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Palmer Drought Z Index, and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), in order to evaluate the severity and duration of the observed drought events. The main purpose of this study is to underline the difference in the onset time of drought, the distance between events, and the discrepancies in the magnitude assessment for the same event. Various temporal aggregation scales, from one month to one year, have been considered in order to investigate the impacts of the adopted time scale on the drought characteristics. Our analysis focuses to the Mediterranean region, using data from Southern Italy and Greece.
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Ο. Daskalou, M. Karanastasi, Y. Markonis, P. Dimitriadis, A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, GIS-based approach for optimal siting and sizing of renewables considering techno-environmental constraints and the stochastic nature of meteorological inputs, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 18, Vienna, EGU2016-12044-1, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.19535.48803, European Geosciences Union, 2016.
Following the legislative EU targets and taking advantage of its high renewable energy potential, Greece can obtain significant benefits from developing its water, solar and wind energy resources. In this context we present a GIS-based methodology for the optimal sizing and siting of solar and wind energy systems at the regional scale, which is tested in the Prefecture of Thessaly. First, we assess the wind and solar potential, taking into account the stochastic nature of the associated meteorological processes (i.e. wind speed and solar radiation, respectively), which is essential component for both planning (i.e. type selection and sizing of photovoltaic panels and wind turbines) and management purposes (i.e. real-time operation of the system). For the optimal siting, we assess the efficiency and economic performance of the energy system, also accounting for a number of constraints, associated with topographic limitations (e.g., terrain slope, proximity to road and electricity grid network, etc.), the environmental legislation and other land use constraints. Based on this analysis, we investigate favorable alternatives using technical, environmental as well as financial criteria. The final outcome is GIS maps that depict the available energy potential and the optimal layout for photovoltaic panels and wind turbines over the study area. We also consider a hypothetical scenario of future development of the study area, in which we assume the combined operation of the above renewables with major hydroelectric dams and pumped-storage facilities, thus providing a unique hybrid renewable system, extended at the regional scale.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1609/2/documents/2016EGU_RenewablesOptLocation.pdf (1719 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.19535.48803
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Wu, Y., T. Zhang, C. Xu, B. Zhang, L. Li, Y. Ke, Y. Yan, and R. Xu, Optimal location selection for offshore wind-PV-seawater pumped storage power plant using a hybrid MCDM approach: A two-stage framework, Energy Conversion and Management, 199, doi:10.1016/j.enconman.2019.112066, 2019. |
A. Efstratiadis, S.M. Papalexiou, Y. Markonis, A. Koukouvinos, L. Vasiliades, G. Papaioannou, and A. Loukas, Flood risk assessment at the regional scale: Computational challenges and the monster of uncertainty, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 18, Vienna, EGU2016-12218, European Geosciences Union, 2016.
We present a methodological framework for flood risk assessment at the regional scale, developed within the implementation of the EU Directive 2007/60 in Greece. This comprises three phases: (a) statistical analysis of extreme rainfall data, resulting to spatially-distributed parameters of intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) relationships and their confidence intervals, (b) hydrological simulations, using event-based semi-distributed rainfall-runoff approaches, and (c) hydraulic simulations, employing the propagation of flood hydrographs across the river network and the mapping of inundated areas. The flood risk assessment procedure is employed over the River Basin District of Thessaly, Greece, which requires schematization and modelling of hundreds of sub-catchments, each one examined for several risk scenarios. This is a challenging task, involving multiple computational issues to handle, such as the organization, control and processing of huge amount of hydrometeorological and geographical data, the configuration of model inputs and outputs, and the co-operation of several software tools. In this context, we have developed supporting applications allowing massive data processing and effective model coupling, thus drastically reducing the need for manual interventions and, consequently, the time of the study. Within flood risk computations we also account for three major sources of uncertainty, in an attempt to provide upper and lower confidence bounds of flood maps, i.e. (a) statistical uncertainty of IDF curves, (b) structural uncertainty of hydrological models, due to varying anteceded soil moisture conditions, and (c) parameter uncertainty of hydraulic models, with emphasis to roughness coefficients. Our investigations indicate that the combined effect of the above uncertainties (which are certainly not the unique ones) result to extremely large bounds of potential inundation, thus rising many questions about the interpretation and usefulness of current flood risk assessment practices.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1608/2/documents/2016_EGU_FloodPoster.pdf (3293 KB)
Additional material:
P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Assessing the performance of Bartlett-Lewis model on the simulation of Athens rainfall, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-8983, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.14371.25120, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
Many hydrological applications require the use of long rainfall data across a wide range of fine time scales. To meet this necessity, stochastic approaches are usually employed for the generation of large number of rainfall events, following a Monte Carlo approach. In this framework, Bartlett-Lewis model (BL) is a key representative from the family of Poisson-cluster stochastic processes. Here, we examine the performance of three different versions of BL model, with number of parameters varying from 5 up to 7, in representing the characteristics of convective and frontal rainfall of Athens (Greece). Apart from the typical statistical characteristics that are explicitly preserved by the stochastic model (mean, variance, lag-1 autocorrelation, probability dry), we also attempt to preserve the statistical distribution of annual rainfall maxima, as well as two important temporal properties of the observed storm events, i.e. the duration of storms and the time distance between subsequent events. This task is not straightforward, given that these characteristics are not described in the theoretical equations of the model, but they should be empirically evaluated on the basis of synthetic data. The analysis is conducted on monthly basis and for multiple time scales, i.e. from hourly to daily. Further to that, we focus on the formulation of the calibration problem, by assessing the performance of the BL model against issues such as choice of statistics to preserve, time scales, distance metrics, etc.
Full text:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.14371.25120
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Li, X., A. Meshgi, X. Wang, J. Zhang, S. H. X. Tay, G. Pijcke, N. Manocha, M. Ong, M. T. Nguyen, and V. Babovic, Three resampling approaches based on method of fragments for daily-to-subdaily precipitation disaggregation, International Journal of Climatology, 38(Suppl.1), e1119-e1138, doi:10.1002/joc.5438, 2018. |
| 2. | Park, J., C. Onof, and D. Kim, A hybrid stochastic rainfall model that reproduces some important rainfall characteristics at hourly to yearly timescales, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 989-1014, doi:10.5194/hess-23-989-2019, 2019. |
| 3. | Kim, D., and C. Onof, A stochastic rainfall model that can reproduce important rainfall properties across the timescales from several minutes to a decade, Journal of Hydrology, 589(2), 125150, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125150, 2020. |
| 4. | Bulti, D. T., B. G. Abebe, and Z. Biru, Climate change-induced variations in future extreme precipitation intensity-duration-frequency in flood-prone city of Adama, central Ethiopia, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 193, 784, 10.1007/s10661-021-09574-1, 2021. |
E. Rozos, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and C. Makropoulos, Flow based vs. demand based energy-water modelling, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-6528, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
The water flow in hydro-power generation systems is often used downstream to cover other type of demands like irrigation and water supply. However, the typical case is that the energy demand (operation of hydro-power plant) and the water demand do not coincide. Furthermore, the water inflow into a reservoir is a stochastic process. Things become more complicated if renewable resources (wind-turbines or photovoltaic panels) are included into the system. For this reason, the assessment and optimization of the operation of hydro-power systems are challenging tasks that require computer modelling. This modelling should not only simulate the water budget of the reservoirs and the energy production/ consumption (pumped-storage), but should also take into account the constraints imposed by the natural or artificial water network using a flow routing algorithm. HYDRONOMEAS, for example, uses an elegant mathematical approach (digraph) to calculate the flow in a water network based on: the demands (input timeseries), the water availability (simulated) and the capacity of the transmission components (properties of channels, rivers, pipes, etc.). The input timeseries of demand should be estimated by another model and linked to the corresponding network nodes. A model that could be used to estimate these timeseries is UWOT. UWOT is a bottom up urban water cycle model that simulates the generation, aggregation and routing of water demand signals. In this study, we explore the potentials of UWOT in simulating the operation of complex hydrosystems that include energy generation. The evident advantage of this approach is the use of a single model instead of one for estimation of demands and another for the system simulation. An application of UWOT in a large scale system is attempted in mainland Greece in an area extending over 130x170 km2. The challenges, the peculiarities and the advantages of this approach are examined and critically discussed.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1525/2/documents/Poster_UWOT.pdf (307 KB)
Additional material:
A. Koukouvinos, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, A. Tegos, E. Rozos, S.M. Papalexiou, P. Dimitriadis, Y. Markonis, P. Kossieris, H. Tyralis, G. Karakatsanis, K. Tzouka, A. Christofides, G. Karavokiros, A. Siskos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Integrated water and renewable energy management: the Acheloos-Peneios region case study, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-4912, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.17726.69440, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
Within the ongoing research project “Combined Renewable Systems for Sustainable Energy Development” (CRESSENDO), we have developed a novel stochastic simulation framework for optimal planning and management of large-scale hybrid renewable energy systems, in which hydropower plays the dominant role. The methodology and associated computer tools are tested in two major adjacent river basins in Greece (Acheloos, Peneios) extending over 15 500 km2 (12% of Greek territory). River Acheloos is characterized by very high runoff and holds ~40% of the installed hydropower capacity of Greece. On the other hand, the Thessaly plain drained by Peneios – a key agricultural region for the national economy – usually suffers from water scarcity and systematic environmental degradation. The two basins are interconnected through diversion projects, existing and planned, thus formulating a unique large-scale hydrosystem whose future has been the subject of a great controversy. The study area is viewed as a hypothetically closed, energy-autonomous, system, in order to evaluate the perspectives for sustainable development of its water and energy resources. In this context we seek an efficient configuration of the necessary hydraulic and renewable energy projects through integrated modelling of the water and energy balance. We investigate several scenarios of energy demand for domestic, industrial and agricultural use, assuming that part of the demand is fulfilled via wind and solar energy, while the excess or deficit of energy is regulated through large hydroelectric works that are equipped with pumping storage facilities. The overall goal is to examine under which conditions a fully renewable energy system can be technically and economically viable for such large spatial scale.
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Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.17726.69440
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Stamou, A. T., and P. Rutschmann, Pareto optimization of water resources using the nexus approach, Water Resources Management, 32, 5053-5065, doi:10.1007/s11269-018-2127-x, 2018. |
| 2. | Stamou, A.-T., and P. Rutschmann, Optimization of water use based on the water-energy-food nexus concept: Application to the long-term development scenario of the Upper Blue Nile River, Water Utility Journal, 25, 1-13, 2020. |
A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, G. Karavokiros, A. Christofides, A. Siskos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Computational issues in complex water-energy optimization problems: Time scales, parameterizations, objectives and algorithms, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-5121, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.11015.80802, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
Modelling of large-scale hybrid renewable energy systems (HRES) is a challenging task, for which several open computational issues exist. HRES comprise typical components of hydrosystems (reservoirs, boreholes, conveyance networks, hydropower stations, pumps, water demand nodes, etc.), which are dynamically linked with renewables (e.g., wind turbines, solar parks) and energy demand nodes. In such systems, apart from the well-known shortcomings of water resources modelling (nonlinear dynamics, unknown future inflows, large number of variables and constraints, conflicting criteria, etc.), additional complexities and uncertainties arise due to the introduction of energy components and associated fluxes. A major difficulty is the need for coupling two different temporal scales, given that in hydrosystem modeling, monthly simulation steps are typically adopted, yet for a faithful representation of the energy balance (i.e. energy production vs. demand) a much finer resolution (e.g. hourly) is required. Another drawback is the increase of control variables, constraints and objectives, due to the simultaneous modelling of the two parallel fluxes (i.e. water and energy) and their interactions. Finally, since the driving hydrometeorological processes of the integrated system are inherently uncertain, it is often essential to use synthetically generated input time series of large length, in order to assess the system performance in terms of reliability and risk, with satisfactory accuracy. To address these issues, we propose an effective and efficient modeling framework, key objectives of which are: (a) the substantial reduction of control variables, through parsimonious yet consistent parameterizations; (b) the substantial decrease of computational burden of simulation, by linearizing the combined water and energy allocation problem of each individual time step, and solve each local sub-problem through very fast linear network programming algorithms, and (c) the substantial decrease of the required number of function evaluations for detecting the optimal management policy, using an innovative, surrogate-assisted global optimization approach.
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A. Drosou, P. Dimitriadis, A. Lykou, P. Kossieris, I. Tsoukalas, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Assessing and optimising flood control options along the Arachthos river floodplain (Epirus, Greece), European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-9148, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
We present a multi-criteria simulation-optimization framework for the optimal design and setting of flood protection structures along river banks. The methodology is tested in the lower course of the Arachthos River (Epirus, Greece), downstream of the hydroelectric dam of Pournari. The entire study area is very sensitive, particularly because the river crosses the urban area of Arta, which is located just after the dam. Moreover, extended agricultural areas that are crucial for the local economy are prone to floods. In the proposed methodology we investigate two conflicting criteria, i.e. the minimization of flood hazards (due to damages to urban infrastructures, crops, etc.) and the minimization of construction costs of the essential hydraulic structures (e.g. dikes). For the hydraulic simulation we examine two flood routing models, named 1D HEC-RAS and quasi-2D LISFLOOD, whereas the optimization is carried out through the Surrogate-Enhanced Evolutionary Annealing-Simplex (SE-EAS) algorithm that couples the strengths of surrogate modeling with the effectiveness and efficiency of the EAS method.
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Xu, Z., P. Plink-Björklund, S. Wu, Z. Liu, W. Feng, K. Zhang, Z. Yang, and Y. Zhong, Sinuous bar fingers of digitate shallow‐water deltas: Insights into their formative processes and deposits from integrating morphological and sedimentological studies with mathematical modelling, Sedimentology, doi:10.1111/sed.12923, 2021. |
A. Zarkadoulas, K. Mantesi, A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, K. Mazi, D. Katsanos, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A hydrometeorological forecasting approach for basins with complex flow regime, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-3904, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.21920.99842, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
The combined use of weather forecasting models and hydrological models in flood risk estimations is an established technique, with several successful applications worldwide. However, most known hydrometeorological forecasting systems have been established in large rivers with perpetual flow. Experience from small- and medium-scale basins, which are often affected by flash floods, is very limited. In this work we investigate the perspectives of hydrometeorological forecasting, by emphasizing two issues: (a) which modelling approach can credibly represent the complex dynamics of basins with highly variable runoff (intermittent or ephemeral); and (b) which transformation of point-precipitation forecasts provides the most reliable estimations of spatially aggregated data, to be used as inputs to semi-distributed hydrological models. Using as case studies the Sarantapotamos river basin, in Eastern Greece (145 km2), and the Nedontas river basin, in SW Peloponnese (120 km2), we demonstrate the advantages of continuous simulation through the HYDROGEIOS model. This employs conjunctive modelling of surface and groundwater flows and their interactions (percolation, infiltration, underground losses), which are key processes in river basins characterized by significantly variability of runoff. The model was calibrated against hourly flow data at two and three hydrometric stations, respectively, for a 3-year period (2011-2014). Next we attempted to reproduce the most intense flood events of that period, by substituting observed rainfall by forecast scenarios. In this respect, we used consecutive point forecasts of a 6-hour lead time, provided by the numerical weather prediction model WRF (Advanced Research version), dynamically downscaled from the ~1o forecast of GSF–NCEP/NOAA successively first to ~18 km, then to ~6 km and ultimately at the horizontal grid resolution of 2x2 km2. We examined alternative spatial integration approaches, using as reference the rainfall stations over the two basins. By combining consecutive rainfall forecasts at the sub-basin scale (a kind of ensemble prediction), we run the model in forecast mode to generate trajectories of flow predictions and associated uncertainty bounds.
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I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Handling time-expensive global optimization problems through the surrogate-enhanced evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, Vienna, EGU2015-5923, European Geosciences Union, 2015.
In water resources optimization problems, the calculation of the objective function usually presumes to first run a simulation model and then evaluate its outputs. In several cases, however, long simulation times may pose significant barriers to the optimization procedure. Often, to obtain a solution within a reasonable time, the user has to substantially restrict the allowable number of function evaluations, thus terminating the search much earlier than required by the problem’s complexity. A promising novel strategy to address these shortcomings is the use of surrogate modelling techniques within global optimization algorithms. Here we introduce the Surrogate-Enhanced Evolutionary Annealing-Simplex (SE-EAS) algorithm that couples the strengths of surrogate modelling with the effectiveness and efficiency of the EAS method. The algorithm combines three different optimization approaches (evolutionary search, simulated annealing and the downhill simplex search scheme), in which key decisions are partially guided by numerical approximations of the objective function. The performance of the proposed algorithm is benchmarked against other surrogate-assisted algorithms, in both theoretical and practical applications (i.e. test functions and hydrological calibration problems, respectively), within a limited budget of trials (from 100 to 1000). Results reveal the significant potential of using SE-EAS in challenging optimization problems, involving time-consuming simulations.
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A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, N. Malamos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Evaluation of a parametric approach for estimating potential evapotranspiration across different climates, IRLA2014 – The Effects of Irrigation and Drainage on Rural and Urban Landscapes, Patras, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.14004.24966, 2014.
Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is key input in water resources, agricultural and environmental modelling. For many decades, numerous approaches have been proposed for the consistent estimation of PET at several time scales of interest. The most recognized is the Penman-Monteith formula, which is yet difficult to apply in data-scarce areas, since it requires simultaneous observations of four meteorological variables (temperature, sunshine duration, humidity, wind velocity). For this reason, parsimonious models with minimum input data requirements are strongly preferred. Typically, these have been developed and tested for specific hydroclimatic conditions, but when they are applied in different regimes they provide much less reliable (and in some cases misleading) estimates. Therefore, it is essential to develop generic methods that remain parsimonious, in terms of input data and parameterization, yet they also allow for some kind of local adjustment of their parameters, through calibration. In this study we present a recent parametric formula, based on a simplified formulation of the original Penman-Monteith expression, which only requires mean daily or monthly temperature data. The method is evaluated using meteorological records from different areas worldwide, at both the daily and monthly time scales. The outcomes of this extended analysis are very encouraging, as indicated by the substantially high validation scores of the proposed approach across all examined data sets. In general, the parametric model outperforms well-established methods of the everyday practice, since it ensures optimal approximation of PET.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1512/1/documents/2014_IRLA_Parametric.pdf (740 KB)
G. Karakatsanis, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Entropy, pricing and macroeconomics of pumped-storage systems, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2014, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 16, Vienna, EGU2014-15858-6, European Geosciences Union, 2014.
We propose a pricing scheme for the enhancement of macroeconomic performance of pumped-storage systems, based on the statistical properties of both geophysical and economic variables. The main argument consists in the need of a context of economic values concerning the hub energy resource; defined as the resource that comprises the reference energy currency for all involved renewable energy sources (RES) and discounts all related uncertainty. In the case of pumped-storage systems the hub resource is the reservoir’s water, as a benchmark for all connected intermittent RES. The uncertainty of all involved natural and economic processes is statistically quantifiable by entropy. It is the relation between the entropies of all involved RES that shapes the macroeconomic state of the integrated pumped-storage system. Consequently, there must be consideration on the entropy of wind, solar and precipitation patterns, as well as on the entropy of economic processes –such as demand preferences on either current energy use or storage for future availability. For pumped-storage macroeconomics, a price on the reservoir’s capacity scarcity should also be imposed in order to shape a pricing field with upper and lower limits for the long-term stability of the pricing range and positive net energy benefits, which is the primary issue of the generalized deployment of pumped-storage technology.
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P. Dimas, D. Bouziotas, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A holistic approach towards optimal planning of hybrid renewable energy systems: Combining hydroelectric and wind energy, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2014, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 16, Vienna, EGU2014-5851, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.28854.70723, European Geosciences Union, 2014.
Hydropower with pumped storage is a proven technology with very high efficiency that offers a unique large-scale energy buffer. Energy storage is employed by pumping water upstream to take advantage of the excess of produced energy (e.g. during night) and next retrieving this water to generate hydro-power during demand peaks. Excess energy occurs due to other renewables (wind, solar) whose power fluctuates in an uncontrollable manner. By integrating these with hydroelectric plants with pumped storage facilities we can form autonomous hybrid renewable energy systems. The optimal planning and management thereof requires a holistic approach, where uncertainty is properly represented. In this context, a novel framework is proposed, based on stochastic simulation and optimization. This is tested in an existing hydrosystem of Greece, considering its combined operation with a hypothetical wind power system, for which we seek the optimal design to ensure the most beneficial performance of the overall scheme.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1442/2/documents/2014_egu_hybrid.pdf (1659 KB)
Additional material:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.28854.70723
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Ajiboye, O. K., C. V. Ochiegbu, E. A. Ofosu, and S. Gyamfi, A review of hybrid renewable energies optimisation: design, methodologies, and criteria, International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 42(1), 648-684, doi:10.1080/14786451.2023.2227294, 2023. |
Y. Markonis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Investigation of drought characteristics in different temporal and spatial scales: A case study in the Mediterranean region , Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
In 1988-1995 Greece experienced a drought, one of the most extended (both in space and time) and intense since the beginning of hydro-meteorological instrumental measurements. The aim of this study is to describe the phenomenon in different temporal and spatial scales in order to (a) identify possible links with Mediterranean/global climatic regime and (b) to demonstrate the role of the marginal distribution and the autocorrelation function in estimating the return period of the drought and its impact. Three spatial scales were examined: the local scale (regions of Peloponnese in the southern and Macedonia in the northern part of Greece; ~2x2° each), the national scale (~8x8°) and the Mediterranean scale (~15x45°). In the time domain the monthly, annual and inter-annual time steps were taken, while the time horizon is that of the instrumental record as well as a broader time window obtained by introducing qualitative evidence from paleoclimatic studies. Our findings show both strong temporal variability and spatial heterogeneity, which imply enhanced uncertainty.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1390/1/documents/KosDroughtPoster.pdf (661 KB)
G. Karakatsanis, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Entropy and reliability of water use via a statistical approach of scarcity, Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.24450.68809, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
The paper examines economic reliability of water resource availability within a stochastic framework. Hoekstra and Mekonnen (2012) provide water use data for agricultural and industrial production. The current work utilizes these findings by coupling hydrological processes with reliability for economic use via a statistical approach of scarcity. Water extracted from the hydrological cycle is never bounded permanently, but only creates temporary scarcity via the competitive use of its limited economically useful attributes (such as its quality). The replenishment rate of freshwater reservoirs is limited and the return of water to its natural path requires energy inputs and time. Hence, what the economy is actually deprived of via the intensification of water use, the diversion of a water resource from its natural hydrological path and the eventual degradation after its use is its immediate availability, which is equivalent to increased uncertainty as the economy reaches closer to its natural water supply reliability limit. Georgescu-Roegen (1986) postulated a connection between increased dispersion and supply uncertainty of a resource to entropy, which in the case of water might be interpreted as increase of the probability of temporal unavailability.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1389/1/documents/Kos_Karakatsanis.pdf (736 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.24450.68809
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Karakatsanis, G., and N. Mamassis, Energy, trophic dynamics and ecological discounting, Land, 12(10), 1928, doi:10.3390/land12101928, 2023. |
P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Coupling the strengths of optimization and simulation for calibrating Poisson cluster models, Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.15223.21929, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
Many hydrological applications require use of rainfall data across a wide range of time scales. To simulate rainfall at fine time scales, stochastic approaches are usually enrolled. A leading representative is the Bartlett-Lewis model, which belongs to the family of Poisson-cluster processes that represent rainfall events. The usual approach of model calibration comprises the incorporation of the theoretical model equations in an objective function and the optimization of that function. However, it is obvious that this procedure is limited to the case that analytical equations exist for the modelled stochastic properties of the process. Yet such analytical equations cannot be derived for key characteristics such as skewness and parameters determining the distribution of extreme values. Here we present an innovative approach that remedies those weaknesses through the combined use of simulation and optimization. During model calibration, the model statistics are derived by Monte Carlo simulation, instead of theoretical equations. Various calibration criteria as well as statistical parameters are introduced aiming at more faithful representation of the rainfall process at different time scales. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated using a long data series from a rain gauge in Athens.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1388/1/documents/Kos_BartlettLewis_poster.pdf (1605 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.15223.21929
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | De Luca, D. L., and L. Galasso, Calibration of NSRP models from extreme value distributions, Hydrology, 6(4), 89, doi:10.3390/hydrology6040089, 2019. |
| 2. | Park, J., D. Cross, C. Onof, Y. Chen, and D. Kim, A simple scheme to adjust Poisson cluster rectangular pulse rainfall models for improved performance at sub-hourly timescales, Journal of Hydrology, 598, 126296, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126296, 2021. |
| 3. | De Luca, D. L., and A. Petroselli, STORAGE (STOchastic RAinfall GEnerator): A user-friendly software for generating long and high-resolution rainfall time series, Hydrology, 8(2), 76, doi:10.3390/hydrology8020076, 2021. |
P. Kossieris, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The use of stochastic objective functions in water resource optimization problems, Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.18578.66249, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
The hydrological and water resource problems are characterized by the presence of multiple sources of uncertainty. The implementation of Monte Carlo simulation techniques within powerful optimization methods are required, in order to handle such uncertainties. Here we examine the combined performance of those two powerful tools to a wide range of global optimization applications, which extend from mathematical problems to hydrological calibration problems. In all cases, uncertainty is explicitly considered in terms of stochastic objective functions. In particular, we test a number of benchmark functions to assess the effectiveness and efficiency of alternative optimization techniques. Moreover, we examine two real-world calibration problems, involving a lumped rainfall-runoff models and a stochastic disaggregation model. We investigate them with different calibration criteria and under different sources of uncertainty, in order to assess not only the robustness of the derived parameters but also the predictive capacity of the models.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1387/1/documents/Kos_StochObjFunctions_poster.pdf (641 KB)
P. Dimas, D. Bouziotas, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A stochastic simulation framework for planning and management of combined hydropower and wind energy systems, Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.27491.55841, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
Pumped storage within hydroelectric reservoir systems is a proven technology with very high efficiency, as well as the unique large-scale energy buffer. The storage of energy is implemented by pumping water upstream, for taking advantage of the excess of energy (e.g. during night hours), and next retrieving this water to generate hydropower during demand peaks. Interestingly, this excess can be offered by other renewable energy sources, particularly wind turbines, which can be integrated within hydroelectric systems with pumped storage facilities, to formulate autonomous hybrid renewable energy schemes. The optimal planning and management of such systems is a challenging task, which requires a holistic viewpoint and a consistent representation of the multiple sources of uncertainty. In this respect, a novel framework is proposed, which is tested in an existing hydrosystem of Greece (i.e. the reservoir system of Aliakmon, which also serves other water uses), considering a combined operation with a hypothetical wind power system. The two components, which are linked through a single pumping storage plant, are modelled in different time resolutions. In particular, for the representation of the water resource system we adopt, as typically, a monthly time step, while for the wind power system we use hourly steps. For both systems, the input variables (i.e. hydrological inflows and wind velocity, respectively) are generated via appropriate stochastic simulation models, by means of synthetic time series of 1000 years length. In order to ensure the most beneficial performance of the integrated system, we investigate different design parameters of the wind turbines, for which we optimize the operation policy of the hydroelectric reservoirs.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1386/1/documents/KosHybrid_poster.pdf (691 KB)
E. Michailidi, T. Mastrotheodoros, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Flood modelling in river basins with highly variable runoff, Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.30847.00167, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
In the Mediterranean area numerous small to medium-scale river basins are characterized by highly-variable runoff, intermittent or ephemeral. This is due to both the climatic regime and the geomorphological and physiographic peculiarities of the hydrological system itself. Typically, these basins are affected by flash floods, for which effective modelling can be more difficult than in the case of large basins with permanent runoff. In this study we compare different modelling approaches in two representative catchments (one in Greece and one in Cyprus), on the basis of a number of observed flood events. Initially, we employ the well-known SCS-CN method, combined with a synthetic unit hydrograph (SUH) approach, whose parameters (namely, the curve number, the initial abstraction ratio and the time-to-peak of the SUH) are calibrated against each individual flood event. Yet, even with calibrated parameters, the above method, which is widespread among flood engineers, generally fails to reproduce the observed hydrographs. Next, we test different modelling structures, all of which use elementary hydraulic analogues (by means of interconnected tanks) to represent the storage processes, which are dominant in such types of basins. For each event we run different settings of the calibration problem, thus obtaining a large set of alternative optimal parameter values. The significant variability of the parameter values reflects the complexity of the involved hydrological processes. In addition, it reveals the crucial role of flood measurements, in order to build realistic models and provide consistent estimations of the related uncertainties.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1385/1/documents/Kos_Basins_poster.pdf (1881 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.30847.00167
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Taguas, E., Y. Yuan, F. Licciardello, and J. Gómez, Curve Numbers for olive orchard catchments: case study in Southern Spain, Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)IR.1943-4774.0000892, 05015003, 2015. |
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, P. Dimitriadis, A. Tegos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A stochastic simulation framework for flood engineering, Facets of Uncertainty: 5th EGU Leonardo Conference – Hydrofractals 2013 – STAHY 2013, Kos Island, Greece, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.16848.51201, European Geosciences Union, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, 2013.
Flood engineering is typically tackled as a sequential application of formulas and models, with specific assumptions and parameter values, thus providing fully deterministic outputs. In this procedure, the unique probabilistic concept is the return period of rainfall, which is set a priori, to represent the acceptable risk of all design variables of interest (peak flows, flood hydrographs, flow depths and velocities, inundated areas, etc.). Yet, a more consistent approach would require estimating the risks by integrating the uncertainties of all individual variables. This option can be offered by stochastic simulation, which is the most effective and powerful technique for analysing systems of high complexity and uncertainty. This presupposes to recognize which of the modelling components represent time-varying processes and which ones represent unknown, thus uncertain, parameters. In the proposed framework both should be handled as random variables. The following computational steps are envisaged: (a) generation of synthetic time series of areal rainfall, through multivariate stochastic disaggregation models; (b) generation of random sets of initial soil moisture conditions; (c) run of hydrological and hydraulic simulation models with random sets of parameter values, picked from suitable distributions; (d) statistical analysis of the model outputs and determination of empirical pdfs; and (e) selection of the design value, which corresponds to the acceptable risk. This approach allows for estimating the full probability distribution of the output variables, instead of a unique value, as resulted by the deterministic procedure. In this context, stochastic simulation also offers the means to introduce the missing culture of uncertainty appreciation in flood engineering.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1384/1/documents/KosFloodStochSim.pdf (1860 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrological modelling in presence of non-stationarity induced by urbanisation: an assessment of the value of information, “Knowledge for the future”, IAHS - IAPSO – IASPEI Joint Assembly 2013, Gothenburg, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.13178.49607, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 2013.
The proposed protocol of the workshop is followed, which regards the investigation of the effect of non-stationarity due to urbanisation on the performance of a hydrological model. In particular, the rainfall-runoff component of HYDROGEIOS modelling framework (Efstratiadis et al., 2008) is used. This is a parsimonious model of the conceptual type, based on the idea of Hydrological Response Unit (HRU). It is parameterised per HRU with seven parameters in each. Both a lumped and a semi-distributed version are employed. In the latter, two HRUs are assumed, representing the urban and rural areas of the basin. The Evolutionary Annealing Simplex method is used to obtain the best parameter set along with a large number of other retained parameter sets. Levels 1 and 2 of the proposed protocol provide the necessary information for analysis of Level 3, where a stochastic framework is considered inspired by the ideas proposed by Montanari & Koutsoyiannis (2012). This takes into account external information on urbanised fraction of the studied basin. A relationship is established between data on fraction of urbanised area and one of more parameters of the lumped model, while the semi-distributed one takes into account the fraction of urbanised area explicitly. Comparison of prediction intervals with and without exploiting such relationship allows the assessment of the value of information regarding the factor that induces nonstationarity. The methodology as a whole is applied to one of the two drainage basins that show growing urbanisation (Ferson Creek at St. Charles, USA).
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1377/1/documents/2013_IAHS_poster.pdf (602 KB)
G. Tsekouras, C. Ioannou, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Stochastic analysis and simulation of hydrometeorological processes for optimizing hybrid renewable energy systems, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 15, Vienna, EGU2013-11660, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.30250.62404, European Geosciences Union, 2013.
The drawbacks of conventional energy sources including their negative environmental impacts emphasize the need to integrate renewable energy sources into energy balance. However, the renewable sources strongly depend on time varying and uncertain hydrometeorological processes, including wind speed, sunshine duration and solar radiation. To study the design and management of hybrid energy systems we investigate the stochastic properties of these natural processes, including possible long-term persistence. We use wind speed and sunshine duration time series retrieved from a European database of daily records and we estimate representative values of the Hurst coefficient for both variables. We conduct simultaneous generation of synthetic time series of wind speed and sunshine duration, on yearly, monthly and daily scale. To this we use the Castalia software system which performs multivariate stochastic simulation. Using these time series as input, we perform stochastic simulation of an autonomous hypothetical hybrid renewable energy system and optimize its performance using genetic algorithms. For the system design we optimize the sizing of the system in order to satisfy the energy demand with high reliability also minimizing the cost. While the simulation scale is the daily, a simple method allows utilizing the subdaily distribution of the produced wind power. Various scenarios are assumed in order to examine the influence of input parameters, such as the Hurst coefficient, and design parameters such as the photovoltaic panel angle.
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A. Venediki, S. Giannoulis, C. Ioannou, L. Malatesta, G. Theodoropoulos, G. Tsekouras, Y. Dialynas, S.M. Papalexiou, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The Castalia stochastic generator and its applications to multivariate disaggregation of hydro-meteorological processes, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 15, Vienna, EGU2013-11542, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.15675.41764, European Geosciences Union, 2013.
Castalia is a software system that performs multivariate stochastic simulation preserving essential marginal statistics, specifically mean value, standard deviation and skewness, as well as joint second order statistics, namely auto- and cross-correlation. Furthermore, Castalia reproduces long-term persistence. It follows a disaggregation approach, starting from the annual time scale and proceeding to finer scales such as monthly and daily. To assess the performance of the Castalia system we test it for several hydrometeorological processes such as rainfall, sunshine duration, temperature and wind speed. To this aim we retrieve time series of these processes from a large database of daily records and we estimate their statistical properties, including long-term persistence. We generate synthetic time series using the Castalia software and we examine its efficiency in reproducing the important statistical properties of the observed data.
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Additional material:
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, The necessity for large-scale hybrid renewable energy systems, Hydrology and Society, EGU Leonardo Topical Conference Series on the hydrological cycle 2012, Torino, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.30355.48161, European Geosciences Union, 2012.
Since global economy is dominated by the energy sector, the planning and management of energy systems is a prerequisite for a sustainable future. It is widely recognized that the existing paradigm, based on the intense use of fossil fuels, if far from sustainable and thus a substantial shift is needed, in the direction of energy saving and developing renewable sources. Yet, current energy planning in Europe, while it strongly promotes the penetration of such systems, has failed to account for the significant differences thereof with conventional energy sources. Small scale energy production units are encouraged and even subsidized. In addition, their piecewise view and the lack of an integrated development plan at country scale, results in increased costs and puts significant restrictions on energy management. It is well-known that renewable energy is highly varying and unpredictable, as it strongly depends on the hydro-meteorological conditions. The inherent uncertainty of the related natural processes is directly reflected in energy production, which cannot follow the temporal distribution of the corresponding demand. An additional drawback is the lack of regulating capacity, which makes impossible to store the excess of production. In this context, the concept of a future scene in which renewable sources dominate will be feasible only if renewable energy resources are combined with technologies for energy storage. The proven technique of pumped storage (i.e. pumping of water to an upstream location consuming available energy, to be retrieved later as hydropower) represents the best available technology since it does not emit any by-products to the environment, and is cost efficient, with loss ratios less than 10% (in large scale projects). In addition, hydroelectric energy production does not consume water (only converts its potential energy) while it can also be combined with other water uses (domestic, agricultural, industrial). Hybrid systems, combining multiple sources of renewable energy with pumped-storage facilities, are generally viewed as proven technology to increase renewable energy source penetration levels in power systems. However, such systems have, in general, limited capacity and are mostly implemented in relatively small areas, e.g. to serve autonomous island grids. On the other hand, the dominant ideological views especially in the European Union disfavours the building of new dams and large hydro-projects. However, the issue of scale, which refers to both the size of energy units and their spatial extent, is of major importance, since efficiency (in terms of produced energy to installed capacity) increases with scale, as does reliability (in terms of covering energy demand). For this reason, it is impossible to envisage a future energy landscape without large-scale hydroelectric reservoirs, equipped with pumped storage. To this extent, a holistic planning for large-scale hybrid renewable energy systems, in which water, wind and solar radiation are the sources of energy, with water in an additional integrative and regulating role, becomes plausible and desirable.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1295/1/documents/LeonardoHybrid.pdf (1022 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, D. Bouziotas, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The parameterization-simulation-optimization framework for the management of hydroelectric reservoir systems, Hydrology and Society, EGU Leonardo Topical Conference Series on the hydrological cycle 2012, Torino, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.36437.22243, European Geosciences Union, 2012.
The optimal control and management of large-scale hydroelectric reservoirs remains a challenging issue in water resources modelling and its importance increases, as the growing penetration of renewable sources in the actual energy scene creates additional requirements for energy regulation and storage. In this respect, it is essential to review both the current management policies and the related methodologies for supporting decision-making in reservoir management problems, which are rather insufficient. Older approaches, based on systems analysis (i.e. linear, nonlinear, dynamic or stochastic dynamic programming), as well as more advanced concepts and tools, such as fuzzy logic and neural networks, fail to provide the essential holistic approach, with regard to the various complexities of the problem. Such drawbacks arise due to the large number of variables, the nonlinearities of system dynamics, the inherent uncertainty of future conditions (inflows, demands), as well as the multiple and often conflicting water uses and constraints that are involved in the management of such systems. On the other hand, the parameterization-simulation-optimization (PSO) framework provides a feasible and general methodology applicable to any type of hydrosystem, including complex hydropower schemes. This uses stochastic simulation to generate synthetic system inputs and represents the operation of the entire system through a simulation model as faithful as possible, without demanding a specific mathematical form that would possibly imply oversimplifications. Such representation fully respects the physical constraints, while at the same time evaluates the system operation constraints and objectives in probabilistic terms, through Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, to optimize the system performance and evaluate its control variables, a stochastic optimization procedure is employed (in particular, the evolutionary annealing-simplex method). The latter is substantially facilitated if the entire representation is parsimonious, i.e. if the number of control variables is kept as small as possible. This is ensured through a suitable system parameterization, in terms of parametric expressions of operation rules for the major system controls (e.g. reservoirs, power plants). The PSO framework is implemented within the “Hydronomeas” decision support system (DSS), which has been successfully applied for the operational management of water resource systems of various levels of complexity, including the water supply system of Athens. Recently, both the modelling background and the functionalities of the DSS were upgraded to also handle hydropower generation components, as well as pumping-storage facilities. This new version is tested in a challenging case study, involving the simulation of the Acheloos-Thessaly hydrosystem. Acheloos is characterized by very high runoff and hosts 1/3 of the installed hydropower capacity of Greece. Apart from the existing scheme of projects, future configurations are also investigated, involving the diversion of part of the upstream water resources to the adjacent plain of Thessaly. For each configuration, the optimal management policy is located, on the basis of multiple performance criteria that account for both economy and reliability. Various formulations of the objective function are examined, combining different types of benefits from water and energy production (distinguishing for firm and secondary energy) and costs (due to pumping). Finally the sensitivity of solutions against the assumptions of the stochastic simulation model is examined. Emphasis is given on the effect of long- vs. short-term persistence of the simulated inflows.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1294/1/documents/PosterLeonardo.pdf (339 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.36437.22243
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bayesteh, M., and A. Azari, Stochastic optimization of reservoir operation by applying hedging rules, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 147(2), doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001312, 2021. |
| 2. | Jalilian, A., M. Heydari, A. Azari, and S. Shabanlou, Extracting optimal rule curve of dam reservoir base on stochastic inflow, Water Resources Management, 36, 1763-1782, doi:10.1007/s11269-022-03087-3, 2022. |
A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, and S. Lykoudis, Flood design recipes vs. reality: Can predictions for ungauged basins be trusted? – A perspective from Greece, Advanced methods for flood estimation in a variable and changing environment, Volos, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.19660.00644, University of Thessaly, 2012.
As a result of its highly fragmented geomorphology, Greece comprises hundreds of small- and medium-scale steep hydrological basins of usually ephemeral regime. Typically, their drainage area does not exceed few hundreds of km2, while the vast majority of them lacks of measuring infrastructures. For this reason, and despite the great scientific and technological advances in flood hydrology, the everyday engineering practices still follow simplistic rules-of-thumb and semi-empirical approaches, which are feasible and easy to implement in ungauged areas. In general, these “recipes” have been developed many decades ago, based on field data from few experimental catchments abroad. However, none of them has ever been validated against the peculiarities of the hydroclimatic regime and the geomorphological conditions of Greece. This has an obvious impact on the quality and reliability of hydrological studies, and, consequently, the safety and cost of the related flood-protection works. In order to provide a consistent design framework and ensure realistic predictions of the flood risk in ungauged basins (which is key issue of the 2007/60/EU Directive), it is imperative to revise the rather outdated engineering practices, by incorporating methodologies that are adapted to local peculiarities. In particular, the collection of reliable hydrological data is essential for evaluating and verifying the existing “recipes” and updating the design criteria. In this context, we are elaborating a research program titled “Deukalion”, in which we already have developed a fully-equipped monitoring network, extending over four pilot river basins. Preliminary outcomes, based on historical flood data from Cyprus and Greece, indicate that a substantial revision is required within multiple aspects of the flood modeling procedure.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1291/1/documents/FloodRecipesVolosConf2012.pdf (1465 KB)
M. Mathioudaki, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Investigation of hydrological design practices based on historical flood events in an experimental basin of Greece (Lykorema, Penteli), Advanced methods for flood estimation in a variable and changing environment, Volos, University of Thessaly, 2012.
Typically, the hydrological design procedure in ungauged basins comprises three computational steps: (a) the formulation of the design storm; (b) the estimation of the “effective” rainfall (direct runoff); and (c) the derivation of the flood hydrograph at the basin outlet. In particular, the most widespread approaches with regard to (b) and (c) are the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) method and the unit hydrograph (UH), respectively. The SCS-CN method extracts the effective from the total rainfall through an elementary model that uses two parameters, i.e. the curve number (CN), which determines the potential maximum soil moisture retention of the basin, and the initial abstraction, which is in general assumed as 20% of the later. Next, the effective rainfall is propagated through the UH, which is a linear response function employing the spatiotemporal transformation of the direct runoff across the basin. In the absence of flow data, synthetic UHs are employed, for which various empirical formulas exist, derived from hydrological investigations in experimental basins worldwide. Yet, the suitability of such regionalization approaches is questionable, when aiming to apply them in areas with substantially different hydroclimatic and geomorphological characteristics. This issue certainly involves small-scale Greek basins of ephemeral runoff, which are affected by relatively short yet intense storm events causing flash floods. The objective of our study is the evaluation of the aforementioned methods, on the basis of historical flood data from the experimental basin of Lykorema. The basin is located in Penteli Mountain and covers an area of 15.2 km2. It is equipped with three meteorological stations and two flow gauges, from which we selected 35 rainfall and flood events to analyze. In all events was shown that the use of the SCS-CN method, with typical parameter values, in conjunction with two well-known synthetic UHs (Snyder and British Hydrological Institute) provided unrealistic predictions. The key reasons were the significant overestimation of both the CN value and the initial abstraction rate, as well as the improper representation of the shape of the UHs (particularly their rising branch). In this respect, we attempted to adjust the SCS-CN method, given that the CN is not a constant but a variable that actually depends on the soil moisture conditions, while the initial abstraction ratio is rather minor. In addition, we developed a synthetic parametric UH, described by a linear rising branch and a logarithmic falling branch. This uses as inputs the time of concentration, estimated by the Giandotti formula, and another duration parameter, estimated via calibration. Following a multi-criteria optimization approach, we represented with high accuracy all the important aspects of the flood hydrographs, in terms of runoff volume, magnitude and location of the peak. Although the implementation of the proposed framework in the specific basin was quite satisfactory, there is much more work to be done for establishing consistent design practices and guidelines of general use. An ultimately important step is the development of pilot basins and the collection of reliable flood data, which will allow providing much more accurate models and formulas.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1290/1/documents/MathioudakiVolosConf2012.pdf (1750 KB)
S. Kozanis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, G. Karavokiros, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and D. Nikolopoulos, Using open source software for the supervision and management of the water resources system of Athens, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2012, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 14, Vienna, 7158, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.28468.04482, European Geosciences Union, 2012.
The water supply of Athens, Greece, is implemented through a complex water resource system, extending over an area of around 4 000 km2 and including surface water and groundwater resources. It incorporates four reservoirs, 350 km of main aqueducts, 15 pumping stations, more than 100 boreholes and 5 small hydropower plants. The system is run by the Athens Water Supply and Sewerage Company (EYDAP). Over more than 10 years we have developed, information technology tools such as GIS, database and decision support systems, to assist the management of the system. Among the software components, “Enhydris”, a web application for the visualization and management of geographical and hydrometeorological data, and “Hydrognomon”, a data analysis and processing tool, are now free software. Enhydris is entirely based on free software technologies such as Python, Django, PostgreSQL, and JQuery. We also created http://openmeteo.org/, a web site hosting our free software products as well as a free database system devoted to the dissemination of free data. In particular, “Enhydris” is used for the management of the hydrometeorological stations and the major hydraulic structures (aqueducts, reservoirs, boreholes, etc.), as well as for the retrieval of time series, online graphs etc. For the specific needs of EYDAP, additional GIS functionality was introduced for the display and monitoring of the water supply network. This functionality is also implemented as free software and can be reused in similar projects. Except for “Hydrognomon” and “Enhydris”, we have developed a number of advanced modeling applications, which are also generic-purpose tools that have been used for a long time to provide decision support for the water resource system of Athens. These are “Hydronomeas”, which optimizes the operation of complex water resource systems, based on a stochastic simulation framework, “Castalia”, which implements the generation of synthetic time series, and “Hydrogeios”, which employs conjunctive hydrological and hydrogeological simulation, with emphasis to human-modified river basins. These tools are currently available as executable files that are free for download though the ITIA web site (http://itia.ntua.gr/). Currently, we are working towards releasing their source code as well, through making them free software, after some licensing issues are resolved.
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Additional material:
P. Kossieris, D. Koutsoyiannis, C. Onof, H. Tyralis, and A. Efstratiadis, HyetosR: An R package for temporal stochastic simulation of rainfall at fine time scales, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2012, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 14, Vienna, 11718, European Geosciences Union, 2012.
A complete software package for the temporal stochastic simulation of rainfall process at fine time scales is developed in the R programming environment. This includes several functions for sequential simulation or disaggregation. Specifically, it uses the Bartlett-Lewis rectangular pulses rainfall model for rainfall generation and proven disaggregation techniques which adjust the finer scale (hourly) values in order to obtain the required coarser scale (daily) value, without affecting the stochastic structure implied by the model. Additionally, a repetition scheme is incorporated in order to improve the Bartlett-Lewis model performance without significant increase of computational time. Finally, the package includes an enhanced version of the evolutionary annealing-simplex optimization method for the estimation of Bartlett-Lewis parameters. Multiple calibration criteria are introduced, in order to reproduce the statistical characteristics of rainfall at various time scales. This upgraded version of the original HYETOS program (Koutsoyiannis, D., and Onof C., A computer program for temporal stochastic disaggregation using adjusting procedures, European Geophysical Society, 2000) operates on several modes and combinations thereof (depending on data availability), with many options and graphical capabilities. The package, under the name HyetosR, is available free in the CRAN package repository.
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Software page: http://itia.ntua.gr/en/softinfo/3/
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Montesarchio, V., F. Napolitano, E. Ridolfi and L. Ubertini, A comparison of two rainfall disaggregation models, In Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics ICNAAM 2012: International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics, AIP Conference Proceedings, Vol. 1479, 1796-1799, 2012. |
| 2. | #Villani, V., L. Cattaneo, A. L. Zollo, and P. Mercogliano, Climate data processing with GIS support: Description of bias correction and temporal downscaling tools implemented in Clime software, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (RMCC) Research Papers, RP0262, 2015. |
| 3. | Förster, K., F. Hanzer, B. Winter, T. Marke, and U. Strasser, An open-source MEteoroLOgical observation time series DISaggregation Tool (MELODIST v0.1.1), Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 2315-2333, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2315-2016, 2016. |
| 4. | Devkota, S., N. M. Shakya, K. Sudmeier-Rieux, M. Jaboyedoff, C. J. Van Westen, B. G. Mcadoo, and A. Adhikari, Development of monsoonal rainfall intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) relationship and empirical model for data-scarce situations: The case of the Central-Western Hills (Panchase Region) of Nepal, Hydrology, 5(2), 27, doi:10.3390/hydrology5020027, 2018. |
| 5. | Cordeiro, M. R. C., J. A. Vanrobaeys, and H. F. Wilson, Long-term weather, streamflow, and water chemistry datasets for hydrological modelling applications at the upper La Salle River watershed in Manitoba, Canada, 6(1), 41-57, Geoscience Data Journal, doi:10.1002/gdj3.67, 2019. |
| 6. | #Thomson, H., and L. Chandler, Tailings storage facility landform evolution modelling, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Mine Closure, A. B. Fourie & M. Tibbett (eds.), Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, 385-396, 2019. |
| 7. | Sun, Y., D. Wendi, D. E., Kim, and S.-Y. Liong, Deriving intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves using downscaled in situ rainfall assimilated with remote sensing data, Geoscience Letters, 6(17), doi:10.1186/s40562-019-0147-x, 2019. |
| 8. | Oruc, S., I. Yücel, and A. Yılmaz, Investigation of the effect of climate change on extreme precipitation: Capital Ankara case, Teknik Dergi, 33(2), doi:10.18400/tekderg.714980, 2021. |
| 9. | Hayder, A. M., and M. Al-Mukhtar, Modelling the IDF curves using the temporal stochastic disaggregation BLRP model for precipitation data in Najaf City, Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 14, 1957, doi:10.1007/s12517-021-08314-6, 2021. |
| 10. | Diez-Sierra, J., S. Navas, and M. del Jesus, Neoprene: An open-source Python library for spatial rainfall generation based on the Neyman-Scott process, doi:10.2139/ssrn.4092195, 2022. |
| 11. | Cordeiro, M. R. C., K. Liang, H. F. Wilson, J. Vanrobaeys, D. A. Lobb, X. Fang, and J. W. Pomeroy, Simulating the hydrological impacts of land use conversion from annual crop to perennial forage in the Canadian Prairies using the Cold Regions Hydrological Modelling platform, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26, 5917-5931, doi:10.5194/hess-26-5917-2022, 2022. |
D. Tsaknias, D. Bouziotas, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Statistical comparison of observed temperature and rainfall extremes with climate model outputs, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, Vienna, EGU2011-3454, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.15321.52322, European Geosciences Union, 2011.
Climate model outputs have widely been used to support decision making for social and financial policies, with special focus on extreme events. Moreover, it is a general perception that extreme events will be more frequent in the future. To evaluate whether climate models provide a credible basis for predictions of extremes, we study their ability to reproduce annual extreme values of daily temperature and precipitation. The results from climate models are compared to observed data from stations in the Mediterranean. Furthermore, we fit probability distributions which describe the extreme events in both cases and compare the results.
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Related blog posts and discussions: De staat van het klimaat, Climate Science: Roger Pielke Sr..
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A. Christofides, S. Kozanis, G. Karavokiros, Y. Markonis, and A. Efstratiadis, Enhydris: A free database system for the storage and management of hydrological and meteorological data, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, Vienna, 8760, European Geosciences Union, 2011.
Enhydris is a database system for the storage and management of hydrological and meteorological data. It allows the storage and retrieval of raw data, processed time series, model parameters, curves and meta-information such as measurement stations overseers, instruments, events etc. The database is accessible through a web interface, which includes several data representation features such as tables, graphs and mapping capabilities. Data access is configurable to allow or to restrict user groups and/or privileged users to contribute or to download data. With these capabilities, Enhydris can be used either as a public repository of free data or as a fully secured – restricted system for data storage. Time series can be downloaded in plain text format that can be directly loaded to Hydrognomon (http://hydrognomon.org/), a free tool for analysis and processing of meteorological time series. Enhydris can optionally work in a distributed way. Many organisations can install one instance each, but an additional instance, common to all organisations, can be setup as a common portal. This additional instance can be configured to replicate data from the other databases, but without the space consuming time series, which it retrieves from the other databases on demand. A user can transparently use this portal to access the data of all participating organisations collectively. Enhydris is free software, available under the terms of the GNU General Public License version 3. It is developed with Python, Django, and C. Its modular design allows adding new features through the development of small applications. Enhydris is hosted by the Openmeteo project (http://openmeteo.org/), which aims to provide free tools and data.
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Papathanasiou C., C. Makropoulos, E. Baltas, and M. Mimikou, The Hydrological Observatory of Athens: A state-of-the-art network for the assessment of the hydrometeorological regime of Attica, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, Athens, 2013. |
| 2. | #Makropoulos, C., P. Kossieris, S. Kozanis, E. Katsiri, and L. Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia, From smart meters to smart decisions: Web-based support for the water efficient household, Proceedings of 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics (HIC 2014), New York City, 2014. |
| 3. | #Makropoulos, C., Thinking platforms for smarter urban water systems: Fusing technical and socio-economic models and tools. In: Riddick, A.T., Kessler, H., and Giles, J. R. A. (eds.), Integrated Environmental Modelling to Solve Real World Problems: Methods, Vision and Challenges, Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 408, 2014. |
| 4. | Vantas, K., hydroscoper: R interface to the Greek National Data Bank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information, Journal of Open Source Software, 3(23), 625, doi:10.21105/joss.0062, 2018. |
| 5. | Athanasiou, T., D. Salmas, P. Karvelis, I. Angelis, V. Andrea, P. Schismenos, M. Styliou, and C. Stylios, A web-geographical information system for real time monitoring of Arachthos River, Greece, IFAC PapersOnLine, 51(30), 384-389, doi:10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.11.335, 2018. |
| 6. | #Karvelis, P., D. Salmas, and C. Stylios, Monitoring real time the Arachthos River (Greece) using a web GIS platform, 2020 International Conference on Information Technologies (InfoTech), Varna, Bulgaria, 1-5, doi:10.1109/InfoTech49733.2020.9211016, 2020. |
M. Rianna, E. Rozos, A. Efstratiadis, and F. Napolitano, Assessing different levels of model complexity for the Liri-Garigliano catchment simulation, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, Vienna, 4067, European Geosciences Union, 2011.
Liri is one of the principal rivers of central Italy, flowing into the Tyrrhenian Sea, under the name Garigliano. The Liri-Garigliano basin is about 4900 square kilometres and the length of the main course is 160 kilometres. The hydrological system exhibits significant heterogeneity. The mountains located in the NE area and the Apennines are dominated by carbonate platform deposits that are intensively karstified. This part of the basin is characterised by high effective infiltration, poor development of the hydrographic network and low overland flow; most of runoff derives from karst springs of relatively stable flow regime. On the other hand, there are areas lying on geological formations of low permeability, the hydrological regime of which is characterized by significant overland flow from autumn to winter. For the simulation of daily flows along the river network, we use HYDROGEIOS modelling framework. The whole basin is discretized into a number of sub-basins, so that all flow gauges are represented as outlet nodes, which allows evaluating the model performance on the basis of the corresponding multi-response data. For the representation of the hydrological processes, four parameterization approaches are tested. The simpler configuration only utilizes the rainfall-runoff component of HYDROGEIOS and follows a semi-lumped parameterization, thus assigning the same parameter values to all sub-basins. The next approach follows a distributed parameterization to account for the surface system heterogeneity, on the basis of the hydrological response unit (HRU) concept, thus taking advantage of the spatial information about the geomorphologic characteristics of the basin. In particular, four HRUs are defined, by combining two classes of soil permeability and two classes of land cover. In the third approach, a conceptual groundwater cell is introduced under each sub-basin, which receives the aggregated percolation from the overlaying soil partitions (i.e. combination of sub-basins and HRUs). This is a standard technique used by typical hydrological packages (e.g. RIBASIM), to represent the baseflow as a lumped process at the sub-catchment scale. In this hydrologic approach (the term hydrologic is used in contrast to the term hydraulic, where models of dense discretization are used, e.g. MODFLOW within MIKE SHE) the groundwater cells are isolated, thus prohibiting any exchange of flow among them. This restriction is lifted in the last approach, which enables to selectively allow hydraulic connectivity among the groundwater cells; in addition, it introduces few peripheral cells to simulate underground leakages to adjacent aquifers and the sea. Therefore, a coarse network of interconnected tanks is formulated to simulate the actual groundwater cycle and the karst system responses. This last approach provides satisfactory compromise between model complexity, data availability and computational effort, and also reveals the flexibility of HYDROGEIOS against different spatial scale requirements.
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bernini, R., C. Pelosi, I. Carastro, R. Venanzi, A. Di Filippo, G. Piovesan, B. Ronchi, and P. P. Danieli, Dendrochemical investigation on hexachlorocyclohexane isomers (HCHs) in poplars by an integrated study of micro-Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy and gas chromatography, Trees, 30(4), 1455–1463, doi:10.1007/s00468-015-1343-8, 2016. |
E. Galiouna, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and K. Aristeidou, Investigation of extreme flows in Cyprus: empirical formulas and regionalization approaches for peak flow estimation, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, Vienna, 2077, European Geosciences Union, 2011.
The island of Cyprus has a typical Mediterranean, semi-arid climate, characterized, among others, by relatively short yet intense storm events causing flash floods. Current practices for the design of flood-protection works as well as flood risk assessment are based on regional approaches, which require a number of parameters that derive from the river basin characteristics. The main target of this work is to evaluate the existing empirical formulas for estimating those watershed parameters, emphasizing on the runoff coefficient and the time of concentration, which are typical inputs for most of the aforementioned tools, such as the rational and the unit hydrograph methods. For this purpose, we analyzed a large amount of hydrological and geographical data, provided by the Water Development Department and the Meteorological Service of Cyprus. This includes annual discharge maxima at 130 flow gauges and the corresponding rainfall data, intensity-duration-frequency (ombrian) curves for different regions of the island, and geographical information for 70 river basins (DEM, hydrographic network, land uses, geology and permeability). A preliminary statistical analysis of annual maxima data indicated that the empirical distribution functions of the flood discharges are much sharper than those of the corresponding rainfall depths, which denotes strongly nonlinearity of the rainfall-runoff mechanisms. In addition, we found that the existing peak runoff estimation methods fail to reproduce this kind of nonlinearity, thus leading to severe underestimation of flood risk. To handle this inconsistency it was necessary to revise the erroneous hypothesis that both the runoff coefficient and the time of concentration are constant properties of the basin. In reality, they depend not only to the constant geomorphological characteristics of the basin but also to the rainfall-runoff event itself. However, an analytical estimation of their actual values is impossible, since they are related to complex hydrological and hydraulic processes. For this reason, we examine the simple yet realistic assumption that the two variables are functions not to the event magnitude but to its return period. Using appropriate historical data, we attempt to establish improved empirical relationships for Cyprus, by fitting the simulated peak flow values to the observed ones.
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A. Efstratiadis, New insights on model evaluation inspired by the stochastic simulation paradigm, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, Vienna, 1852, European Geosciences Union, 2011.
The working paradigm for evaluating the performance of practically any kind of mathematical model is based on metrics that assess an “average” departure between modelled outputs and observations (i.e. residuals). Yet, the outputs of hydrological, hydrogeological and climatic models are not deterministic responses against known or predictable inputs; they are stochastic variables, the interpretation of which should, consequently, be implemented in statistical terms. In addition, these processes exhibit multiple peculiarities (seasonality, long-term persistence, intermittency, skewness, spatial variability), which are rather impossible to be accounted for within a single measure (typically efficiency or other least square error expression). In this context, a comprehensive statistical framework is discussed for the evaluation of such models, seeking for the reproduction of a number of statistical characteristics of the observed data, instead of focusing to optimize an “overall” distance measure. This is inspired by the requirements of advanced stochastic simulation schemes, which are by definition built to preserve the essential statistics of the parent (i.e. historical) time series (marginal and joint statistics). This is a key concept, ensuring the generation of synthetic data that are statistically equivalent to the historical ones. The proposed framework emphasises the following issues: (a) the statistical comparison of computed and observed data at multiple time scales, to account for the variability of the modelled processes in both the short and the long term; (b) the preservation of the observed cross-correlations in multi-response calibration, to represent the interrelationship of the physical processes under study, and (c) the investigation of the model response under different stress conditions, preferably using synthetic data of appropriate length; this allows recognising structural deficiencies and irregular behaviours, which are hard to identify within the, typically short, period of observations. The above issues are analysed using examples from a number of modelling works, where initial calibration approaches, following typical hydrological practices, may result in misleading conclusions.
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K. Hadjibiros, and A. Efstratiadis, Balancing between nature, economy and society conflicting priorities: the Plastiras lake landscape, International Conference in Landscape Ecology, Brno, 2013, Czech Association for Landscape Ecology (CZ-IALE), 2010.
Plastiras Lake, a mountain reservoir in Central Greece, was constructed in the late 1950’s for hydroelectric use; it has partially covered irrigation needs of the Thessaly plain too. Following changes in the social, economic and physical context, a significant tourist activity has been developed because the scenery of the lake is considered attractive by visitors. The landscape is dominated by the presence of water that attracts the observer as a magnetic focus point. This artificial lake is a typical surrounded landscape, with high mountains at a small distance from the water, as a result of the steep riparian contours; the ecological condition is good and the scenery is considered to be superior to the one of natural lakes. The site has also been designated as an ecological habitat conservation zone. However, irrigation of agricultural land, electricity production, drinking water supply, tourism, biodiversity and landscape quality are partially conflicting targets of water use. Because of irregular water release and climate variability, the surface level of the lake varies significantly in the range between the lowest and the overflow level, resulting in the development of a dead-zone around the lake shore. Local inhabitants and visitors believe that the scenery is less valuable when the water level is low. The lake’s water quality, tourism activity and related local income are favoured by conservative management and protection measures. On the other hand, more water for irrigation is a high social priority in the plain, despite the decreasing economic interest; it is also opposed to optimum power production. The supply of high quality drinking water to the towns of the plain has recently become a high priority for urban communities and strongly depends on the lake’s water quality; therefore a partial convergence between ecological, social and economic needs seems to emerge.
A. Varveris, P. Panagopoulos, K. Triantafillou, A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Assessment of environmental flows of Acheloos Delta, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2010, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, Vienna, 12046, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.14849.66404, European Geosciences Union, 2010.
Acheloos, the river with the highest discharge among rivers of Greece, hosts three hydroelectric dams, while two more dams are under construction. In addition, there are plans for partial diversion of the river to a nearby water district, for irrigation and hydroelectric development. The Acheloos Delta is considered to be one of the most significant Mediterranean wetland habitats for its ecological importance, including fish fauna. In this case study we aim to redefine the ecological flow and propose an outflow management policy from the most downstream reservoir (Stratos), in order to preserve the ecosystem at the Acheloos Delta. A hydrological analysis is employed to reconstruct the natural discharge records along the river on a daily basis, accompanied by a detailed evaluation of alternative methodologies for the estimation of the ecological flow. Based on the results of the analyses, the corresponding water management policy is determined, taking into account the characteristics of the hydropower plan and the related hydraulic works.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.14849.66404
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Fourniotis, N. T., M. Stavropoulou-Gatsi and I. K. Kalavrouziotis, Acheloos River: The timeless, and since ancient period, contribution to the development and environmental upgrading of Western Greece, Proceedings 3rd IWA Specialized Conference on Water & Wastewater Technologies in Ancient Civilizations, Istanbul-Turkey, 420-428, 2012. |
| 2. | Fourniotis, N. T., A proposal for impact evaluation of the diversion of the Acheloos River on the Acheloos estuary in Western Greece, International Journal of Engineering Science and Technology, 4(4), 1792-1802, 2012. |
S. Kozanis, A. Christofides, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrognomon – open source software for the analysis of hydrological data, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2010, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, Vienna, 12419, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.21350.83527, European Geosciences Union, 2010.
Hydrognomon is a software tool for the processing of hydrological data. It is an open source application running on standard Microsoft Windows platforms, and it is part of the openmeteo.org framework. Data are imported through standard text files, spreadsheets or by typing. Standard hydrological data processing techniques include time step aggregation and regularization, interpolation, regression analysis and infilling of missing values, consistency tests, data filtering, graphical and tabular visualisation of time series, etc. It supports several time steps, from the finest minute scales up to decades; specific cases of irregular time steps and offsets are also supported. The program also includes common hydrological applications, such as evapotranspiration modelling, stage-discharge analysis, homogeneity tests, areal integration of point data series, processing of hydrometric data, as well as lumped hydrological modelling with automatic calibration facilities. Here the emphasis is given on the statistical module of Hydrognomon, which provides tools for data exploration, fitting of distribution functions, statistical prediction, Monte-Carlo simulation, determination of confidence limits, analysis of extremes, and construction of ombrian (intensity-duration-frequency) curves. Hydrognomon is available for download from http://hydrognomon.org/.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.21350.83527
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Sebastianelli, S., M. Giglioni, C. Mineo, and S. Magnald, On the hydrologic-hydraulic revaluation of large dams, International Conference of Numerical Analysis and Applied Mathematics 2015 (ICNAAM 2015), 1738, 430003-1–430003-4, doi:10.1063/1.4952216, 2016. |
| 2. | #Mineo, C., S. Sebastianelli, L. Marinucci, and F. Russo, Assessment of the watershed DEM mesh size influence on a large dam design hydrograph, AIP Conference Proceedings, 1738, 430003, 2016. |
| 3. | Tsitroulis, I., K. Voudouris, A. Vasileiou, C. Mattas, M. Sapountzis, and F. Maris, Flood hazard assessment and delimitation of the likely flood hazard zones of the upper part in Gallikos river basin, Bulletin of the Geological Society of Greece, 50(2), 995-1005, doi:10.12681/bgsg.11804, 2016. |
| 4. | López J. J., O. Delgado, and M. A. Campo, Determination of the IDF curves in Igueldo-San Sebastián. Comparison of different methods, Ingeniería del Agua, 22(4), 209-223, doi:10.4995/Ia.2018.9480, 2018. |
| 5. | Nyaupane, N., B. Thakur, A. Kalra, and S. Ahmad, Evaluating future flood scenarios using CMIP5 climate projections, Water, 10, 1866, doi:10.3390/w10121866, 2018. |
| 6. | Vargas, M. M., S. Beskow, T. L. Caldeira, L. de Lima Corrêa, and Z. Almeida da Cunha, SYHDA – System of Hydrological Data Acquisition and Analysis, Brazilian Journal of Water Resources, 24, e11, doi:10.1590/2318-0331.241920180152, 2019. |
| 7. | Houessou-Dossou, E. A. Y., J. M. Gathenya, M. Njuguna, and Z. A. Gariy, Flood frequency analysis using participatory GIS and rainfall data for two stations in Narok Town, Kenya, Hydrology, 6(4), 90, doi:10.3390/hydrology6040090, 2019. |
| 8. | López Díez, A., P. Máyer Suárez, J. Díaz Pacheco, and P. Dorta Antequera, Rainfall and flooding in coastal tourist areas of the Canary Islands (Spain), Atmosphere, 10(12), 809, doi:10.3390/atmos10120809, 2019. |
| 9. | Pamirbek, M., X. Chen, S. Aher, A. Salamat, P. Deshmukh, and C. Temirbek, Analysis of discharge variability in the Naryn river basin, Kyrgyzstan, Hydrospatial Analysis, 3(2), 90-106, doi:10.21523/gcj3.19030204, 2019. |
| 10. | Tadesse, M., Spatial and temporal variability analysis and mapping of reference evapotranspiration for Jimma Zone, Southwestern Ethiopia, International Journal of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, 6(3), 108-115, doi:10.11648/j.ijnrem.20210603.12, 2021. |
| 11. | Hayder, A. M., and M. Al-Mukhtar, Modelling the IDF curves using the temporal stochastic disaggregation BLRP model for precipitation data in Najaf City, Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 14, 1957, doi:10.1007/s12517-021-08314-6, 2021. |
| 12. | Bekri, E. S., P. Economou, P. C. Yannopoulos, and A. C. Demetracopoulos, Reassessing existing reservoir supply capacity and management resilience under climate change and sediment deposition, Water, 13(13), 1819, doi:10.3390/w13131819, 2021. |
| 13. | #Ridzuan, N. A. M., N. M. Noor, N. A. A. A. Rahim, I. A. M. Jafri, and D. Gyeorgy, Spatio-temporal variation of particulate matter (PM10) during high particulate event (HPE) in Malaysia, In: Mohamed Noor N., Sam S.T., Abdul Kadir A. (eds.), Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Green Environmental Engineering and Technology, Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, 214, Springer, Singapore, doi:10.1007/978-981-16-7920-9_6, 2022. |
| 14. | Tegos, A., A. Ziogas, V. Bellos, and A. Tzimas, Forensic hydrology: a complete reconstruction of an extreme flood event in data-scarce area, Hydrology, 9(5), 93, doi:10.3390/hydrology9050093, 2022. |
| 15. | Nikas-Nasioulis, I., M. M. Bertsiou, and E. Baltas, Investigation of energy, water, and electromobility through the development of a hybrid renewable energy system on the island of Kos, WSEAS Transactions on Environment and Development, 18, 543-554, doi:10.37394/232015.2022.18.53, 2022. |
| 16. | Vangelis, H., I. Zotou, I. M. Kourtis, V. Bellos, and V. A. Tsihrintzis, Relationship of rainfall and flood return periods through hydrologic and hydraulic modeling, Water, 14(22), 3618, doi:10.3390/w14223618, 2022. |
| 17. | Reyes Flores, C. A., H. Ferreira Albuquerque Cunha, and A. Cavalcanti da Cunha, Hydrometeorological characterization and estimation of landfill leachate generation in the Eastern Amazon/Brazil, PeerJ, 11, e14686, doi:10.7717/peerj.14686, 2023. |
| 18. | Vargas, M. M., S. Beskow, M. M. de Moura, Z. A. da Cunha, T. L. C. Beskow, and J. P. de Morais da Silveira, GAM-IDF: a web tool for fitting IDF equations from daily rainfall data, International Journal of Hydrology Science and Technology, 16(1), 37-60, doi:10.1504/IJHST.2023.131882, 2023. |
| 19. | Carrasco, G. A., L. Villegas, J. Fernandez, J. Vallejos, and C. Idrogo, Assessment of parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution in rainfall of the Peruvian North, Revista Politécnica, 52(2), 99-112, doi:10.33333/rp.vol52n2.10, 2023. |
| 20. | Arinaitwe, M., and J. Okedi, IoT-based data and analytic hierarchy process to map groundwater recharge with stormwater, Water Science and Technology, wst2024017, doi:10.2166/wst.2024.017, 2024. |
A. Efstratiadis, and S.M. Papalexiou, The quest for consistent representation of rainfall and realistic simulation of process interactions in flood risk assessment, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2010, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, Vienna, 11101, European Geosciences Union, 2010.
We present a methodological framework for the estimation of flood risk in the Boeoticos Kephisos river basin, in Greece, draining an area of 1850 km2. This is a challenging task since the basin has many peculiarities. Due to the dominance of highly-permeable geologic formations, significant portion of runoff derives from karst springs, which rapidly contribute to the streamflow, in contrast to the unusually low contribution of direct (flood) runoff. In addition, due to the combined abstractions from surface and groundwater recourses and the existence of an artificial drainage network in the lower part of the basin (where slopes are noticeably low), the system is heavily modified. To evaluate the probability of extreme floods, especially in such complex basins, it is essential to provide both a statistically consistent description of forcing (precipitation) and a realistic simulation of the runoff mechanisms. Typically, flood modelling is addressed through event-based tools that use deterministic design storms and empirical formulas for the estimation of the “effective” rainfall and its transformation to runoff. Yet, there are several shortcomings in such approaches, especially when employed to large-scale systems. First, the widely-used methodologies for constructing design storms fail to properly represent the variability of rainfall, since they do not account for the temporal and spatial correlations of the historical records. For instance, it is assumed that the input storms to all sub-basins correspond to the same return period. On the other hand, “event-based” models do not allow for interpreting flood risk as joint probabilities of all hydrological variables that interrelate in runoff generation (rainfall, stream-aquifer interactions, soil moisture accounting). Finally, for the estimation of model parameters, the typical approach is to calibrate them against normally few historical flood events, which is at least questionable – the information embedded within calibration is far from being representative of the catchment mechanisms. With the purpose of assessing flood risk in the aforementioned basin we employed a two-step procedure. First, we used an original multivariate stochastic rainfall model to simulate the daily rainfall in 13 stations, for which 40-year historical data exist. Particularly, the model reproduces sufficiently all the essential features of the observed rainfall, i.e. (a) the seasonal variation, (b) the probability dry, (c) the mean and the standard deviation of the marginal distribution, as well as the power-type asymptotic tail of it, which is strongly related to frequent occurrences of extreme events, (d) the lag-1 autocorrelations, and (e) the lag-0 and lag-1 cross-correlations among the stations. Next, the synthetic rainfall series of 1000-year length were imported to the recently adapted daily version of the conjunctive hydrological model HYDROGEIOS. The model has been calibrated against multisite discharge data for a six-year period, and then run in stochastic simulation mode to estimate the daily flows across the river network. The analysis of model results provided valuable conclusions, not only regarding the frequencies of extreme events, but also the key role of the karst aquifer in the amplification of the long-term persistence of the system responses.
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A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, E. Rozos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Accounting for water management issues within hydrological simulation: Alternative modelling options and a network optimization approach, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2010, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, Vienna, 10085, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.22189.69603, European Geosciences Union, 2010.
In mixed natural and artificialized river basins, many complexities arise due to anthropogenic interventions in the hydrological cycle, including abstractions from surface water bodies, groundwater pumping or recharge and water returns through drainage systems. Typical engineering approaches adopt a multi-stage modelling procedure, with the aim to handle the complexity of process interactions and the lack of measured abstractions. In such context, the entire hydrosystem is separated into natural and artificial sub-systems or components; the natural ones are modelled individually, and their predictions (i.e. hydrological fluxes) are transferred to the artificial components as inputs to a water management scheme. To account for the interactions between the various components, an iterative procedure is essential, whereby the outputs of the artificial sub-systems (i.e. abstractions) become inputs to the natural ones. However, this strategy suffers from multiple shortcomings, since it presupposes that pure natural sub-systems can be located and that sufficient information is available for each sub-system modelled, including suitable, i.e. “unmodified”, data for calibrating the hydrological component. In addition, implementing such strategy is ineffective when the entire scheme runs in stochastic simulation mode. To cope with the above drawbacks, we developed a generalized modelling framework, following a network optimization approach. This originates from the graph theory, which has been successfully implemented within some advanced computer packages for water resource systems analysis. The user formulates a unified system which is comprised of the hydrographical network and the typical components of a water management network (aqueducts, pumps, junctions, demand nodes etc.). Input data for the later include hydraulic properties, constraints, targets, priorities and operation costs. The real-world system is described through a conceptual graph, whose dummy properties are the conveyance capacity and the unit cost of each link. Unit costs are either real or artificial, and positive or negative. Positive costs are set to prohibit undesirable fluxes and negative ones to force fulfilling water demands for various uses. The assignment of costs is based on a recursive algorithm that implements the physical constraints and the user-specified hierarchy for the water uses. Referring to the desired management policy, an optimal allocation is achieved regarding the unknown fluxes within the hydrosystem (flows, abstractions, water losses) by minimizing the total transportation cost through the graph. The mathematical structure of the problem enables use of accurate and exceptionally fast solvers. The proposed methodology is effective, efficient and easy to implement, in order to link on-line multiple modelling components, thus ensuring a comprehensive overview of the process interactions in complex and heavily modified hydrosystems. It is applicable to hydrological simulators of the semi-distributed type, in which it allows integrating groundwater models and flood routing schemes within decision support modules. The methodology is implemented within the HYGROGEIOS computer package, which is illustrated by example applications in modified river basins in Greece.
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A. Efstratiadis, K. Mazi, A. D. Koussis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Flood modelling in complex hydrologic systems with sparsely resolved data, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2009, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, Vienna, 4157, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.13801.08807, European Geosciences Union, 2009.
The European Directive on Assessment and Management of Flood Risks places significant emphasis on establishing tools suitable for simulating the relevant hydrologic processes in areas of high flood risk. Because flood modelling requires relatively detailed spatial and temporal resolutions, the model selection is controlled by the available distributed hydrologic information. The value of data (mainly stage/discharge records) is indisputable, since the quality of calibration and, consequently, the model predictive capacity, depends on the availability of reliable observations at multiple sites. On the other hand, data scarcity is a global problem in hydrologic engineering that is getting increasingly severe as the monitoring infrastructure is shrinking and degraded. It is therefore crucial to build reliable models that are parsimonious. In this vein, we have adapted the HYDROGEIOS model (Efstratiadis et al., 2008), initially developed as a conjunctive surface-groundwater simulation and water management tool at the monthly time scale, to run in daily time steps. In typical flood simulation packages inputs are time series of precipitation, which are resolved in hourly or finer increment, and detailed hydro-morphologic properties of the stream network. In contrast, the enhanced version of HYDROGEIOS only uses daily rainfall depths and a limited number of parameters that are estimated or calibrated on the basis of once-a-day discharge data. The character of HYDROGEIOS as a conjunctive model enables to represent simultaneously the interactions among the surface and sub-surface processes and the human interventions, and to route the runoff across the stream network. Lacking finely resolved precipitation data and for the purpose of flood routing, we have applied a disaggregation technique to analyse the simulated daily hydrographs in finer time steps. Flood routing is implemented via either a kinematic-wave or a Muskingum diffusive-wave scheme, introducing only one or two parameters per stream reach, respectively. The new version of HYDROGEIOS is being tested on the Boeotikos Kephisos River Basin for flood forecasting in real-time, using as input precipitation forecasts from numerical weather prediction simulations (European project FLASH). The basin is heavily modified, with strong physical heterogeneities, involving multiple peculiarities such as significant karst springs, which rapidly contribute to the streamflow, thus reflecting a strong interaction between surface and ground water processes, and a drainage canal and network in the lower basin with extremely small slopes.
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A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, On the practical use of multiobjective optimisation in hydrological model calibration, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2009, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, Vienna, 2326, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.10445.64480, European Geosciences Union, 2009.
In the last decade, the application of multiobjective optimisation algorithms in calibrating hydrological models has become increasingly popular. This approach enables for generating a number of Pareto-optimal parameter sets on the basis of multiple criteria, usually expressed by means of statistical fitting functions on observed data. Since the focus was given to the algorithmic handling of the problem, less attention was paid on some critical practical issues, regarding the selection of criteria and the identification of acceptable compromises among the vast number of non-dominated solutions. These are revealed by means of real-world examples, involving models of different levels of complexity. We provide some practical guidelines to take advantage of the hydrological experience, in order to enhance the information contained in calibration, thus ensuring consistent and reliable models. In this context, we emphasise on the incorporation of the so-called "soft" data within calibration, which characterise the qualitative rather than the quantitative knowledge about the behaviour of the hydrological system. This allows for evaluating the model performance against a number of responses and internal variables that are not controlled by measurements. Moreover, we attempt to treat the concepts of equifinality and Pareto optimality, as two complementary approaches to the parameter estimation problem. Finally, having determined a representative set of non-dominated solutions, we examine strategies for selecting the best-suited one and recognising ill-performed calibrations, which are due to either structural or data errors.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.10445.64480
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Malleson, N., L. See, A. Evans and A. Heppenstall, Optimising an agent-based model to explore the behaviour of simulated burglars, Theories and Simulations of Complex Social Systems (Intelligent Systems Reference Library) 52, 179-204, 2014. |
G. G. Anagnostopoulos, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Christofides, and N. Mamassis, Credibility of climate predictions revisited, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2009, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, Vienna, 611, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.15898.24009, European Geosciences Union, 2009.
In a recent study (Koutsoyiannis et al., On the credibility of climate predictions, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53 (4), 671–684, 2008), the credibility of climate predictions was assessed based on comparisons with long series of observations. Extending this research, which compared the outputs of various climatic models to temperature and precipitation observations from 8 stations around the globe, we test the performance of climate models at over 50 additional stations. Furthermore, we make comparisons at a large sub-continental spatial scale after integrating modelled and observed series.
Remarks:
Please visit/cite the peer-reviewed version of this article:
Anagnostopoulos, G. G., D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 55 (7), 1094–1110, 2010.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.15898.24009
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Stockwell, D. R. B., Critique of Drought Models in the Australian Drought Exceptional Circumstances Report (DECR), Energy & Environment, 21 (5), 425-436, 2010. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and S.M. Papalexiou, Assessment of the reliability of climate predictions based on comparisons with historical time series, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2008, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 10, Vienna, 09074, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.16658.45768, European Geosciences Union, 2008.
As falsifiability is an essential element of science (Karl Popper), many have disputed the scientific basis of climatic predictions on the grounds that they are not falsifiable or verifiable at present. This critique arises from the argument that we need to wait several decades before we may know how reliable the predictions will be. However, elements of falsifiability already exist, given that many of the climatic model outputs contain time series for past periods. In particular, the models of the IPCC Third Assessment Report have projected future climate starting from 1990; thus, there is an 18-year period for which comparison of model outputs and reality is possible. In practice, the climatic model outputs are downscaled to finer spatial scales, and conclusions are drawn for the evolution of regional climates and hydrological regimes; thus, it is essential to make such comparisons on regional scales and point basis rather than on global or hemispheric scales. In this study, we have retrieved temperature and precipitation records, at least 100-year long, from a number of stations worldwide. We have also retrieved a number of climatic model outputs, extracted the time series for the grid points closest to each examined station, and produced a time series for the station location based on best linear estimation. Finally, to assess the reliability of model predictions, we have compared the historical with the model time series using several statistical indicators including long-term variability, from monthly to overyear (climatic) time scales. Based on these analyses, we discuss the usefulness of climatic model future projections (with emphasis on precipitation) from a hydrological perspective, in relationship to a long-term uncertainty framework.
Remarks:
Please visit/cite the peer-reviewed version of this article:
Koutsoyiannis, D., A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and A. Christofides, On the credibility of climate predictions, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 53 (4), 671-684, 2008.
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Errata: In slide 3 "regional projections" should read "geographically distributed projections" and the reference of figures to IPCC chapter 11 (Christensen et al., 2007) should change to Chapter 10 (Meehl et al., 2007; also in list of references in slide 20). In slide 11 "Albany, Florida" should read "Albany, Georgia" (thanks to QE in the Small Dead Animals blog who spotted them).
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.16658.45768
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Ekmann, J., and R.C. Dolence, Energy project risk amidst climate change regulatory uncertainty, 25th Annual International Pittsburgh Coal Conference, PCC – Proceedings, 2008. |
| 2. | #Taylor, P., Chill, a reassessment of global warming theory: does climate change mean the world is cooling, and if so what should we do about it?, Clairview Books, 404 pp., 2009. |
| 3. | #Howell, B., The Kyoto Premise and the catastrophic failure of rational, logical, and scientific thinking by essentially all scientists, Lies, Damned Lies, and Scientists: the Kyoto Premise example, Chapter A.1, 2011. |
| 4. | Bakker, A. M. R., and B. J. J. M. van den Hurk, Estimation of persistence and trends in geostrophic wind speed for the assessment of wind energy yields in Northwest Europe, Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4), 767-782, 2012. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and K. Georgakakos, A stochastic methodological framework for uncertainty assessment of hydroclimatic predictions, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2007, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 9, Vienna, 06026, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.16029.31202, European Geosciences Union, 2007.
In statistical terms, the climatic uncertainty is the result of at least two factors, the climatic variability and the uncertainty of parameter estimation. Uncertainty is typically estimated using classical statistical methodologies that rely on a time independence hypothesis. However, climatic processes are not time independent but, as evidenced from accumulating observations from instrumental and paleoclimatic time series, exhibit long-range dependence, also known as the Hurst phenomenon or scaling behaviour. A methodology comprising analytical and Monte Carlo techniques is developed to determine uncertainty limits for the nontrivial scaling case. It is shown that, under the scaling hypothesis, the uncertainty limits are much wider than in classical statistics. Also, due to time dependence, the uncertainty limits of future are influenced by the available observations of the past. The methodology is tested and verified using a long instrumental meteorological record, the mean annual temperature at Berlin. It is demonstrated that the developed methodology provides reasonable uncertainty estimates whereas classical statistical uncertainty bands are too narrow. Furthermore, the framework is applied with temperature, rainfall and runoff data from a catchment in Greece, for which data exist for about a century. The uncertainty limits are then compared to deterministic projections up to 2050, obtained for several scenarios from several climatic models combined with a hydrological model. It is obtained that climatic model outputs for rainfall and the resulting runoff do not display significant future changes as the projected time series lie well within uncertainty limits assuming stable climatic conditions along with a scaling behaviour.
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I. Nalbantis, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, On the use and misuse of semi-distributed rainfall-runoff models, XXIV General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, Perugia, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.14351.59044, International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 2007.
Recent advances in hydrological modelling have led to a variety of complex, distributed or semi-distributed schemes, aiming to describe the heterogeneity of physical processes across a river basin. These are useful for operational purposes, such as design of large hydraulic structures, sustainable management of water resources and flood forecasting. However, due to the large number of parameters involved and the need for extended measurements, a robust calibration, which ensures a satisfactory predictive capacity as well as a physical interpretation of parameters, is a very difficult task. Hence, the applicability of such models in real-world studies, employed by practitioners with moderate hydrological knowledge, is at least questionable. The paper aims to reveal some critical issues, regarding the entire procedure of selecting, configuring and fitting a hydrological model. These are discussed on the basis of four classification criteria: the expertise level of the user, the representation of processes, the parameterization concept and the calibration strategy. An inexperienced user focuses on just finding a good fitting between model outputs and observations, usually by activating more parameters than are supported by the data. In contrast, an expert hydrologist wishes to explain the entire spectrum of model results, giving emphasis on the reasonable representation of the processes and the consistency of the all output variables, even those not controlled by the calibration (e.g. real evapotranspiration, soil moisture and groundwater storage fluctuation, etc.). In terms of the processes representation, modelling approaches that are devised for uniform, undisturbed basins are misused if applied on complex systems, with multiple human interventions. The next criterion refers to the parameterization procedure. Some approaches assign parameter values on the basis of the schemati zation, i.e. the spatial discretization of the system under study (e.g. the sub-basins), thus leading to schemes with too many degrees of freedom, suffering from the well-known "curse of dimensionality". On the other hand, more intelligent models assume different levels of parameterization and schematization, employing the concept of a hydrological response unit. Thus, they significantly reduce the number of control parameters, also ensuring consistency with the physical characteristics of the system under study. Finally, one may classify the calibration strategies from manual, one-criterion fitting to sophisticated automatic optimization methods, using evolutionary algorithms and multiple fitting criteria, both statistical (based on measurements) and empirical (based on the hydrological experience). The above spectrum of modelling options is explored by selecting representative cases which reveal problems of everyday hydrological practice. The test area is the Boeoticos Kephisos basin, Greece, where a conjunctive simulation model is employed to describe the surface and groundwater hydrological processes as well as the water management practices.
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K. Georgakakos, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Uncertainty assessment of future hydroclimatic predictions: Methodological framework and a case study in Greece, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2006, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 8, Vienna, 08065, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.29975.37284, European Geosciences Union, 2006.
A stochastic framework for climatic variability and uncertainty is presented, based on the following lines: (1) a climatic variable is not a parameter constant in time but rather a variable representing the long-term (e.g. 30-year) time average of a certain natural process, defined on a fine scale; (2) the evolution of climate is represented as a stochastic process; (3) the distributional parameters of the process, marginal and dependence, are estimated from an available sample by statistical methods; (4) the climatic uncertainty is the result of at least two factors, the climatic variability and the uncertainty of parameter estimation; (5) a climatic process exhibits a scaling behaviour, also known as long-range dependence or the Hurst phenomenon; (6) due to this dependence, the uncertainty limits of future are influenced by the available observations of the past. The last two lines differ from classical statistical considerations and produce uncertainty limits that eventually are much wider than those of classical statistics. A combination of analytical and Monte Carlo methods is developed to determine uncertainty limits for the nontrivial scaling case. The framework developed is applied with temperature, rainfall and runoff data from a catchment in Greece, for which data exist for about a century. The uncertainty limits are then compared to deterministic projections up to 2050, obtained for several scenarios from several climatic models combined with a hydrologic model.
Related works:
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.29975.37284
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Yimere, A., and E. Assefa, Assessment of the water-energy nexus under future climate change in the Nile river basin, Climate, 9(5), 84, doi:10.3390/cli9050084, 2021. |
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and G. Karavokiros, Linking hydroinformatics tools towards integrated water resource systems analysis, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2006, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 8, Vienna, 02096, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.26619.92966, European Geosciences Union, 2006.
The management of complex water resource systems requires system-wide decision-making and control, to fulfil multiple and often contradictory water uses and constraints, maximize benefits and simultaneously minimize risks or negative impacts. The rapidly developing area of hydroinformatics provides a variety of methodologies and tools that are suitable to solve specific computational problems and demands an integrated framework of model co-operation and linking. A holistic water resource systems analysis framework is presented, comprising conceptual and stochastic hydrological models, hydrosystem simulation models, and algorithms for both linear and non-linear optimization. The key concepts are the formulation of parsimonious structures that are consistent with the available data, the conjunctive representation of physical and man-made processes, the quantification of uncertainties and risks, the faithful description of system dynamics, and the use of optimization to provide rational results within multiple modelling scales. The hydrosystem schematization is based on a network-type representation of real-world components, including both physical (basins, rivers, aquifers, etc.) and artificial ones (reservoirs, aqueducts, boreholes, demand points, etc.). Hydrological inflows are synthetically generated, through a multivariate stochastic simulation scheme that preserves all essential statistical properties as well as the time- and space-correlations across different time scales. Hydrosystem operation is represented through a low-dimensional approach, based on generalized parametric rules, which are assigned to the main hydraulic controls. All water resource management aspects, including technical, economical and environmental data are effectively handled through a generalized graph optimization approach, which simultaneously preserves a detailed description of the related processes and computational efficiency. A global optimization approach, also implemented on a multiobjective basis, is used to provide suitable management policies and support decisions. Besides, the stochastic representation of all hydrosystem fluxes enables the assessment of results on a reliability basis.
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A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, E. Rozos, I. Nalbantis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Control of uncertainty in complex hydrological models via appropriate schematization, parameterization and calibration, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2006, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 8, Vienna, 02181, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.28297.65124, European Geosciences Union, 2006.
The recent expansion of complex, distributed modelling schemes results in significant increase of computational effort, thus making the traditional parameter estimation problem extremely difficult to handle. Recent advances provide a variety of mathematical techniques to quantify the uncertainty of model predictions. Despite their different theoretical background, such approaches aim to discover "promising" trajectories of the model outputs that correspond to multiple, "behavioural" parameter sets, rather than a single "global optimal" one. Yet, their application indicates that it is not unusual the case where model predictive uncertainty is comparable to the typical statistical uncertainty of the measured outputs, thus making the model validity at least questionable. Uncertainty is due to multiple sources that are interacted in a chaotic manner. Some of them are "inherent" and therefore unavoidable, as they are related to the complexity of physical processes, necessarily represented through simplified hypotheses about the watershed behaviour. Other sources are though controllable via appropriate schematization, parameterization and calibration. This involves adaptation of the principle of parsimony, appropriate distributed models and incorporation of hydrological experience within the parameter estimation procedure. The above issues are discussed on the basis of a conjunctive modelling scheme, fitted to two complex hydrosystems of Greece. A parsimonious structure is made possible by spatial analysis that is consistent with the available data and the operational requirements regarding water management, and the correspondence of model parameters to the "broad" physical characteristics of each system. Within the calibration strategy, the key concept is to exploit any type of knowledge, including systematic measurements as well as additional information about non-measured model outputs, in a multi-response optimization framework. The entire approach contributes to a significant reduction of uncertainties, as indicated by successful validation results.
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A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, S. Kozanis, A. Christofides, A. Koukouvinos, E. Rozos, N. Mamassis, I. Nalbantis, K. Noutsopoulos, E. Romas, L. Kaliakatsos, A. Andreadakis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The ODYSSEUS project: Developing an advanced software system for the analysis and management of water resource systems, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2006, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 8, Vienna, 03910, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.24942.20805, European Geosciences Union, 2006.
The ODYSSEUS project (from the Greek acronym of its full title "Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System") aims at providing support to decision-makers towards integrated water resource management. The end-product comprises a system of co-operating software applications, suitable to handle a wide spectrum of water resources problems. The key methodological concepts are the holistic modelling approach, through the conjunctive representation of processes regarding water quantity and quality, man-made interventions, the parsimony of both input data requirements and system parameterization, the assessment of uncertainties and risks, and the extended use of optimization both for modelling (within various scales) and derivation of management policies. The core of the system is a relational database, named HYDRIA, for storing hydrosystem information; this includes geographical data, raw and processed time series, characteristics of measuring stations and facilities, and a variety of economic, environmental and water quality issues. The software architecture comprises various modules. HYDROGNOMON supports data retrieval, processing and visualization, and performs a variety of time series analysis tasks. HYDROGEIOS integrates a conjunctive hydrological model within a systems-oriented water management scheme, which estimates the available water resources at characteristic sites of the river basin and at the underlying aquifer. HYDRONOMEAS is the hydrosystem control module and locates optimal operation policies that minimize the risk and cost of decision-making. Additional modules are employed to prepare input data. DIPSOS estimates water needs for various uses (water supply, irrigation, industry, etc.), whereas RYPOS estimates pollutant loads from point and non-point sources, at a river basin scale. A last category comprises post-processing modules, for evaluating the proposed management policies by means of economical efficiency and water quality requirements. The latter include sophisticated models that estimate the space and time variation of specific pollutants within rivers (HERIDANOS) and lakes (LERNE), as well as simplified versions of them to be used within the hydrosystem simulation scheme. An interactive framework enables the exchange of data between the various modules, either off-line (through the database) or on-line, via appropriate design of common information structures. The whole system is in the final phase of its development and parts of it have been already tested in operational applications, by water authorities, organizations and consulting companies.
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Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, A. Tegos, I. Nalbantis, E. Rozos, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, S.M. Papalexiou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrogeios, an integrated model for simulating complex hydrographic networks - A case study to West Thessaly region, 7th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms, Rethymnon, Crete, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.25781.06881, European Geosciences Union, 2005.
An integrated scheme, comprising a conjunctive hydrological model and a systems oriented management model, was developed, based on a semi-distributed approach. Geographical input data include the river network, the sub-basins upstream of each river node and the aquifer dicretization in the form of groundwater cells of arbitrary geometry. Additional layers of distributed geographical information, such as geology, land cover and terrain slope, are used to define the hydrological response units. Various modules are combined to represent the main processes at the water basin such as, soil moisture, groundwater, flood routing and water management models. Model outputs include river discharges, spring flows, groundwater levels and water abstractions. The model can be implemented in daily and monthly basis. A case study to the West Thessaly region performed. The discharges of five hydrometric stations and the water levels of eight boreholes were used simultaneously for model calibration. The implementation of the model to the certain region demonstrated satisfactory agreement between the observed and the simulated data.
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S. Kozanis, A. Christofides, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydrognomon - A hydrological data management and processing software tool, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2005, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 7, Vienna, 04644, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.34222.10561, European Geosciences Union, 2005.
Hydrognomon is a software tool for the management and analysis of hydrological data. It is built on a standard Windows platform based on client-server architecture; a database server is holding hydrological data whereas several workstations are executing Hydrognomon, sharing common data. Data retrieval, processing and visualisation are supported by a multilingual Graphical User Interface. Data management is based on geographical organisation to entities such as measuring stations, river basins, and reservoirs. Each entity may possess time series, physical properties, calculation parameters, multimedia content, etc. The main part of hydrological data analysis consists of time series processing applications, such as time step aggregation and regularisation, interpolation, regression analysis and filling in of missing values, consistency tests, data filtering, graphical and tabular visualisation of time series, etc. The program supports also specific hydrological applications, including evapotranspiration modelling, stage-discharge analysis, homogeneity tests, water balance methods, etc. The statistical module provides tools for sampling analysis, distribution functions, statistical forecast, Monte-Carlo simulation, analysis of extreme events and construction of intensity-duration-frequency curves. A final module is a lumped hydrological model, with alternative configurations, also supported by automatic calibration facilities. Hydrognomon is operationally used by the largest water organisation as well as technical corporations in Greece.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.34222.10561
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Zarris, D., Analysis of the environmental flow requirement incorporating the effective discharge concept, Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Environmental Hydraulics, Athens, 1125–1130, International Association of Hydraulic Research, National Technical University of Athens, 2010. |
| 2. | Puricelli, M., Update and analysis of intensity - duration - frequency curves for Balcarce, Buenos Aires province, Argentina, Revista de Geología Aplicada a la Ingeniería y al Ambiente, 32, 61-70, 2014. |
| 3. | Radevski, I., S. Gorin, O. Dimitrovska, I. Milevski, B. Apostolovska-Toshevska, M. Taleska, and V. Zlatanoski, Estimation of maximum annual discharges by frequency analysis with four probability distributions in case of non-homogeneous time series (Kazani karst spring in Republic of Macedonia), Acta Carsologica, 45(3), 253-262, doi:10.3986/ac.v45i3.1544, 2016. |
| 4. | #Mineo, C., S. Sebastianelli, L. Marinucci, and F. Russo, Assessment of the watershed DEM mesh size influence on a large dam design hydrograph, AIP Conference Proceedings, 1863, 470005, doi:10.1063/1.4992636, 2017. |
| 5. | #Matingo, T., W. Gumindoga, and H. Makurira, Evaluation of sub daily satellite rainfall estimates through flash flood modelling in the Lower Middle Zambezi Basin, Proc. IAHS, 378, 59–65, doi:10.5194/piahs-378-59-2018, 2018. |
| 6. | #Ummah, R., A. A. Kuntoro, and H. Alamsyah, Effect of water level elevation in Madiun river on flooding in Jeroan river, Proceedings of the 3rd ITB Graduate School Conference “Enhancing Creativity in Research Through Developing Innovative Capabilities”, 2(2), 315-328, 2022. |
| 7. | #Nikas-Nasioulis, I., and E. Baltas, Investigation of the energy coverage for wastewater treatment and desalination in the island of Kos based on a hybrid renewable energy system, Proceedings of 2nd World Conference on Sustainability, Energy and Environment, doi:10.33422/2nd.wscee.2022.12.120, 2022. |
A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydronomeas: A water resources planning and management software system, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2005, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 7, Vienna, 04675, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.29608.37128, European Geosciences Union, 2005.
Hydronomeas is an operational software tool for the management of complex water resource systems. It is suitable to a wide range of hydrosystems, incorporating numerous physical, operational, administrative and environmental aspects of integrated river basin management. The mathematical framework follows the parameterisation-simulation-optimisation scheme; simulation is applied to faithfully represent the system operation, expressed in the form of parametric management rules, whereas optimisation is applied to derive the optimal management policy, which simultaneously minimises the risk and cost of decision-making. Hydrological inflows are synthetically generated, thus providing stochastic predictions for all system outputs (reservoir storages and withdrawals). Real economic criteria in addition to virtual costs are appropriately assigned to preserve the physical constraints and water use priorities, ensuring also the lowest-energy transportation path of water from the sources to the consumption. Hydronomeas is developed to operate within the framework of a decision support system, with a graphical user interface allowing users to create any configuration of hydrosystems consisting of reservoirs, groundwater facilities, pumping and hydropower stations, aqueduct networks, demand points, etc. Data structures are controlled by a database management module, whereas simulation is accompanied by a visualisation module. Results, including the optimal operating rule for each component of the system, the failure probability for each water use, the water and energy balance, as well as prediction curves for all hydrosystem fluxes, are presented in graphical plots. Saved scenarios can also be retrieved in the form of printable reports, which are automatically generated through the database management module. From year 2000, Hydronomeas is the central supporting tool of the Athens Water Supply and Sewage Company (EYDAP).
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.29608.37128
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Rozos, E., An assessment of the operational freeware management tools for multi-reservoir systems, Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, ws2018169, doi:10.2166/ws.2018.169, 2018. |
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The multiobjective evolutionary annealing-simplex method and its application in calibrating hydrological models, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2005, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 7, Vienna, 04593, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.32963.81446, European Geosciences Union, 2005.
Optimisation problems related to water resources are, by nature, multiobjective, even if traditionally handled as single-objective. Current advances in hydrological modelling employ multiobjective approaches to treat the well-known problem of "equifinality", thus assessing the uncertainties related to the parameter estimation procedure. However, computer tools generating Pareto-optimal solutions are still particularly time-consuming, especially in real-world applications, with many parameters and many fitting criteria. Moreover, the mathematical concept of Pareto optimality often leads to solutions that are far away from an acceptable compromise between the conflicting objectives. Most multiobjective optimisation tools are adaptations of evolutionary algorithms. In multiobjective evolutionary optimisation two are the major goals: (a) guiding the search towards the Pareto-optimal front, and (b) generating a well-distributed set of nondominated solutions. Both are achieved through the fitness evaluation and selection procedures; using the fundamental principle of dominance, scalar fitness values are assigned to individuals, then evolved by employing the typical genetic operators (crossover, mutation). The multiobjective evolutionary annealing-simplex (MEAS) method is an innovative scheme, also comprising an evaluation phase and an evolution phase. The evaluation aims to assign a performance measure to each member of the population, which requires the comparison of all individuals against each other and against all criteria. A fitness strategy inspired from the strength-Pareto approach of Zitlzer and Thiele (IEEE Trans. Evol. Comp., 3(4), 1999), in addition to an extension of the definition of dominance, provides a large variety of discrete performance values. The population is guided towards a promising sub-region of the Pareto front (not the entire front), that contains representative trade-offs, among which the best-compromise may easily detected. The generation of solutions with extreme performance, i.e. too good against some criteria, too bad for the rest ones, is prohibited, by means of penalty functions. In this manner, the discrete fitness space is transformed to a continuous space, which may be explored through global search techniques. The latter (i.e., the evolution phase) is implemented through a set of combined deterministic and stochastic transition rules, most of them based on a simplex-evolving pattern. During evolution, the degree of randomness is controlled through an adaptive annealing cooling schedule, which automatically regulates the "temperature" of the system. The MEAS method was tested on a variety of benchmark functions taken from the literature, as well as on some challenging hydrological applications, formerly handled through weighted objective functions. The analysis indicate that the proposed algorithm locates good trade-offs among the conflicting objectives simultaneously being much more efficient if compared to other, well-established multiobjective evolutionary schemes.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.32963.81446
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Rothfuss, Y., I. Braud, N. Le Moine, P. Biron, J.-L. Durand, M. Vauclin, and T. Bariac, Factors controlling the isotopic partitioning between soil evaporation and plant transpiration: assessment using a multi-objective calibration of SiSPAT-Isotope under controlled conditions, Journal of Hydrology, 442-443, 75-88, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.03.041, 2012. |
| 2. | Coron, L., V. Andréassian, C. Perrin, M. Bourqui, and F. Hendrickx, On the lack of robustness of hydrologic models regarding water balance simulation – a diagnostic approach on 20 mountainous catchments using three models of increasing complexity, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 727-746, doi:10.5194/hess-18-727-2014, 2014. |
| 3. | Magand, C., A. Ducharne, N. Le Moine, and P. Brigode, Parameter transferability under changing climate: case study with a land surface model in the Durance watershed, France, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60(7-8), 1408-1423, doi:10.1080/02626667.2014.993643, 2014. |
| 4. | Cordeiro, M. R. C., J. A. Vanrobaeys, and H. F. Wilson, Long-term weather, streamflow, and water chemistry datasets for hydrological modelling applications at the upper La Salle River watershed in Manitoba, Canada, Geoscience Data Journal,6(1), 41-57, doi:10.1002/gdj3.67, 2019. |
| 5. | Monteil, C., F. Zaoui, N. Le Moine, and F. Hendrickx, Multi-objective calibration by combination of stochastic and gradient-like parameter generation rules – the caRamel algorithm, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 3189-3209, 10.5194/hess-24-3189-2020, 2020. |
| 6. | Vorobevskii, I., T. T. Luong, R. Kronenberg, T. Grünwald, and C. Bernhofer, Modelling evaporation with local, regional and global BROOK90 frameworks: importance of parameterization and forcing, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/hess-2021-602, 2021. |
A. Efstratiadis, E. Rozos, A. Koukouvinos, I. Nalbantis, G. Karavokiros, and D. Koutsoyiannis, An integrated model for conjunctive simulation of hydrological processes and water resources management in river basins, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2005, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 7, Vienna, 03560, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.27930.64960, European Geosciences Union, 2005.
In complex hydrosystems, where natural processes are significantly affected by human interventions, a holistic modelling concept is required, to ensure a more faithful representation of mechanisms and hence a rational water resource management. An integrated scheme, comprising a conjunctive (i.e., surface and groundwater) hydrological model and a systems-oriented management model, was developed, based on a semi-distributed approach. Geographical input data include the river network, the sub-basins upstream of each river node and the aquifer discretization in the form of groundwater cells of arbitrary geometry. Additional layers of distributed geographical information, such as geology, land cover and terrain slope, are used to define the hydrological response units (HRUs); the latter are spatial components that correspond to areas of homogenous hydrological characteristics. On the other hand, input data for artificial components include reservoirs, water abstraction facilities, aqueducts and demand points. Dynamic input data consist of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration series, given at a sub-basin scale, and target demand series. Targets refer not only to water needs but also to various water management constraints, such as the preservation of minimum flows across the river network. Various modules are combined to represent the key processes in the watershed, i.e. (a) a conceptual soil moisture accounting model, with different parameters assigned to each HRU; (b) a groundwater model, based on a modified finite-volume numerical method; (c) a routing model, that implements the water movement across the river network; and (d) a water management model, inspired from the graph theory, which estimates the optimal hydrosystem fluxes, satisfying both physical constraints and target priorities and simultaneously minimising costs. Model outputs include discharges through the river network, spring flows, groundwater levels and water abstractions. The calibration employs an automatic procedure, based on multiple error criteria and a robust global optimisation algorithm. The model was applied to a meso-scale (~2000 km2) watershed in Greece, characterised by a complex physical system (a karstified background, with extended losses to the sea) and conflicting water uses. 10-year monthly discharge series from seven gauging stations were used to evaluate the model performance. Extended analysis proved that the exploitation of spatially distributed input information, in addition to the usage of a reasonable number of control variables that are fitted to multiple observed responses, ensures more realistic model parameters, also reducing prediction uncertainty, in comparison to earlier (both fully conceptual and fully distributed) approaches. Moreover, the incorporation of the water resource management scheme within the hydrological simulator makes the model suitable for operational use.
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D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Climate change certainty versus climate uncertainty and inferences in hydrological studies and water resources management (solicited), European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2004, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 6, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.12726.29764, European Geosciences Union, 2004.
Anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere and land uses certainly affect climate and hydrological responses in a cause-and-effect relationship. However, an accurate deterministic prediction of future hydro-climatic regimes, incorporating anthropogenic effects, may be infeasible. Obvious sources of uncertainty are the weaknesses of climatic and hydrological models. Besides, uncertainty may be also a structural and inevitable characteristic of the related processes, as the atmosphere and hydrological basins are inherently too complex systems. Quantification of uncertainty in probabilistic terms can be regarded as a more feasible alternative in comparison to the elimination of uncertainty. However, the quantification of (the increase of) uncertainty under future conditions, including anthropogenic effects, is hardly achievable at present. A small feasible step is the quantification of uncertainty under present and past conditions. This has been seriously underestimated and underrated so far. Climatic models describe a portion of natural variability and result in interannual variability that is commonly too weak. Hydrological models tend to smooth out variability of hydrological processes. Even probabilistic approaches based on classical statistical analyses of real world data hide some sources of variability and uncertainty, especially the ones related to the omnipresent long-term persistence of natural processes. The latter approaches, however, can be adapted towards making their estimations closer to reality, thus resulting in more accurate yet impressively higher estimates of uncertainty. These ideas and questions are illustrated by means of a case study dealing with hydrological modelling and water resources management in a Greek catchment.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.12726.29764
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Kim, B.-S., H.-S. Kim, and H.-S. Min, Hurst’s memory for chaotic, tree ring, and SOI series, Applied Mathematics, 5, 175-195, 2014. |
| 2. | Tatli, H., Detecting persistence of meteorological drought via the Hurst exponent, Meteorological Applications, 22(4), 763-769, doi:10.1002/met.1519, 2015. |
| 3. | Pal, S., S. Dutta, T. Nasrin, and S. Chattopadhyay, Hurst exponent approach through rescaled range analysis to study the time series of summer monsoon rainfall over northeast India, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, doi:10.1007/s00704-020-03338-6, 2020. |
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, K. Hadjibiros, A. Andreadakis, A. Stamou, A. Katsiri, G.-F. Sargentis, and A. Christofides, A multicriteria approach for the sustainable management of the Plastiras reservoir, Greece, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 5, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.23631.48801, European Geophysical Society, 2003.
The Plastiras reservoir, sited in Western Thessaly, Greece, is a multipurpose project used for irrigation, water supply, hydropower, and recreation; the importance of the latter is continuously increasing as the reservoir landscape becomes attractive to tourists. These uses are competitive and result in a particularly complex problem of water management. Recently, a multidisciplinary analysis was attempted, aiming at determining a rational and sustainable management policy for the Plastiras Lake. This consists of establishing a minimum allowable water level for abstractions, in addition to a proper release policy. Until now, the reservoir level has had a 16 m fluctuation range, affecting negatively both the landscape, due to the exposure of the dead (no-vegetation) zone and the water quality. Three types of analyses were employed, to determine the variation of the corresponding criteria as a function of the allowable minimum level. The first one was the annual safe yield for various reliability levels, derived through a stochastic simulation model for the reservoir operation. The second criterion was the average summer concentration of chlorophyll-a (as indicator of the eutrophic regime of the lake), estimated through a one-dimensional eutrophication model. The final criterion was the aesthetics of the landscape; the relative study was focused on the effects of level variation and determined five fluctuation zones to characterise the quality of the landscape. After multiobjective analysis, and in cooperation with the local authorities and the public, a specific value of the minimum allowable level and a release policy were selected, which are currently on the way to be formally legislated.
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See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.23631.48801
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Gounaridis, D., and G. N. Zaimes, GIS-based multicriteria decision analysis applied for environmental issues: the Greek experience, International Journal of Applied Environmental Sciences, 7(3), 307–321, 2012. |
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, E. Rozos, and I. Nalbantis, Calibration of a conjunctive surface-groundwater simulation model using multiple responses, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 5, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.23002.34246, European Geophysical Society, 2003.
A multi-cell semi-distributed model was developed to simulate the hydrological processes of the Boeoticos Kephisos river basin and its underlying karst. The whole system (surface and underground) provides water for local irrigation use as well as for the supply of Athens. Moreover, the basin outflow, a significant part of which comes from karstic springs, feeds Lake Yliki, one of the three main supply reservoirs of Athens. The model consists of a set of interconnected cells. Each cell is further divided into a surface and a ground water sub-cell. The former is modelled as a soil moisture reservoir, with precipitation and potential evapotranspiration as inputs, and surface runoff, actual evapotranspiration and deep percolation as outputs. The groundwater sub-cell operates according to Darcy's law; it accepts percolation and lateral flow as inputs, and yields lateral outflow to adjacent cells or the sea, spring runoff and water abstractions as outputs. A heuristic evolutionary optimisation algorithm, where a generalised downhill simplex scheme is coupled with a simulated annealing strategy, is applied to calibrate the model. The model calibration is based on a multi-objective approach, aiming at fitting the historical hydrographs, which are available at the basin outlet and the main spring sites, to the simulated ones. Extended analysis illustrated that the uncertainty of parameters is much larger for the groundwater subsystem, mainly due to the existence of non-measurable outflows to the sea. Hence, the selection of the best-compromise parameter set is based on empirical estimations of the location and magnitude of losses to the sea.
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G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, A decision support system for the management of the water resource system of Athens, 26th General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 3, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.28035.50724, European Geophysical Society, 2001.
The water resource system of Greater Athens supplies water mainly for domestic and industrial use to the metropolitan area of Athens, Greece. The system consists of four reservoirs, groundwater resources, and a network of aqueducts and pumping stations. For the control of this system an integrated computational framework was developed named Hydronomeas, which implements the parameterisation-simulation-optimisation methodology. To allocate the water demand to the different system components, it uses a parametric operation rule thus keeping the number of control variables small. This parametric rule is embedded into a simulation-optimisation scheme. To perform each simulation step, the water resource system is transformed to a digraph, and the water conveyance problem is formulated as a typical transhipment problem, which can be solved by the network simplex algorithm. Global system objectives are incorporated in a performance measure, which is subsequently optimised using nonlinear optimisation methods. Users can specify multiple targets and constraints, give them priorities and set acceptable limits for the system reliability. Hydronomeas is currently used as the main decision support tool for the management of the water resource system of Athens.
Related works:
Full text:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.28035.50724
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Margane, A., Guideline for sustainable groundwater resources management, Management, Protection and Sustainable Use of Groundwater and Soil Resources (ACSAD), 242 pp., Damascus, 2003. |
| 2. | #Al-Maqtari, S., H. Abdulrab, E. Babkin and I. Krysina, New approach for combination of multi-agent algorithms and constraints solvers for decision support systems, BIR 2009 - 8th International Conference on Perspectives in Business Informatics Research, 2014. |
| 3. | #Stamou, A. T., P. Rutschmann, and C. Rumbaur, Energy and reservoir management for optimized use of water resources: A case study within the water-food-energy context of nexus in the Nile river basin, Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, Rhodes, 2015. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, A stochastic hydrology framework for the management of multiple reservoir systems, 26th General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 3, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.11258.29125, European Geophysical Society, 2001.
Long-term planning and management of large hydrosystems, such as multiple reservoir systems, under hydrological uncertainty continues to be a very difficult task. Stochastic processes and stochastic simulation are the most reliable methodologies for the study of hydrosystems under a wide range of hydroclimatic inputs and for the risk assessment of different management policies. Climate change scenarios and, more specifically, drought scenarios can be incorporated into stochastic models by either modifying the historical statistical characteristics or better, assuming large timescale random fluctuations. Such fluctuations can be equivalently modelled as long-term persistence by means of a specified autocorrelation structure. Using these ideas, a comprehensive stochastic methodology is developed and implemented in an integrated software package named Castalia. The methodology is based on a two-level multivariate simulation-forecast scheme. In the higher level it enables preservation of important features on an annual timescale, such as hydrologic persistence. In the lower level it enables reproduction of features on a monthly or sub-monthly timescale, such as periodicity. The above methodology was applied for the study of the water supply system of Athens, which contains four reservoirs. Several scenarios were examined, which allowed a detailed investigation of uncertainty and risk associated with the system.
Full text:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.11258.29125
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bekri, E. S., P. Economou, P. C. Yannopoulos, and A. C. Demetracopoulos, Reassessing existing reservoir supply capacity and management resilience under climate change and sediment deposition, Water, 13(13), 1819, doi:10.3390/w13131819, 2021. |
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Global optimisation techniques in water resources management, 26th General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 3, Nice, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.13774.87360, European Geophysical Society, 2001.
Optimisation has become a valuable tool in most of hydroinformatics applications, such as calibration of hydrological models, optimal control of hydrosystems, water quantity and quality management, water supply and sewage networks design, etc. Given that these problems are intrinsically nonlinear and multimodal, they do not exist deterministic optimisation methods that can locate the globally optimal solution. During the last two decades, probabilistic schemes have been developed for solving global optimisation problems. These methods use a combination of random and deterministic steps, without generally requiring restrictive conditions on the nature of the objective function. The scope of this study is the investigation of the features of these techniques, focusing on three of them, which are presented and compared by means of both mathematical applications and real-world problems. The first two are the most popular in applications related with hydrology and water resources, i.e. genetic algorithms and the shuffled complex evolution algorithm. The third one is a new simplex-annealing scheme, which incorporates the principles of simulated annealing in the well-known downhill simplex method. This scheme is very simple to implement and extended analysis proved that it is very effective in locating the global optimum as well as very efficient, in terms of convergence speed.
Full text:
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.13774.87360
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Kolovoyiannis, V. N., and G. E. Tsirtsis, Downscaling the marine modelling effort: Development, application and assessment of a 3D ecosystem model implemented in a small coastal area, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 126, 44-60, 2013. |
A. Efstratiadis, [No English title available], , 2024.
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A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, T. Iliopoulou, S. Antoniadi, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Strategic plan for developing a National Hydrometric Network, Hellenic Integrated Marine and Inland water Observing, Forecasting and offshore Technology System (HIMIOFoTS) - Second meeting of project partners, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2019.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1973/1/documents/NTUA_pres_June2019_PartB.pdf (2262 KB)
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net): Evolution of works, challeneges and perspectives, Hellenic Integrated Marine and Inland water Observing, Forecasting and offshore Technology System (HIMIOFoTS) - Second meeting of project partners, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2019.
A. Efstratiadis, Dams and their environmental impacts in Greece: insights, problems and challenges, Adaptive Management of Barriers in European Rivers (AMBER) River conservation actions – Greece AMBER National Workshop, Ministry of Environment & Energy, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.22475.44323, Athens, 2019.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1951/1/documents/AMBER_Efstratiadis_RODVMhB.pdf (3528 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Nikas, A., H. Neofytou, A. Karamaneas, K. Koasidis, and J. Psarras, Sustainable and socially just transition to a post-lignite era in Greece: a multi-level perspective, Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, doi:10.1080/15567249.2020.1769773, 2020. |
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Koukouvinos, Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net), Hellenic Integrated Marine and Inland water Observing, Forecasting and offshore Technology System (HIMIOFoTS) - First meeting of project partners, Anavyssos, Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, 2018.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1872/1/documents/NTUA_pres_HCMR_Sep2018_dnpy8Eq.pdf (4637 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Hydrologists against the terrifying uncertainty: Is the beast invincible?, School for Young Scientists “Modelling and forecasting of river flows and managing hydrological risks: Towards a new generation of methods” (2017), Moscow State University, Russian Academy of Sciences, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2017.
Remarks:
https://www.iwp.ru/about/news/novye-diskussii-shkola-molodykh-uchenykh-den-vtoroy/
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1756/1/documents/2017_moscow_uncertainty.pdf (2254 KB)
See also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8Gahx5c4CA&index=5&list=PLJM7bDfaU8sQ3vDS9MAIqjuiRs5t-eB3b
A. Efstratiadis, Water resources management in practice: From sophisticated simulations to simple decisions, School for Young Scientists “Modelling and forecasting of river flows and managing hydrological risks: Towards a new generation of methods” (2017), Moscow State University, Russian Academy of Sciences, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2017.
Remarks:
https://www.iwp.ru/about/news/mezhdunarodnaya-shkola-molodykh-uchenykh-ivp-ran-i-mgu-nachala-rabotu/
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1755/1/documents/2017_moscow_management_qng820d.pdf (3048 KB)
See also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP_vmDqmylg&list=PLJM7bDfaU8sQ3vDS9MAIqjuiRs5t-eB3b&index=3
K. Risva, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Nalbantis, A simple model for low flow forecasting in Mediterranean streams, 5th Hellenic Conference of Surveying Enginners, Athens, 2017.
Low flows commonly occur in rivers during dry seasons within each year. They often concur with increased water demand which creates numerous water resources management problems. This paper seeks for simple yet efficient tools for low-flow forecasting, which are easy to implement, based on the adoption of an exponential decay model for the flow recession curve. A statistical attribute of flows preceding the start of the dry period is used as the starting flow. On the other hand, the decay rate (recession parameter) is assumed as a linear function of the starting flow. The two parameters of that function are time-invariant, and they are optimized over a reference time series representing the low flow component of the observed hydrographs. The methodology is tested in the basins of Achelous, Greece, Xeros and Peristerona, Cyprus, and Salso, Italy. Raw data are filtered by signal processing techniques which remove the effect of flood events occurring in dry periods, thus allow-ing the preservation of the decaying form of the flow recession curve. Results indicate that satisfac-tory low flow forecasts are possible for Mediterranean basins of different hydrological behaviour.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1752/1/documents/PSDATM_low_flows_article.pdf (1015 KB)
Additional material:
Ο. Daskalou, A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Methodology for optimal allocation and sizing of renewable energy sources using ArcGIS 10.3: Case study of Thessaly Perfecture, 24th Hellenic Meeting of ArcGIS Users, Crowne Plaza, Athens, Marathon Data Systems, 2016.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1616/2/documents/MDS-Olympia.pdf (2133 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The quantitative dimension of WFD 2000/60, Water Framework Directive 2000/60 and Inland Water Protection: Research and Perspectives, Athens, Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, Specific Secreteriat of Water – Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, 2015.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1541/1/documents/2015_WFDQuantity1.pdf (787 KB)
A. D. Koussis, and A. Efstratiadis, Hydrological simulation and forecasting models, Workshop - Deucalion research project, Goulandris National Histroy Museum, 2014.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1467/1/documents/hydrol_models.pdf (1426 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Adaptation of regional hydrological formulas to Greek basins, Workshop - Deucalion research project, Goulandris National Histroy Museum, 2014.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1466/1/documents/regional_formulas.pdf (759 KB)
A. Tegos, A. Efstratiadis, A. Varveris, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Assesment and implementation of ecological flow constraints in large hydroelectric works: The case of Acheloos, Ecological flow of rivers and the importance of their true assesment, 2014.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1455/1/documents/2014_envflows_pres.pdf (1344 KB)
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Perspectives of combined management of water and energy in Thessaly region, , Larissa, 21 pages, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.15760.61442, Technical Chamber of Greece / Department of CW Thessaly, 2014.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1434/1/documents/larissa_25_2.pdf (2206 KB)
A. D. Koussis, S. Lykoudis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Peppas, and A. Maheras, Estimating flood flows in ungauged Greek basins under hydroclimatic variability (Deukalion project) - Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools, Climate and Environmental Change in the Mediterranean Region, Pylos, Navarino Environmental Observatory, 2012.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1292/1/documents/DeflkalionPoster.pdf (258 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Models in practice: Experience from the water supply system of Athens, Invited lecture, Tokyo, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 2010.
The water supply system of Athens is an extensive and complex hydrosystem that lies over an area of around 4000 km2 and comprises multiple resources, surface and groundwater, as well as an extended network of aqueducts and pumping stations. Due to the multiple levels of complexity involved, its operation and management is a really challenging task. The research team ITIA from the National Technical University of Athens has developed an advanced modelling framework, which is implemented within a decision support system; the system is fully operational and continuously improved. An overview of the key philosophical issues is essential to understand the foundation of the entire modelling concept. In this context, we reveal the importance of building models that are holistic and parsimonious, and also account for the inherent uncertainty of the hydrological fluxes, treating them as stochastic processes. Taking advantage of the case study of Athens, the most significant modelling aspects are presented, while their applicability is tested against some representative problems of high practical interest. The presentation is accompanied by a short demonstration of the related software tools, most of which are free and open-source.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1095/1/documents/TMU2.pdf (5531 KB)
A. Loukas, A. Efstratiadis, and L. Vasiliades, Review of existing simulation based flood-frequency frameworks in Greece, EU COST Action ES0901: European Procedures for Flood Frequency Estimation (FloodFreq) - 3rd Management Committee Meeting, Prague, 2010.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1060/1/documents/WP3_GR.pdf (869 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, L. Vasiliades, and A. Loukas, Review of existing statistical methods for flood frequency estimation in Greece, EU COST Action ES0901: European Procedures for Flood Frequency Estimation (FloodFreq) - 3rd Management Committee Meeting, Prague, 2010.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1059/1/documents/WP2_GR.pdf (556 KB)
See also: http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/hwrp/publications/Floodfreq_report.pdf
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Li, Q., Fuzzy approach to analysis of flood risk based on variable fuzzy sets and improved information diffusion methods, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 13, 239–249, doi:10.5194/nhess-13-239-2013, 2013. |
| 2. | Akhter, A., and S. Azam, Flood-drought hazard assessment for a flat clayey deposit in the Canadian Prairies, Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters, 1(1), 8-19, doi:10.3808/jeil.201900002, 2019. |
N. Mamassis, E. Tiligadas, D. Koutsoyiannis, M. Salahoris, G. Karavokiros, S. Mihas, K. Noutsopoulos, A. Christofides, S. Kozanis, A. Efstratiadis, E. Rozos, and L. Bensasson, HYDROSCOPE: National Databank for Hydrological, Meteorological and Geographical Information, Towards a rational handling of current water resource problems: Utilizing Data and Informatics for Information, Hilton Hotel, Athens, 2010.
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E. Safiolea, A. Efstratiadis, S. Kozanis, I. Liagouris, and C. Papathanasiou, Integrated modelling of a River-Reservoir system using OpenMI, OpenMI-LIFE Pinios Workshop, Volos, 2009.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/920/1/documents/Moore_Pinios_Workshop_part1.pdf (2349 KB)
See also: http://www.openmi-life.org/events/pinios-workshop.php?lang=0
C. Makropoulos, E. Safiolea, A. Efstratiadis, E. Oikonomidou, and V. Kaffes, Multi-reservoir management with OpenMI, OpenMI-LIFE Pinios Workshop, Volos, 2009.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/919/1/documents/openMI_pinios_2009_evi.pdf (719 KB)
See also: http://www.openmi-life.org/events/pinios-workshop.php?lang=0
C. Makropoulos, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Challenges and perspectives in urban water management, Local Govenance Conference: The Green Technology in the Cities, Athens, Ecocity, Central Association of Greek Municipalities, 2009.
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D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Energy, water and agriculture: Prospects of integrated management in the Prefecture of Karditsa, Water Resources Management in the Prefecture of Karditsa, Workshop of The Local Union of Municipalities and Communities, Karditsa, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.33124.37760, 2008.
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E. Safiolea, I. Liagouris, A. Efstratiadis, and S. Kozanis, Impact of climate change scenarios on the reliability of a reservoir, 2nd OpenMI-Life and Association Workshops On Integrated Modelling for Integrated Water Management, CEH, Wallingford, UK, 2007.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/842/1/documents/2007OpenMIWallingford.pdf (1638 KB)
See also: http://www.openmi-life.org/events/secondWorkshop.php?lang=0
A. Efstratiadis, S. Kozanis, I. Liagouris, and E. Safiolea, Migration of a reservoir management model (RMM-NTUA), 1st OpenMI Life Workshop, Aquafin, Aartselaar, Belgium, 2007.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/834/1/documents/2007OpenMI_RMM.pdf (1401 KB)
See also: http://www.openmi-life.org/events/workshop.php?lang=0
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and N. Mamassis, Optimization of the water supply network of Athens, Second International Congress: "Environment - Sustainable Water Resource Management", Athens, Association of Civil Engineers of Greece, European Council of Civil Engineers, 2007.
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S. Kozanis, and A. Efstratiadis, Zygos: A basin processes simulation model, 21st European Conference for ESRI Users, Athens, Greece, 2006.
ZYGOS models the main hydrological processes of a watershed, using a lumped approach. It implements a conceptual soil moisture accounting scheme, based on a generalisation of the standard Thornthwaite model, extended with a groundwater tank. A visual representation of modeling components helps the implementation of different configurations. A global optimization procedure, implementing the evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm, is included for the automatic estimation of model parameters.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/754/1/documents/2006ESRIZygosFullPoster.pdf (625 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bekri, E., M. Disse, P. Yannopoulos, Optimizing water allocation under uncertain system conditions in Alfeios River Basin (Greece), Part B: Fuzzy-boundary intervals combined with multi-stage stochastic programming model, Water, 7(10), 6427-6466, doi:10.3390/w7116427, 2015. |
| 2. | Charizopoulos, N., A. Psilovikos, and E. Zagana, A lumped conceptual approach for modeling hydrological processes: the case of Scopia catchment area, Central Greece, Environmental Earth Sciences, 76:18, doi:10.1007/s12665-017-6967-0, 2017. |
| 3. | Rozos, E., A methodology for simple and fast streamflow modelling, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65(7), 1084-1095, doi:10.1080/02626667.2020.1728475, 2020. |
| 4. | Bekri, E. S., P. Economou, P. C. Yannopoulos, and A. C. Demetracopoulos, Reassessing existing reservoir supply capacity and management resilience under climate change and sediment deposition, Water, 13(13), 1819, doi:10.3390/w13131819, 2021. |
A. Efstratiadis, Strategies and algorithms for multicriteria calibration of complex hydrological models, Presentation of research activities of the Department of Water Resources, Athens, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2006.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/705/1/documents/2006EfstrTYPY8E.pdf (1130 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, HYDROGEIOS: Geo-hydrological model for watershed simulation, 15th meeting of the Greek users of Geographical Information Systems (G.I.S.) ArcInfo - ArcView - ArcIMS, Athens, Marathon Data Systems, 2005.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/685/1/documents/2005GIShydrogeios.pdf (1905 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Nonlinear methods in multicriteria water resource problems, "Hydromedon" - First meeting of PhD students, Patra, University of Patra, 2005.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/666/1/documents/2005Ydromedon.pdf (491 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Climatic change certainty and climatic uncertainty from a hydrological and water resources management viewpoint, Invited seminar, University of Thessaly, Volos, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.31761.22888, University of Thessaly, 2004.
Related works:
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D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, The Hydronomeas computational system and its application to the study of the Acheloos river diversion, Water resource management with emphasis in Epiros, Ioannina, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.35116.67205, Municipal Company of Water Supply and Sewerage of Ioannina, 2003.
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D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and A. Koukouvinos, Hydrological investigation of the Plastiras lake management, Workshop for the presentation of the research project "Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake", doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.16950.09286, Municipality of Karditsa, Karditsa, 2002.
To protect the Plastiras Lake, a high quality of the natural landscape and a satisfactory water quality must be ensured, the conflicting water uses and demands must be arranged and effective water management practices must be established. This study focuses on the hydrological point-of-view of reservoir's operation, which is one of the three components of its management. The analysis is based on the collection and processing of the necessary geographical, hydrological and meteorological data. The main subject of the study is to investigate the safe yield capabilities for several minimum allowable reservoir level scenarios, by applying modern stochastic simulation and optimisation methods. The final product is to propose suitable management policies, through which the maximisation of water supply and irrigation withdrawals for a high reliability level can be ensured, after imposing the minimum reservoir level restriction.
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G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, The management of resources for the water supply of Athens, Hellenic Association of Consulting Firms Newsletter, 65, 4–5, Athens, October 2001.
The managent of water resources for the water supply of Athens via the software system Hydronomeas is summarised.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/491/1/documents/2001SEGMHydronomeas.pdf (1221 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture Notes on Urban Hydraulic Works - Water Supply, 83 pages, doi:10.13140/RG.2.1.3559.7044, National Technical University of Athens, February 2015.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1518/1/documents/UHW_book.pdf (21617 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, G.-K. Sakki, and A. Zisos, Lecture notes on "Renewable Energy & Hydroelectric Works", Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2024.
Remarks:
Lecture notes for academic year 2023-24 (under construction)
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A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and P. Dimas, Lecture notes on Integrated Project in Hydraulic Engineering, 111 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, December 2023.
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A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Renewable Energy and Hydroelectric Projects, 179 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, April 2023.
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A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Hydraulic Structures & Dams, 330 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2023.
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N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on "Introduction to Energy Engineering", 286 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, November 2023.
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A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Open channel hydraulics, 35 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, November 2023.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2433/1/documents/Open_Channel_Flow.pdf (1353 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and P. Kossieris, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Water distribution networks, 78 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, October 2023.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2432/1/documents/WaterDistribution.pdf (1840 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and P. Kossieris, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Water supply works - Aqueducts, 47 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, October 2023.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2431/1/documents/WaterSupplyWorks.pdf (1663 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and P. Kossieris, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Pressured Pipes Hydraulics, 52 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, October 2023.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2346/1/documents/Pressurized_Pipe_Flow_ZXF5YNu.pdf (2542 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Hydroinformatics, 86 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2022.
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A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on Renewable Energy and Hydroelectric Works, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2020.
Remarks:
The course titled "Renewable Energy and Hydroelectric Works" is offered by the School of Civil Engineering (8th semester, optional) as well as the postgraduate program "Water Resources Science and Technology" (2nd semester).
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A. Efstratiadis, G.-F. Sargentis, and N. Mamassis, Lecture notes on Environmental Impacts: Analysis of environmental impacts from large hydraulic structures, 37 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, October 2019.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1993/1/documents/EnvImpacts2019_HydroWorks.pdf (2930 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Urban Hydrology: Urban sewage works, 31 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2019.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1967/1/documents/UrbanHydro_SewageWorks.pdf (2720 KB)
C. Makropoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and P. Kossieris, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Water Supply, 80 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, December 2019.
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A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Sewage works, 72 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, December 2018.
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N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Energy Technology, 267 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, October 2018.
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C. Makropoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Water Resource Systems Optimzation - Hydroinformatics, 151 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2018.
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N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on renewable Energy and Hydroelectric Works, 327 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2018.
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A. Efstratiadis, and P. Papanicolaou, Lecture notes on Hydraulic Structures and Dams, 93 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2018.
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N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes: Geographical Information Systems for Hydrology, School of Pedagogical & Technological Education (ASPAITE), 2017.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1935/1/documents/Aspaite_GIS.pdf (6633 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Hydraulics and Hydraulic Works: Aqueducts, 68 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, 2017.
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A. Efstratiadis, The water supply system of Athens: Management complexities and modelling challenges vs. low risk & cost decisions, October 2016.
Remarks:
Lecture given in the context of TUM visiting activities
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1655/1/documents/TUM.pdf (2204 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on Water Resources Management, 97 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2015.
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S. Mihas, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Dermatas, Lecture notes on "Hydraulic Structures - Dams", 460 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, December 2015.
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A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes: Urban stormwater drainage networks, 23 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, July 2014.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1472/1/documents/2014UHWUrbanFloods.pdf (1057 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Applications of stochastic simulation in water resource systems - The software "Castalia", 19 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, March 2014.
Remarks:
Presentation within undergraduate course "Stochastic Methods in Water Resources".
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1104/1/documents/Castalia_2014.pdf (801 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Flood simulation models, 24 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2013.
Remarks:
Presentation within the postgraduate course: "Floods and flood protection works"
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1359/1/documents/DPMS_flood_models_2013.pdf (2159 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Hydrogeios as an operational tool for hydrological simulation and management of human-modified basins, 24 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2012.
Remarks:
Presentation within the postgraduate course: "Advanced Hydrology"
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1227/1/documents/advhydro_hydrogeios_2012.pdf (1497 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Environment-friendly policies and water resources development: The case of Plastiras reservoir , 14 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2012.
Remarks:
Presentation within the postgraduate course: "Environmental Impacts from Hydraulic Works"
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1218/1/documents/2012Plastiras.pdf (464 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Simulation and optimization of the management of the water resource system of Athens, 28 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2012.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/885/1/documents/TSYP_Athens_2012.pdf (1627 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on flood hydrology and design of sewage networks, 44 pages, June 2011.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1154/1/documents/STEAMX_FloodHydrology.pdf (1746 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Ioannidi, K., A. Karagrigoriou, and D.F. Lekkas, Analysis and modeling of rainfall events, Mathematics in Engineering, Science & Aerospace (MESA), 6(4), 607-614, 2015. |
C. Makropoulos, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Water Resource System Optimization and Hydroinformatics, 307 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, April 2011.
Remarks:
Lecture notes for the postgraduate course: Water resource systems optimization - Hydroinformatics.
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A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on Water Resources Management - Part 2, 97 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2011.
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A. Efstratiadis, Hydrological and hydrogeological simulation of modified river basins - The Hydrogeios model, 40 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, April 2010.
Remarks:
Presentation within the postgraduate course "Advanced Hydrology".
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/974/1/documents/2010_hydrogeios_advhydro.pdf (2677 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Lecture notes on Urban Hydraulic Works - Part 1: Water Supply, 146 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, 2007.
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See also: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/courses/aye/index.html
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Yannopoulos, S., M. Spanothymniou and M. Spiliotis, Evaluation of the relative importance of the basic parameters of water distribution networks – investigation of technical specifications in Greece, Proceedings of the 2nd Joint Conference of EYE-EEDYP "Integrated Water Resources Management for Sustainable Development" (Ed.: P. Giannopoulos and A. Dimas), 1134-1147, Patras, Greece, 2012. |
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on Typical Hydraulic Works - Part 2: Water Distribution Networks, 90 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 2006.
Related works:
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See also: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/courses/tye/index.html
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Emmanouil, S., and A. Langousis, UPStream: Automated hydraulic design of pressurized water distribution networks, SoftwareX, 6, 248-254, doi:10.1016/j.softx.2017.09.001, 2017. |
A. Efstratiadis, Hydrological investigation of the Plastiras reservoir operation, 16 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2006.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/716/1/documents/2006PlastirasHydroDPMS.pdf (475 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Lecture notes on Water Resource System Optimisation - Part 2, 140 pages, National Technical University of Athens, Athens, 2004.
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A. Christofides, A. Efstratiadis, and G.-F. Sargentis, Presentation of the research project "Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake", 79 pages, 1 April 2003.
Remarks:
Slides from presentation in the postgraduate course "Environmental impacts of hydraulic works".
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A. Efstratiadis, Non-linear methods in multiobjective water resource optimization problems, with emphasis on the calibration of hydrological models, PhD thesis, 391 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, February 2008.
We attempt a comprehensive overview of nonlinear multiobjective functions optimization, which covers both the computational part (review and development of algorithms) and the application of related approaches in water resources science and technology. We formulate a multiobjective evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm that aims to locate representative compromises of conflicting criteria in favorable areas of the Pareto front, by combining different methodological approaches and introducing innovative issues within the evaluation and generation procedures. The algorithmic performance is tested, in comparison with well-recognized literature methods, on several mathematical problems, as well as on the estimation of stochastic model parameters. Regarding the technological component, we emphasize on the calibration of complex hydrological models. Various aspects of the problem are studied, from the model configuration (schematization, parameterization) to the strategy of selecting the best-compromise parameter set. The analysis is initially implemented on a theoretical basis, focusing on uncertainty and equifinality, while next we investigate an extended pilot application in the Boeoticos Kephissos basin, where a conjunctive hydrological, hydrogeological and water management model is fitted.
Remarks:
Commitee: D. Koutsoyiannis (supervisor), M. Mimikou, N. Mamassis, D. Tolikas, G. Karatzas, I. Nalbantis, M. Karlaftis
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Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Charizopoulos, N., and A. Psilovikos, Hydrologic processes simulation using the conceptual model Zygos: the example of Xynias drained Lake catchment (central Greece), Environmental Earth Sciences, 75:777, doi:10.1007/s12665-016-5565-x, 2016. |
A. Efstratiadis, Investigation of global optimum seeking methods in water resources problems, MSc thesis, 139 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, May 2001.
The methods for determining the global optimum of nonlinear functions without constraints are investigated. Initially, the global optimisation problem is posed, which was first remedied using classical analytical mathematics and subsequently using deterministic numerical techniques. In the next chapter, a detailed literature review of modern approaches for the global optimisation problem is done. Next, an original optimisation scheme, named evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm, is presented, which was developed within the framework of this thesis. This algorithm incorporates in an efficient manner the principles of simulated annealing into the well-known downhill simplex method, applying some heuristic strategies in order to escape from local optima. The following two chapters are referred to the evaluation of the major global optimisation methodologies on the basis of theoretical as well as real-world problems, taken from the water resources field. Through the analysis it was proved that the shuffled complex evolution, which is a recent and well-established method, as well as the evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm, had the best performance, both in terms of accuracy in locating the global optimum and convergence speed. The thesis concludes with a summary of most important points and a list of some proposals for further improvement of the evolutionary annealing-simplex algorithm.
Related works:
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Hendershot, Z. V., A differential evolution algorithm for automatically discovering multiple global optima in multidimensional, discontinuous spaces, Proceedings of the 15th Midwest Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Science Conference, 2004. |
| 2. | #Hendershot, Z. V., and F. W. Moore, MultiDE: A simple, powerful differential evolution algorithm for finding multiple global optima, Proceedings of the 7th International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference, 2004. |
| 3. | Charizopoulos, N., A. Psilovikos, and E. Zagana, A lumped conceptual approach for modeling hydrological processes: the case of Scopia catchment area, Central Greece, Environmental Earth Sciences, 76:18, doi:10.1007/s12665-017-6967-0, 2017. |
A. Efstratiadis, and N. Zervos, Optimal management of reservoir systems - Application to the Acheloos-Thessalia system, Diploma thesis, 181 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, March 1999.
Optimisation of a multi-reservoir system becomes increasingly complex when conflicting water uses exist, such as water supply, irrigation, hydroelectric power generation etc. Hydronomeas is a software tool, suitable for simulating and conducting a search for the optimum management policy of a multi-purpose hydrosystem. The mathematical model is based on recently introduced and theoretically developed parametric rules for the operation of multi-reservoir systems. Software implementation was performed in such a manner that the model can be easily applied to a wide range of hydrosystems and that simulation will be as accurate as possible, incorporating all natural, operational, environmental and other restrictions. Hydronomeas was applied on the Acheloos - Thessalia hydrosystem, including the proposed diversion projects. The objective was the maximisation of primary energy generation for various scenarios. The program's efficiency and results' reliability were validated through comparison with existing studies and sensitivity analyses.
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A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Investigation of the management of the water supply system in view of the shutdown of the interlinkage aqueduct, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, 50 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, April 2024.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Water balance analyses and accounting report for hydrological year 2022-23, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, 30 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, January 2024.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Specific management study for Marathon reservoir, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 80 pages, June 2023.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Investigation of the water supply system's management for period March-September 2023, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 64 pages, March 2023.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, and G.-K. Sakki, Investigation of the water supply system's management for period January-September 2023, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 49 pages, January 2023.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
V. Bellos, P. Kossieris, I. Papakonstantis, P. Papanicolaou, C. Ntemiroglou, and A. Efstratiadis, [No English title available], Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, 46 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, November 2022.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, G.-K. Sakki, I. Tsoukalas, P. Kossieris, P. Dimas, and N. Pelekanos, [No English title available], Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, 141 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, June 2022.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, and G.-K. Sakki, Investigation of the water supply system's management for period March-September 2022, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 49 pages, April 2022.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and I. Papageorgaki, Dissemination actions (papers, conferences), Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net), Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 84 pages, October 2021.
This report includes the description of dissemination and publicity actions of the sub-project regarding the development and preliminary operation of the OpenHi.net information system. The actions include the public information seminar of the sub-project, three publications in international conferences and a publication in an international peer reviewed scientific journal.
Related project: Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2157/1/documents/OpenHi_Report1.2.pdf (15937 KB)
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Technical report: Evaluation of the preliminary operation of OpenHi.net system, Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net), Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 47 pages, October 2021.
The preliminary operation of the online information system OpenHi.net is evaluated based on the qualitative specifications and the corresponding operational requirements. In detail, the evaluation includes the functionality of the provided services and applications (for time series, statistical information, graphs, maps), the cooperation with measurement networks and third party databases, and the system's potential for expansion are evaluated.
Related project: Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2154/1/documents/OpenHi_Report3.2Fin.pdf (2556 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, I. Tsoukalas, and S. Manouri, Special management study for the irrigation of the olive grove of Amfissa through the Mornos aqueduct, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 35 pages, May 2021.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, I. Tsoukalas, and S. Manouri, Investigation of the water supply system's management for period March-September 2021, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 38 pages, March 2021.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
G. Karakatsanis, C. Makropoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Nikolopoulos, [No English title available], Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens , 29 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, February 2020.
Related project: Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens
A. Efstratiadis, and C. Makropoulos, Hydrosystem monitoring study, Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens , 32 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, February 2020.
Related project: Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens
A. Efstratiadis, I. Papakonstantis, P. Papanicolaou, N. Mamassis, D. Nikolopoulos, I. Tsoukalas, and P. Kossieris, First year synopsis, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 55 pages, December 2020.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, S. Manouri, D. Nikolopoulos, and I. Tsoukalas, Investigation of the water supply system's management for period March-September 2020, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 31 pages, March 2020.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
C. Makropoulos, A. Efstratiadis, D. Nikolopoulos, and A. Zarkadoulas, Investigation of future operation scenarios of the hydrosystem, Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens , 94 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, April 2019.
Related project: Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens
A. Efstratiadis, and I. Tsoukalas, Update of water balance of Hylike and Paralimni and assesment of their risk of spilling during the current hydrological year, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 56 pages, November 2019.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/2014/1/documents/NTUA_Paradoteo3_YlikiUpdate_20191126_DFmfzrX.pdf (1776 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Gourgouletis, N., G. Bariamis, and E. Baltas, Estimation of characteristics of surface water bodies based on Sentinel-2 images: The case study of Yliki reservoir, Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Environmental Management, Engineering, Planning & Economics, 551-558, Thessaloniki, Greece, 2021. |
| 2. | Gourgouletis, N., G. Bariamis, M. N. Anagnostou, and E. Baltas, Estimating reservoir storage variations by combining Sentinel-2 and 3 measurements in the Yliki reservoir, Greece, Remote Sensing, 14(8), 1860, doi:10.3390/rs14081860, 2022. |
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and C. Makropoulos, Synoptic report on the estimation of the capacity of water supply system of Athens, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 30 pages, October 2019.
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, and I. Tsoukalas, Synoptic report on the evaluation of the flood risk for areas affected by the ongoing spilling of the Hylike-Paralimni system, Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update, Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 25 pages, March 2019.
Related works:
Related project: Modernization of the management of the water supply system of Athens - Update
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1988/1/documents/NTUA_Paradoteo1_YlikiPreliminary_20190321.pdf (1015 KB)
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Technical report: Development of a national monitoring system for surface water resources, Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net), Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Τεύχος 2.1, June 2019.
Related project: Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net)
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C. Makropoulos, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karakatsanis, D. Nikolopoulos, and A. Koukouvinos, Final raw water financial costing report, Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens , 120 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, May 2018.
Related project: Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens
N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and A. Koukouvinos, Technical report: Specification analysis of OpenHi.net system, Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net), Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 29 pages, Τεύχος 3.1, September 2018.
Specifications for the web-based software system OpenHi.net are defined and associated requirements refering to its operational characteristics, geographical components management, measurement stations and related (raw and processed) data, and provided services and applications, are concluded.
Related project: Open Hydrosystem Information Network (OpenHi.net)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1879/1/documents/OpenHi_Report3.pdf (1168 KB)
C. Makropoulos, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karakatsanis, D. Nikolopoulos, and A. Koukouvinos, Calculation of financial cost of raw water - Synoptic report, Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens , 93 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, February 2018.
Related project: Update of financial cost of raw water for the water supply of Athens
D. Dermatas, N. Mamassis, I. Panagiotakis, and A. Efstratiadis, Evaluation of environmental impracts due to water flows through Mavrorachi landfill, Investigation of the qualitative adequacy of the bottom of cell A3 and of the transitional bonding with cell A1 as well as the environmental impacts from the operation of the landfill , Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, March 2017.
A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, D. Nikolopoulos, H. Tyralis, A. Tegos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Case study in the Acheloos-Thessaly system, Combined REnewable Systems for Sustainable ENergy DevelOpment (CRESSENDO), 98 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, October 2015.
This report describes the validation of methodologies and computer tools that have been developed in the context of the research project, in the interconnected river basin system of Acheloos and Peneios. The study area is modelled as a hypothetically closed and autonomous (in terms of energy balance) system, in order to investigate the perspectives of sustainable development at the peripheral scale, merely based on renewable energy.
Related project: Combined REnewable Systems for Sustainable ENergy DevelOpment (CRESSENDO)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1613/1/documents/Report_EE4a.pdf (8010 KB)
A. Siskos, G. Karavokiros, A. Christofides, and A. Efstratiadis, Development of decision support system for renewable energy managment, Combined REnewable Systems for Sustainable ENergy DevelOpment (CRESSENDO), 103 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, July 2015.
We describe the decision support system that implements the simulation and optimization model for combined water and energy systems. The report follows the structure of a user manual, in which are explained in detail the software operations.
Related project: Combined REnewable Systems for Sustainable ENergy DevelOpment (CRESSENDO)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1604/1/documents/Report_EE3.pdf (3006 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, Y. Markonis, P. Kossieris, and H. Tyralis, Methodological framework for optimal planning and management of water and renewable energy resources, Combined REnewable Systems for Sustainable ENergy DevelOpment (CRESSENDO), 154 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, April 2015.
We describe a stochastic simulation and optimization framework for hybrid renewable energy systems, based on effective coupling of different models. Initially, we explain the problem of combined management of water and energy resources, we introduce the main concepts and highlight the peculiarities of the problem, by means of methodology and computational implementation. Next is presented the general context, which is based on the combined use of an hourly simulation model for the renewables of a specific study area (wind and solar units), and a daily simulation model for the water resource system and the associated energy components. The models are fed by synthetic time series of hydrological inflows, wind velocity, solar radiation and electricity demand over the study area, for the generation of which are used appropriate stochastic schemes. The theoretical background of all models and related software systems is based on original methodologies or existing approaches that have been improved or generalized in the context of the research project.
Related project: Combined REnewable Systems for Sustainable ENergy DevelOpment (CRESSENDO)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1599/1/documents/Report_EE2.pdf (3766 KB)
Y. Markonis, S. Lykoudis, A. Efstratiadis, and A. Koukouvinos, Description of rainfall and meteorological data and processing, DEUCALION – Assessment of flood flows in Greece under conditions of hydroclimatic variability: Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools, Contractors: ETME: Peppas & Collaborators, Grafeio Mahera, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, National Observatory of Athens, 54 pages, September 2014.
Objective of this report is the analysis of rainfall and meteorological data that are gathered from the pilot basins and the description of their processing for the generation of the essential time series. The time series that are derived through processing of real-time raw data from the monitoring network are: (a) point time series of rainfall and other meteorological variables (temperature, relative humidity, wind velocity), and (b) time series of areal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration across all sub-basins of interest. Point rainfall depths from rain gauges are used for the generation of areal time series as well as the analysis of intense storm events. The extraction of areal rainfall across each basin or sub-basin of interest was done through typical techniques of spatial integration (Thiessen polygons), while the potential evapotranspiration data were indirectly estimated, as function of temperature.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1496/1/documents/Report_2_2.pdf (3082 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, E. Michailidi, E. Galiouna, K. Tzouka, A. D. Koussis, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Description of regional approaches for the estimation of characteristic hydrological quantities, DEUCALION – Assessment of flood flows in Greece under conditions of hydroclimatic variability: Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools, Contractors: ETME: Peppas & Collaborators, Grafeio Mahera, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, National Observatory of Athens, 146 pages, September 2014.
The objective of the report is the systematic investigation and evaluation of regional relationships and associated event-based models that are applied in flood studies, through validating their predictions across the pilot basins of the project. The research focuses on the most popular, in Greece as well as globally, hydrological design procedure, which is based on the application of the SCS-CN method for the estimation of hydrological losses, combined with the unit hydrograph theory for the transformation of surface runoff to flood hydrograph at the basin outlet. In the report are investigated both the theoretical-conceptual background of the models as well as the procedure for estimating their basic input quantities (time of concentration, runoff curve number, initial abstraction ratio, initial soil moisture conditions). In this respect, we analyzed more than 100 flood events in 11 sites of interest, which we attempted to represent through several alternative approaches. The analyses showed that it is essential to revise critical aspects of the hydrological design. The most important are: (a) the correction of the time of concentration, as estimated by the Giandotti formula, according to the rainfall intensity; (b) the estimation of parameter CN of the SCS-CN method on the basis of three characteristic layers of spatial information and its adjustment for given initial abstraction ratio; (c) the application of a parametric synthetic unit hydrograph, the time parameters of which depend not only on the characteristics of the basin’s surface but also the mechanisms of the shallow soil; and (d) the statistically consistent estimation of the flood design quantities on the basis of the probabilities of occurrence of the design rainfall under dry, medium or wet antecedent soil moisture conditions.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1495/1/documents/Report_3_3.pdf (28157 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, P. Dimitriadis, E. Rozos, and A. D. Koussis, Theoretical documentation of hydrological-hydraulic simulation model, DEUCALION – Assessment of flood flows in Greece under conditions of hydroclimatic variability: Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools, Contractors: ETME: Peppas & Collaborators, Grafeio Mahera, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, National Observatory of Athens, 108 pages, September 2014.
We present the theoretical documentation of the hydrological-hydraulic simulation model that has been developed within the new version of computer system Hydrogeios. The model has been enhanced in order to represent the hydrological processes at the hourly time scale, which allows to be used for both hydrological design and flood forecasting. In the report are described in detail the whole theoretical background, based on the integration of simulation models for surface- and groundwater processes, water resources management models, and alternative numerical schemes for flow routing along the river network. Moreover, we explain the procedure for preparation of input data and construction of all essential thematic layers, as well as the procedure for estimating model parameters through advanced calibration tools.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1491/1/documents/Report_3_5.pdf (3568 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Στεφανίδης, Σ. Ντάφης, και Χ. Γιάνναρος, Υδρολογική απόκριση της λεκάνης απορροής του χειμάρρου «Μπασδέκη» Ολυμπιάδας στην καταιγίδα της 25ης Νοεμβρίου 2019, Υδροτεχνικά (2019-2020), 29, 13-26, 2020. |
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and S.M. Papalexiou, Description of methodology for intense rainfall analysis , DEUCALION – Assessment of flood flows in Greece under conditions of hydroclimatic variability: Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools, Contractors: ETME: Peppas & Collaborators, Grafeio Mahera, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, National Observatory of Athens, 55 pages, November 2012.
The objective of the research report is the investigation and implementation of the methodological framework for the statistical analysis of intense rains. In the report are initially reviewed the main concepts of statistical hydrology and are described the extreme statistical distributions, as well as other distributions of general use, which are applied for the analysis of intense rains. Moreover, we describe the statistical methods for the daily rainfall time series, which are employed within stochastic simulation models. Emphasis is given to the development of a methodology for constructing the idf (ombrian) curves, which are typical tools in hydrologic design. Finally, we present the computational system for the extraction of ombrian curves (Ombros software), and we explain it operation with regard to its theoretical context as well as from the end user perspective, by means of examples.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1296/1/documents/Report_3_2.pdf (1661 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, P. Dimitriadis, and A. Maheras, Litterature review of flood hydrology and related tools, DEUCALION – Assessment of flood flows in Greece under conditions of hydroclimatic variability: Development of physically-established conceptual-probabilistic framework and computational tools, Contractors: ETME: Peppas & Collaborators, Grafeio Mahera, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, National Observatory of Athens, 115 pages, October 2012.
The objective of the research report is the literature review of the theoretical framework of flood hydrology, which is branch of engineering hydrology. The research aims to a critical review of the world experience (in terms of methodologies as well as computer tools), and the practices that are employed within flood hydrology studies in Greece. The topics that are examined are: (a) fundamental concepts of flood hydrology are related processes; (b) characteristic hydrological magnitudes of river basins (physiographic properties, runoff coefficient, time of concentrations, curve number, unit hydrograph, time-area curves); (c) probabilistic assessment of extreme hydrological events; (d) methods for estimating design flows; (e) methods for estimating design hydrographs; (f) flood routing models; (g) computer packages; (h) Greek standards and practices.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1215/1/documents/Report_WP3_1_1.pdf (3203 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Kastridis, A., and D. Stathis, Evaluation of hydrological and hydraulic models applied in typical Mediterranean ungauged watersheds using post-flash-flood measurements, Hydrology, 7(1), 12, doi:10.3390/hydrology7010012, 2020. |
| 2. | Sapountzis, M., A. Kastridis, A. Kazamias, A. Karagiannidis, P. Nikopoulos, and K. Lagouvardos, Utilization and uncertainties of satellite precipitation data in flash flood hydrological analysis in ungauged watersheds, Global NEST Journal, 23, 1-12, 2021. |
| 3. | Kastridis, A., G. Theodosiou, and G. Fotiadis, Investigation of flood management and mitigation measures in ungauged NATURA protected watersheds, Hydrology, 8(4), 170, doi:10.3390/hydrology8040170, 2021. |
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, S. Kozanis, and A. Koukouvinos, Final report, Maintenance, upgrading and extension of the Decision Support System for the management of the Athens water resource system, Contractors: , Report 2, 84 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, November 2011.
Related project: Maintenance, upgrading and extension of the Decision Support System for the management of the Athens water resource system
C. Makropoulos, D. Damigos, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and A. Benardos, Synoptic report and final conclusions, Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens, 32 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, October 2010.
Related project: Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1099/1/documents/Kostos_Nerou_EYDAP_Teuxos_5.pdf (418 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Makropoulos, C., and E. Papatriantafyllou, Developing roadmaps for the sustainable management of the urban water cycle: The case of WW reuse in Athens, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference of Environmental Science and Technology, Athens, 2013. |
C. Makropoulos, A. Efstratiadis, and A. Koukouvinos, Appraisal of financial cost and proposals for a rational management of the hydrosystem, Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens, 73 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, October 2010.
Related project: Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1097/1/documents/Kostos_Nerou_EYDAP_Teuxos_3.pdf (1053 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Baki, S., and C. Makropoulos, Tools for energy footprint assessment in urban water systems, Procedia Engineering, 89, 548-556, doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2014.11.477, 2014. |
| 2. | #Di Federico, V., C. Makropoulos, A. Monteiro, T. Liserra, S. Baki, and A. Galvão, The TRUST approach for the Transition to Sustainability of Urban Water Services: the water scarcity cluster, Water IDEAS 2014 - Intelligent Distribution for Efficient and Affordable Supplies, International Water Association (IWA), Bologna, Italy, 2014. |
| 3. | Frijns, J., E. Cabrera Marchet, N. Carriço, D. Covas, A. J. Monteiro, H. M. Ramos, A. Bolognesi, C. Bragalli, S. Baki, and C. Makropoulos, Management tools for hydro energy interventions in water supply systems, Water Practice and Technology, 10(2), 214-228, doi:10.2166/wpt.2015.024, 2015. |
C. Makropoulos, A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Chalkias, Mehodology for estimation of the financial cost , Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens, 40 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, July 2010.
Related project: Cost of raw water of the water supply of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1008/1/documents/Kostos_Nerou_EYDAP_Teuxos_1__.pdf (732 KB)
S. Kozanis, A. Christofides, and A. Efstratiadis, Scientific documentation of the Hydrognomon software (version 4 ), Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information" , Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 173 pages, Athens, June 2010.
Hydrognomon software version 4 scientific documentation
"Hydrognomon" is an application for the analysis of hydrological data. Hydrological data analysis consists of time series processing applications, such as time step aggregation and regularisation, interpolation, regression analysis and filling in of missing values, consistency tests, data filtering, graphical and tabular visualisation of time series, etc.
The program supports also specific hydrological applications, including evapotranspiration modelling, stage-discharge and discharge-sediment discharge analysis, homogeneity tests, water balance methods, hydrometry, etc. The statistical module provides tools for sampling analysis, distribution functions, statistical forecast, Monte-Carlo simulation, analysis of extreme events and construction of intensity-duration-frequency curves.
A final module is a lumped hydrological model, with alternative configurations, also supported by automatic calibration facilities.
Document source in Microsoft Word Format: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/~soulman/hydrognomon/2009HydrognomonTheory.doc
Remarks:
Document version 1.02 - 2010-06-23 (Greek)
Related works:
Related project: Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information"
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/928/1/documents/HydrognomonV4TheoryGR-v1.02.pdf (3356 KB)
See also: http://hydrognomon.org/
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Tsanis, I. K., M. G. Grillakis, and A. G. Koutroulis, Climate change impact on the hydrology of Spencer Creekwatershed in Southern Ontario, Canada, Journal of Hydrology, 409(1-2), 1-19, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.06.018, 2011. |
| 2. | #Τσιντσάρης Α., και Φ. Μάρης, Αξιολόγηση των ορεινών υδρονομικών έργων του χείμαρρου Ελαιώνα Σερρών με την εφαρμογή υδρολογικών μοντέλων και γεωγραφικών συστημάτων πληροφοριών, Υδροτεχνικά, 20, 2011. |
| 3. | Bekri, E., M. Disse, P. Yannopoulos, Optimizing water allocation under uncertain system conditions in Alfeios River Basin (Greece), Part A: Two-stage stochastic programming model with deterministic boundary intervals, Water, 7(10), 5305-5344, doi:10.3390/w7105305, 2015. |
| 4. | Bekri, E., M. Disse, P. Yannopoulos, Optimizing water allocation under uncertain system conditions in Alfeios River Basin (Greece), Part B: Fuzzy-boundary intervals combined with multi-stage stochastic programming model, Water, 7(10), 6427-6466, doi:10.3390/w7116427, 2015. |
| 5. | Ahmed, S., and I. Tsanis, Climate change impact on design storm and performance of urban storm-water management system – A case study on West Central Mountain drainage area in Canada, Hydrology Current Research, 7(1), 229, doi:10.4172/2157-7587.1000229, 2016. |
| 6. | Charizopoulos, N., and A. Psilovikos, Hydrologic processes simulation using the conceptual model Zygos: the example of Xynias drained Lake catchment (central Greece), Environmental Earth Sciences, 75:777, doi:10.1007/s12665-016-5565-x, 2016. |
| 7. | Charizopoulos, N., A. Psilovikos, and E. Zagana, A lumped conceptual approach for modeling hydrological processes: the case of Scopia catchment area, Central Greece, Environmental Earth Sciences, 76:18, doi:10.1007/s12665-017-6967-0, 2017. |
| 8. | Mentzafou, A., S. Wagner, and E. Dimitriou, Historical trends and the long-term changes of the hydrological cycle components in a Mediterranean river basin, Science of The Total Environment, 636, 558-568, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.298, 2018. |
| 9. | #Πετροπούλου, Μ., Ε. Ζαγγάνα, Ν. Χαριζόπουλος, Μ. Μιχαλοπούλου, Α. Μυλωνάς, και Κ. Περδικάρης, Εκτίμηση του υδρολογικού ισοζυγίου της λεκάνης απορροής του Πηνειού ποταμού Ηλείας με χρήση του μοντέλου «Ζυγός», 14ο Πανελλήνιο Συνέδριο της Ελληνικής Υδροτεχνικής Ένωσης (ΕΥΕ), Βόλος, 2019. |
| 10. | Bemmoussat, A., K. Korichi, D. Baahmed, N. Maref, O. Djoukbala, Z. Kalantari, and S. M. Bateni, Contribution of satellite-based precipitation in hydrological rainfall-runoff modeling: Case study of the Hammam Boughrara region in Algeria, Earth Systems and Environment, doi:10.1007/s41748-021-00256-z, 2021. |
| 11. | Renima, M., A. Zeroual, Y. Hamitouche, A. Assani, S. Zeroual, A. A. Soltani, C. Mulowayi Mubulayi, S. Taibi, S. Bouabdelli, S. Kabli, A. Ghammit, I. Bara, A. Kastali, and R. Alkama, Improving future estimation of Cheliff-Mactaa-Tafna streamflow via an ensemble of bias correction approaches, Climate, 10(8), 123, doi:10.3390/cli10080123, 2022. |
A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, and E. Rozos, Hydrogeios - Version 2.0 - User manual, Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information" , Contractor: Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 100 pages, November 2009.
Related project: Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information"
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1424/1/documents/hydrogeios_manual.pdf (2692 KB)
S.M. Papalexiou, and A. Efstratiadis, Final report, Flood risk estimation and forecast using hydrological models and probabilistic methods , 116 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, November 2009.
Related project: Flood risk estimation and forecast using hydrological models and probabilistic methods
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/939/1/documents/ReportFinal.pdf (2029 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, E. Rozos, and A. Koukouvinos, Hydrogeios: Hydrological and hydrogeological simulation model - Documentation report, Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information" , 139 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, November 2009.
Related project: Development of Database and software applications in a web platform for the "National Databank for Hydrological and Meteorological Information"
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/929/1/documents/Hydrogeios_documentation_.pdf (2561 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, and N. Mamassis, Master plan of the Athens water resource system - Year 2009, Maintenance, upgrading and extension of the Decision Support System for the management of the Athens water resource system, Contractors: , Report 1, 116 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, April 2009.
Related project: Maintenance, upgrading and extension of the Decision Support System for the management of the Athens water resource system
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/913/1/documents/MasterPlan2009.pdf (2341 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Rozos, E., An assessment of the operational freeware management tools for multi-reservoir systems, Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, ws2018169, doi:10.2166/ws.2018.169, 2018. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, and A. Efstratiadis, Summary report, Athens, Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 37 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, August 2008.
The subject and the objectives of the research project are summarized, comprising: (a) collection of hydrological, geographical and water use data and hydrosystem properties; (b) investigation of a proposed legal, financial and social framework for the management of Smokovo reservoir; (c) investigation of the operational framework of other reservoirs; (d) investigation of alternative means for the organization and operation of the Water Management Body; (e) formulation of an operational plan for water resources management; (f) formulation of alternative management scenarios and optimal operation of the reservoir, according various levels of hydrosystem development, and (h) the integration of data and processes to a computer system.
Related project: Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/875/1/documents/report5.pdf (906 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, and A. Efstratiadis, Final report, Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 4, 66 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, July 2008.
The subject and the objectives of the research project are presented, comprising: (a) collection of hydrological, geographical and water use data and hydrosystem properties; (b) investigation of a proposed legal, financial and social framework for the management of Smokovo reservoir; (c) investigation of the operational framework of other reservoirs; (d) investigation of alternative means for the organization and operation of the Water Management Body; (e) formulation of an operational plan for water resources management; (f) formulation of alternative management scenarios and optimal operation of the reservoir, according various levels of hydrosystem development, and (h) the integration of data and processes to a computer system.
Related project: Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/840/1/documents/report4_v4.pdf (1766 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Safiolea, E., C. Makropoulos, and M. Mimikou, Benefits and challenges in integrated water resources modeling using OpenMI: the case of the Pinios River basin, Greece, Integrating Water Systems - Proceedings of the 10th International on Computing and Control for the Water Industry, CCWI 2009, Sheffiled, 481-484, 2010. |
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Alternative scenarios for the management and optimal operation of the Smokovo reservoir and the related works, Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 3, 104 pages, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, July 2008.
A range of scenarios for the management of the Smokovo reservoir and the related works are studied, taking into account the reservoir inflows, the development of works and the various water uses. In order to estimate inflows, a comprehensive hydrological investigation is carried out, based on the process of pluvial, meteorological, hydrometric and geographical data for the hydrosystem, and the representation of the natural processes using the semi-distributed hydrological model Hydrogeios. The model parameters are calibrated on the basis of historical runoff records in three system locations, which are reproduced with satisfactory accuracy. The resulted inflow sample is used for the generation of synthetic time series upstream of the dam, thorough model Castalia, which are input to the water management model Hydronomeas. Through the latter, various safe release scenarios are investigated for different water uses (irrigation, water supply, hydropower), depending on the works progress, and appropriate management policies are proposed, for short and long term horizon. The analyzes are implemented by means of a computer-based system that was developed for the project purposes, comprising databases and software tools.
Related project: Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/839/1/documents/report3_v4.pdf (2966 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Charizopoulos, N., and A. Psilovikos, Hydrologic processes simulation using the conceptual model Zygos: the example of Xynias drained Lake catchment (central Greece), Environmental Earth Sciences, doi:10.1007/s12665-016-5565-x, 2016. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Andreadakis, R. Mavrodimou, A. Christofides, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, G. Karavokiros, S. Kozanis, D. Mamais, and K. Noutsopoulos, National Programme for the Management and Protection of Water Resources, Support on the compilation of the national programme for water resources management and preservation, 748 pages, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.25384.62727, Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, February 2008.
Related project: Support on the compilation of the national programme for water resources management and preservation
Full text:
Works that cite this document: View on Google Scholar or ResearchGate
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Baltas, E. A., Climatic conditions and availability of water resources in Greece, International Journal of Water Resources Development, 24(4), 635-649, 2008 |
| 2. | Gikas, P., and G.Tchobanoglous, Sustainable use of water in the Aegean Islands, Journal of Environmental Management, 90(8), 2601-2611, 2009. |
| 3. | Gikas, P., and A.N.Angelakis, Water resources management in Crete and in the Aegean Islands, with emphasis on the utilization of non-conventional water sources, Desalination, 248 (1-3), 1049-1064, 2009. |
| 4. | Agrafioti, E., and E. Diamadopoulos, A strategic plan for reuse of treated municipal wastewater for crop irrigation on the Island of Crete, Agricultural Water Management, 105,57-64, 2012. |
| 5. | #Zafirakis, D., C. Papapostolou, E. Kondili, and J. K. Kaldellis, Water use in the electricity generation sector: A regional approach evaluation for Greek thermal power plants, Protection and Restoration of the Environment XI, 1459-1468, 2012. |
| 6. | Pisinaras, V., C. Petalas, V. A. Tsihrintzis and G. P. Karatzas, Integrated modeling as a decision-aiding tool for groundwater management in a Mediterranean agricultural watershed, Hydrological Processes, 27 (14), 1973-1987, 2013. |
| 7. | Efstathiou, G.A., C. J. Lolis, N. M. Zoumakis, P. Kassomenos and D. Melas, Characteristics of the atmospheric circulation associated with cold-season heavy rainfall and flooding over a complex terrain region in Greece, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 115 (1-2), 259-279, 2014. |
| 8. | #Antoniou, G. P., Residential rainwater cisterns in Ithaki, Greece, IWA Regional Symposium on Water, Wastewater & Environment: Traditions & Culture (ed. by I. K. Kalavrouziotis and A. N. Angelakis), Patras, Greece, 675-685, International Water Association & Hellenic Open University, 2014. |
| 9. | Kougioumoutzis, K., S.M. Simaiakis, and A. Tiniakou, Network biogeographical analysis of the central Aegean archipelago, Journal of Biogeography, 41 (10) 848-1858, 2014. |
| 10. | Zafirakis, D., C. Papapostolou, E. Kondili, and J. K. Kaldellis, Evaluation of water‐use needs in the electricity generation sector of Greece, International Journal of Environment and Resource, 3(3), 39-45, doi:10.14355/ijer.2014.0303.01, 2014. |
| 11. | Manakos, I., K. Chatzopoulos-Vouzoglanis, Z. I. Petrou, L. Filchev, and A. Apostolakis, Globalland30 Mapping capacity of land surface water in Thessaly, Greece, Land, 4 (1), 1-18, doi:10.3390/land4010001, 2015. |
| 12. | Kallioras, A., and P. Marinos, Water resources assessment and management of karst aquifer systems in Greece, Environmental Earth Sciences, 74(1), 83-100, doi:10.1007/s12665-015-4582-5, 2015. |
| 13. | #Grimpylakos , G., K. Albanakis, and T. S. Karacostas, Watershed size, an alternative or a misguided parameter for river’s waterpower? Implementation in Macedonia, Greece, Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences, Springer Atmospheric Sciences, 295-301, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_41, 2017. |
| 14. | Tsangaratos, P. A. Kallioras , Th. Pizpikis, E. Vasileiou, I. Ilia, and F. Pliakas, Multi-criteria Decision Support System (DSS) for optimal locations of Soil Aquifer Treatment (SAT) facilities, Science of The Total Environment, 603–604, 472–486, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.05.238, 2017. |
| 15. | Soulis, K. X., and D. E. Tsesmelis, Calculation of the irrigation water needs spatial and temporal distribution in Greece, European Water, 59, 247-254, 2017. |
| 16. | Piria, M., P. Simonović, E. Kalogianni, L. Vardakas, N. Koutsikos, D. Zanella, M. Ristovska, A. Apostolou, A. Adrović, D. Mrdak, A. S. Tarkan, D. Milošević, L. N. Zanella, R. Bakiu, F. G. Ekmekçi, M. Povž, K. Korro, V. Nikolić, R. Škrijelj, V. Kostov, A. Gregori, and M. K. Joy, Alien freshwater fish species in the Balkans — Vectors and pathways of introduction, Fish and Fisheries, 19(1), 138–169, doi:10.1111/faf.12242, 2018. |
| 17. | Falalakis, G. and A. Gemitzi, A simple method for water balance estimation based on the empirical method and remotely sensed evapotranspiration estimates, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 22(2), 440-451, doi:10.2166/hydro.2020.182, 2020. |
| 18. | Laspidou, C. S., N. Mellios, A. Spyropoulou, D. Kofinas, and M. P. Papadopoulou, Systems thinking on the resource nexus: Modeling and visualisation tools to identify critical interlinkages for resilient and sustainable societies and institutions, Science of The Total Environment, 717, 137264, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137264, 2020. |
| 19. | Tzanakakis, V. A., A. N. Angelakis, N. V. Paranychianakis, Y. G. Dialynas, and G. Tchobanoglous, Challenges and opportunities for sustainable management of water resources in the island of Crete, Greece, Water, 12(6), 1538, doi:10.3390/w12061538, 2020. |
| 20. | Skrimizea, E., and C. Parra, An adaptation pathways approach to water management and governance of tourist islands: the example of the Southern Aegean Region in Greece, Water International, 45(7-8), 746-764, doi:10.1080/02508060.2020.1791683, 2020. |
| 21. | Alamanos, A., P. Koundouri, L. Papadaki, and T. Pliakou, A system innovation approach for science-stakeholder interface: theory and application to water-land-food-energy nexus, Frontiers in Water, 3, 744773, doi:10.3389/frwa.2021.744773, 2022. |
| 22. | Zafeirakou, A., A. Karavi, A. Katsoulea, A. Zorpas, and I. Papamichael, Water resources management in the framework of the circular economy for touristic areas in the Mediterranean: case study of Sifnos Island in Greece, Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration, doi:10.1007/s41207-022-00319-1, 2022. |
| 23. | Alamanos, A., P. Koundouri, L. Papadaki, T. Pliakou, and E. Toli, Water for tomorrow: A living lab on the creation of the science-policy-stakeholder interface, Water, 14(18), 2879, doi:10.3390/w14182879, 2022. |
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and I. Vazimas, HYDRONOMEAS - Computer System for Simulation and Optimal Management of Water Resources - User Manual - Version 4.0, Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Contractor: NAMA, 144 pages, January 2007.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Demertzi, K. A., D.M. Papamichail, P. E. Georgiou, D. N. Karamouzis, and V. G. Aschonitis, Assessment of rural and highly seasonal tourist activity plus drought effects on reservoir operation in a semi-arid region of Greece using the WEAP model, Water International, 39(1), 23–34, 2014. |
A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Theoretical documentation of model for simulating and optimising the management of water resources "Hydronomeas", Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Contractor: NAMA, Report 9, 91 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2007.
The subject of the report is the development of the software system HYDRONOMEAS, which is an operational tool for the management of complex water resource systems. The model is applicable to a wide range of hydrosystems, consisting of river branches, reservoirs, boreholes, pumping and hydropower stations, aqueduct networks, demand points, etc. After a general overview of the water resources management problem and a short presentation of some well-recognized decision support systems, we describe the theoretical background of the model, which implements the parameterisation-simulation-optimisation scheme. The former refers to the formulation of parametric control rules for the major infrastructures (reservoirs, boreholes), where the number of parameters is kept as low as possible. Simulation is applied to faithfully represent the processes. Specifically, real economic values in addition to virtual costs are assigned to network components to preserve the physical constraints and water use priorities, ensuring also the lowest-cost transportation path of water from the sources to the consumption. Finally, optimisation is applied to derive the optimal management policy on the basis of multiple performance criteria, thus ensuring simultaneous minimisation of the risk and cost of decision-making. Note that the modelling framework adopts a stochastic approach, providing predictions for all hydrosystem fluxes (storages, discharges, withdrawals) on the basis of synthetic scenarios of inflows. The last part of the report focus on the practical use of the model, as a stand-alone system as well as in co-operation with other modules developed within the ODYSSEUS research project.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/756/1/documents/report_9.pdf (2701 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Mackey, R., The climate dynamics of total solar variability, 16th Natural Resources Commission Coastal Conference 2007, Australia, 2007. |
| 2. | #Strosser P., J. Roussard, B. Grandmougin, M. Kossida, I. Kyriazopoulou, J. Berbel, S. Kolberg, J. A. Rodríguez-Díaz, P. Montesinos, J. Joyce, T. Dworak, M. Berglund, and C. Laaser, EU Water saving potential (Part 2 – Case Studies), Berlin, Allemagne, Ecologic – Institute for International and European Environmental Policy, 101 pp., 2007. |
N. Mamassis, R. Mavrodimou, A. Efstratiadis, M. Heidarlis, A. Tegos, A. Koukouvinos, P. Lazaridou, M. Magaliou, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Investigation of alternative organisations and operations of a Water Management Body for the Smokovo projects, Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir, Report 2, 73 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, March 2007.
The framework regarding the establishment and operation of a water management body for the Smokovo reservoir and the related projects is investigated. The study area, as well as the responsibility area within it, is defined, and a short description of the characteristics for the physical and artificial system is made. The current legal and institutional framework is examined, on the basis of which various alternative schemes are proposed for the management body. Its legal and administrative status, the competence and the organogram are specified, and an initial financial analysis is attempted, to validate its viability. Finally, the next actions are proposed, regarding the organization of deliberations with the related organs.
Related project: Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/720/1/documents/Smo_teyx2ekd3.pdf (2847 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, A. Tegos, G. Karavokiros, I. Kyriazopoulou, and I. Vazimas, Master Plan for water resources management for the area of Karditsa, Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Report 16, 132 pages, NAMA, Athens, December 2006.
The present report refers to the Master Plan for water resources management for the area of Karditsa and was elaborated by NAMA's research team in cooperation with DEYA Karditsa and the National Technical University of Athens. This deliverable is part of Work Package 8 with title "Pilot Applications". The Pilot Applications aim to test and evaluate the product (from methodology and software efficiency viewpoints) on hydrosystems with totally different characteristics, in terms of their hydroclimatic regime, structure scale, and institutional and administrative framework of management. After the completion of the pilot applications, the product was re-examined at all levels (theoretical background, software design and implementation), before assuming its final form. This report will include the following main sections, according to the Technical Addendum of the Contract: (a) description of the study area, (b) description of the hydrosystem, (c) data and processing, (d) water needs assessment, (e) hydrological inflow assessment, (f) management of the hydrosystem, (g) simulation of quality parameters, (h) financial analysis and (i) conclusions and proposals.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/769/1/documents/report_16.pdf (5557 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Strosser P., J. Roussard, B. Grandmougin, M. Kossida, I. Kyriazopoulou, J. Berbel, S. Kolberg, J. A. Rodríguez-Díaz, P. Montesinos, J. Joyce, T. Dworak, M. Berglund, and C. Laaser, EU Water saving potential (Part 2 – Case Studies), Berlin, Allemagne, Ecologic – Institute for International and European Environmental Policy, 101 pp., 2007. |
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, E. Rozos, A. Tegos, and I. Nalbantis, Theoretical documentation of model for simulating hydrological-hydrogeological processes of river basin "Hydrogeios", Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Contractor: NAMA, Report 4a, 103 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, December 2006.
The subject of the report is the development of the software system HYDROGEIOS, which represents the hydrological and hydrogeological processes as well as the water resource management practices of a river basin. After a short review of the most recognized hydrological models and a general overview of the problem, we describe the theoretical background of the approach, comprising the combined operation of three models: (a) a conceptual soil moisture accounting model, with different parameters for each hydrological response unit, which estimates the transformation of precipitation to evapotranspiration, surface runoff and percolation; (b) a multicell groundwater model, which estimates the spatial distribution of the water table, the baseflow (spring runoff) and the underground losses; and (c) a water resources allocation model, which for given hydrological inflows along the river network, given characteristics of technical facilities (aqueducts, wells) and given targets and constraints, estimates the abstractions and the water balance at all hydrosystem control points, selecting the economical optimal management. The spatial analysis assumes a semi-distributed schematisation of the basin and its underlying aquifer, and also a rough description of the technical works, all employed via the use of geographical information systems. The time step of simulation is monthly or daily; in the last case, a routing model is optionally incorporated, based on the well-known Muskingum-Cunge method. Specific emphasis is given to the estimation of model parameters, by using statistical and empirical goodness-of-fit measures and evolutionary algorithms for single- and multi-objective optimisation. Finally, we present an application of the model to the Western Thessaly area.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/755/1/documents/report_4a.pdf (3877 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Πετροπούλου, Μ., Ε. Ζαγγάνα, Ν. Χαριζόπουλος, Μ. Μιχαλοπούλου, Α. Μυλωνάς, και Κ. Περδικάρης, Εκτίμηση του υδρολογικού ισοζυγίου της λεκάνης απορροής του Πηνειού ποταμού Ηλείας με χρήση του μοντέλου «Ζυγός», 14ο Πανελλήνιο Συνέδριο της Ελληνικής Υδροτεχνικής Ένωσης (ΕΥΕ), Βόλος, 2019. |
A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, L. Lazaridis, and N. Mamassis, Data report, Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir, Report 1, 66 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2006.
The entire raw data (geographical, hydrological, data for water management, etc.) that was collected for the study area is presented, which involves the operation of the Smokovo reservoir and the related projects. The characteristics of the watersheds and the hydraulic structures (Smokovo dam and reservoir, Leontari tunnel and hydropower station, irrigation network) are examined. The water balance of the reservoir is constructed, for its operation period. The water uses (irrigation, water supply, power generation, tourism) are analysed, as well as the water quality parameters and the environmental requirements. Finally, the directions of the future works of the project are specified.
Related project: Investigation of management scenarios for the Smokovo reservoir
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/696/1/documents/DataReport.pdf (2567 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and S. Kozanis, Theoretical documentation of stochastic simulation of hydrological variables model "Castalia", Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Contractor: NAMA, Report 3, 61 pages, doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.30224.40966, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, September 2005.
This report describes a system for the stochastic simulation and forecast of hydrologic variables. More specifically, an original two-level multivariate scheme was introduced, appropriate for preserving the most important statistics of the historical time series and reproducing characteristic peculiarities of hydrologic processes such as persistence, periodicity and skewness. The mathematical model was implemented in a computer package, named Castalia, and it was applied for the generation of synthetic hydrologic time series within the simulation models the are components of the decision support systems for the management of hydro-systems.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/742/1/documents/report_3.pdf (1377 KB)
See also: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.30224.40966
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Bekri, E., M. Disse, P. Yannopoulos, Optimizing water allocation under uncertain system conditions in Alfeios River Basin (Greece), Part A: Two-stage stochastic programming model with deterministic boundary intervals, Water, 7(10), 5305-5344, doi:10.3390/w7105305, 2015. |
| 2. | Bekri, E., M. Disse, P. Yannopoulos, Optimizing water allocation under uncertain system conditions in Alfeios River Basin (Greece), Part B: Fuzzy-boundary intervals combined with multi-stage stochastic programming Model, Water, 7(10), 6427-6466, doi:10.3390/w7116427, 2015. |
S. Kozanis, A. Christofides, and A. Efstratiadis, Description of the data management and processing system "Hydrognomon", Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Contractor: NAMA, Report 2, 141 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, September 2005.
"Hydrognomon" is a software tool for the management and analysis of hydrological data. It is built on a standard Windows platform based on client-server architecture; a database server is holding hydrological data whereas several workstations are executing Hydrognomon, sharing common data. Data retrieval, processing and visualisation are supported by a multilingual Graphical User Interface. Data management is based on geographical organisation to entities such as measuring stations, river basins, and reservoirs. Each entity may possess time series, physical properties, calculation parameters, multimedia content, etc. The main part of hydrological data analysis consists of time series processing applications, such as time step aggregation and regularisation, interpolation, regression analysis and filling in of missing values, consistency tests, data filtering, graphical and tabular visualisation of time series, etc. The program supports also specific hydrological applications, including evapotranspiration modelling, stage-discharge analysis, homogeneity tests, water balance methods, etc. The statistical module provides tools for sampling analysis, distribution functions, statistical forecast, Monte-Carlo simulation, analysis of extreme events and construction of intensity-duration-frequency curves. A final module is a lumped hydrological model, with alternative configurations, also supported by automatic calibration facilities. This report is the scientific documentation of the "Hydrognomon" system.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/676/1/documents/report_2.pdf (5332 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Psarianou, P., I. Nalbantis, and I. Kydonaki, Data inadequacy in water quality modelling: the case of Lake Pamvotis, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Environmental Science and Technology (CEST2011), A1513-A1520, Rhodes, 2011. |
| 2. | Papagiannis, N., I. Koumantakis, and E. Vasileiou, Karstic aquifer of Orfana-Iperia of West Thessaly. The research and analysis of the hydrodynamic and hydrochemical status before the application of artificial ground water recharge, Bulletin of the Geological Society of Greece, 50, 917-926, doi:10.12681/bgsg.14398, 2016. |
| 3. | #Πετροπούλου, Μ., Ε. Ζαγγάνα, Ν. Χαριζόπουλος, Μ. Μιχαλοπούλου, Α. Μυλωνάς, και Κ. Περδικάρης, Εκτίμηση του υδρολογικού ισοζυγίου της λεκάνης απορροής του Πηνειού ποταμού Ηλείας με χρήση του μοντέλου «Ζυγός», 14ο Πανελλήνιο Συνέδριο της Ελληνικής Υδροτεχνικής Ένωσης (ΕΥΕ), Βόλος, 2019. |
R. Mavrodimou, I. Nalbantis, and A. Efstratiadis, Guidelines for the assessment of water resource projects, Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS), Contractor: NAMA, Report 13, 72 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, June 2005.
This attempt stands as a primary approach of a subject that has not been encountered from a holistic point-of-view in Greece and, more specifically, an impulse for further insight. The target is to establish guidelines for assessing the performance of existing large-scale water resource projects, within an integrated and adaptive water management. This effort is limited on certain categories of projects that are assumed more important in relation with the targets of the research project, which are: (a) surface water storage projects (i.e., dams), (b) groundwater abstraction projects (i.e., borehole systems), and (c) water distribution projects (i.e., irrigation and water supply networks). The report has the following structure: First, the general methodological framework is posed, including the essential definitions that provide better understanding of the various subjects. The reasons for the assessment are described, the selection of the project categories to analyse is explained, and the need for incorporating a single project to the extended hydrosystem is justified. But primarily, the methodological steps for the assessment procedure are described, and the main parameters of each step are articulated or further analysed, in some cases with specific weight. Next, the methodology is specialised for the selected project categories that are already referred, and particular targets are imposed, to which the guidelines are focused. These include the integration of the single projects to the scale of the corresponding hydrosystem; in this point, the report is related to the scope of the research project and, more precisely, to the models under development, for which the assessment procedure stands as one of the application fields. Finally, four characteristic examples are presented, which are taken from the Greek and international experience, thus facilitating the comprehension of the entire proposed procedure.
Related project: Integrated Management of Hydrosystems in Conjunction with an Advanced Information System (ODYSSEUS)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/667/1/documents/report_13.pdf (1502 KB)
I. Nalbantis, N. Mamassis, D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Final report, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 25, 135 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, March 2004.
The subject and the objectives of the integrated system for the modernisation of the supervising and management of the water resource system of Athens is presented along with the developed infrastructure, computational (geographical information system and central database) and measuring, and the organisation, processing and management of the necessary data. In addition, the software tools developed (Castalia, Hydrognomon, Hydronomeas and system for simulation of the hydrological cycle of the Boeoticos Kephisos - Yliki Basin), and the master plans for the management of the water resource system, which were elaborated in the framework of the second phase of the research project using these software tools, are also described. For all subsystems, reference is made to the operational integration of the system as a whole.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/621/1/documents/report25.pdf (3908 KB)
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydronomeas (version 3.2) - A system to support the management of water resources, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 24, 142 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2004.
Within the framework of the project entitled "Updating of the supervision and management of the Athens water supply resources system", a software system named Hydronomeas (version 3.2) has been developed to support the water resources management by EYDAP. The methodology implemented (parameterisation-simulation-optimisation) is based mainly on an original theoretical work. The mathematical framework used allows the allocation of the water demand to the different system components, keeping the number of control variables small. This enables the simulation and optimisation of complex hydrosystems such as the one in this project. For the simulation process with a given operating rule, multiple, competitive targets and constraints with specified priorities can be set, which are concerned among others, with the acceptable limits for the system reliability. In performing optimisation, users can select between three objective functions: a) the minimisation of the average failure, b) the minimisation of the overall average operational cost and c) the maximisation of the overall guaranteed yield of the system for a given acceptable failure level. The model uses as input historic hydrological time series or synthetic time series. The results are given in probabilistic terms and include the probability of failure for each target, the analytical water balance and the storage forecast for reservoirs and the flow balance and discharge forecast for aqueducts.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/620/1/documents/report24.pdf (4619 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Castalia (version 2.0) - A system for stochastic simulation of hydrological variables, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 23, 103 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2004.
Within the framework of the project entitled "Modernization of the supervision and management of the water resources for water supply of Athens", an operational system was developed for the stochastic simulation and forecast of hydrologic variables. More specifically, an original two-level multivariate scheme was introduced, appropriate for preserving the most important statistics of the historical time series and reproducing characteristic peculiarities of hydrologic processes such as persistence, periodicity and skewness. The mathematical model was implemented in a computer package, named Castalia, and it was applied for the generation of synthetic hydrologic time series within the simulation models the are components of the decision support system for the management of the Athens water supply system.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/619/1/documents/report23.pdf (3740 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Santana, R. F., and A. B. Celeste, Stochastic reservoir operation with data-driven modeling and inflow forecasting, Journal of Applied Water Engineering and Research, doi:10.1080/23249676.2021.1964389, 2021. |
| 2. | Salcedo-Sanz, S., D. Casillas-Pérez, J. Del Ser, C. Casanova-Mateo, L. Cuadra, M. Piles, G. Camps-Valls, Persistence in complex systems, Physics Reports, 957, 1-73, doi:10.1016/j.physrep.2022.02.002, 2022. |
| 3. | Agapitidou, A.-A., S. Skroufouta, and E. Baltas, Methodology for the development of hybrid renewable energy systems (HRES) with pumped storage and hydrogen production on Lemnos Island, Earth, 3(2), 537-556, doi:10.3390/earth3020032, 2022. |
A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, and E. Rozos, Model for simulating the hydrological cycle in Boeoticos Kephisos and Yliki basins, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 21, 196 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2004.
An integrated information system is developed for simulating main processes of the hydrological cycle in Boeoticos Kephisos Basin. Both surface (rainfall, evapotranspiration, direct runoff) and subsurface processes (percolation, spring runoff, outflow to the sea) are modeled. The surface hydrology model is an enhanced version of the well-known model of Thornthwaite. The Hydrological Response Unit (HRU) serves as the basis for modeling. This is a hydrologically homogeneous part of the basin (in regard to inputs). Groundwater flow is Darcian and is supposed to take place between tanks that are linked to each other through conduits. Besides the two models, a third model that allocates water demand - which is supposed concentrated at some consumption points - between various water resources. The information system consists of four subsystems: (a) the subsystem for entry and storage of data, (b) the subsystem for organizing and visualising data, (c) the subsystem for simulation of hydrological processes, and (d) the parameter calibration subsystem. In an annex, extensive guidelines for the system's users are given. The models were calibrated and validated for the Boeoticos Kephisos Basin. This volume contains also extensive analyses of the hydrometeorological and hydrological information in the Boeoticos Kephisos Basin which led to maximising the quality of inputs to the system. Last, great effort was put in an exploratory analysis of various data of both Lake Yliki and its own basin which could not support any detailed model - even a semi-distributed one. Analysis led to a simple model for the lake's leakages which is significantly ameliorated in regard to older approaches. Also, comments are made on the potential of aquifers other than that of the Boeoticos Kephisos Basin. These aquifers are reserved mostly for water supply of the Athens Metropolitan Area.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/617/1/documents/report21.pdf (3007 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Michas, S.N., M.N. Pikounis, I. Nalbantis, P.L. Lazaridou and E.I. Daniil, On the hydrologic analysis for water resources management in Aegean Islands, Proceedings, Protection and Restoration of the Environment VIII, Mykonos, Greece, 2006. |
A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Hydrometeorological data processing, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 17, 72 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2004.
The hydrometeorological data analysis for the estimation of the areal rainfall, the evaporation and the runoff at specific discharge measurement stations is described. Also, the reservoir water balances are presented, which were established for the estimation of the inflows or leakage losses of the system's reservoirs (Evinos, Mornos, Yliki, Marathonas). Specifically, we present the processing of the monthly rainfall data, the estimation of monthly evaporation from the reservoirs, the calculation of the discharge at the three main watersheds (Evinos, Mornos, Boeticos Kefissos) and the setting up of the monthly water balance components. All raw and processed hydrologic time series are stored in the central database.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/614/1/documents/report17.pdf (1076 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, I. Nalbantis, G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, A. Christofides, E. Rozos, A. Economou, and G. M. T. Tentes, Methodology and theoretical background, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 15, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2004.
The methodology that was developed for the analysis of the water supply system of Athens, even though it was dictated by the special requirements of this particular system, has a broader character and a generalised orientation. In this respect, a series of publications in international scientific journals and communications in scientific conferences and workshops were done, so that the methodology becomes known to the international scientific community and raises its critique. These publications and communications are classified into two categories, with the fist one containing those referring to the core of the water supply system analysis, i.e., to the system optimisation based on the original methodology parameterisation-simulation-optimisation, and the second one containing those dealing with stochastic simulation and prediction of the hydrological inputs to the system. For a clear description and explanation of the methodology, the publications in scientific journals are reproduced in this volume and, for completeness, the summaries of the communications in conferences are included as well.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, I. Nalbantis, E. Rozos, Ch. Karopoulos, A. Nassikas, E. Nestoridou, and D. Nikolopoulos, Master plan of the Athens water resource system — Year 2002–2003, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 14, 215 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, December 2002.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/552/1/documents/2002eydapmasterplan.pdf (8797 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Second updating of simulations of the Athens water resource system for hydrologic year 2001-02, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 13b, 25 pages, Athens, April 2002.
Related works:
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, and D. Koutsoyiannis, First updating of simulations of the Athens water resource system for hydrologic year 2001-02, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 13a, 21 pages, Athens, February 2002.
Related works:
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, D. Koutsoyiannis, and N. Mamassis, Hydrological Study, Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake, Report 2, 70 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, March 2002.
To protect the Plastiras Lake, a high quality of the natural landscape and a satisfactory water quality must be ensured, the conflicting water uses and demands must be arranged and effective water management practices must be established. This report refers to the hydrological point-of-view of reservoir's operation, which is one of the three components of its management. The analysis is based on the collection and processing of the necessary geographical, hydrological and meteorological data. The main subject of the study is to investigate the safe yield capabilities for several minimum allowable reservoir level scenarios, by applying modern stochastic simulation and optimization methods. The final product is to propose suitable management policies, through which we can ensure the maximization of water supply and irrigation withdrawals for a high reliability level, after imposing the minimum reservoir level restriction.
Related project: Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/495/1/documents/2002PlastirasHydro.pdf (1120 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Loukas A., N. Mylopoulos, and L. Vasiliades, A modeling system for the evaluation of water resources management strategies in Thessaly, Greece, Water Resources Management, 21(10), 1673-1702, doi:10.1007/s11269-006-9120-5, 2007. |
| 2. | #Strosser P., J. Roussard, B. Grandmougin, M. Kossida, I. Kyriazopoulou, J. Berbel, S. Kolberg, J. A. Rodríguez-Díaz, P. Montesinos, J. Joyce, T. Dworak, M. Berglund, and C. Laaser, EU Water saving potential (Part 2 – Case Studies), Berlin, Allemagne, Ecologic – Institute for International and European Environmental Policy, 101 pp., 2007. |
| 3. | #Ευθυμίου, Γ., και Θ. Μπρουζιώτης, Η σημασία των παρόχθιων οικοσυστημάτων για τη διατήρηση της βιοποικιλότητας και της ποιότητας τοπίου – αναπτυξιακές δυνατότητες. Η περίπτωση δημιουργίας μικρών υγροτόπων στα περιθώρια υποβαθμισμένων οικολογικά λιμνών και ποταμών, για την ενίσχυση της βιοποικιλότητας, 2o Αναπτυξιακό Συνέδριο Νομού Καρδίτσας, Αναπτυξιακή Καρδίτσας, 2010. |
| 4. | #Loukas, A., S. Dervisis, and N. Mylopoulos, Analysis and evaluation of a water resources system: Sourpi basin, Greece, Protection and Restoration of the Environment XI, 233-242, 2012. |
| 5. | Giakoumakis, S., and C. Petropoulou, Simulating the operation of the Plastiras reservoir for different demand scenarios, Water Utility Journal, 25, 23-29, 2020. |
K. Hadjibiros, D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Andreadakis, A. Katsiri, A. Stamou, A. Valassopoulos, A. Efstratiadis, I. Katsiris, M. Kapetanaki, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, K. Noutsopoulos, G.-F. Sargentis, and A. Christofides, Overview report, Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake, Report 1, 23 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, March 2002.
The Plastiras Lake is a reservoir used for irrigation, water supply, hydropower, and tourism. These uses are competitive and result in an especially complex problem of water management. In this report the problem is presented and the main points of the three parts of the project are summarised; these three parts are the hydrological study, the quality study, and the landscape study. The conflicting demands are arranged, and water release scenarios are suggested.
Related project: Investigation of scenarios for the management and protection of the quality of the Plastiras Lake
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Andreadakis, A., K. Noutsopoulos, and E. Gavalaki, Assessment of the water quality of Lake Plastira through mathematical modelling for alternative management scenarios, Global Nest: the International Journal, 5(2), pp 99-105, 2003. |
| 2. | #Karalis, S. and A . Chioni, 1-D Hydrodynamic modeling of Greek lakes and reservoirs, Ch. 59 in Environmental Hydraulics, Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Environmental Hydraulics (ed. by A. I . Stamou), Athens, Greece, 397–401, 2010. |
| 3. | Kalavrouziotis, I. K., A. Τ. Filintas, P. H. Koukoulakis, and J. N. Hatzopoulos, Application of multicriteria analysis in the management and planning of treated municipal wastewater and sludge reuse in agriculture and land development: the case of Sparti’s wastewater treatment plant, Greece, Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 20(2), 287-295, 2011. |
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Second updating of simulations of the Athens water resource system for hydrologic year 2000-01, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 17 pages, Athens, June 2001.
Related works:
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, First updating of simulations of the Athens water resource system for hydrologic year 2000-01, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, 14 pages, Athens, February 2001.
Related works:
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, I. Nalbantis, D. Grintzia, N. Damianoglou, Ch. Karopoulos, S. Nalpantidou, A. Nassikas, D. Nikolopoulos, A. Xanthakis, and K. Ripis, Master plan of the Athens water resource system — Year 2001–2002, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 13, Athens, December 2001.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/487/2/documents/report13.pdf (8130 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Collins, R., P. Kristensen and N. Thyssen, Water Resources Across Europe—Confronting Water Scarcity and Drought, ISSN 1725-9177, 56 pp., European Environment Agency (EEA), Copenhagen, 2009. |
A. Efstratiadis, I. Nalbantis, and N. Mamassis, Hydrometeorological data processing, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 8, 129 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, December 2000.
The hydrometeorological data analysis for the estimation of the areal rainfall and evaporation and the runoff for specific discharge measurement stations is described. Also, the reservoir water balances are presented, which were established for the estimation of the reservoir inflows or leakage losses. Specifically, the processing of the monthly rainfall data, the estimation of monthly evaporation from the reservoirs, the calculation of the discharge at a station of Evinos' River Basin and the setting up of the monthly water balance, are presented. Finally, the raw and calculated data are included in the annexes.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/416/1/documents/report8.pdf (1139 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Nalbantis, I., and G. Tsakiris, Assessment of hydrological drought revisited, Water Resources Management, 23, 881-897, 2009. |
| 2. | Nalbantis, I., Evaluation of a hydrological drought index, European Water, 23/24, 67-77, 2008. |
| 3. | Sardou, S. F., and A. Bahremand, Hydrological drought analysis using SDI Index in Halilrud basin of Iran, Environmental Resources Research, 2(1), 47-56, 2014. |
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, I. Nalbantis, N. Damianoglou, K. Constantinidou, S. Nalpantidou, A. Xanthakis, and S Politaki, Analysis of the system requirements, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Report 1, 74 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, January 2000.
Within the frame of the project entitled "Updating of the supervision and management of the water supply resources system of Athens" five software systems that are developed are specified. The first one is the Geographical Information System, which aims to model and to supervise the hydrosystem of Athens. The second one is a network of hydrometeorological measuring stations in the catchments, which are linked to the water resource system of Athens are specified. The third system is used for the estimation of inflow and losses of the reservoirs, where the forth one estimates and predicts the water resources in the aquifers of the Viotikos Kifissos and Yliki region. Finally, the fifth system supports the management of water resources. The specifications described are used as a guideline for the development of the above systems.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/410/1/documents/report1.pdf (694 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, G. Karavokiros, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, I. Nalbantis, D. Grintzia, N. Damianoglou, A. Xanthakis, S Politaki, and V. Tsoukala, Master plan of the Athens water resource system - Year 2000-2001, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 5, 165 pages, Athens, December 2000.
The master plan for the operation of the Athens water resource system for the hydrological year 2000-20001 deals first with issues on the relations between the different organisations involved in the water supply of Athens, i.e., the Water Supply and Sewage Company of Athens, the Infrastructure Company for Water Supply and Sewage of Athens and a number of ministries. Projections of the water demand and the related water resources availability are studied in the form of future scenarios for which optimised system operating rules are drawn. The scenarios consider the phenomenon of the drought persistence as well as various possible emergency incidents. Operating cost estimates are also given together with elements on the environmental dimensions of the subject. Finally, estimates of the system safe yield and of the energy consumption for pumping water are presented in detail.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/356/1/documents/2000EYDAPMasterplan.pdf (1616 KB)
Additional material:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Getimis, P., K. Bithas and D. Zikos, Key actors, institutional framework and participatory procedures, for the sustainable use of water in Attica-basin, Proc. 7th Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, Syros, Greece, 243-252, 2001. |
| 2. | #Minasidou K., D. F. Lekkas, A. D. Nikolaou, and S. K. Golfinopoulos, Water quality changes during storage - the case of Mornos reservoir, Proceedings, Protection and Restoration of the Environment VIII, Mykonos, Greece, 2006. |
| 3. | Stergiouli, M. L., and K. Hadjibiros, The growing water imprint of Athens (Greece) throughout history, Regional Environmental Change, 12(2), 337-345, 2012. |
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydronomeas (version 2): A system for the support of the water resources management, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 11, 84 pages, Athens, December 2000.
A software system named Hydronomeas (version 2.0) has been developed to support the water resources management policy of EYDAP. The methodology implemented (parametrization-simulation-optimization) is based mainly on an original theoretical work. The mathematical framework used allows the allocation of the water demand to the different system components, keeping the number of control variables small. This enables the simulation and optimisation of complex hydrosystems such as the water resource system of Athens. For the simulation process with a given operating rule, multiple, competitive targets and constraints with specified priorities can be set, which are concerned among others, with the acceptable limits for the system reliability. In performing optimisation, users can select between three objective functions: a) the minimisation of the average failure, b) the minimisation of the overall average operational cost and c) the maximisation of the overall firm yield of the system for an acceptable failure level. The model uses as input historic hydrological time series or synthetic time series. The results are given in probabilistic terms and include the probability of failure for each target, the analytical water balance for reservoirs, the flow balance for aqueducts, and economical data of the system operation.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/355/1/documents/2000EYDAPHydronomeas.pdf (1278 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Castalia: A system for the stochastic simulation of hydrological variables, Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens, Contractor: Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Report 9, 70 pages, Athens, December 2000.
A mathematical model was developed for the stochastic simulation and forecast of hydrologic variables. More specifically, an original two-level multivariate scheme was introduced, appropriate for preserving the essential statistics of the historical time series and reproducing characteristic peculiarities of hydrologic processes such as persistence and periodicity. The mathematical model was implemented in a computer package, named Castalia, and it was applied for the generation of synthetic rainfall, runoff and evaporation time series for the reservoirs of the Athens water supply system.
Related project: Modernisation of the supervision and management of the water resource system of Athens
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/343/1/documents/2000EYDAPCastalia.pdf (7045 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Xenos, D., C. Karopoulos and E. Parlis, Modern confrontation of the management of Athens' water supply system, Proc. 7th Conference on Environmental Science and Technology, Syros, Greece, 952-958, 2001. |
A. Efstratiadis, Modelling renewable energy systems: Methodological challenges and research questions, 29 pages, Athens, October 2018.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1900/1/documents/AE_ModelAPE.pdf (3917 KB)
E. Savvidou, A. Efstratiadis, A. D. Koussis, A. Koukouvinos, and D. Skarlatos, A curve number approach to formulate hydrological response units within distributed hydrological modelling, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, doi:10.5194/hess-2016-627, 2016.
We propose a systematic framework for delineating Hydrological Response Units (HRUs), based on a modified Curve Number (CN) approach. The CN-value accounts for three major physiographic characteristics of a river basin, by means of classes of soil permeability, land use/land cover characteristics, and drainage capacity. A semi-automatic procedure in a GIS environment allows producing basin maps of distributed CN-values as the product of the three classified layers. The map of CN-values is used in the context of model parameterization, in order to identify the essential number and spatial extent of HRUs and, consequently, the number of control variables of the calibration problem. The new approach aims at reducing the subjectivity introduced by the definition of HRUs, and simultaneously at providing parsimonious modelling schemes. In particular, the CN-based parameterization (1) allows the user to assign as many parameters as can be supported by the available hydrological information, (2) associates the model parameters with anticipated basin responses, as quantified in terms of CN classes across HRUs, and (3) reduces the effort for model calibration, simultaneously ensuring good predictive capacity. The advantages of the proposed framework are demonstrated in the hydrological simulation of Nedontas river basin, Greece, in which parameterizations of different complexities are employed in a recently improved version of the HYDROGEIOS modelling framework.
Remarks:
This discussion paper has been under review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS). The manuscript was not accepted for further review after discussion. An improved version was eventually published in Water (http://www.itia.ntua.gr/1772/). Please, if you wish to cite this work, refer to the peer-reviewed article, not the discussion paper.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1673/1/documents/hess-2016-627.pdf (2890 KB)
See also: http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/hess-2016-627/
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Verma, S., R. K. Verma, S. K. Mishra, A. Singh, and G. K. Jayaraj, A revisit of NRCS-CN inspired models coupled with RS and GIS for runoff estimation, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(12), 1891-1930, doi:10.1080/02626667.2017.1334166, 2017. |
| 2. | D’ Ambrosio, S., A. M. De Girolamo, and M. C. Rulli, Assessing sustainability of agriculture through water footprint analysis and in-stream monitoring activities, Journal of Cleaner Production, 200(1), 454-470, doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.07.229, 2018. |
| 3. | D’Ambrosio, E., A. M. De Girolamo, and M. C. Rulli, Coupling the water footprint accounting of crops and in-stream monitoring activities at the catchment scale, MethodsX, 5, 1221-1240, doi:10.1016/j.mex.2018.10.003, 2018. |
| 4. | Weber, M., M. Feigl, K. Schulz, and M. Bernhardt, On the ability of LIDAR snow depth measurements to determine or evaluate the HRU discretization in a land surface model, Hydrology, 7(2), 20, doi:10.3390/hydrology7020020, 2020. |
| 5. | Prastowo, T., A. Saggaff, and F. Hadinata, A study of watershed characteristics of Tiga Dihaji dam, International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research, 9(4), 1135-1141, 2020. |
| 6. | Rodríguez Flores, S., C. Muñoz-Robles, A. J. Ortíz-Rodríguez, J. A. Quevedo Tiznado, and P. Julio-Miranda, Historical and projected changes in hydrological and sediment connectivity under climate change in a tropical catchment of Mexico, Science of The Total Environment, 848, 157731, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157731, 2022. |
| 7. | Bodrud-Doza, Md., W. Yang, R. de Queiroga Miranda, A. Martin, B. DeVries, and E. D. G. Fraser, Towards implementing precision conservation practices in agricultural watersheds: A review of the use and prospects of spatial decision support systems and tools, Science of The Total Environment, 905, 167118, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167118, 2023. |
A. Efstratiadis, "Investigation of global optimum seeking methods in water resources problems" and "Parallel memetic algorithms - Parallel evolutionary algorithms and other techniques": Comparative presentation, September 2012.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1286/1/documents/DigalakisClopy_1.pdf (2506 KB)
Additional material:
H. Tyralis, and A. Efstratiadis, "National Programme for the Management and Protection of Water Resources" and "Impacts of climate change to surface and groundwater resources of Greece": Comparative presentation, September 2012.
Two documents are compared: (1) the report of the National Programme for the Management and Protection of Water Resources, elaborated by NTUA within a research project, and (2) the report entitled "Impacts of climate change to surface and groundwater resources of Greece", elaborated by a research team of Athens University (EKPA) in June 2011, for the Bank of Greece. A large part (~40%) of the two documents are identical.
Remarks:
The report of the National Programme for the Management and Protection of Water Resources: http://itia.ntua.gr/el/docinfo/782/
Web site of the Bank of Greece which contains, among other things, the report of the Stournaras team: http://www.bankofgreece.gr/Pages/el/klima/relevant.aspx (accessed 2012/09/07)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1285/1/documents/MasterPlanComparison_3.pdf (8176 KB)
Additional material:
A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Evaluating models or evaluating modelling practices? - Interactive comment on HESS Opinions “Crash tests for a standardized evaluation of hydrological models”, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 6, C1404–C1409, 2009.
We discuss some drawbacks of the proposed framework for evaluating hydrological models, through both a scientific and an engineering approach. We explain that the model improvement is a continuous process that oscillates between induction and deduction, which requires deep understanding of the physical phenomena and exploitation of all kind of information, taking into account the specific hydrosystem peculiarities. In this context, we ask for more engineering judgment, to prohibit from misleading conclusions due to model misuse issues.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/915/1/documents/hessd-6-C1404-2009.pdf (473 KB)
See also: http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci-discuss.net/6/3669/2009/hessd-6-3669-2009-discussion.html
G. Karavokiros, A. Efstratiadis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, Hydronomeas: A system for supporting water resources management, 8 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, February 2002.
Related works:
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/499/1/documents/Hydronomeas_info.pdf (1579 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, and A. Efstratiadis, Castalia: A system for stochastic simulation of hydrologic variables, 6 pages, Department of Water Resources, Hydraulic and Maritime Engineering – National Technical University of Athens, Athens, February 2002.
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/497/1/documents/Kastalia_info.pdf (285 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Preliminary hydrological investigation of Livadi - Arachova watershed, 55 pages, Fokiki energeiaki S.A., Athens, July 2019.
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, and N. Mamassis, Estimation of flood hydrographs at selected streams crossing Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) – Section 1, Detailed design of TAP - Section 1, Commissioner: Asprofos Engineering, Contractors: , September 2016.
Related project: Detailed design of TAP - Section 1
A. Efstratiadis, and A. Koukouvinos, Gaborone storm study, Consultancy Services for Conceptual Design, Preparation of Bidding Documents, Assistance during the Selection of Contractor & Monitoring/Supervision of Construction, Instalation, Operation & Maintainance for Traffic Control (CTC) for Greater Gaborone City, Contractor: Erasmos Consulting Engineering, 7 pages, July 2015.
In the context of upgrading and widening the road network of Gaborone, Botswana, the impacts on the stormwater management are examined. In addition, it is proposed that the new lanes that will be constructed in the major roads of Gaborone can have a zero or even negative impact on the stormwater discharge and volume by employing improved and environmental-friendly stormwater management practices, by means of permeable pavement systems. Such systems will be combined with foot and bicycle paths that will be constructed adjacent to the major roads. In this report an overview of the proposed scheme is presented along with a description of the permeable pavement system, as a sustainable alternative for urban flood management, in treating urban runoff for water reuse and recycling. Based on sketchy information about the flood characteristics of Gaborone, rough estimations and guidelines for the hydrological and hydraulic design of the roadside drainage system are also provided.
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, S.M. Papalexiou, C. Andrikopoulos, E. Tsilimandos, and A. Radaios, [No English title available], , Commissioner: Specific Secreteriat of Water – Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, Contractor: ADT-OMEGA, 77 pages, April 2015.
Related project: Σχέδιο Διαχείρισης Κινδύνων Πλημμύρας των Λεκανών Απορροής Ποταμών του Υδατικού Διαμερίσματος Κρήτης (GR13)
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1631/1/documents/%CE%A31_%CE%A61_%CE%A002_%CE%A41_GR13.pdf (3261 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and A. Koukouvinos, Technical report: Investigation of flood flows in the river basin of Almopaios, Pleriminary study of Almopaios dam, Commissioner: Roikos Consulting Engeineers S.A., Contractors: , 43 pages, July 2014.
Related project: Pleriminary study of Almopaios dam
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1840/1/documents/2014AlmopaiosReport.pdf (1110 KB)
A. Efstratiadis, A. Koukouvinos, N. Mamassis, S. Baki, Y. Markonis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, [No English title available], , Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, Contractor: Exarhou Nikolopoulos Bensasson, 205 pages, February 2013.
A. Koukouvinos, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, Y. Markonis, S. Baki, and D. Koutsoyiannis, [No English title available], , Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, Contractor: Exarhou Nikolopoulos Bensasson, 144 pages, February 2013.
N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Drought and water shortage study, , Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, Contractor: Ydroexigiantiki, 145 pages, June 2012.
A. Efstratiadis, Hydrological study, Hydrological study of the ski center area of Parnassos, Contractor: Lazaridis and Collaborators, June 2010.
Related project: Hydrological study of the ski center area of Parnassos
A. Efstratiadis, and E. Rozos, Hydrological investigation, Water supply works from Gadouras dam - Phase B, Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works, Contractor: Ydroexigiantiki, 57 pages, July 2010.
Related project: Water supply works from Gadouras dam - Phase B
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/1004/1/documents/rodos_report_final.pdf (1956 KB)
Additional material:
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Essential works to ensure the established ecological flow, Specific Technical Study for the Ecological Flow from the Dam of Stratos, Commissioner: Public Power Corporation, Contractor: ECOS Consultants S.A., 22 pages, Athens, May 2009.
Related project: Specific Technical Study for the Ecological Flow from the Dam of Stratos
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/943/1/documents/ETM_projects.pdf (995 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Investigation of ecological flow, Specific Technical Study for the Ecological Flow from the Dam of Stratos, Commissioner: Public Power Corporation, Contractor: ECOS Consultants S.A., 88 pages, Athens, May 2009.
Related project: Specific Technical Study for the Ecological Flow from the Dam of Stratos
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/942/1/documents/ecological_flow.pdf (1567 KB)
N. Mamassis, A. Koukouvinos, and A. Efstratiadis, Hydrological study, , Commissioner: Ministry of Agricultural Development and Food, Contractor: ETME- Antoniou Peppas and Co., Athens, 2006.
Related project: Μελέτες Διερεύνησης Προβλημάτων Άρδευσης και Δυνατότητας Κατασκευής Ταμιευτήρων Νομού Βοιωτίας
D. Argyropoulos, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, and E. Rozos, Water resource management of Xerias and Yannouzagas basins, Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia, Commissioner: TEMES - Tourist Enterprises of Messinia, Contractor: D. Argyropoulos, 73 pages, Athens, 2005.
Related project: Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia
D. Argyropoulos, E. Lagadinou, and A. Efstratiadis, Water resources management of the Selas catchment, Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia, Commissioner: TEMES - Tourist Enterprises of Messinia, Contractor: D. Argyropoulos, 48 pages, Athens, 2005.
Related project: Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia
N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, M. Lasithiotakis, and D. Koutsoyiannis, First monitoring programme for the estimation of water resources in the Pylos-Romanos area for the water supply of the ITDA , Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia, Commissioner: TEMES - Tourist Enterprises of Messinia, Contractor: D. Argyropoulos, 17 pages, Athens, 2003.
Related project: Water resource management of the Integrated Tourist Development Area in Messenia
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/812/1/documents/2003pylos_measur.pdf (515 KB)
D. Koutsoyiannis, N. Mamassis, and A. Efstratiadis, Hydrological study of the Sperheios basin, Hydrological and hydraulic study for the flood protection of the new railway in the region of Sperhios river, Commissioner: ERGA OSE, Contractor: D. Soteropoulos, Collaborators: D. Koutsoyiannis, 197 pages, Athens, January 2003.
Related project: Hydrological and hydraulic study for the flood protection of the new railway in the region of Sperhios river
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/729/1/documents/2003sperxeios_flood_final.pdf (1820 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Tsakiris, G., and V. Bellos, A numerical model for two-dimensional flood routing in complex terrains, Water Resources Management, 28, 1277-1291, 10.1007/s11269-014-0540-3, 2014. |
| 2. | Spyrou, C., M. Loupis, N. Charizopoulos, I. Apostolidou, A. Mentzafou, G. Varlas, A. Papadopoulos, E. Dimitriou, D. Panga, L. Gkeka, P. Bowyer, S. Pfeifer, S. E. Debele, and P. Kumar, Evaluating nature-based solution for flood reduction in Spercheios river basin under current and future climate conditions, Sustainability, 13(7), 3885, doi:10.3390/su13073885, 2021. |
A. Efstratiadis, G. M. T. Tentes, D. Koutsoyiannis, and D. Argyropoulos, Technical report, Preliminary Water Supply Study of the Thermoelectric Livadia Power Plant, Contractor: Ypologistiki Michaniki, 63 pages, Athens, 2001.
Related project: Preliminary Water Supply Study of the Thermoelectric Livadia Power Plant
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/809/1/documents/2001LivadiaReport.pdf (1636 KB)
Additional material:
D. Koutsoyiannis, I. Nalbantis, N. Mamassis, A. Efstratiadis, L. Lazaridis, and A. Daniil, Flood study, Engineering consultant for the project "Water supply of Heracleio and Agios Nicolaos from the Aposelemis dam", Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works, Contractor: Aposelemis Joint Venture, Athens, October 2001.
The objective of the study is the estimation of the design floods of the spillway and the diversion tunnel of the Aposelemis dam. The study is based mainly on regional rainfall and meteorological data. Initially, the data is analysed applying probabilistic techniques as well as the probable maximum precipitation concept, in order to estimate the characteristics of design storms. Next, a unit hydrograph of the catchment is synthesised and using this unit hydrograph and the design storms, the design floods at the dam site are estimated for various return periods. Finally, these floods are routed through the spillway in order to estimate the characteristics of the outflow hydrograph.
Related project: Engineering consultant for the project "Water supply of Heracleio and Agios Nicolaos from the Aposelemis dam"
Full text:
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, N. Mamassis, I. Nalbantis, and L. Lazaridis, Hydrological study of reservoir operation, Engineering consultant for the project "Water supply of Heracleio and Agios Nicolaos from the Aposelemis dam", Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works, Contractor: Aposelemis Joint Venture, Athens, October 2001.
The scope of the study is the analytic and systematic approach of the Aposelemis reservoir operation, based on probabilistic/stochastic analysis, which aims at complementing the previous studies and giving reliable estimations of the reservoir's safe release. The study gives emphasis to the estimation of the contribution of the surface water resources of Lasithi Plateau basin to the reservoir's water potential, which is affected by the hydraulic communication between the basins of Lasithi Plateau and Aposelemis due to their karstic geologic background. For this purpose, extensive collection and processing of historical hydrological records were required, in addition to the development and calibration of a conceptual hydrological model for both watersheds. The estimation of the safe reservoir release is based on a stochastic model for the generation of synthetic inflow series and a simplified simulation-optimisation model of the hydrosystem composed of Lasithi plateau - Aposelemis reservoir - boreholes - urban and rural consumption. By applying the above models, several safe yield scenarios are examined, referring to alternative values of the physical hydraulic communication between the two basins and different system reliability levels.
Related project: Engineering consultant for the project "Water supply of Heracleio and Agios Nicolaos from the Aposelemis dam"
Full text:
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | #Vogiatzi, C., and C. Loupasakis, Environmental impact from the construction and operation of Aposelemis dam and tunnel, in Northern‐Eastern Crete, 1st International Conference on Environmental Design (ICED2020), 423-430, 2020. |
D. Koutsoyiannis, A. Efstratiadis, and N. Mamassis, Appraisal of the surface water potential and its exploitation in the Acheloos river basin and in Thessaly, Ch. 5 of Study of Hydrosystems, Complementary study of environmental impacts from the diversion of Acheloos to Thessaly, Commissioner: Ministry of Environment, Planning and Public Works, Contractor: Ydroexigiantiki, Collaborators: D. Koutsoyiannis, 2001.
Related project: Complementary study of environmental impacts from the diversion of Acheloos to Thessaly
Full text: http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/getfile/208/1/documents/2001AcheloosThessaliaReport.pdf (2472 KB)
Other works that reference this work (this list might be obsolete):
| 1. | Varlas, G., C. Papadaki, K. Stefanidis, A. Mentzafou, I. Pechlivanidis, A. Papadopoulos, and E. Dimitriou, Increasing trends in discharge maxima of a Mediterranean river during early autumn, Water, 15(6), 1022, doi:10.3390/w15061022, 2023. |
